River Flood Warning 57, NWS Mobile, AL

160 
WGUS84 KMOB 151458
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
958 AM CDT MON APR 15 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM AFFECTING CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX COUNTIES.
  
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC025-099-131-161458-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0057.130416T1500Z-130418T1424Z/
/CLBA1.1.ER.130416T1500Z.130417T1800Z.130418T0824Z.NO/
958 AM CDT MON APR 15 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM
* FROM TOMORROW LATE MORNING UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING
* AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 38.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 43.2 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

182 
WGUS84 KMOB 160051
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
751 PM CDT MON APR 15 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
 
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM AFFECTING CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX COUNTIES.
  

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC025-099-131-170051-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0057.130416T2000Z-130418T1654Z/
/CLBA1.1.ER.130416T2000Z.130417T1800Z.130418T1054Z.NO/
751 PM CDT MON APR 15 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM
* FROM TOMORROW AFTERNOON UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING
* AT 7PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 39.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 43.4 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

976 
WGUS84 KMOB 161615
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1115 AM CDT TUE APR 16 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM AFFECTING CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES.

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC025-099-131-161645-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-130418T1654Z/
/CLBA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING 
* AT 11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 40.2 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42 FEET
* AT 40 FEET...CONSIDERABLE FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
  OCCUR.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
655 PM CDT SUN APR 14 2013

.AVIATION [09.12Z KMOB/KBFM/KPNS TAF ISSUANCE]...PROGRESSIVELY LOWER
CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT DUE TO MOIST GROUND CONDITIONS AND
WIND SPEEDS DECREASING AND BECOMING LIGHT. STARTING OFF WITH IFR TO
MVFR CEILINGS AROUND 1000 FEET...DETERIORATING TO IFR CONDITIONS BY
15.03Z...AND THEN TO VLIFR OR LIFR CONDITIONS AFTER 15.08Z THROUGH
15.18Z. EXPECT MVFR VISIBILITY CONDITIONS NEAR 3 TO 4 SM BY
15.04Z...DETERIORATING TO IFR CONDITIONS BY 15.08Z...AND THEN TO
VLIFR CONDITIONS AFTER 15.10Z THROUGH 15.15Z. /22.

.NEAR TERM [TONIGHT]...MAIN RAIN SHIELD HAS CLEARED THE FORECAST AREA
PRIOR TO 00Z...SO UPDATED PUBLIC ZONES ELIMINATING POPS SOUTHEAST OF
I-65. WILL INTRODUCE PATCHY DRIZZLE (NO POP REQUIRED) THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS AS VERY LOW STATUS CLOUDS SPREAD INLAND. AS CEILINGS
LOWER THE FOG WILL FURTHER DEVELOP AND EXPAND IN COVERAGE...SO
MAINTAINED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT. /22

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 308 PM CDT SUN APR 14 2013/

SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY...THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL HAVE MOVED EAST OF THE
AREA BY THE BEGINNING OF THE FIRST PERIOD AND WILL JUST HAVE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE AREA THEN DRY CONDITIONS
FOLLOW THROUGH MONDAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE ENHANCED SOMEWHAT BY A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WHICH HAS BEEN STRENGTHENED OVER THE NORTHWEST
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA DUE TO RAIN COOLED
AIR...WITH A TROF OF LOW PRESSURE FURTHER SOUTH OVER THE MARINE AREA.
WITH THE PRECIPITATION COMING TO AN END...THIS WILL WEAKEN THE
RIDGING AND ALLOW FOR WINDS TO DECREASE THIS EVENING AND BECOME LIGHT
TO CALM LATER TONIGHT. WILL KEEP THE HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IN
PLACE FOR NOW THROUGH THIS EVENING BASED ON CURRENT RED FLAG SURF
CONDITIONS AT MOST LOCATIONS. WITH MOIST GROUND CONDITIONS AND LIGHT
WINDS...MULTIPLE HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS AND THE MAV/MET GUIDANCE
INDICATES DENSE FOG DEVELOPMENT ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF THE AREA...AND
HAVE OPTED TO ISSUE A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR THE LATE NIGHT HOURS
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL
BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE SEASONABLE LEVELS AND A FEW TO SEVERAL
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY. /29

FOR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...UPPER LEVEL ENERGY OVER THE
WESTERN CONUS DIGS SOUTH A BIT AS IT SWING EAST. THIS BUILDS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS. WITH THE UPPER RIDGE
IN PLACE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS...A SURFACE RIDGE STRETCHES WEST OVER
THE EASTERN CONUS. THE UPPER SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN CONUS DEVELOPS A
SURFACE LOW OVER THE WESTERN CENTRAL PLAINS. THE RESULT IS A CONTINUED
ONSHORE FLOW OVER THE FA...BRINGING WELL ABOVE SEASONAL TEMPS. THE
BIGGEST PROBLEM THIS PERIOD IS OVERNIGHT FOG/STRATUS DEVELOPMENT DUE
TO MOISTURE ADVECTION OFF THE GULF AND EVENING RADIATIONAL COOLING
AFTER WINDS SETTLE AT THE SURFACE.

LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY ON)...HAVE NOT MODIFIED EXTENDED FROM
PREVIOUS FORECAST OTHER THAN TO BLEND. THE UPPER TROUGH SWINGS EAST
OVER THE EASTERN CONUS THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK...PUSHING A
FRONT ACROSS THE FA BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
MORNING. AFTER FROPA...COOLER...DRIER AIR SETTLES OVER THE FA...WITH
DAYTIME TEMPS A BIT BELOW SEASONAL AND OVERNIGHT LOWS WELL BELOW
SEASONAL. NO FREEZING TEMPS EXPECTED...THOUGH...JUST DIPPING TO
AROUND 40 OVER SOME SPOTS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHTS.

MARINE...THE WIND FIELD HAS BEEN AFFECTED BY RIDGING ENHANCED BY
COOL RAIN OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS AND A TROF OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM JUST SOUTH
OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND EXTENDING EASTWARD ACROSS
THE GULF.  THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN BETWEEN THESE FEATURES WILL
MAINTAIN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE MARINE
AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG GUSTS FROM CONVECTION AFFECTING MAINLY THE 40-60 NM PORTION
OF THE AREA.  THE SURFACE RIDGING WEAKENS WITH THE DEPARTING
PRECIPITATION AND BY 00Z...EXPECT EASTERLY WINDS MOSTLY IN THE 15-19
KNOT RANGE EARLY BECOMING SOUTHERLY AND DECREASING TO 5-7 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT.  HAVE EXPANDED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TO INCLUDE THE
BAYS AND INLAND WATERWAYS WITH THE GULF WATERS PORTION AND KEPT THE
EXPIRATION TIME OF 00Z WITH SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION INTENDED
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING HOURS.  WILL KEEP THE HIGH RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS IN PLACE FOR NOW THROUGH THIS EVENING BASED ON CURRENT
RED FLAG SURF CONDITIONS AT MOST LOCATIONS.  A LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW
CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS A SURFACE RIDGE PERSISTS OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF THEN THE ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE MARINE AREA FRIDAY
MORNING. /29

FIRE WEATHER...AS AN UPPER SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE AREA...ONSHORE FLOW
IS EXPECTED TO SET IN OVER THE AREA...AND LAST INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. A
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE AREA LATER THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING...BRINGING COOLER...DRIER AIR TO THE AREA FOR THE COMING WEEKEND.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...OVERNIGHT FOG DEVELOPMENT LIKELY
THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS...BECOMING MODERATE TO DENSE AT TIMES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      64  82  68  85  65 /  10  10  10  20  05
PENSACOLA   66  79  68  80  66 /  20  10  10  10  05
DESTIN      67  77  69  77  67 /  20  10  10  10  10
EVERGREEN   61  84  66  87  64 /  20  10  10  20  10
WAYNESBORO  59  84  68  86  64 /  10  10  10  20  10
CAMDEN      59  83  68  87  65 /  10  10  10  20  10
CRESTVIEW   61  84  64  86  62 /  20  10  10  20  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL MIDNIGHT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...

     DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 3 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...
     COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER
     MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...
     WASHINGTON...WILCOX...

FL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 3 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
     INLAND SANTA ROSA...

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL MIDNIGHT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
     ROSA...

MS...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 3 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
     PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL
     TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
317 PM CDT SUN APR 14 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ634-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-152030-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
317 PM CDT SUN APR 14 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES ALONG AREA BEACHES THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE EXPECTED DURING EARLY MORNING MORNING. AREAS OF
FOG ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT WITH PATCHY FOG TUESDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED AT AREA BEACHES ON
MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT EXPECTED
THROUGH SATURDAY.

GMZ630>633-635-650-655-670-675-152030-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
317 PM CDT SUN APR 14 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR
SMALL CRAFT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT NEAR SHORE AND OVER BAYS
AND INLAND WATERWAYS.

A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES ALONG AREA BEACHES THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE EARLY MORNING MORNING NEAR SHORE AND
OVER BAYS AND INLAND WATERWAYS. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE NEAR SHORE AGAIN
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED AT AREA BEACHES ON
MONDAY.

MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
230 PM CDT SUN APR 14 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0209 PM     FLOOD            FORT WALTON BEACH       30.42N 86.62W
04/14/2013                   OKALOOSA           FL   PUBLIC

            MINOR STREET FLOODING ON DENTON BLVD., FORT WALTON BEACH.

&&

GENEJ