Alert archive / Wisconsin / River Flood Warnings in 2013
River Flood Warning 67, NWS Milwaukee, WI
NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this river flood warning at May 10, 2013, 9:34 AM CDT for Jefferson County, Wisconsin. It took effect at May 11, 2013, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 10, 2013, 9:34 AM CDT (14:34 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 11, 2013, 1:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- May 11, 2013, 10:11 AM CDT
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Milwaukee, WI
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Jefferson County, WI
The radar
The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 19 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Rock River at Fort Atkinson (FATW3).
- Action stage
- 14.5 ft
- Minor stage
- 16 ft
- Moderate stage
- 17 ft
- Major stage
- 18 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05427085, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
356 WGUS43 KMKX 101434 FLWMKX FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 934 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 && WIC055-110234- /O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0066.130512T1800Z-130516T1200Z/ /JFFW3.1.ER.130512T1800Z.130513T0600Z.130516T0600Z.NO/ 934 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT JEFFERSON. * AT 8:56 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.1 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW LYING AREAS OF RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY IN THE CITY OF JEFFERSON. && RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING LOCATIONS. THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECAST TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ETC..AND PREDICTED FUTURE 24 HOUR BASIN-AVERAGE PRECIPITATION. (STAGES IN FT.) BANK- LATEST FORECAST STAGES - FLOOD FULL OBSERVED ...FOR 7 AM... LOCATION STAGE STAGE STAGE/TIME SAT SUN MON TUE JEFFERSON 10.0 8.0 9.13 09 AM 05/10 9.6 9.9 10.1 10.1 - HIGHEST 24 HOUR CHANGE - OBSERVED IN RIVER STAGE - STAGE IN (FT.) UP TO HIGHEST STAGE - THE LAST LATEST OBSERVED FORECAST IN - 7 DAYS STAGE NEXT 7 DAYS JEFFERSON 9.97 12 PM 05/03 0.24 10.10 01 AM 05/13 ...BELOW IS PREDICTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION INFORMATION... (JFFW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) JEFFERSON: 7 AM-1 PM 0.00 JEFFERSON: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 JEFFERSON: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 JEFFERSON: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 && $$ WIC055-110234- /O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0067.130511T1200Z-130516T1200Z/ /FATW3.1.ER.130511T1200Z.130512T1800Z.130516T0600Z.NO/ 934 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT FORT ATKINSON. * AT 7:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.3 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 16.1 FEET...FLOODWATERS AFFECT SOME PARK LAND AND BOAT LAUNCHES IN THE FORT ATKINSON AREA. THIS LEVEL IS THE 20 PERCENT CHANCE FLOOD MEANING THAT THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL. && RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING LOCATIONS. THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECAST TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ETC..AND PREDICTED FUTURE 24 HOUR BASIN-AVERAGE PRECIPITATION. (STAGES IN FT.) BANK- LATEST FORECAST STAGES - FLOOD FULL OBSERVED ...FOR 7 AM... LOCATION STAGE STAGE STAGE/TIME SAT SUN MON TUE FORT ATKINSON 16.0 14.5 15.60 07 AM 05/10 16.0 16.2 16.3 16.2 - HIGHEST 24 HOUR CHANGE - OBSERVED IN RIVER STAGE - STAGE IN (FT.) UP TO HIGHEST STAGE - THE LAST LATEST OBSERVED FORECAST IN - 7 DAYS STAGE NEXT 7 DAYS FORT ATKINSON 16.44 02 PM 05/03 0.04 16.30 01 PM 05/12 ...BELOW IS PREDICTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION INFORMATION... (FATW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) FORT ATKINSON: 7 AM-1 PM 0.00 FORT ATKINSON: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 FORT ATKINSON: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 FORT ATKINSON: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 && $$ ILC097-WIC059-110233- /O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0068.130511T1200Z-130513T0600Z/ /NMSW3.1.ER.130511T1200Z.130512T0000Z.130513T0000Z.UU/ 934 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER. * AT 9:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.2 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS ARE NEAR SOME HOMES ALONG HIGHWAY W IN THE SILVER LAKE AREA. && RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING LOCATIONS. THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECAST TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ETC..AND PREDICTED FUTURE 24 HOUR BASIN-AVERAGE PRECIPITATION. (STAGES IN FT.) BANK- LATEST FORECAST STAGES - FLOOD FULL OBSERVED ...FOR 7 AM... LOCATION STAGE STAGE STAGE/TIME SAT SUN MON TUE NEW MUNSTER 10.0 9.0 9.35 09 AM 05/10 10.0 10.1 9.8 9.5 - HIGHEST 24 HOUR CHANGE - OBSERVED IN RIVER STAGE - STAGE IN (FT.) UP TO HIGHEST STAGE - THE LAST LATEST OBSERVED FORECAST IN - 7 DAYS STAGE NEXT 7 DAYS NEW MUNSTER 10.74 11 PM 05/04 -0.03 10.20 07 PM 05/11 ...BELOW IS PREDICTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION INFORMATION... (NMSW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) NEW MUNSTER: 7 AM-1 PM 0.00 NEW MUNSTER: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 NEW MUNSTER: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 NEW MUNSTER: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 && $$
