High Surf Advisory 3, NWS Melbourne, FL

122 
WHUS42 KMLB 050015
CFWMLB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
815 PM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013

FLZ047-141-147-050115-
/O.EXP.KMLB.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130505T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-COASTAL VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-
815 PM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK BUT ROUGH SURF WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE TOMORROW.

$$

FLZ054-059-064-050115-
/O.EXP.KMLB.RP.S.0006.000000T0000Z-130505T0000Z/
INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
815 PM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK HAS EXPIRED...

MODERATE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE BEACHES THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH AN ELEVATED THREAT
FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CONTINUING. 

$$

WEITLICH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
336 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013

.DISCUSSION...

...HAZARDOUS BEACH CONDITIONS CONTINUING TODAY...

TODAY-TONIGHT...LOW PRESSURE CENTER WAS ANALYZED VICINITY OF
OSCEOLA COUNTY AT 3 AM...AND IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY NORTH AND
REACH NORTHEAST FLORIDA TONIGHT. THIS WILL PUSH THE STRONG ONSHORE
FLOW NORTH OF THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING OR TOWARDS MIDDAY. A DRIER
WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE AREA BEHIND
THE LOW.

SOME ONSHORE MOVING SHOWERS SHOULD PERSIST ALONG THE NORTH COAST
THIS MORNING. LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW OVER ABOUT THE NORTH HALF OF
THE AREA WILL CAUSE STRATUS TO LINGER THROUGH MUCH OF THE
MORNING...DELAYING DAYTIME HEATING. EXPECT AN EAST/WEST COAST SEA
BREEZE COLLISION LATE IN THE DAY TOWARDS THE EAST SIDE OF THE
PENINSULA. THOUGH DEEP MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING...ESPECIALLY IN
THE SOUTH...WILL HOLD ONTO A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY LINGER INTO EARLY EVENING
NEAR THE NORTH HALF OF THE COAST.

MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD RANGE FROM UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S IN THE
NORTH TO THE UPPER 80S AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

WITH THE MOIST ONSHORE WINDS IN THE NORTH DIMINISHING...WILL
ALLOW WIND ADVISORY AND FLOOD WATCH TO EXPIRE.

BEACH CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE HAZARDOUS AND WILL EXTEND THE HIGH
SURF ADVISORY TODAY.  ALSO THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL BE HIGH.

SUN-MON...MAINLY POST FRONTAL CONDITIONS ON SUN BEHIND A RECENT WEAK
SURFACE TROUGH. ANOTHER WEAK FRONTAL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA ON LATE SUN NIGHT INTO EARLY MON...AND YET ANOTHER
FEATURE IS FORECAST TO DROP ACROSS THE AREA MON OVERNIGHT. A FEW
LIGHT SHOWERS MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH ANY OF THESE BOUNDARIES. DRIER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS MODELS SUGGEST PRECIPITABLE WATER AMOUNTS
BELOW 1 INCH FOR MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA DURING THIS PERIOD.
WILL KEEP POPS FOR ANY OF THESE PERIODS AT 20 PERCENT OR LESS.

A LARGE UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF COAST STATES EARLY IN THE PERIOD
WILL SHIFT TO OVER GEORGIA BY EARLY MON MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY EAST
TO ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA BY DAYBREAK TUE MORNING. MUCH OF THIS UPPER
LEVEL ENERGY WILL REMAIN NORTH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THOUGH A FEW
SUBTLE WAVES IN THE NEAR ZONAL FLOW MAY AID IN LIGHT RAIN SHOWER
DEVELOPMENT AS THE WEAK SURFACE TROUGHS ALREADY MENTIONED PINWHEEL
THROUGH THE REGION.

HIGHS WILL RANGE IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S WHICH WILL BE A FEW
TO SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW CLIMO. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO REGISTER
SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. EXPECT UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60
DEGREES ACROSS MUCH OF THE INTERIOR AND VOLUSIA COAST WITH MAINLY
LOWER 60S ALONG THE SPACE/TREASURE COASTS AS WELL AS THE ORLANDO
METRO.

