Severe Thunderstorm Warning 36, NWS Milwaukee, WI

473 
WWUS53 KMKX 122239
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
539 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

WIC021-025-027-039-047-122330-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-130612T2330Z/
COLUMBIA WI-DANE WI-DODGE WI-FOND DU LAC WI-GREEN LAKE WI-
539 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN GREEN
LAKE...SOUTHWESTERN FOND DU LAC...WESTERN DODGE...NORTHERN DANE AND
EASTERN COLUMBIA COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT...

AT 535 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF PARDEEVILLE TO RIO TO
WAUNAKEE...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WINDSOR AND DE FOREST AROUND 545 PM CDT.
  MADISON TRUAX AIRPORT AND RANDOLPH AROUND 555 PM CDT.
  SUN PRAIRIE AND COLUMBUS AROUND 600 PM CDT.
  BEAVER DAM AROUND 610 PM CDT.
  MARSHALL AROUND 615 PM CDT.
  WAUPUN AND JUNEAU DODGE AIRPORT AROUND 620 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE MANCHESTER...FRIESLAND...TOKEN
CREEK...EAST BRISTOL...ASTICO...SOUTH BEAVER DAM...FOX LAKE...
LEIPSIG...DEANSVILLE AND DANVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4317 8964 4364 8924 4370 8924 4369 8867
      4340 8868 4320 8891 4320 8901 4311 8901
      4308 8905
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 277DEG 28KT 4362 8919 4344 8914
          4317 8948

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

MEB

713 
WWUS53 KMKX 122248
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
548 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

WIC039-047-122258-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-130612T2330Z/
FOND DU LAC WI-GREEN LAKE WI-
548 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN GREEN LAKE AND WEST
CENTRAL FOND DU LAC COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED ACROSS 
THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 4315 8952 4363 8919 4362 8868 4340 8868
      4320 8891 4320 8901 4311 8901 4308 8905
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 277DEG 28KT 4361 8910 4340 8902
          4315 8936

$$

WIC021-025-027-122330-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-130612T2330Z/
COLUMBIA WI-DANE WI-DODGE WI-
548 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
DODGE...NORTHEASTERN DANE AND EASTERN COLUMBIA COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM
CDT...

AT 544 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTH OF CAMBRIA TO FALL RIVER TO
WAUNAKEE...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  SUN PRAIRIE AND RANDOLPH AROUND 555 PM CDT.
  MARSHALL AND BEAVER DAM AROUND 610 PM CDT.
  JUNEAU DODGE AIRPORT AND JUNEAU AROUND 620 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE EAST BRISTOL...SOUTH BEAVER
DAM...ASTICO...LEIPSIG...DEANSVILLE...DANVILLE...FOX LAKE...LOWELL...
REESEVILLE AND MINNESOTA JUNCTION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4315 8952 4363 8919 4362 8868 4340 8868
      4320 8891 4320 8901 4311 8901 4308 8905
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 277DEG 28KT 4361 8910 4340 8902
          4315 8936

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

MEB

049 
WWUS53 KMKX 122258
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
558 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

WIC021-025-027-122330-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-130612T2330Z/
COLUMBIA WI-DANE WI-DODGE WI-
558 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
DODGE...NORTHEASTERN DANE AND EASTERN COLUMBIA COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM
CDT...

AT 553 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF RANDOLPH TO FALL RIVER TO
I90/94 INTERCHANGE...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 80 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE
         DANGEROUS TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND
         POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MARSHALL AROUND 605 PM CDT.
  BEAVER DAM AROUND 610 PM CDT.
  JUNEAU DODGE AIRPORT AND JUNEAU AROUND 620 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE SOUTH BEAVER DAM...LEIPSIG...
FOX LAKE...REESEVILLE...LOWELL...MINNESOTA JUNCTION...BURNETT AND
ATWATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING WIDESPREAD 
WIND DAMAGE. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY 
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4313 8941 4363 8909 4362 8868 4340 8868
      4320 8891 4320 8901 4311 8901 4308 8905
TIME...MOT...LOC 2258Z 277DEG 28KT 4360 8899 4339 8891
          4312 8919

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...80MPH

$$

MEB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
335 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

.VERY SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

HAVE SEEN QUITE A BIT OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LAST
HOUR...AND EXPECTING THIS TREND TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
STILL CONCERNED ABOUT THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER...WITH LATEST
SEVERE WEATHER PARAMETERS INDICATING THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE MAINLY
SOUTHWEST OF A WISCONSIN DELLS TO BURLINGTON LINE. A TORNADO WATCH
IS THUS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.

A MORE STABLE AIRMASS FARTHER NORTHEAST...PARTICULARLY DUE TO WINDS
OFF OF LAKE MICHIGAN...WILL LIKELY DAMPEN THE SEVERE THREAT. THERE
IS A DECENT AMOUNT OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
THOUGH...WITH ABOUT 50-60 KNOTS OF 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR. STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS ARE THUS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. PLENTY OF MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AS WELL ACROSS THE
AREA...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES PUSHING 2 INCHES. THIS COULD
RESULT IN PRETTY HEAVY RAINFALL FOR SOME LOCATIONS.

SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD WIND DOWN BY LATE EVENING...WITH PLEASANT
WEATHER EXPECTED UNDER HIGH PRESSURE THURSDAY.

.SHORT TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

LARGE AREA OF RIDGING WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN WI THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY WITH QUIET CONDITIONS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES BY THE LAKE DUE
TO ONSHORE BREEZES.  MID-LEVEL RIDGING FLATTENS FRIDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY SATURDAY AS WEAKENING SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST.  NAM MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH EWD
MOVEMENT OF SHORT WAVE FRIDAY NIGHT WHILE GFS AND ECMWF A BIT
SLOWER.  WILL AVOID NAM SOLUTION AT THIS POINT BUT BUMP UP POPS TO
LIKELY IN WRN CWA AS OTHER SHORT TERM GUIDANCE IN AGREEMENT IN
CARRYING DEEPER MOISTURE AND WEAK LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS ERN IOWA INTO
SOUTHWEST WI BY 12Z SAT.  WEAKENING MCS LIKELY TO AFFECT CWA
SATURDAY MRNG WITH LINGERING CHANCE FOR CONVECTION INTO THE AFTN.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

UPPER LOW WILL BE MEANDERING ACROSS UPPER MIDWEST EARLY IN THE
PERIOD SO NEED TO INCLUDE SMALL POPS INTO MONDAY.  BEST CHANCE
SHOULD BE SUN NIGHT INTO MONDAY WHEN REMAINS OF UPPER LOW MOVE
THROUGH WRN GTLAKES.  HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
LAST SEVERAL MEDIUM RANGE RUNS INDICATE RIDGING WILL BE MORE
PRONOUNCED ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...RETARDING EWD MOVEMENT OF
WESTERN CONUS TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SHORT WAVES.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS/...STARTING TO SEE A GOOD AMOUNT OF CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT IN THE AREA AND STILL EXPECTING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH A THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS. THE BEST
CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS TO BE FOR AREAS SOUTHWEST OF
MADISON...BUT THINK THERE IS STILL ENOUGH ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND
SHEAR FOR POTENTIAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. CONVECTION SHOULD WIND DOWN BY LATE EVENING...WITH DRY
WEATHER EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN.

PREVAILING VFR EXPECTED INTO LATE AFTERNOON...WITH LOWER VSBYS
POSSIBLE IN MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL LATER TODAY. COULD SEE
BRIEFLY LOWER CIGS BEHIND EXITING LOW PRESSURE THIS EVENING...BUT
SHOULD SEE A RETURN TO VFR OVERNIGHT AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN.

&&

.MARINE....NORTH WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE
WILL BECOME GUSTY LATE THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY EASE A BIT
BY MID MORNING THURSDAY. ADDITIONALLY..THE PERSISTENT ALONG SHORE
FETCH WILL LIKELY BUILD SOME HIGHER WAVES. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
HAS THUS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH POINT LIGHT SOUTHWARD EFFECTIVE
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MID MORNING THURSDAY.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVY LMZ645-646 FROM 05Z/13 TO 14Z/13.

&&

.CONFIDENCE...
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...MEDIUM TO HIGH.
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...HIGH.
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...LOW TO MEDIUM.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...LOW TO MEDIUM.
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MEDIUM TO HIGH.

VERY SHORT TERM AND AVIATION/MARINE...DDV
SHORT TERM/LONG TERM...MBK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
229 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-131845-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
229 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THERE IS A SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THE MAIN CONCERN IS FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE ILLINOIS BORDER.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA ISSUED A TORNADO
WATCH UNTIL 9 PM FOR THE AREA ROUGHLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM BARABOO
TO MADISON TO JEFFERSON TO LAKE GENEVA. THIS TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN
DESIGNATED AS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION BY THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER.

HEAVY RAINFALL CAUSING PONDING OF WATER AND MINOR STREET FLOODING IS
ALSO EXPECTED DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN WITH
THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO
MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

LMZ643>646-131845-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
229 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS
LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS. THERE IS A MODERATE
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF WIND POINT. THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORT WASHINGTON SOUTH TO WIND
POINT. THE MAIN CONCERN IS FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

WINDS AND WAVES MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA TONIGHT DUE TO BRISK
NORTHEAST WINDS AND INCREASING WAVES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NORTH WINDS AND WAVES MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA INTO
THURSDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO
MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

MBK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
302 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

WIZ046-047-051-057-058-122100-
COLUMBIA-DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN LAKE-MARQUETTE-
302 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO MARQUETTE...GREEN LAKE AND
WESTERN FOND DU LAC COUNTIES...

AT 256 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 48 MILES WEST OF
BERLIN TO 27 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RIPON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 30 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WESTFIELD AND MONTELLO BY 320 PM CDT...
  MARKESAN BY 325 PM CDT...
  PRINCETON BY 335 PM CDT...
  GREEN LAKE AND BRANDON BY 340 PM CDT...
  RIPON BY 345 PM CDT...
  ROSENDALE BY 355 PM CDT...
  BERLIN BY 400 PM CDT...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

WOOD