4 follow-up statements
345 WGUS83 KMKX 102037 FLSMKX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 337 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN...ILLINOIS... ROCK RIVER AT JEFFERSON AFFECTING JEFFERSON COUNTY ROCK RIVER AT FORT ATKINSON AFFECTING JEFFERSON COUNTY ROCK RIVER NEAR LAKE KOSHKONONG AFFECTING ROCK AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES ROCK RIVER AT AFTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER AFFECTING LAKE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES && WIC055-110837- /O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0066.130512T1800Z-130516T1200Z/ /JFFW3.1.ER.130512T1800Z.130513T0600Z.130516T0600Z.NO/ 337 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT JEFFERSON. * AT 2:56 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.1 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW LYING AREAS OF RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY IN THE CITY OF JEFFERSON. $$ WIC055-110836- /O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0067.130511T1200Z-130516T1200Z/ /FATW3.1.ER.130511T1200Z.130512T1800Z.130516T0600Z.NO/ 337 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT FORT ATKINSON. * AT 12:05 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.3 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 16.1 FEET...FLOODWATERS AFFECT SOME PARK LAND AND BOAT LAUNCHES IN THE FORT ATKINSON AREA. THIS LEVEL IS THE 20 PERCENT CHANCE FLOOD MEANING THAT THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL. $$ WIC055-105-110836- /O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /NVLW3.3.ER.130410T1400Z.130424T0013Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 337 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCK RIVER NEAR LAKE KOSHKONONG. * AT 3:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.6 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...FLOODWATERS REACH OXBOW BEND ROAD IN THE AREA OF THE GAGE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE LAKE. $$ WIC105-110836- /O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /AFTW3.2.ER.130408T1315Z.130419T0315Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 337 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT AFTON. * AT 8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.0 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING. * IMPACT...AT 10.1 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS THE 20 PERCENT CHANCE FLOOD MEANING THAT THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL. $$ ILC097-WIC059-110836- /O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0068.130511T1200Z-130513T0600Z/ /NMSW3.1.ER.130511T1200Z.130512T0000Z.130513T0000Z.UU/ 337 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER. * AT 3:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.2 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS ARE NEAR SOME HOMES ALONG HIGHWAY W IN THE SILVER LAKE AREA. $$ && RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING LOCATIONS. THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECAST TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ETC..AND PREDICTED FUTURE 24 HOUR BASIN-AVERAGE PRECIPITATION. (STAGES IN FT.) BANK- LATEST FORECAST STAGES - FLOOD FULL OBSERVED ...FOR 7 AM... LOCATION STAGE STAGE STAGE/TIME SAT SUN MON TUE NEW MUNSTER 10.0 9.0 9.56 03 PM 05/10 10.0 10.1 9.8 9.5 JEFFERSON 10.0 8.0 9.18 03 PM 05/10 9.6 9.9 10.1 10.1 FORT ATKINSON 16.0 14.5 15.61 12 PM 05/10 16.0 16.2 16.3 16.2 LAKE KOSHKONONG 10.0 9.0 10.15 03 PM 05/10 10.3 10.4 10.6 10.6 AFTON 9.0 8.0 9.64 08 AM 05/10 9.8 9.8 9.9 10.0 - HIGHEST 24 HOUR CHANGE - OBSERVED IN RIVER STAGE - STAGE IN (FT.) UP TO HIGHEST STAGE - THE LAST LATEST OBSERVED FORECAST IN - 7 DAYS STAGE NEXT 7 DAYS JEFFERSON 9.93 07 PM 05/03 0.32 10.10 01 AM 05/13 AFTON 10.54 05 PM 05/03 0.16 10.00 07 AM 05/14 FORT ATKINSON 16.43 04 PM 05/03 0.08 16.30 01 PM 05/12 NEW MUNSTER 10.74 11 PM 05/04 0.15 10.20 07 PM 05/11 LAKE KOSHKONONG 10.27 05 PM 05/08 0.02 10.60 07 AM 05/13 ...BELOW IS PREDICTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION INFORMATION... (NMSW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) NEW MUNSTER: 7 AM-1 PM 0.00 NEW MUNSTER: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 NEW MUNSTER: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 NEW MUNSTER: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 (JFFW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) JEFFERSON: 7 AM-1 PM 0.00 JEFFERSON: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 JEFFERSON: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 JEFFERSON: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 (AFTW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) AFTON: 7 AM-1 PM 0.00 AFTON: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 AFTON: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 AFTON: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 (FATW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) FORT ATKINSON: 7 AM-1 PM 0.00 FORT ATKINSON: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 FORT ATKINSON: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 FORT ATKINSON: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 (NVLW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) LK. KOSHKONONG: 7 AM-1 PM 0.00 LK. KOSHKONONG: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 LK. KOSHKONONG: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 LK. KOSHKONONG: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 &&
