Alert archive / Alabama / Flash Flood Watches in 2013
Flash Flood Watch 1, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this flash flood watch at Feb 10, 2013, 4:22 AM CST for 10 counties in Alabama; 5 counties in Mississippi. It took effect at Feb 10, 2013, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for 57 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 10, 2013, 4:22 AM CST (10:22 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 10, 2013, 12:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Feb 12, 2013, 8:54 PM CST
- In force
- 57 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Perry County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 00:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3149 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 50 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 86 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 167 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
882 WGUS64 KMOB 101022 FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 422 AM CST SUN FEB 10 2013 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT FOR AREAS OF ALABAMA AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 65... .A SURFACE FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH OVER THE AREA TODAY INTO TONIGHT... PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM GENERATION. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST TONIGHT INTO MONDAY... WITH LATER EXPANSION OF THE WATCH SOUTHEASTWARD EXPECTED AS A RESULT. ALZ051>055-061>063-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101830- /O.NEW.KMOB.FF.A.0001.130210T1800Z-130211T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-UPPER MOBILE- UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...MOBILE...PRICHARD... SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE... WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE... MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 422 AM CST SUN FEB 10 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... CHOCTAW...CLARKE...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN... UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. * FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO THREE INCHES IN THE WATCH AREA....LOCALLY UP TO 5 INCHES WHERE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS A SURFACE FRONT SAGGING SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. THIS RAIN WILL HELP TO SOAK AREA SOILS THROUGH TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
9 follow-up statements
777 WGUS64 KMOB 101718 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1118 AM CST SUN FEB 10 2013 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT FOR AREAS OF ALABAMA AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 65... .A SURFACE FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH OVER THE AREA TODAY INTO TONIGHT... PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM GENERATION. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST TONIGHT INTO MONDAY... WITH LATER EXPANSION OF THE WATCH SOUTHEASTWARD EXPECTED AS A RESULT. ALZ055-061>063-101830- /O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0001.130210T1800Z-130211T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MONROE-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...MOBILE... PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE 1118 AM CST SUN FEB 10 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. DUE TO A SLIGHTLY SLOWER MOVEMENT OF THE MAIN LINE OF CONVECTION TO OUR A WEST AND RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH 700 AM MONDAY COMING IN BELOW FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ ALZ051>054-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-110130- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0001.130210T1800Z-130211T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA... LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 1118 AM CST SUN FEB 10 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * ALL OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...INCLUDING GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI...AND CHOCTAW...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX COUNTIES IN ALABAMA. * MAINLY FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. * HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN THE WATCH AREA...LOCALLY UP TO 3 INCHES WHERE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS A SURFACE FRONT SAGGING SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. THIS RAIN WILL HELP TO SOAK AREA SOILS THROUGH TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
796 WGUS64 KMOB 110245 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 845 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... .A SURFACE FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH OVER THE AREA TONIGHT...PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM GENERATION. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST BY LATE TONIGHT. ALZ051>054-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-111045- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130211T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA... LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 845 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE... PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. * UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY * HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN THE WATCH AREA... LOCALLY UP TO 3 INCHES WHERE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS A SURFACE FRONT SAGGING SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. THIS RAIN WILL HELP TO SOAK AREA SOILS OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
691 WGUS64 KMOB 111037 FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 437 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... .A SURFACE FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH OVER THE AREA TODAY...PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM GENERATION. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST BY TONIGHT. ALZ055>064-FLZ001>006-111845- /O.EXB.KMOB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130212T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE- UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA- COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA- INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN... GREENVILLE...LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON... EAST BREWTON...ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND... BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE... FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT... NICEVILLE...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO 437 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... BUTLER...CONECUH...COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN AND UPPER MOBILE. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN THE WATCH AREA... LOCALLY UP TO 3 INCHES WHERE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS A SURFACE FRONT SAGGING SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. THIS RAIN WILL HELP TO SOAK AREA SOILS OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ ALZ051>054-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-111845- /O.EXT.KMOB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130212T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA... LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 437 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE... PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN THE WATCH AREA... LOCALLY UP TO 3 INCHES WHERE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS A SURFACE FRONT SAGGING SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. THIS RAIN WILL HELP TO SOAK AREA SOILS OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
