Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 36, NWS Mobile, AL

February 22, 2013George County, Greene County, Perry County, Mississippi

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Feb 22, 2013, 10:29 AM CST for George County, Greene County, Perry County, Mississippi. It took effect at Feb 24, 2013, 10:00 AM CST. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 22, 2013, 10:29 AM CST (16:29 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 24, 2013, 10:00 AM CST
Expired
Mar 2, 2013, 8:24 AM CST
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Flood severity
Minor

Counties George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Perry County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Leaf River near McLain (MCLM6). The gauge peaked at 22.01 ft at Feb 27, 2013, 8:00 PM CST.

actionminormoderate15202502/2202/2302/2402/2502/2602/2702/2803/0103/0203/03
Action stage
13 ft
Minor stage
18 ft
Moderate stage
24 ft
Major stage
28 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02475000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

061 
WGUS44 KMOB 221629
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 
1029 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2013



...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... 

  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES.

.HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AS A RESULT...RIVER
LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO RISE AND A FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.  IT IS 
EMPHASIZED THAT THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON THE EXPECTED RAINFALL DURING 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  IF LESS RAINFALL OCCURS... IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO REVISE 
THIS STAGE FORECAST DOWNWARD.

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-231629-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0036.130225T2159Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T2159Z.130226T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS...16.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 18.5 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 18 FEET, CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.
$$
16 follow-up statements
830 
WGUS84 KMOB 230220
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
820 PM CST FRI FEB 22 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-240220-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0036.130225T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0000Z.130226T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
820 PM CST FRI FEB 22 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* FROM SUNDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 07PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 19.5 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

MSC039-041-153-240219-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
820 PM CST FRI FEB 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 7PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.8 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
AT 26.0 FEET, FLOODING AT THE HIGHWAY BRIDGE BEGINS WHEN THE LEVEL RISES ABOVE 
26 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-240219-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
820 PM CST FRI FEB 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 7PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEARLY STEADY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

$$
391 
WGUS84 KMOB 231643
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1043 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND AFFECTING MOBILE COUNTY. 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND 
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM AFFECTING DALLAS...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES. 
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM AFFECTING CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES. 
  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THESE RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC097-241643-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-130225T0000Z/
/SARA1.1.ER.130223T1617Z.000000T0000Z.130224T1800Z.NO/
1043 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND
* FROM LATE THIS MORNING UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 4.3 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 FEET, FLOODING OF STREETS BEGINS AND BECOMES WIDESPREAD EAST OF THE 
RAILROAD WHEN THE LEVEL REACHES 5 FEET.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-241643-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130211T2214Z.130216T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1043 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.7 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 35.2 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 29 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-241643-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130212T1010Z.130216T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1043 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.1 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 27.5 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC047-099-131-241643-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0037.130224T1629Z-130225T1342Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.130224T1629Z.130225T0000Z.130225T0742Z.NO/
1043 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM
* FROM TOMORROW LATE MORNING UNTIL MONDAY MORNING
* AT 9AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 51.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 66 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 66.3 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.


$$

ALC025-099-131-241643-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0038.130225T1251Z-130227T0600Z/
/CLBA1.1.ER.130225T1251Z.130226T0000Z.130227T0000Z.NO/
1043 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
* AT 10AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.1 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 43.6 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY EVENING.


$$

ALC053-FLC033-241642-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.130213T2300Z.130226T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1043 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 17.7 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.


$$

FLC091-241642-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.130223T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.130223T2000Z.130224T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1043 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 11.3 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8 FEET, SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC039-041-111-241642-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0036.130225T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0600Z.130226T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1043 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* FROM EARLY MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

MSC039-041-153-241642-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1043 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 10AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 23 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 22 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-241642-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1043 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 10AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 22 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 23 FEET, STREETS AND PORTIONS OF THE OLD BUSINESS SECTION OF MERRILL WILL 
BECOME FLOODED.  AT 24 FEET THE BRIDGE BECOMES INACESSIBLE BY AUTOMOBILE.  