358 WGUS83 KMKX 110238 FLSMKX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 938 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN...ILLINOIS... ROCK RIVER AT FORT ATKINSON AFFECTING JEFFERSON COUNTY FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER AFFECTING LAKE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN... ROCK RIVER AT JEFFERSON AFFECTING JEFFERSON COUNTY ROCK RIVER NEAR LAKE KOSHKONONG AFFECTING ROCK AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES ROCK RIVER AT AFTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY && WIC055-111438- /O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0066.130512T1800Z-130516T1200Z/ /JFFW3.1.ER.130512T1800Z.130513T0600Z.130516T0600Z.NO/ 938 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT JEFFERSON. * AT 8:56 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.1 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW LYING AREAS OF RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY IN THE CITY OF JEFFERSON. $$ WIC055-111437- /O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0067.130511T1800Z-130516T0000Z/ /FATW3.1.ER.130511T1800Z.130512T1800Z.130515T1800Z.NO/ 938 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT FORT ATKINSON. * AT 7:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.2 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. * IMPACT...AT 16.1 FEET...FLOODWATERS AFFECT SOME PARK LAND AND BOAT LAUNCHES IN THE FORT ATKINSON AREA. THIS LEVEL IS THE 20 PERCENT CHANCE FLOOD MEANING THAT THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL. $$ WIC055-105-111437- /O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /NVLW3.3.ER.130410T1400Z.130424T0013Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 938 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCK RIVER NEAR LAKE KOSHKONONG. * AT 9:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.5 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...FLOODWATERS REACH OXBOW BEND ROAD IN THE AREA OF THE GAGE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE LAKE. $$ WIC105-111437- /O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /AFTW3.2.ER.130408T1315Z.130419T0315Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 938 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT AFTON. * AT 8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.0 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING. * IMPACT...AT 10.1 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS THE 20 PERCENT CHANCE FLOOD MEANING THAT THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL. $$ ILC097-WIC059-111437- /O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0068.130511T1200Z-130513T1200Z/ /NMSW3.1.ER.130511T1200Z.130512T0000Z.130513T0600Z.UU/ 938 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER. * AT 9:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.2 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS ARE NEAR SOME HOMES ALONG HIGHWAY W IN THE SILVER LAKE AREA. $$ && RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING LOCATIONS. THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECAST TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ETC..AND PREDICTED FUTURE 24 HOUR BASIN-AVERAGE PRECIPITATION. (STAGES IN FT.) BANK- LATEST FORECAST STAGES - FLOOD FULL OBSERVED ...FOR 7 PM... LOCATION STAGE STAGE STAGE/TIME SAT SUN MON TUE NEW MUNSTER 10.0 9.0 9.76 09 PM 05/10 10.2 10.1 9.6 9.3 JEFFERSON 10.0 8.0 9.26 09 PM 05/10 9.8 10.0 10.1 10.1 FORT ATKINSON 16.0 14.5 15.64 07 PM 05/10 16.1 16.2 16.1 16.1 LAKE KOSHKONONG 10.0 9.0 10.12 09 PM 05/10 10.2 10.4 10.5 10.5 AFTON 9.0 8.0 9.64 08 AM 05/10 9.8 9.8 9.9 10.0 - HIGHEST 24 HOUR CHANGE - OBSERVED IN RIVER STAGE - STAGE IN (FT.) UP TO HIGHEST STAGE - THE LAST LATEST OBSERVED FORECAST IN - 7 DAYS STAGE NEXT 7 DAYS JEFFERSON 9.90 10 PM 05/03 0.38 10.10 01 AM 05/13 AFTON 10.49 10 PM 05/03 0.16 10.00 07 PM 05/14 FORT ATKINSON 16.39 10 PM 05/03 0.11 16.20 01 PM 05/12 NEW MUNSTER 10.74 11 PM 05/04 0.47 10.20 07 PM 05/11 LAKE KOSHKONONG 10.23 11 PM 05/08 -0.04 10.50 07 AM 05/13 ...BELOW IS PREDICTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION INFORMATION FOR THE LISTED SITES... (AFTW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) AFTON: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 AFTON: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 AFTON: 7 AM-1 PM 0.01 AFTON: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 (FATW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) FT. ATKINSON: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 