847 WGUS64 KMOB 111845 FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1245 PM CST MON FEB 11 2013 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE... .A SURFACE FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH OVER THE AREA TODAY...PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM GENERATION. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST BY TONIGHT. ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-120245- /O.EXT.KMOB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130213T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE... LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON... ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE... TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY... SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT... NICEVILLE...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...WAYNESBORO... RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN... WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 1245 PM CST MON FEB 11 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...CRENSHAW... ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY... STONE AND WAYNE. * THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING * FROM THIS AFTERNOON...ENDURING OVERNIGHT...AND THEN INTO MID EVENING TUESDAY...A GENERAL THREE INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS A LARGE PART OF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WATCH AREA. ISOLATED TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES COULD FALL WITH MORE INTENSE STORMS MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...AND IN SOME CASES 6 TO 8 INCHES. STORMS WILL MOVE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WHILE REPEATEDLY MOVING OVER THE SAME AREAS. * NUMEROUS SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE NEAR BANKFULL...OR OVER ALREADY...NORTHWEST OF I-65. THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL INCREASE IN AREA COVERAGE WHILE SHIFTING SOUTH AND EASTWARD AS A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
714 WGUS64 KMOB 111857 CCA FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1256 PM CST MON FEB 11 2013 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE... .A SURFACE FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH OVER THE AREA TODAY...PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM GENERATION. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST BY TONIGHT. ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-120300- /O.EXT.KMOB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130213T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE... LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON... ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE... TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY... SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT... NICEVILLE...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...WAYNESBORO... RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN... WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 1256 PM CST MON FEB 11 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...CRENSHAW... ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY... STONE AND WAYNE. * THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING * FROM THIS AFTERNOON...ENDURING OVERNIGHT...AND THEN INTO MID EVENING TUESDAY...A GENERAL THREE INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS A LARGE PART OF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WATCH AREA. ISOLATED TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES COULD FALL WITH MORE INTENSE STORMS MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...AND IN SOME CASES 6 TO 8 INCHES. STORMS WILL MOVE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WHILE REPEATEDLY MOVING OVER THE SAME AREAS. * NUMEROUS SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE NEAR BANKFULL...OR OVER ALREADY...NORTHWEST OF I-65. THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL INCREASE IN AREA COVERAGE WHILE SHIFTING SOUTH AND EASTWARD AS A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
306 WGUS64 KMOB 120559 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1159 PM CST MON FEB 11 2013 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE... .WIDESPREAD RAIN OCCURRING MOSTLY OVER INLAND SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED EARLY TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... RESULTING IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS AFFECTING MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-121400- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130213T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE... LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON... ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE... TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY... SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT... NICEVILLE...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...WAYNESBORO... RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN... WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 1159 PM CST MON FEB 11 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...CRENSHAW... ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY... STONE AND WAYNE. * THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING * FROM THIS EVENING...ENDURING OVERNIGHT...AND THEN INTO MID EVENING TUESDAY...A GENERAL THREE INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS A LARGE PART OF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA. ISOLATED TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES COULD FALL WITH MORE INTENSE STORMS MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...AND IN SOME CASES 6 TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. STORMS WILL MOVE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WHILE REPEATEDLY MOVING OVER THE SAME AREAS. * NUMEROUS SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE NEAR BANK FULL...OR OVER ALREADY...NORTHWEST OF I-65. THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL INCREASE IN AREA COVERAGE WHILE SHIFTING SOUTH AND EASTWARD AS A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$
097 WGUS64 KMOB 121354 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 754 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE... .WIDESPREAD RAIN OCCURRING MOSTLY OVER INLAND SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED LATER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL ALSO DEVELOP CLOSER TO THE COAST AND SPREAD INLAND LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS AFFECTING MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THIS EVENING. ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-122200- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130213T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE... LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON... ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE... TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY... SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT... NICEVILLE...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...WAYNESBORO... RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN... WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 754 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...CRENSHAW... ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY... STONE AND WAYNE. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * A GENERAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY INTO TONIGHT...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS INCLUDES THE AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY SEEN THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND EXPERIENCED SOME FLOODING. A NUMBER OF STREAMS AND CREEKS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THEIR BANKS. WHILE THE RAIN DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVERNIGHT...THE RAIN AREA WILL EXPAND IN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AGAIN TODAY AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...CONTINUING THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. * NUMEROUS SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE NEAR BANK FULL...OR OVER ALREADY...NORTHWEST OF I-65. THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL INCREASE IN AREA COVERAGE WHILE SHIFTING SOUTH AND EASTWARD AS A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. $$