TUE-FRI...THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED UPPER LOW WEAKENS THROUGH LATE
WEEK AS IT SLOWLY MOVES UP THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. A MAINLY ZONAL
FLOW WILL EXIST ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THIS
TIME...THOUGH THE MID LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE NORTHWESTERLY BY FRI
AS SHORTWAVE RIDGING DEVELOPS OVER THE GOMEX. AT THE SURFACE THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS FAIRLY LIGHT WITH WESTERLY FLOW.
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY DRY AND WILL KEEP POPS BELOW 20
PERCENT EACH PERIOD. THE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
INTO MID-WEEK BEFORE A GRADUAL WARMING TREND FOR BOTH HIGHS/LOWS
THU-FRI.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONSIDERABLE STRATUS WILL AFFECT THE TERMINALS FROM KTIX TO KISM
NORTH THIS MORNING. OCCASIONAL IFR CEILINGS WILL OCCUR AS THE LOW
LEVEL WINDS SUBSIDE. MVFR CEILINGS AROUND FL020 MAY PERSIST
THROUGH LATE MORNING. WITH DELAYED DAYTIME HEATING...THE CHANCE
FOR SEA BREEZE SHOWERS/STORMS WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
THE GREATEST CHANCE SHOULD BE KDAB-KTIX.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY-TONIGHT...TIGHT GRADIENT WILL PERSIST IN THE NORTHERN WATERS
BETWEEN SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE CENTER VICINITY CENTRAL FLORIDA
AND HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. LATEST
INDICATIONS ARE THAT WINDS HAVE DROPPED ENOUGH TO ALLOW THE GALE
WARNING TO EXPIRE...THOUGH WILL MENTION OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE
FORCE IN THE NORTH THIS MORNING. ELSEWHERE...THE CENTRAL ZONES
WILL BE A TRANSITION FROM GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS TO LIGHTER SOUTH
OR SOUTHWEST FLOW IN THE SOUTH.

WILL HOLD ONTO AN ADVISORY FOR THE CENTRAL ZONES BUT DROP DOWN TO
AN ADVISORY FOR SEAS IN THE SOUTH. BOATERS IN THE SOUTH SHOULD BE
AWARE THAT EVEN THOUGH WINDS HAVE DECREASED...TRAVERSING INLETS
DURING THE OUTGOING TIDE THIS MORNING WILL BE HAZARDOUS DUE TO
EAST/NORTHEAST SWELL.

SUN-SUN NIGHT...W/WNW WINDS BEHIND A WEAK FRONTAL TROUGH WITH SPEEDS
AROUND 15 KTS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC AND 10-15 KTS NEAR THE COAST.
SEAS DIMINISH TO 4 TO 5 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 5 TO 7 FEET OFFSHORE BY
SUN NIGHT.

MON-WED...MAINLY A WESTERLY WIND COMPONENT 10-15 KTS INTO MID-WEEK.
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE...THOUGH OFFSHORE LEGS MAY
START OFF WITH CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS EARLY IN THE PERIOD. DRIER AIR
WILL INFILTRATE THE AREA AND WILL KEEP A SMALL RAIN CHANCE GOING
INTO MON NIGHT FOR NOW.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
SUN-WED...MAINLY A WESTERLY COMPONENT OF WIND THROUGH THE PERIOD AS
A COUPLE OF WEAK SURFACE TROUGHS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SUN-MON NIGHT.
LATEST MODEL RUNS CONTINUE TO HINT AT DRIER CONDITIONS WITH RH
VALUES NEAR AND NORTH OF THE I-4 CORRIDOR ON SUN 30-35 PERCENT FOR
1-3 HOURS. RH VALUES MON-WED MAY ALSO REALIZE 30S DURING EACH
AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE INTERIOR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  80  66  79  61 /  50  20  20  20
MCO  85  65  81  60 /  30  10  10  20
MLB  83  66  80  64 /  40  20  10  20
VRB  82  67  80  62 /  30  10  10  20
LEE  83  64  81  61 /  30  10  10  20
SFB  84  66  80  61 /  40  10  10  20
ORL  84  66  81  63 /  30  10  10  20
FPR  83  66  81  61 /  30  10  10  20

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR COASTAL
     VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN BREVARD.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
     OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD
     COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
     TO 4 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO
     VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM
     VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM-
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
     TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET
     OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
     SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER
     INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER
     INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

SHORT TERM...LASCODY
LONG TERM....SEDLOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
826 PM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-041030-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
826 PM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MAINLY BE LIMITED TO THE
COASTAL WATERS FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT. HOWEVER RAINBANDS WITH
EMBEDDED STORMS MAY MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN
BREVARD COAST OVERNIGHT. MAIN THREATS WITH THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE
GUSTY WINDS...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
ONSHORE MOVING SQUALLS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS COASTAL AREAS
OF VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY OVERNIGHT...PRODUCING
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 2 TO 4 INCHES. THOSE LIVING
IN FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLOODING DEVELOP.