FT. ATKINSON: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 FT. ATKINSON: 7 AM-1 PM 0.01 FT. ATKINSON: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 (JFFW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) JEFFERSON: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 JEFFERSON: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 JEFFERSON: 7 AM-1 PM 0.01 JEFFERSON: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 (NMSW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) NEW MUNSTER: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 NEW MUNSTER: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 NEW MUNSTER: 7 AM-1 PM 0.01 NEW MUNSTER: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 (NVLW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) LK. KOSHKONONG: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 LK. KOSHKONONG: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 LK. KOSHKONONG: 7 AM-1 PM 0.01 LK. KOSHKONONG: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 &&
835 WGUS83 KMKX 111029 FLSMKX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 529 AM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS...WISCONSIN... FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER AFFECTING LAKE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN... ROCK RIVER AT JEFFERSON AFFECTING JEFFERSON COUNTY ROCK RIVER AT FORT ATKINSON AFFECTING JEFFERSON COUNTY ROCK RIVER NEAR LAKE KOSHKONONG AFFECTING ROCK AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES ROCK RIVER AT AFTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY && WIC055-112229- /O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0066.130512T1800Z-130516T1200Z/ /JFFW3.1.ER.130512T1800Z.130513T0600Z.130516T0600Z.NO/ 529 AM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT JEFFERSON. * AT 4:56 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.1 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW LYING AREAS OF RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY IN THE CITY OF JEFFERSON. $$ WIC055-112229- /O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0067.130511T1800Z-130516T0000Z/ /FATW3.1.ER.130511T1800Z.130512T1800Z.130515T1800Z.NO/ 529 AM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT FORT ATKINSON. * AT 11:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.2 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. * IMPACT...AT 16.1 FEET...FLOODWATERS AFFECT SOME PARK LAND AND BOAT LAUNCHES IN THE FORT ATKINSON AREA. THIS LEVEL IS THE 20 PERCENT CHANCE FLOOD MEANING THAT THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL. $$ WIC055-105-112229- /O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /NVLW3.3.ER.130410T1400Z.130424T0013Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 529 AM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCK RIVER NEAR LAKE KOSHKONONG. * AT 5:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.5 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...FLOODWATERS REACH OXBOW BEND ROAD IN THE AREA OF THE GAGE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE LAKE. $$ WIC105-112229- /O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /AFTW3.2.ER.130408T1315Z.130419T0315Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 529 AM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT AFTON. * AT 8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.0 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING. * IMPACT...AT 10.1 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS THE 20 PERCENT CHANCE FLOOD MEANING THAT THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL. $$ ILC097-WIC059-112229- /O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0068.130511T1915Z-130513T1200Z/ /NMSW3.1.ER.130511T1915Z.130512T0000Z.130513T0600Z.UU/ 529 AM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER. * AT 5:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS ARE NEAR SOME HOMES ALONG HIGHWAY W IN THE SILVER LAKE AREA. $$ && RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING LOCATIONS. THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECAST TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ETC..AND PREDICTED FUTURE 24 HOUR BASIN-AVERAGE PRECIPITATION. (STAGES IN FT.) BANK- LATEST FORECAST STAGES - FLOOD FULL OBSERVED ...FOR 7 PM... LOCATION STAGE STAGE STAGE/TIME SUN MON TUE WED NEW MUNSTER 10.0 9.0 9.79 05 AM 05/11 10.2 10.1 9.6 9.3 JEFFERSON 10.0 8.0 9.31 05 AM 05/11 9.7 10.0 10.1 10.1 FORT ATKINSON 16.0 14.5 15.65 11 PM 05/10 16.1 16.2 16.1 16.1 LAKE KOSHKONONG 10.0 9.0 10.10 05 AM 05/11 10.2 10.4 10.5 10.5 AFTON 9.0 8.0 9.64 08 AM 05/10 9.8 9.8 9.9 10.0 - HIGHEST 24 HOUR CHANGE - OBSERVED IN RIVER STAGE - STAGE IN (FT.) UP TO HIGHEST STAGE - THE LAST LATEST OBSERVED FORECAST IN - 7 DAYS STAGE NEXT 7 DAYS JEFFERSON 9.85 11 AM 05/04 0.27 10.10 01 AM 05/13 AFTON 10.42 06 AM 05/04 0.16 10.00 07 PM 05/14 FORT ATKINSON 16.36 06 AM 05/04 0.18 16.20 01 PM 05/12 NEW MUNSTER 10.74 11 PM 05/04 0.59 10.20 07 PM 05/11 LAKE KOSHKONONG 10.20 07 AM 05/10 -0.10 10.50 07 AM 05/13 ...BELOW IS PREDICTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION INFORMATION FOR THE LISTED