322 WGUS64 KMOB 122032 FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 232 PM CST TUE FEB 12 2013 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT... .HEAVY RAINS ARE ONGOING AND WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND WELL INTO THE EVENING AS A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. RAINFALL GRADUALLY ENDS FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-130445- /O.EXT.KMOB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130213T0700Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE... LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON... ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE... TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY... SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT... NICEVILLE...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...WAYNESBORO... RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN... WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 232 PM CST TUE FEB 12 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CST WEDNESDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...CRENSHAW... ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY... STONE AND WAYNE. * UNTIL 1 AM CST WEDNESDAY * INUNDATION FLOODING IS OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF WAYNE...NORTHERN PERRY AND NORTHERN GREENE COUNTIES OF MISSISSIPPI AND CHOCTAW...NORTHERN WASHINGTON...CLARKE WILCOX AND NORTHERN MONROE COUNTIES OF ALABAMA. ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN COULD OCCUR REGION WIDE THROUGH LATE EVENING...ESPECIALLY NORTHWEST OF I-65 AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84. TO THE SOUTH AND EAST...STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD DEPOSIT THE SAME AMOUNTS...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES LOCALLY WHERE MORE INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME LOCATION. * NUMEROUS SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL REMAIN AT OR OVER BANK FULL UNTIL RAINFALL ENDS FROM THE WEST LATER TONIGHT. SUBSEQUENTLY...WATER LEVELS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED OR RISE UNTIL RAINFALL ENDS FROM THE WEST LATER TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. CLOSELY MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
982 WGUS64 KMOB 130254 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 854 PM CST TUE FEB 12 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED... .LOW PRESSURE WAS ANALYZED OVER THE SOUTHERN QUARTER OF MISSISSIPPI AND WAS MOVING RAPIDLY EAST NORTHEAST. AHEAD OF THE LOW...COVERAGES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE LESSENED AND ARE MOSTLY SCATTERED. RADAR SHOWS A MOVEMENT OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS TO THE EAST NORTHEAST AT A RAPID RATE OF SPEED...35 TO 40 MPH. WITH THE FAST MOVEMENT...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS...WHICH WOULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ARE BECOMING LESS LIKELY. THUS...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-130400- /O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130213T0700Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM... MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN... PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE... LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON... ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE... TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY... SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW... WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE... EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT... NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 854 PM CST TUE FEB 12 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE LESSENING...LIMITING THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL PROLONGED HEAVY RAINS. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Feb 9, 11:45 PM CST, 4 hours 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 9, 11:45 PM CST, 4 hours 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1145 PM CST SAT FEB 9 2013
.AVIATION...[00Z-06Z ISSUANCES]...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH ABOUT 09Z
SUN FOLLOWED BY MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH ABOUT 15Z SUN...THEN MVFR TO
IFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z MON. SCT TO BKN MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
THROUGH 09Z SUN FOLLOWED BY CIGS RANGING FROM 2.5 TO 5.0K FT THROUGH
15Z SUN FOLLOWED BY CIGS RANGING FROM 700 TO 2K FT THROUGH 06Z MON.
THE LOWER CEILINGS WILL BE MOSTLY IN AND AROUND SCT TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE REGION GENERALLY FROM THE
WEST AND NORTHWEST BY SUN AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE
SOUTHEAST AT 6 TO 10 KNOTS TONIGHT AND EARLY SUN INCREASING TO 15 TO
17 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS LATE SUN MORNING THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON
THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISHING 6 TO 10 KNOTS THROUGH 06Z MON. 32/EE
&&
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY SUNDAY
MORNING. MEANWHILE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION WILL RAPIDLY EJECT EASTWARD. HIGH CLOUDS DOWNSTREAM OF THIS
SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE EASTERN ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES.
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
HIGH TO OUR EAST AND THE LOW TO OUR WEST INCREASES. THIS WILL BRING
INCREASING MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO THE FORECAST AREA...SETTING THE
STAGE FOR A POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN EVENT STARTING ON SUNDAY.
INCREASING CLOUDS AND MOISTURE WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT LOWS WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TONIGHT...MID/UPPER 40S INLAND TO MID 50S ALONG THE COAST.
MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH MID MORNING ON SUNDAY BEFORE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AS
INSTABILITY INCREASES DURING THE AFTERNOON...SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG. A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT. THE STORM
PREDICTION HAS OUTLOOKED AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 65 FOR A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGHS
ON SUNDAY WILL REACH THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70. /13
[SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT]...AXIS OF BROAD UPPER RIDGE OVER
THE EASTERN SEABOARD WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC AS A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL LOW ADVANCES EAST FROM THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST...KEEPING A WARM MOIST RETURN FLOW ACROSS
THE REGION. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL LIFT TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES
REGION ON MONDAY...WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET OF 100-120 KNOTS
SPREADING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEYS
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEYS SUNDAY
EVENING...AND THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING. LARGE SCALE LIFT WILL SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE DEEP SOUTH
AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES SUNDAY NIGHT. NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT AND MOVE EAST OF
I-65 MONDAY MORNING. STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE IN PLACE OVER
THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT...WHILE SURFACE BASED AND MIXED LAYER CAPE
VALUES REMAIN AROUND 500 J/KG. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY
EVENING. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...BUT NUMEROUS TO
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN
AS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE OVER THE FORECAST AREA. /22
&&
.LONG TERM [TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY]...THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
MOVE BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON TUESDAY...WHILE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SPREAD OVER AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY...SUPPORTING THE CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA ON TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES AS HIGH AS 1.7 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE CWFA. STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER 6
INCHES APPEAR TO BE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION DURING THE
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY TIME FRAME. THESE HEAVY RAINS MAY RESULT IN
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF OUR
REGION. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BECOME NECESSARY WITHIN THE NEXT
COUPLE OF FORECAST CYCLES.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE
TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY SHOULD FINALLY PUSH MOISTURE TO THE EAST OF
OUR FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY...WITH A COLD
FRONT LIKELY BRINGING A COOLER AIRMASS TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY. DRY
ZONAL FLOW LOOKS TO PREVAIL THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WITH COOL SURFACE
RIDGING HOLDING IN PLACE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. /21 /22
&&
.AVIATION (10.00Z ISSUANCE)...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
AND LOWER TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. MVFR
CEILINGS AND VISBYS EXPECTED LATE IN THE PERIOD AS RAIN CHANCES
INCREASE ALONG WITH PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT. /13
&&
.MARINE...SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND BECOME
SOUTHERLY ON SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE
FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT AND LINGER
THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE AGAIN ON TUESDAY AS AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. NORTHERLY FLOW WILL
INCREASE IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. /13
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...THE DRY AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE REPLACED
BY A VERY MOIST AIRMASS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WE WILL THEN HAVE A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY AS SEVERAL STORM SYSTEMS IMPACT THE REGION. VERY HEAVY RAIN
IS LIKELY...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OVER THE THREE DAY PERIOD RANGING
FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...AREAS OF LIGHT FOG ARE EXPECTED
FROM LATE SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. /22
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE 53 70 61 67 52 / 10 80 80 60 70
PENSACOLA 54 68 62 68 55 / 10 60 70 60 60
DESTIN 57 67 63 68 57 / 10 50 60 60 60
EVERGREEN 45 69 62 66 51 / 10 70 80 60 70
WAYNESBORO 50 72 59 63 48 / 10 100 80 40 80
CAMDEN 45 69 61 64 49 / 10 80 90 50 80
CRESTVIEW 45 71 63 68 54 / 10 50 70 60 60
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM MONDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA
MS OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20
TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM
20 TO 60 NM...
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 9, 7:25 AM CST, 20 hours 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 725 AM CST SAT FEB 9 2013 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101200- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 725 AM CST SAT FEB 9 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND BEGINS TO STALL. THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS LOCATIONS MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 65 SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BEFORE SPREADING EAST ACROSS MOST AREAS BY TUESDAY. A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATER IN THE DAY SUNDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING COULD BECOME A CONCERN MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS THE FRONT STALLS ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. LATEST STORM TOTAL PRECIPITATION FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY REFLECTS A GENERAL 3 TO 4 INCHES...BUT NEED TO BE PREPARED FOR LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF AROUND 2 TIMES HIGHER...5 TO 7 INCHES...DEPENDING ON WHERE THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION BANDS SET UP. THIS POSES INCREASED CONCERNS FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES AND RIVER RESPONSE AS WELL. STAY TUNED AS MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION IS GATHERED IN LATER FORECASTS AS THE EVENT DRAWS CLOSER IN TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER IN THE DAY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. ACTIVATION MAY CONTINUE TO BE REQUIRED INTO THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK DUE TO EXPECTED HEAVY RAINS AND POTENTIAL...LOCALIZED FLOODING. GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-101200- NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND- PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 725 AM CST SAT FEB 9 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT MODERATE TO AT TIMES STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL LAST THROUGH THE DAY AND TONIGHT...CREATING AN INCREASED RISK TO SMALL CRAFT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THE PRESSURE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND LOWERING SURFACE PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASING SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW ON SUNDAY. SEAS WILL RESPOND BY TRENDING HIGHER BEGINNING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND BEGINS TO STALL. LOCALLY HEAVY...VISIBILITY REDUCING RAINS COULD BECOME A CONCERN OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS THE FRONT STALLS ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 10:51 AM CST | River Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia | 24 days |
| Feb 10, 4:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Clarke, Washington | 60 min |
| Feb 10, 4:48 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Washington | 57 min |
| Feb 10, 4:50 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Clarke, Washington | 55 min |
| Feb 10, 5:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Clarke, Washington | 58 min |
| Feb 10, 5:27 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Washington | 48 min |
| Feb 10, 5:30 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Clarke, Monroe, Wilcox | 60 min |
| Feb 10, 5:40 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Clarke, Washington | 65 min |
| Feb 10, 5:55 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Washington | 65 min |
| Feb 10, 9:12 AM CST | River Flood Warning | MOB | George, Greene, Wayne | 22 days |
| Feb 10, 3:39 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Greene, Perry, Wayne | 51 min |
| Feb 10, 5:06 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Wayne | 39 min |
| Feb 10, 5:17 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Greene, Perry, Wayne | 58 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Alabama, 2013Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2013Flash Flood Watches in Florida, 2013Every flash flood watch in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.