Small Craft Advisory 39, NWS Melbourne, FL

517 
WHUS72 KMLB 240403
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1103 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

AMZ570-241500-
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0039.131224T0900Z-131225T0900Z/
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
1103 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO
4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS BEHIND 
  A COLD FRONT WILL BUILD SEAS TO 7 TO 9 FEET OFFSHORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ572-575-241500-
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0039.131224T1500Z-131225T0900Z/
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
1103 PM EST MON DEC 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO
4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS BEHIND 
  A COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD DOWN THE COASTAL WATERS AND BUILD 
  SEAS TO 7 TO 9 FEET OFFSHORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

309 
WHUS72 KMLB 241446
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
946 AM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

AMZ550-552-555-251500-
/O.EXB.KMLB.SC.Y.0039.131224T1500Z-131225T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
946 AM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS AND SEAS...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS BUILD
  SEAS TO 7 FEET ON THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ572-575-251500-
/O.EXT.KMLB.SC.Y.0039.131224T1500Z-131225T1500Z/
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
946 AM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BUILD
  SEAS TO 7 TO 9 FEET OFFSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ570-251500-
/O.EXT.KMLB.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-131225T1500Z/
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
946 AM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS BEHIND 
  A COLD FRONT WILL BUILD SEAS TO 7 TO 9 FEET OFFSHORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

67

810 
WHUS72 KMLB 241945
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
245 PM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

AMZ555-570-572-575-251500-
/O.EXT.KMLB.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-131225T2100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
245 PM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL
  BUILD SEAS TO 7 TO 9 FEET OFFSHORE AND TO 10 FEET IN THE GULF
  STREAM TONIGHT. SEAS START TO SUBSIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ550-552-251500-
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-131225T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
245 PM EST TUE DEC 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS BUILD
  SEAS TO 7 FEET ON THE NEARSHORE WATERS TONIGHT. SEAS START TO
  SUBSIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

457 
WHUS72 KMLB 250913
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
413 AM EST WED DEC 25 2013

AMZ550-251015-
/O.CAN.KMLB.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-131225T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
413 AM EST WED DEC 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STILL EXERCISE CAUTION AS NORTHEAST WINDS OF
AROUND 15 KNOTS WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET WILL STILL
CREATE POOR SMALL CRAFT BOATING CONDITIONS.

$$

AMZ552-251500-
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-131225T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
413 AM EST WED DEC 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BUILD SEAS
  5 TO 7 FEET ON THE NEAR SHORE WATERS THIS MORNING. SEAS START TO
  SUBSIDE LATE THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ555-570-572-575-252100-
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-131225T2100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
413 AM EST WED DEC 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 2O KNOTS WILL BUILD
  SEAS TO 6 TO 9 FEET. SEAS START TO SUBSIDE LATER THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

719 
WHUS72 KMLB 251521
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1021 AM EST WED DEC 25 2013

AMZ552-251630-
/O.EXP.KMLB.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-131225T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
1021 AM EST WED DEC 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...


$$

AMZ555-570-572-575-252100-
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-131225T2100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
1021 AM EST WED DEC 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 2O KNOTS WILL BUILD
  SEAS 6 TO 8 FEET AND TO 9 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. SEAS FORECAST
  TO SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 7 FEET LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

67

462 
WHUS72 KMLB 251945
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
245 PM EST WED DEC 25 2013

AMZ570-572-575-260900-
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-131225T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.SW.Y.0011.131225T2100Z-131226T1000Z/
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
245 PM EST WED DEC 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM
EST THURSDAY. 

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 2O KNOTS WILL BUILD
  SEAS TO 7 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVE HEIGHTS
OF 5 TO 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED WITH WINDS LESS THAN
20 KNOTS.