$$
856 
WGUS84 KMOB 240235
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
835 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-250235-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0036.130224T1600Z-130228T2100Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130224T1600Z.130226T1200Z.130228T1500Z.NO/
835 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* FROM TOMORROW LATE MORNING UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 8PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 18 FEET, CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-250235-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
835 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 22 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
  LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-250234-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
835 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* FROM MONDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 22.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 20 FEET, WATER COVERS THE MAIN ROAD AT PLUM BLUFF, IN SOUTHERN GEORGE COUNTY. 

$$
982 
WGUS84 KMOB 241750
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1150 AM CST SUN FEB 24 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-251750-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0200Z.130226T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1150 AM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 11AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 20.0 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 18 FEET, CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-251750-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1150 AM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 11AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 22.0 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
  LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-251750-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1150 AM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 11AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 22.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 20 FEET, WATER COVERS MAIN ROAD AT PLUM BLUFF, IN SOUTHERN GEORGE COUNTY.  

$$
546 
WGUS84 KMOB 250327
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
927 PM CST SUN FEB 24 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-260327-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0300Z.130227T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
927 PM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* FROM TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 
  21.5 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 18 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-260326-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
927 PM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 22 FEET...FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
  LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-260326-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
927 PM CST SUN FEB 24 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 22.8 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 20 FEET...WATER COVERS MAIN ROAD AT PLUM BLUFF, IN SOUTHERN GEORGE COUNTY.  

$$
573 
WGUS84 KMOB 251459
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
859 AM CST MON FEB 25 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-261459-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0315Z.130227T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
859 AM CST MON FEB 25 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
AT 19.0 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND WILL SUBSIDE AS THE 
WATER LEVEL DROPS BELOW 18 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-261458-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
859 AM CST MON FEB 25 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.


$$

MSC039-041-059-261458-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
859 AM CST MON FEB 25 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* FROM TOMORROW MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 23.0 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING.
AT 20.0 FEET, WATER COVERS MAIN ROAD AT PLUM BLUFF, IN SOUTHERN GEORGE COUNTY.  

$$
610 
WGUS84 KMOB 260123
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
723 PM CST MON FEB 25 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-270123-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0315Z.130227T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
723 PM CST MON FEB 25 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 6PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 18 FEET, CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR. 


$$

MSC039-041-153-270123-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
723 PM CST MON FEB 25 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 6PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 26 FEET, FLOODING AT THE HIGHWAY BRIDGE BEGINS. 

$$

MSC039-041-059-270123-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
723 PM CST MON FEB 25 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* FROM TOMORROW LATE MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 6PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 23.0 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 20 FEET, WATER COVERS MAIN ROAD AT PLUM BLUFF, IN SOUTHERN GEORGE COUNTY.  

$$
666 
WGUS84 KMOB 261518
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
918 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-271518-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0315Z.130227T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
918 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.


$$

MSC039-041-153-271517-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
918 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
AT 26.0 FEET, FLOODING AT THE HIGHWAY BRIDGE BEGINS WHEN THE LEVEL RISES ABOVE 
26 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-271517-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
918 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* FROM LATE THIS MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 23.0 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE
  FLOOD STAGE THROUGH SUNDAY.
AT 23.0 FEET, STREETS AND PORTIONS OF THE OLD BUSINESS SECTION OF MERRILL WILL 
BECOME FLOODED.

$$
200 
WGUS84 KMOB 270250
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
850 PM CST TUE FEB 26 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-280250-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0315Z.130227T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.


$$

MSC039-041-153-280249-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 26 FEET, FLOODING AT THE HIGHWAY BRIDGE BEGINS WHEN THE LEVEL RISES ABOVE 
  26 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-280249-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 23 FEET, STREETS AND PORTIONS OF THE OLD BUSINESS SECTION OF MERRILL WILL 
  BECOME FLOODED.  

$$
421 
WGUS84 KMOB 271507
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
907 AM CST WED FEB 27 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-281507-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-130301T2100Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0315Z.130227T1400Z.130301T1500Z.NO/
907 AM CST WED FEB 27 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 8AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

MSC039-041-153-281506-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130304T0900Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.130304T0300Z.NO/
907 AM CST WED FEB 27 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY MIDNIGHT.
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

$$

MSC039-041-059-281506-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 AM CST WED FEB 27 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.2 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
AT 23.0 FEET, STREETS AND PORTIONS OF THE OLD BUSINESS SECTION OF MERRILL WILL 
BECOME FLOODED.  

