Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 1, NWS Mobile, AL

January 1, 2013Choctaw County, Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Jan 1, 2013, 10:14 AM CST for Choctaw County, Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama. It took effect at Jan 5, 2013, 3:59 PM CST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 1, 2013, 10:14 AM CST (16:14 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 5, 2013, 3:59 PM CST
Expired
Jan 5, 2013, 8:58 AM CST
In force
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Washington County, AL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tombigbee River near Leroy (LRYA1). The gauge peaked at 24.46 ft at Dec 31, 2012, 11:00 AM CST.

actionminormoderate20253001/0101/0201/0301/0401/0501/06
Action stage
19 ft
Minor stage
24 ft
Moderate stage
30 ft
Major stage
35 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02470050, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

665 
WGUS44 KMOB 011615
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 
1014 AM CST TUE JAN 1 2013



...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA... 

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES.

.RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AS A RESULT...RIVER
LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO RISE AND A FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.  IT IS 
EMPHASIZED THAT THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON THE EXPECTED RAINFALL DURING 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  IF LESS RAINFALL OCCURS... IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO REVISE 
THIS STAGE FORECAST DOWNWARD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-021614-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0001.130104T1108Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130104T1108Z.130107T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1014 AM CST TUE JAN 1 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS...23.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 24.9 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 24 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
  OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$
9 follow-up statements
976 
WGUS84 KMOB 011623
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1023 AM CST TUE JAN 1 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 

  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 

.PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINS AND FORECASTED RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THESE RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-021623-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-130107T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.121229T0517Z.121231T0200Z.130106T1800Z.NO/
1023 AM CST TUE JAN 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM FRIDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING
* AT 9AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 29.8 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 29.0 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-021622-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0001.130104T1108Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130104T1108Z.130107T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM CST TUE JAN 1 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.4 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 24.9 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

MSC039-041-111-021622-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-130104T1400Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.121231T0852Z.130102T1800Z.130104T0800Z.NO/
1023 AM CST TUE JAN 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING 
* AT 9AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 19 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND WILL SUBSIDE AS THE 
WATER LEVEL DROPS BELOW 18 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-021622-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-130105T1200Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.121229T0815Z.130102T1200Z.130105T0600Z.NO/
1023 AM CST TUE JAN 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING 
* AT 9AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 22 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$
995 
WGUS84 KMOB 020246
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
846 PM CST TUE JAN 1 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND 
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-020316-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-130107T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.121229T0517Z.121231T0200Z.130101T1218Z.NO/
846 PM CST TUE JAN 1 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING 
* AT 8PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.7 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
 

$$

ALC023-025-129-030246-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0001.130107T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130107T0000Z.130107T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
846 PM CST TUE JAN 1 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM SUNDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 24 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE         THEREAFTER.
* AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
  OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$
829 
WGUS84 KMOB 021546
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
946 AM CST WED JAN 2 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND 
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
 
  

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THESE RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-031546-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0002.130105T1030Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130105T1030Z.130106T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM CST WED JAN 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.3 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 29.9 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.


$$

ALC023-025-129-031546-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0001.130106T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130106T0000Z.130107T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM CST WED JAN 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 24.8 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.

$$

MSC039-041-111-031546-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-130104T0600Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.121231T0852Z.130102T1515Z.130104T0000Z.NO/
946 AM CST WED JAN 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT 
* AT 9AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* AT 19 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND WILL SUBSIDE AS THE 
WATER LEVEL DROPS BELOW 18 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-031546-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.121229T0815Z.130103T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM CST WED JAN 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 9AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.1 FEET BY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.
* AT 22 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$
598 
WGUS84 KMOB 030140
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
740 PM CST WED JAN 2 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AND NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-040140-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0002.130105T0200Z-130107T2100Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130105T0200Z.130106T0000Z.130107T1500Z.NO/
740 PM CST WED JAN 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 7PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 29.7 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE MONDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC023-025-129-040139-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0001.130105T0336Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130105T0336Z.130106T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
740 PM CST WED JAN 2 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM FRIDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 7PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 24.8 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

$$
715 
WGUS84 KMOB 031605
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1005 AM CST THU JAN 3 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 

.RECENT RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THESE RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-041605-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0002.130104T1536Z-130107T0959Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130104T1536Z.130105T1200Z.130107T0359Z.NO/
1005 AM CST THU JAN 3 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM TOMORROW LATE MORNING UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
* AT 9AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 29.7 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

$$

ALC023-025-129-041604-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0001.130104T1800Z-130108T0600Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130104T1800Z.130106T0000Z.130108T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM CST THU JAN 3 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT
* AT 9AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 24.8 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.