&&

$$

AMZ555-252100-
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-131225T2100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
245 PM EST WED DEC 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 2O KNOTS WILL BUILD
  SEAS 7 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. SEAS FORECAST TO SUBSIDE TO
  LESS THAN 7 FEET LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

67

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
9 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT-THIS AFTERNOON...MORNING LOW CLOUDS LIFT AND FOG BURNS OFF
BY 10 AM. LOCAR WRF AND 06Z GFS HINTING AT SHOWERS SOUTHERN AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. FRONT OVER THE PANHANDLE LOOKS TO BE SLOWING DOWN AS
IT NEARS THE NORTHWESTERN CWA LATE TONIGHT.

THE MORNING UPDATE WILL ADD SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES OSCEOLA
INDIAN RIVER SOUTH.

PREVIOUS ZONES DISCUSSION
TODAY...THE LOCAL ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN UNSEASONABLY WARM WITH
INCREASING MOISTURE AS A COLD FRONT STEADILY APPROACHES THE
REGION. DEEP SLY TO SSW FLOW WILL TRANSPORT HIGHER MOISTURE NWD
INTO THE REGION AND THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHC OF SHOWERS
DEVELOPING OVER THE AREA FROM AROUND MID-AFTERNOON ONWARD.

BOUNDARY CONVERGENCE AND DESTABILIZATION IN THE FORM OF COOLER
TEMPS ALOFT WL HELP FORCE SOME SHOWERS MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF
I-4 AS WELL AS THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND TREASURE COAST AREAS WHERE
BOUNDARY COLLISIONS MAY FORCE SOME LATE SHOWERS. COVERAGE AMOUNTS
WL REMAIN ISOLD THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON WITH TEMPS EXPECTED TO
MAKE IT INTO THE MID 80S ONCE AGAIN UNDER INCREASING CLOUDINESS.

TONIGHT...LTST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TREND OF SLOWING THE PSG OF THE
COLD FRONT AND A CLEAN PASSAGE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA IS NOT
EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVERNIGHT. THE BEST PCPN CHCS IN THE FORM OF
SCT LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS WILL UNFOLD OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONTAL
ZONE MOVES SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL FL...AND ROUGHLY TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE
BY DAYBREAK TUE.

MEASURABLE RAIN AMTS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS TO
PERHAPS TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS WILL UNFOLD
DURING EVENING AND PERSIST INTO EARLY TUE WITH COOLER POST FRONTAL
TEMPERATURES DEVELOPING BY DAYBREAK AND A SLOW TAPERING OF RAIN CHCS.

CHRISTMAS EVE...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE
EASTERN CONUS AND OUT INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY THE END OF THIS
PERIOD. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND FLORIDA STRAITS DURING THE DAY. A FAIRLY STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE CENTRAL CONUS TOWARD THE EAST
U.S. COAST BEHIND THE FRONT. A LINGERING LOW END CHANCE OF SHOWERS
(30 PERCENT) WILL SLOWLY DECREASE FROM THE NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH THE DAY.

DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL FILTER DOWN THE PENINSULA BEHIND THE
BOUNDARY ERASING 12-18 DEGREES OFF OF THE PREVIOUS DAY'S HIGHS.
EXPECT HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WITH
A FEW LOWER 70S POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN BREVARD AND
TREASURE COASTS. SKY CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE ACROSS THE
NORTH EARLY IN THE DAY BUT IT MAY BE LATE IN THE DAY OR EARLY
EVENING BEFORE OUR SOUTHERN ZONES SEE ANY THINNING SKIES OF THE
SKIES. OUR WINDS WILL BE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT WITH DIRECTION
BECOMING NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEAST IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIND SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL FALL TO AROUND 10
MPH OR LESS DURING THE EVENING BUT MAY STAY ELEVATED A BIT HIGHER
ALONG THE SPACE AND TREASURE COASTS INTO LATE NIGHT.

WILL KEEP POPS ABSENT FROM THE FORECAST TUE NIGHT...THOUGH COASTAL
SECTIONS MAY SEE AN INCREASE IN MARINE STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS AS
WINDS VEER. OVERNIGHT LOWS MUCH COOLER WITH LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S
LIKELY NORTH OF THE I-4 CORRIDOR WITH MIDDLE TO UPPER 40S OVER
MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE INTERIOR...EXCEPT SOME LOWER TO
MIDDLE 50S LINGERING ALONG THE SPACE AND TREASURE COASTS.

