Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Melbourne, FL

546 
WWUS52 KMLB 281944
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
344 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

FLC097-282030-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130628T2030Z/
OSCEOLA-
344 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM EDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL OSCEOLA COUNTY...

AT 338 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR PINE GROVE...OR NEAR NARCOOSSEE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO HARMONY

LAT...LON 2834 8134 2835 8100 2820 8091 2817 8134
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 252DEG 11KT 2826 8120

$$

SEDLOCK

098 
WWUS52 KMLB 282000
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
400 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

FLC097-282010-
/O.CAN.KMLB.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130628T2030Z/
OSCEOLA-
400 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL OSCEOLA COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO
LONGER CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL OR DAMAGING WINDS. AS A
RESULT...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN AND 
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE 
POSSIBLE.

LAT...LON 2834 8134 2835 8100 2820 8091 2817 8134
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 252DEG 11KT 2828 8115

$$

SEDLOCK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
330 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

.DISCUSSION...

...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEEKEND
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

CURRENT/TONIGHT...SCATTERED LIGHTNING STORMS WILL MOVE ENE MAINLY N
OF LAKE KISSIMMEE-CAPE CANAVERAL LINE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON WITH
ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FOR SRN BREVARD/SRN OSCEOLA AND
OKEECHOBEE COUNTY AND THE TREASURE COAST INTO THIS EVENING. LOW LVL
SW FLOW WILL HOLD OFF THE SEA BRZ NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET WITH SEA
BREEZE BOUNDARY JUST MAKING IT ONTO THE MAINLAND ALONG THE SRN
TREASURE COAST. WILL CONTINUE HIGHEST EVENING POPS NEAR THE COAST
AND SRN SECTIONS AND ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR LINGERING ACTIVITY
PAST 8 PM ACROSS THE NRN INTERIOR. HRRR MODEL INDICATES MUCH OF THE
ACTIVITY ACROSS NRN SECTIONS WILL MAKE IT INTO THE TREASURE COAST
DURING THE EARLY EVENING. COULD SEE A FEW STRONG EVENING STORMS WITH
STRONG WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

SAT-MON...A STORMY WEEKEND IS SHAPING UP EACH AFTERNOON AS DEEP AND
MOIST SW FLOW AHEAD OF AN MID LAYER TROUGH DIGGING FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY INTO THE SE STATES ALLOWS NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS TO MOVE
NORTHEAST EACH DAY WITH SOME ACTIVITY LINGERING INTO THE EVENING
HOURS. FOR SATURDAY...WILL SHOW HIGHEST POPS NORTH NEAR THE DEEPEST
MOISTURE ACROSS THE NRN PENINSULA AND ALSO ACROSS MARTIN COUNTY
WHERE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL MOVE UP FROM SOUTH FL. FOR SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WILL GO WITH LIKELY RAIN CHANCES EACH DAY (60 PCT) WITH
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED. INCREASED CLOUD COVER IS
EXPECTED ESPEC SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. HIGHS WILL BE NEAR 90 TO THE
LOWER 90S. STEERING FLOW WILL BE FROM THE SW AT 15-20 KNOTS ON SAT
AND 20-25 KNOTS MAKING FOR FASTER NE STORM MOTION TOWARD THE COAST
AND NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS EACH DAY. STRONG STORMS OVER THE
WEEKEND MAY CONTAIN SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS
ESPECIALLY WITH THE STRONGER ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW. BOATERS AND
BEACHGOERS SHOULD CHECK THE RADAR AND FORECAST BEFORE HEADING TO THE
BEACH...INTRACOASTAL WATERS OR ATLC THIS WEEKEND INTO MONDAY.

TUE-THU...PREVIOUS EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
TROFFING PATTERN OVER THE ERN CONUS WILL DAMPEN OUT THRU THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK AS THE H30-H20 JET SHIFTS FROM A SLIGHT DIGGING TO A
FULL LIFTING ORIENTATION. ATLC RIDGE AXIS WILL RESPOND BY DRIFTING
BACK N INTO CENTRAL FL. THE RESULT WILL BE A WEAKENING STEERING FLOW
THAT WILL BACK TO THE S/SE...PROMOTING THE FORMATION OF THE EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE. INCREASING LOW/MID LVL SUPPRESSION AND WEAKENING
STEERING FLOW WILL DECREASE PRECIP COVERAGE BACK TO SCT COVERAGE.