$$
994 
WGUS84 KMOB 280236
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
836 PM CST WED FEB 27 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-010236-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-130302T0100Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0315Z.130228T0200Z.130301T1900Z.NO/
836 PM CST WED FEB 27 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING 
* AT 8PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.

$$

MSC039-041-153-010235-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130304T0959Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.130304T0359Z.NO/
836 PM CST WED FEB 27 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY BEFORE 
  MIDNIGHT.
* AT 26 FEET, FLOODING AT THE HIGHWAY BRIDGE BEGINS WHEN THE LEVEL RISES ABOVE 
  26 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-010235-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CST WED FEB 27 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.0 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.2 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 23 FEET, STREETS AND PORTIONS OF THE OLD BUSINESS SECTION OF MERRILL WILL 
  BECOME FLOODED.  

$$
071 
WGUS84 KMOB 281510
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
910 AM CST THU FEB 28 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-011510-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-130302T2136Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0315Z.130228T0200Z.130302T1536Z.NO/
910 AM CST THU FEB 28 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 8AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

MSC039-041-153-011510-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130304T0130Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.130303T1930Z.NO/
910 AM CST THU FEB 28 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING 
* AT 8AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.

$$

MSC039-041-059-011510-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130303T0600Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.130303T0000Z.NO/
910 AM CST THU FEB 28 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.


$$
938 
WGUS84 KMOB 010230
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
830 PM CST THU FEB 28 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-020230-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-130302T2136Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0315Z.130228T0200Z.130302T1536Z.NO/
830 PM CST THU FEB 28 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 19 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND WILL SUBSIDE AS THE 
  WATER LEVEL DROPS BELOW 18 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-020230-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130304T0200Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.130303T2000Z.NO/
830 PM CST THU FEB 28 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 26 FEET, FLOODING AT THE HIGHWAY BRIDGE BEGINS WHEN THE LEVEL RISES ABOVE 
  26 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-020230-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130303T0900Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.130303T0300Z.NO/
830 PM CST THU FEB 28 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY BEFORE 
  MIDNIGHT.
* AT 23 FEET, STREETS AND PORTIONS OF THE OLD BUSINESS SECTION OF MERRILL WILL 
  BECOME FLOODED.  

$$
336 
WGUS84 KMOB 011534
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
934 AM CST FRI MAR 1 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-021534-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-130302T1647Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0315Z.130228T0200Z.130302T1047Z.NO/
934 AM CST FRI MAR 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING 
* AT 9AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.
* AT 19 FEET...FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND WILL SUBSIDE AS THE 
  WATER LEVEL DROPS BELOW 18 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-021533-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130304T0100Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.130303T1900Z.NO/
934 AM CST FRI MAR 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING 
* AT 9AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 26 FEET...FLOODING AT THE HIGHWAY BRIDGE BEGINS WHEN THE LEVEL RISES ABOVE 
  26 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-021533-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130303T1200Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.130303T0600Z.NO/
934 AM CST FRI MAR 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING 
* AT 9AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 23 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 23 FEET...STREETS AND PORTIONS OF THE OLD BUSINESS SECTION OF MERRILL WILL 
  BECOME FLOODED.  AT 24 FEET THE BRIDGE BECOMES INACESSIBLE BY AUTOMOBILE.  

$$
825 
WGUS84 KMOB 020209
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
809 PM CST FRI MAR 1 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-021424-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-130302T1424Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0315Z.130228T0200Z.130302T0824Z.NO/
809 PM CST FRI MAR 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING 
* AT 7PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TOMORROW.
*  FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND WILL SUBSIDE AS THE 
   WATER LEVEL DROPS BELOW 18 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-030209-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130304T1040Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.130212T0020Z.130215T0345Z.130304T0440Z.NO/
809 PM CST FRI MAR 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT 
* AT 7PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY BEFORE 
  MIDNIGHT.