.HIGH WIND IMPACT...
SUSTAINED EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
55 MPH WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COASTLINE OF VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN
BREVARD COUNTIES TONIGHT. THESE WINDS AND WET SOIL COULD LEAD TO
SOME UPROOTED TREES. ALSO DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

.COASTAL FLOOD IMPACT...
GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD SEAS AND
PRODUCE DANGEROUS BREAKERS ALONG THE BEACHES TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
IN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. THESE BREAKING WAVES CAN KNOCK
YOU DOWN AND MAKE YOU SUSCEPTIBLE TO SEAWARD FLOWING RIP CURRENTS.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
SQUALLS AND ISOLATED STORMS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OVER 35 KNOTS OVERNIGHT.

.WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
A SLIGHT RISK FOR WATERSPOUTS EXISTS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
WITH ANY SQUALLS OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
VERY HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR SMALL CRAFT
TONIGHT. A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE BREVARD VOLUSIA
COUNTY LINE NORTH. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM THE
BREVARD VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO JUPITER INLET. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET
JUST OFF THE COASTLINE WILL BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FEET FROM 20 MILES
AND BEYOND OFFSHORE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
A CHANCE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST FROM
CANAVERAL NORTHWARD ON SATURDAY. HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS WILL
ALSO CONTINUE ON SATURDAY THEN WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD SUBSIDE
SUNDAY. DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ALONG THE NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTY COASTLINE
SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NECESSARY TONIGHT.
ANY RAINFALL AMOUNTS THAT CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING SHOULD BE
REPORTED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

WEITLICH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1041 PM EDT FRI MAY 03 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WSW PLAYALINDA BEACH  28.61N 80.69W
05/03/2013  M45.00 MPH       BREVARD            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            KTTS AT THE NASA SHUTTLE LANDING FACILITY MEASURED A WIND
            GUST OF 45 MPH/39 KT WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 29 MPH/25
            KT.

1220 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 6 N EDGEWATER           29.05N 80.90W
05/03/2013  M46.00 MPH       VOLUSIA            FL   MESONET

            WXFLOW STATION XNSB MEASURED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 37 MPH
            WITH A GUST TO 46 MPH.

0235 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNW SCOTTSMOOR        28.79N 80.89W
05/03/2013  M2.70 INCH       VOLUSIA            FL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            COOP OBSERVER MEASURED 2.70 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE NOON
            WITH MOST FALLING BETWEEN 130 PM AND 230 PM.

0420 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 6 N EDGEWATER           29.05N 80.90W
05/03/2013  M46.00 MPH       VOLUSIA            FL   MESONET

            CORRECTED REPORT - WXFLOW STATION XNSB MEASURED SUSTAINED
            WIND OF 36 MPH WITH A GUST TO 46 MPH.

0447 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST TITUSVILLE AIRPORT      28.51N 80.80W
05/03/2013  M43.00 MPH       BREVARD            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            TIX TITUSVILLE SPACE COAST REGIONAL AIRPORT MEASURED WIND
            GUST OF 37 KT/43 MPH FROM 020 DEGREES.

0510 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WNW ORMOND BEACH      29.30N 81.12W
05/03/2013  M49.00 MPH       VOLUSIA            FL   MESONET

            WXU STATION WU51 MEASURED WIND GUST OF 43 KT/49 MPH.

0528 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST DAYTONA BEACH           29.21N 81.03W
05/03/2013  M46.00 MPH       VOLUSIA            FL   ASOS

            DAB ASOS MEASURED WIND GUST OF 40 KT/46 MPH FROM 070
            DEGREES.

0547 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST NEW SMYRNA BEACH        29.02N 80.93W
05/03/2013  M52.00 MPH       VOLUSIA            FL   AWOS

            KEVB NEW SMYRNA BEACH AWOS MEASURED 45 KT/52 MPH WIND
            GUST FROM 080 DEGREES.

0557 PM     HEAVY RAIN       APOPKA                  28.69N 81.51W
05/03/2013  M3.14 INCH       ORANGE             FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WFTV ORLANDO RELAYED REPORT OF 3.14 INCHES OF RAIN IN
            PAST 70 MINUTES IN NORTH APOPKA.

0635 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 6 N EDGEWATER           29.05N 80.90W
05/03/2013  M51.00 MPH       VOLUSIA            FL   MESONET

            WXFLOW STATION XNSB MEASURED WIND GUST OF 44 KT/51 MPH.

0850 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WNW ORMOND BEACH      29.30N 81.12W
05/03/2013  M53.00 MPH       VOLUSIA            FL   MESONET

            WXU STATION WU51 MEASURED WIND GUST OF 46 KT/53 MPH FROM
            044 DEGREES.

&&

JRC