NO SIG CHANGE IN AIRMASS...MAX TEMPS WITHIN A FEW DEGS OF CLIMO AVG
(L90S) AREAWIDE. DVLPG ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP MIN TEMPS ALONG THE
COAST BTWN 3-5F ABV AVG (M/U70S)...INTERIOR MIN TEMPS NEAR AVG
(L/M70S).

&&

.AVIATION...CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AFFECTING NRN TERMINALS SHOULD
TRANSITION SOUTH THIS EVENING FROM KMLB-KVRB FROM 20Z-23Z AND
KFPR-KSUA FROM 21Z-24Z. MVFR CIGS WITH LCL IFR VSBYS WILL ACCOMPANY
TSRA THIS AFTN/EVENING. SCT/NMRS TSRA WILL AFFECT E CENTRAL FL
TERMINALS AGAIN ON SATURDAY...MAINLY AFT 18Z.

&&

.MARINE...
INCREASING SSW/SW WINDS OVER THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING FROM THE MAINLAND TO THE NEAR SHORE WATERS AND
OFFSHORE EACH DAY WILL KEEP THE WEATHER UNSETTLED FOR SMALL CRAFT
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SSW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15-20 KNOTS
OFFSHORE THIS WEEKEND WITH SEAS TO 4-5 FT...LOWER NEAR THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. STORM COVERAGE MAY REMAIN HIGH INTO MONDAY BEFORE
TRANSITIONING TO SE FLOW BY WED/THU OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  76  91  75  90 /  30  60  50  60
MCO  74  92  74  91 /  20  60  50  60
MLB  75  91  77  89 /  30  50  40  60
VRB  75  91  76  89 /  30  50  40  60
LEE  76  92  76  91 /  20  60  50  60
SFB  76  92  76  92 /  20  60  50  60
ORL  76  92  76  92 /  20  60  50  60
FPR  75  91  75  90 /  30  40  30  60

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

SHORT-LONG TERM/AVIATION...VOLKMER
RADAR/IMPACT WX UPDATES....SEDLOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
522 AM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-282000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
522 AM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
AMPLE MOISTURE...SURFACE BOUNDARIES AND FAVORABLE STEERING WINDS THROUGH
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED LIGHTNING STORMS FROM MIDDAY
TO EARLY AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING STORM COVERAGE EXPECTED THROUGH
MID AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. BOUNDARY COLLISIONS MAY GENERATE
A FEW STRONGER STORMS. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...STRONG WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 TO
50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO 2 INCHES IN AN HOUR OR LESS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER STORMS. THIS MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
STORMS INTO THE AFTERNOON WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WIND
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 KNOTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS INLAND LAKES AND
WATERWAYS. INCREASING WESTERLY COMPONENT WINDS WILL PUSH DEVELOPED
STORMS EASTWARD AND OVER THE INTRACOASTAL WATERS OF VOLUSIA AND
BREVARD COUNTIES AND EVENTUALLY OFFSHORE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL LEAD
TO A RELATIVELY HIGHER COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON STORMS ALONG WITH A
LINGERING POTENTIAL FOR OFFSHORE MOVING STORMS ALONG THE COAST. A
FEW STRONGER STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON WITH THE PRIMARY
THREATS BEING FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE
IF NEEDED.

PENDERGRAST

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
249 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

FLZ045-053-281930-
ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
249 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
OVER SOUTHWESTERN ORANGE COUNTY...NORTHWESTERN OSCEOLA COUNTY...

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT.

AT 246 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER CELEBRATION...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE STRONG WINDS
INCLUDE AUSTIN TINDALL PARK...CAMPBELL...KISSIMMEE AIRPORT AND LAKE
NONA.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS...CAUSE POWER OUTAGES OR
CAPSIZE SMALL BOATS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE
VISIBILITY. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

BOATERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT STRONG WIND GUSTS SOMETIMES OCCUR WELL
AWAY FROM THE HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING ASSOCIATED WITH STORMS.

LAT...LON 2846 8127 2828 8110 2821 8153 2826 8156
      2826 8161 2837 8165
TIME...MOT...LOC 1849Z 251DEG 20KT 2830 8152

SEDLOCK