$$

MSC039-041-059-030209-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130303T1500Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.130213T2042Z.130216T0330Z.130303T0900Z.NO/
809 PM CST FRI MAR 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING 
* AT 7PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$
036 
WGUS84 KMOB 021437
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
837 AM CST SAT MAR 2 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  LEAF  MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-021507-
/O.EXP.KMOB.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-130302T1424Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.130225T0315Z.130228T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
837 AM CST SAT MAR 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 22, 4:57 AM CST, 5 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 22, 4:57 AM CST, 5 hours 32 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
457 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2013

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...THE SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FROM THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS BEEN
LOWERED WITH STILL THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN WITH POSSIBLE FLOODING
IN SOME AREAS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LATEST RADAR ESTIMATES ARE
SHOWING 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WITH THE HEAVIER CELLS MOVING IN TO
MOBILE CO THIS MORNING WHICH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY
AND EARLY TONIGHT GENERALLY ALONG A STALLING FRONT  LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW THE WEAK SFC FRONT STALLING BETWEEN MOB
AND PNS LATE THIS MORNING THEN SHIFTING BACK TO THE NORTH AND WEST
SLIGHTLY THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THEN RETREATING BACK TO THE SOUTH
AND EAST EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. WITH THIS PATTERN EXPECT TRAINING
CELLS TO OCCUR NEAR AND ALONG THE QUASI STATIONARY FRONT GENERALLY
FROM MOBILE CO AL STRETCHING NORTHEAST TOWARDS COVINGTON CO IN AL
AND SOUTHWARD TO THE AL AND NWFL COAST...CONTINUING THROUGH MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL SHIFT TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST
THROUGH 12Z SAT MORNING. LATEST MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW A RATHER
MOIST COLUMN SETTING UP WHERE THE BETTER RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH PWATS
INCREASING TO AROUND 1.7 INCHES LATER TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT THEN
DRYING OUT FROM WEST TO EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. CURRENT LAPS
DATA SHOWS GOOD VERTICAL SHEAR EAST OF THE FRONT WITH VERY LIMITED
INSTABILITY OR CAPE. ALOFT 45 KNOT 850 JET MOVES EAST OF THE CWFA
THIS MORNING WITH RIGHT REAR QUAD OF A 145 KNOTS UPPER JET MERGING
WITH THE SURFACE FRONT LATE THIS MORNING CONTINUING EARLY THROUGH
TONIGHT. THIS PATTERN WILL HELP ENHANCE THIS AFTERNOONS AND THIS
EVENINGS RAINFALL LEADING TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH OVER SOME PARTS OF
THE CWFA. CURRENTLY THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH 12Z SAT.
AS FOR TEMPS WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE WARMER MAV GUIDANCE UNDERCUTTING
THESE VALUES A DEGREE OR TWO FOR MOST ARRAS DUE TO RAIN AND CLOUDS.
32/EE