$$

MSC039-041-111-040300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-130104T0300Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.121231T0852Z.130102T1915Z.130103T2100Z.NO/
1005 AM CST THU JAN 3 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL THIS EVENING 
* AT 9AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 18 FEET, CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-041604-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-130107T1800Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.121229T0815Z.130102T2345Z.130107T1200Z.NO/
1005 AM CST THU JAN 3 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 9AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 22 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$
907 
WGUS84 KMOB 040155
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
755 PM CST THU JAN 3 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-050155-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0002.130104T1600Z-130107T1300Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130104T1600Z.130105T1800Z.130107T0700Z.NO/
755 PM CST THU JAN 3 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM TOMORROW LATE MORNING UNTIL MONDAY MORNING
* AT 7PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.3 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 30.0 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
AT 29.0 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-050155-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0001.130104T2024Z-130108T0645Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130104T2024Z.130106T0600Z.130108T0045Z.NO/
755 PM CST THU JAN 3 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT
* AT 7PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 25.0 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.

$$
459 
WGUS84 KMOB 041542
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
942 AM CST FRI JAN 4 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THESE RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-051542-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0002.130104T2100Z-130107T1559Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130104T2100Z.130105T1800Z.130107T0959Z.NO/
942 AM CST FRI JAN 4 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL MONDAY MORNING
* AT 8AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.2 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE
  TO NEAR 29.8 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD
  STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 29 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-051542-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0001.130105T0430Z-130108T0824Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130105T0430Z.130106T1200Z.130108T0224Z.NO/
942 AM CST FRI JAN 4 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM TONIGHT UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT
* AT 9AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.4 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 
  24.8 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY 
  EVENING.
* AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-051542-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-130106T1536Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.121229T0815Z.130102T2345Z.130106T0936Z.NO/
942 AM CST FRI JAN 4 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING 
* AT 9AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 22 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL CONTINUE AND SOME ROADS IN 
LOW LYING AREAS WILL BECOME CUT OFF BY HIGH WATER.  

$$
178 
WGUS84 KMOB 050309
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
909 PM CST FRI JAN 4 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-060309-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130107T0600Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130105T0346Z.130106T0000Z.130107T0000Z.NO/
909 PM CST FRI JAN 4 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM TONIGHT UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
* AT 8PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 
  29.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY
  EVENING.
AT 29.0 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-060309-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0001.130105T2159Z-130107T1800Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.130105T2159Z.130106T1200Z.130107T1200Z.NO/
909 PM CST FRI JAN 4 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM TOMORROW AFTERNOON UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 8PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 24.3 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY MORNING.
AT 24.0 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$
541 
WGUS84 KMOB 051458
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
858 AM CST SAT JAN 5 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THESE RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-061458-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130106T1800Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.130105T1130Z.130105T1800Z.130106T1200Z.NO/
858 AM CST SAT JAN 5 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 29 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.1 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 29 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-051528-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130107T1800Z/
/LRYA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
858 AM CST SAT JAN 5 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 23 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET

$$

MSC039-041-153-061458-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-130107T0300Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.121229T0815Z.130102T2345Z.130106T2100Z.NO/
858 AM CST SAT JAN 5 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 1, 5:00 AM CST, 5 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 1, 5:00 AM CST, 5 hours 14 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
500 AM CST TUE JAN 1 2013

.SHORT TERM [TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY]...A DEEPENING UPPER TROF OVER
THE MID SECTION OF THE COUNTRY THIS MORNING WILL LIFT OUT TO THE
NORTHEAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. A SFC COLD FRONT AHEAD OF THE THIS
SYSTEM COMBINED WITH DEEP MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT WILL
HELP GENERATE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES MOSTLY OVER
WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CWFA LATER TODAY AND EARLY
TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST PRECIP WILL GENERALLY BE WEST OF THE I-65
CORRIDOR AND NORTH OF I-10 LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT.
DUE TO LIMITED INSTABILITY AND SHEAR AHEAD AND ALONG THE COLD FRONT
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. A FEW ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. SKIES WILL
REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH AFTERNOON TEMPS RANGING
FROM THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S FOR MOST AREAS EXCEPT WELL TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE CWFA WHERE SOME PLACES WILL REMAIN IN THE LOWER TO
MIDDLE 60S. DUE TO SOME TRAINING WITH SOME OF THE SHOWERS WELL TO THE
NORTHWEST SOME MINOR FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON. AS FOR LOWS TONIGHT TEMPS
WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S TO THE NORTH AND IN
THE MIDDLE 40S TO LOWER 50S TO THE SOUTH. DUE TO CLOUDY SKIES AND
PERIODS OF RAIN WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE COOLER MET GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS
TODAY FOLLOWED BY THE COOLER MAV GUIDANCE OVERNIGHT. 32/EE

ZONAL TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND THE GULF OF MEXICO WEDNESDAY. SURFACE RIDGING
WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BUILD FROM THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS TO
THE TENNESSEE AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEYS IN THE WAKE OF
TODAY/S COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AXIS WILL
SHIFT FARTHER TO THE SOUTH AND WILL GENERALLY BE ORIENTED FROM DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS...THROUGH THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...ACROSS
COASTAL PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...AND INTO THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. RAIN WILL BE MOST FAVORED ACROSS OUR GULF OF MEXICO MARINE
ZONES WEDNESDAY...WITH COVERAGE DECREASING NORTHWARD THROUGH OUR
CWFA. WE HAVE TAPERED WEDNESDAY POPS FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...
WITH RAIN CHANCES NOW RANGING FROM AROUND 20 PERCENT ACROSS CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWFA...TO 30-40 PERCENT CLOSER TO
COASTAL AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. NORTHERLY
SURFACE FLOW AND COOL CONDITIONS WILL OTHERWISE CONTINUE AS RIDGING
BUILDS FROM THE NORTHWEST. WEDNESDAY HIGHS LOOK TO RANGE FROM THE
LOWER TO MID 50S ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA...TO THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 NEAR THE COAST.

THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE PLUME WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD A LITTLE FARTHER
TO THE NORTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES
ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS WILL BRING A LITTLE
BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS COASTAL LOCATIONS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RAIN
CHANCES WILL STILL REMAIN LOW ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS. A
COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS SHOULD ADVECT SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING/NIGHT...SO THURSDAY MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL BE MUCH COOLER...GENERALLY FALLING INTO THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S ACROSS THE REGION. /21

.LONG TERM [THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY]...MORE ZONAL TO SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE GULF COAST THURSDAY. THE PERSISTENT
MOISTURE PLUME WILL MAINLY STRETCH ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL PORTIONS OF OUR CWFA THURSDAY. A CHANCE OF RAIN WILL
CONTINUE MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF A WIGGINS TO EVERGREEN LINE THURSDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES CONFINED CLOSER TO THE COAST. CONTINUED COOL
NORTHERLY SURFACE FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE
REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL FINALLY DECREASE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE MOIST PLUME SAGS FARTHER TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST OF THE REGION. A LARGE AND COLD SURFACE HIGH WILL STRETCH FROM
TEXAS TO THE MIDWESTERN STATES THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...KEEPING
NORTHERLY FLOW AND CONTINUED COOL READINGS IN PLACE ACROSS OUR AREA
DURING THIS TIME FRAME. ANOTHER BATCH OF DEEP MOISTURE AND LIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED IN INCREASING SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT MAY POTENTIALLY BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN TO COASTAL
AREAS AND THE ADJACENT MARINE ZONES THIS WEEKEND. CONFIDENCE REMAINED
LOW ON INCLUSION OF POPS INLAND GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIMING
AND LOCATION OF THE BEST MOISTURE/LIFT INDICATED ON THE AVAILABLE
MODEL SUITES THIS MORNING. WE DID INCLUDE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
OVER THE MARINE WATERS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...WHILE KEEPING
POPS JUST BELOW MENTIONABLE LEVELS OVER COASTAL LOCATIONS. THE NEXT
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OTHERWISE SHOULD SWEEP OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.
BY SUNDAY...BRINGING A DRIER AIRMASS IN PLACE LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. SURFACE RIDGING LOOKS TO PREVAIL FRIDAY THROUGH
MONDAY...AND TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL. /21

&&

.AVIATION [12 ISSUANCE]...MOSTLY MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH
THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY TONIGHT AHEAD AND ALONG A SURFACE COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM
THE WEST. SHOWERS AND MAYBE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE
LATER TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5
TO 12 KNOTS TODAY THEN NORTHWEST TO NORTH AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS EARLY
TONIGHT THEN 6 TO 8 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. 32/EE

&&

.MARINE...A MODERATE SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
MARINE AREA TODAY BECOMING NORTHWEST THEN NORTH AND BUILDING
SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT IN RESPONSE TO A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH OVER MUCH
OF THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SEAS UP TO 4 TO 6 FEET WILL
BE LIKELY OFFSHORE THROUGH TONIGHT AND 6 TO 8 FEET WELL OFFSHORE
LATER IN THE WEEK. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD LATE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS ANOTHER REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER
AIR MOVES SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. NORTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS WILL
DIMINISH LATE IN THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER MUCH THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION FOR MOST AREAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. DUE TO A STRONGER
OFFSHORE FLOW LATER IN THE WEEK SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE
REQUIRED. 32/EE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE
CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH THURSDAY AS A MOIST AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TURN
NORTHWEST TO NORTH FOLLOWING FRONTAL PASSAGE. NORTHERLY WINDS SHOULD
THEN PREVAIL THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. /21

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      70  47  55  38  53 /  60  60  30  50  50
PENSACOLA   69  51  59  42  53 /  40  50  30  60  50
DESTIN      68  54  61  46  56 /  30  50  30  60  50
EVERGREEN   68  47  55  38  52 /  60  60  20  40  30
WAYNESBORO  65  42  51  35  53 /  80  60  20  20  20
CAMDEN      67  43  53  36  52 /  80  60  10  30  20
CRESTVIEW   71  52  60  41  55 /  40  50  30  50  50

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

32/21
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 1, 4:16 AM CST, 5 hours 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
416 AM CST TUE JAN 1 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-021200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
416 AM CST TUE JAN 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-021200-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
416 AM CST TUE JAN 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT CAN BE EXPECTED OVER MOST AREAS
LATE TODAY AND OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE MARINE
AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE
REQUIRED LATER IN THE WEEK.

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.