CHRISTMAS DAY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN ACROSS THE AREA AS
IT GETS NUDGED OFF OF THE EAST COAST AND INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY WITH WINDS VEERING TO THE
NORTHEAST WHICH WILL ALLOW A MARINE LAYER OF CLOUDS TO PENETRATE THE
COAST AND CONTINUE INLAND. CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS IS A GOOD BET ON
THIS DAY. WHILE MOS GUIDANCE CONTINUES WITH LESS THAN 10 PERCENT
POPS ON THIS DAY IT IS POSSIBLE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR OCCASIONAL
SPRINKLES COULD BE FELT.

WILL KEEP CONDITIONS OVER LAND MOSTLY DRY FOR NOW DURING THE
DAY...SAVE FOR ALONG THE TREASURE COAST...BUT FUTURE SHIFTS MAY
WANT TO CONSIDER EXPANDING THIS FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE COAST OR
INLAND FOR THIS LIGHT PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL AS CONFIDENCE
WARRANTS. HOWEVER...HAVE ADDED A LIGHT PRECIPITATION POP IN FOR
WED NIGHT EVERYWHERE. A SLIGHT WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES WITH UPPER
60S TO LOWER 70S FORECAST. MARINE INFLUENCE AND ADDITIONAL CLOUD
COVER SHOULD KEEP OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 50S...EXCEPT NEAR 60
DEGREES TO LOWER 60S FROM NEAR THE CAPE AND MELBOURNE SOUTHWARD
NEAR THE COAST.

THU-SUN...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS IN AGREEMENT THAT THE EXTENDED WILL BE
UNSETTLED BUT HOW MUCH IS THE QUESTION. CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW
DURING THIS PERIOD. IT APPEARS THAT DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE ON
THE INCREASE AS MOISTURE OVERRUNS THE PREVIOUS FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT
IS FORECAST TO LAY QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS.
PERIODIC IMPULSES WILL MOVE OVER THE GOMEX AND ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. TIMING...PLACEMENT AND STRENGTH OF FEATURES REMAIN IN
QUESTION. CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
PATTERN THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED. PERIODIC STRATIFORM AND
OCCASIONAL CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS MAY OCCUR OVER THIS TIME WITH THE
THU-FRI TIMEFRAME POSSIBLY HAVING THE HIGHEST PRECIPITATION
POTENTIAL.

WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP LOWER END MENTIONABLE RAIN CHANCES
IN THE FORECAST. AFTERNOON HIGHS WITHIN A COUPLE DEGREES OF SEASONAL
AT THIS TIME WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO DUE TO
MOSTLY ONSHORE INFLUENCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR FROM 23/14Z TO APPROX. 24/06Z THEN MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES
WITH TEMPO IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITES 24/08Z-24/13Z DUE TO LOW
CLOUDS AND FOG. SCATTERED DIURNAL SHOWERS MAINLY SOUTHERN SITES FROM
18Z-24Z THEN WAIT FOR THE SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT THAT IS
FORECAST TO ENTER THE NORTHWESTERN AREAS AFTER 24/08Z THEN SPREAD
SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...

CURRENT-THIS AFTERNOON...THE NOAA BUOYS WERE RECORDING SOUTH
SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND 5 FOOT SEAS. THE TWO NEARSHORE
SCRIPPS BUOYS EAST OF PORT CANAVERAL AND NORTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE
INLET WERE RECORDING 4 FOOT SEAS.

THE WINDS WILL STAY OUT OF THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST UNTIL THE FRONT GETS
CLOSER TONIGHT THEN THE WINDS SHOULD SHIFT MORE TO THE SOUTHWEST
AHEAD OF THE FRONT..