FOR SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROF ADVANCES
QUICKLY EASTWARD AND ACROSS THE LOWER/MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
EASTERN STATES SATURDAY NIGHT.  THE SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BE
LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AND
CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD DURING THE DAY...EXITING EAST OF
DESTIN EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.  WILL HAVE CATEGORICAL POPS OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING...GENERALLY EAST OF A
LINE FROM PENSACOLA TO ANDALUSIA...WITH POPS TAPERING TO LOW END
CHANCE OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA.  WILL SEE NEARLY AN
ADDITIONAL HALF INCH OF RAIN OVER THE EASTERNMOST COUNTIES OF
COVINGTON AND OKALOOSA TAPERING TO A TENTH OF AN INCH TO QUARTER
INCH OTHERWISE EAST OF I-65.  CHANCE POPS FOLLOW FOR SATURDAY
AFTERNOON GENERALLY EAST OF I-65 TAPERING TO DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE
INTERIOR NORTHWESTERN PORTION AS THE FRONT CONTINUES EASTWARD AND
DEEP LAYER DRY AIR WORKS INTO THE AREA.  SURFACE BASED CAPE VALUES
OF 300-500 J/KG ALONG WITH 0-1 KM HELICITIES AROUND 150 M2/S2 WILL
BE PRESENT SATURDAY MORNING GENERALLY EAST OF A PENSACOLA TO
ANDALUSIA LINE...AND IN THIS REGION THERE IS POSSIBLE STRONG TO
SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE MORNING HOURS OF SATURDAY BEFORE
THE FAVORABLE SHEAR AND BEST INSTABILITY SHIFT FURTHER EAST.  HAVE
KEPT SMALL POPS MAINLY OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE SATURDAY
EVENING BUT OTHERWISE DRY CONDITIONS FOLLOW THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
AS A SURFACE HIGH BUILDS INTO THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AND
A SURFACE LOW ADVANCES ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.  THE
SURFACE HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY ALLOWING FOR A LIGHT
RETURN FLOW TO DEVELOP WITH DEEP LAYER MOISTURE INCREASING
SIGNIFICANTLY SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE PLAINS SURFACE LOW OCCLUDES WHILE
CONTINUING TO ADVANCE EASTWARD.  THE PLAINS SYSTEM WILL BRING
ANOTHER COLD FRONT TOWARDS THE AREA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT WHILE A WARM
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE LIFTING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA.  THERE LOOKS TO BE THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF A SECONDARY
SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA WHICH MOVES INTO
SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.  THIS PATTERN ALONG WITH
THE SHARPLY INCREASING DEEP LAYER MOISTURE SUPPORTS POPS INCREASING
TO LIKELY BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.  AT THE MOMENT...MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS SURFACE BASED CAPE VALUES REMAINING FAIRLY LOW WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE WARM FRONT...AND REGION OF FAIRLY HIGH SHEAR
VALUES...BUT CAPE VALUES DO INCREASE TO NEAR 500 J/KG NEAR THE COAST
BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.  THE GFS/ECMWF DISAGREE ON WHETHER SUFFICIENT
FAVORABLE HELICITY WILL BE PRESENT TO SUPPORT A RISK OF SEVERE
STORMS BUT WILL NEED TO CLOSELY MONITOR FOR POTENTIALLY STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT. /29

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...THE OCCLUDED PLAINS SYSTEM
CONTINUES SLOWLY EASTWARD TO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THROUGH TUESDAY
AND BRINGING THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA.  THE
POTENTIAL SECONDARY SURFACE LOW PRESENT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OVER
SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI IS EXPECTED TO MEANWHILE MOVE ACROSS THE
INTERIOR PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY.  HAVE GONE WITH
LIKELY POPS MONDAY MORNING GENERALLY EAST OF I-65 WITH CHANCE POPS
FURTHER WEST...THEN WILL HAVE CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY
AFTERNOON TAPERING TO SLIGHT CHANCE MONDAY NIGHT.  SURFACE BASED
CAPES CONTINUE TO INCREASE MONDAY MORNING TO AROUND 1000 J/KG MAINLY
EAST OF I-65 AND WHILE THERE CONTINUES TO BE DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN
THE GFS/ECMWF ON WHETHER SUFFICIENTLY HIGH HELICITY VALUES WILL BE
PRESENT...AT THIS TIME CONDITIONS LOOK SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ROUGHLY EAST OF I-65 ON MONDAY.  DRY
CONDITIONS FOLLOW FOR TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT AS DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.  MAY SEE SOME
ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE MOVES
ACROSS THE REGION BUT OTHERWISE WILL HAVE DRY CONDITIONS FOR
THURSDAY AS WELL.  TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE NEAR SEASONABLE
LEVELS THROUGH THE PERIOD. /29

&&

.AVIATION (12Z ISSUANCE)...IFR CONDITIONS THROUGH ABOUT 15Z THIS
MORNING FOLLOWED BY MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 12Z SAT. CIGS
WILL RANGE FROM 300 TO 700 FEET THIS MORNING INCREASING TO 1.5 TO
2.5 FEET LATER TODAY AND OVERNIGHT. LOWER CIGS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT ALL TERMINAL SITES THROUGH
12Z SAT. WINDS WILL VARY FROM SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST AT 8 TO 12
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH 12Z SAT. OFF AND ON HEAVY SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE LIKELY THROUGH THE FORECAST PD. 32/EE