PREVIOUS MARINE DISCUSSION
SLY GRADIENT WINDS 10 TO 15 KTS TODAY WITH SEA HGHTS IN THE 4-5FT
RANGE OVER OPEN WATERS. A VEERING TREND TO WINDS IN ADVANCE OF
THE APCHG FRONT WILL CREATE FETCH LIMITED NEARSHORE CONDITIONS
AND SEA HGHTS OF AROUND 3 FT NEAR IMMEDIATE COAST WITH ISOLD
SHOWERS WILL OCCUR. SEA HGHTS WI BEGIN TO INCREASE BEHIND THE
FRONT EARLY TUE AND CAUTUION STMTS MAY BE NEEDED AT THE LEAST OVER
NORTHERN SEGMENTS LATER TODAY.

PREVIOUS MARINE DISCUSSION
CHRISTMAS EVE-CHRISTMAS DAY...NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE LATEST
COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE TO 20-25 KTS AWAY FROM THE COAST WITH
15-20 KT WINDS CLOSER IN. WIND DIRECTION WILL VEER TO N/NNE TUE
EVENING CONTINUING TO VEER TO NE BY DAYBREAK WED. WIND SPEEDS WILL
FALL TO 15-20 KTS OFFSHORE TUE OVERNIGHT CONTINUING TO DECREASE TO
12-15 KTS WED NIGHT. INITIAL SEAS 2-4 FT NEAR SHORE AND 4-6 FT
OFFSHORE WILL BUILD TO 5-7 FT OFFSHORE NORTH OF FT. PIERCE AND 3-5
FT NEAR SHORE TUE. SEAS MAY BUILD TO 4-6 FT NEAR SHORE TUE NIGHT
AND 6-8 OFFSHORE. SEAS WILL BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE THRU WED-WED NIGHT.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AS EARLY AS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

THU-FRI...A POTENTIALLY UNSETTLED PATTERN AS MOISTURE OVER-RIDES
PREVIOUS FRONTAL BOUNDARY (FL STRAITS) AND NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
PENINSULA. LIGHT RAIN ACTIVITY WITH OCCASIONAL MODERATE SHOWER
CHANCES POSSIBLE...THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS MOMENT. MAINLY A
NNE-NE COMPONENT OF WIND DURING THIS TIME AND FOR NOW WILL CAP WIND
SPEEDS AT 15 KTS. SEAS MAINLY 4-6 FT...THOUGH A FEW 7 FT SETS CANNOT
BE RULED OUT OVER THE GULF STREAM.

&&

.CLIMATE...

DAILY RECORDS AND NORMALS FOR MONDAY 23 DECEMBER:

                       HI   LO          NORM  NORM  NORM
SITE  DATE   MAX  MIN  MIN  MAX PRECIP  MAX   MIN   PRECIP
DAB  23-DEC   84   23   67   46  1.91    69    49    0.09
MCO  23-DEC   85   24   68   42  1.88    72    51    0.08
MLB  23-DEC   84   25   68   51  1.11    72    51    0.08
VRB  23-DEC   84   28   68   54  0.94    73    54    0.08

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  83  59  65  48 /  20  50  30  10
MCO  85  62  67  47 /  20  40  30  10
MLB  84  67  70  53 /  20  40  30  10
VRB  85  68  73  57 /  20  30  30  10
LEE  83  58  65  43 /  20  50  20  10
SFB  84  60  66  47 /  20  50  30  10
ORL  84  60  66  48 /  20  50  30  10
FPR  84  66  72  58 /  20  30  30  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

FORECASTS...WIMMER
IMPACT WX...KELLY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1048 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-232000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
1048 AM EST MON DEC 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
SOUTH WINDS UP TO AROUND 15 KNOTS WILL PRODUCE SEAS UP TO 5 TO 6
FEET BEYOND 20 NM. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION IF VENTURING
AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A LONG PERIOD EAST SWELL WILL PRODUCE A MODERATE THREAT FOR RIP
CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY DURING
THE OUTGOING TIDE THIS AFTERNOON. ALWAYS SWIM WITHIN SIGHT OF A
LIFEGUARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATE TONIGHT
AND WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH
TUESDAY. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL EXIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

KELLY