&&

.MARINE...A WEAKENING COLD FRONT OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF ALABAMA AND
MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT SOUTHWARD SLOWLY
TOWARDS THE MARINE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. AHEAD OF THE FRONT
A MODERATE ONSHORE WIND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING BECOMING
WEST TO NORTHWEST ALONG THE FRONT LATE BY SATURDAY MORNING. AS THE
COLD FRONT MOVES FURTHER OFFSHORE LATE SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
A MODERATE NORTHERLY WIND FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED. BY LATE SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY WINDS BECOME EAST THEN SOUTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO ANOTHER COLD
FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. SEAS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 FEET FROM 0 TOP 60 NM GENERALLY WITH
ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE HIGHER
NEAR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.
32/EE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...VERY HIGH MOISTURE LEVELS ALONG WITH PERIODS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MAKE FOR WET CONDITIONS TODAY AND
TONIGHT AND MUCH OF SATURDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SLOWLY
THROUGH THE AREA.  DRY CONDITIONS FOLLOW FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION THEN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE AREA BY SUNDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  THIS NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THEN DRY CONDITIONS RETURN TO THE AREA BY TUESDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE THIS
MORNING WITH AREAS OF FOG LIKELY TONIGHT WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED
TO BETWEEN ONE AND THREE MILES. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      72  59  70  46  71 /  80 100  50  10  20
PENSACOLA   71  63  70  50  69 /  90 100  70  20  20
DESTIN      68  65  69  53  68 /  80 100  80  20  20
EVERGREEN   72  59  70  43  70 /  90 100  60  10  10
WAYNESBORO  68  52  68  39  70 /  70  80  20  05  10
CAMDEN      71  55  69  40  69 /  80  90  30  05  05
CRESTVIEW   75  64  70  46  73 /  90 100  80  20  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CONECUH...COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER
     BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER
     MOBILE...

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...

MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 22, 5:23 AM CST, 5 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
523 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-231200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
523 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP NEAR AND ALONG A STALLING COLD FRONT OVER THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS RANGING FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL
TOTALS WILL BE EAST AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM NORTH MOBILE COUNTY TO
NORTH BUTLER COUNTY IN ALABAMA WHICH INCLUDES ALL AREAS IN THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOP WILL CONTINUE DECREASE THROUGH TONIGHT DUE TO LACK OF
INSTABILITY AND VERTICAL SHEAR.

SEVERAL AREA RIVERS REMAIN IN MINOR FLOOD AND SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES AND LEAD TO EXTENDED
RIVER FLOODING PROBLEMS. SEE APPROPRIATE RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS FOR
MORE DETAILED INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A FEW STRONG TO POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SATURDAY MORNING.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN...GENERALLY
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SUNDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING...THEN SPREADING INLAND MOSTLY EAST
OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR ON MONDAY.

THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL LIKELY EXTEND THE
FLOODING PROBLEMS ON MANY AREA RIVERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS MAY BE REQUIRED
MAINLY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-231200-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
523 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE LIKELY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR
SMALL CRAFT WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL BE POSSIBLE BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK...AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 22, 4:54 AM CST, 5 hours 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
454 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2013

ALZ059-060-062-064-FLZ001>006-221200-
COVINGTON AL-ESCAMBIA AL-INLAND OKALOOSA FL-INLAND SANTA ROSA FL-
INLAND ESCAMBIA FL-UPPER BALDWIN AL-COASTAL ESCAMBIA FL-
COASTAL OKALOOSA FL-SANTA ROSA FL-LOWER BALDWIN AL-
454 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2013

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN
COVINGTON...SOUTHERN ESCAMBIA AND SOUTHEASTERN BALDWIN COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...OKALOOSA...SANTA ROSA AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES IN
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...THROUGH 600 AM CST...

AT 448 AM CST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM 13
MILES SOUTH OF ANDALUSIA TO 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GULF SHORES...MOVING
EAST AT 45 MPH.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS. AVOID USING TELEPHONES.

HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL GREATLY
RESTRICT VISIBILITY AND CREATE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...WHICH
MAY CAUSE VEHICLES TO HYDROPLANE. TRAVELERS ARE URGED TO USE
CAUTION.

&&

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.