SITES... (AFTW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) AFTON: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 AFTON: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 AFTON: 7 AM-1 PM 0.01 AFTON: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 (FATW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) FT. ATKINSON: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 FT. ATKINSON: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 FT. ATKINSON: 7 AM-1 PM 0.01 FT. ATKINSON: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 (JFFW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) JEFFERSON: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 JEFFERSON: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 JEFFERSON: 7 AM-1 PM 0.01 JEFFERSON: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 (NMSW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) NEW MUNSTER: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 NEW MUNSTER: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 NEW MUNSTER: 7 AM-1 PM 0.01 NEW MUNSTER: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 (NVLW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) LK. KOSHKONONG: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 LK. KOSHKONONG: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 LK. KOSHKONONG: 7 AM-1 PM 0.01 LK. KOSHKONONG: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 &&
793 WGUS83 KMKX 111511 FLSMKX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 1011 AM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN...ILLINOIS... ROCK RIVER AT JEFFERSON AFFECTING JEFFERSON COUNTY ROCK RIVER AT FORT ATKINSON AFFECTING JEFFERSON COUNTY FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER AFFECTING LAKE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN... ROCK RIVER NEAR LAKE KOSHKONONG AFFECTING ROCK AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES ROCK RIVER AT AFTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY && WIC055-111541- /O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-130516T1200Z/ /JFFW3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1011 AM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT JEFFERSON. * AT 9:56 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9.8 FEET MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS LOW LYING AREAS OF RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY IN THE CITY OF JEFFERSON. $$ WIC055-111541- /O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-130516T0000Z/ /FATW3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1011 AM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT FORT ATKINSON. * AT 7:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.7 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 15.8 FEET THIS EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS AFFECT SOME PARK LAND IN THE CITY OF FORT ATKINSON $$ WIC055-105-120310- /O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /NVLW3.3.ER.130410T1400Z.130424T0013Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1011 AM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCK RIVER NEAR LAKE KOSHKONONG. * AT 9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.3 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...FLOODWATERS REACH OXBOW BEND ROAD IN THE AREA OF THE GAGE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE LAKE. $$ WIC105-120310- /O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /AFTW3.2.ER.130408T1315Z.130419T0315Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1011 AM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROCK RIVER AT AFTON. * AT 9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * IMPACT...AT 10.1 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS THE 20 PERCENT CHANCE FLOOD MEANING THAT THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL. $$ ILC097-WIC059-111541- /O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-130513T1200Z/ /NMSW3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 1011 AM CDT SAT MAY 11 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER. * AT 9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9.9 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS ARE NEAR SOME HOMES ALONG HIGHWAY W IN THE SILVER LAKE AREA. $$ && RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING LOCATIONS. THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECAST TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ETC..AND PREDICTED FUTURE 24 HOUR BASIN-AVERAGE PRECIPITATION. (STAGES IN FT.) BANK- LATEST FORECAST STAGES - FLOOD FULL OBSERVED ...FOR 7 AM... LOCATION STAGE STAGE STAGE/TIME SUN MON TUE WED NEW MUNSTER 10.0 9.0 9.78 09 AM 05/11 9.8 9.6 9.3 9.0 JEFFERSON 10.0 8.0 9.34 10 AM 05/11 9.6 9.8 9.8 9.8 FORT ATKINSON 16.0 14.5 15.66 07 AM 05/11 15.8 15.8 15.8 15.7 LAKE KOSHKONONG 10.0 9.0 10.10 09 AM 05/11 10.2 10.3 10.3 10.3 AFTON 9.0 8.0 9.57 09 AM 05/11 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 - HIGHEST 24 HOUR CHANGE - OBSERVED IN RIVER STAGE - STAGE IN (FT.) UP TO HIGHEST STAGE - THE LAST LATEST OBSERVED FORECAST IN - 7 DAYS STAGE NEXT 7 DAYS JEFFERSON 9.85 11 AM 05/04 0.19 9.80 01 PM 05/13 AFTON 10.38 02 PM 05/04 -0.07 9.61 01 AM 05/12 FORT ATKINSON 16.34 11 AM 05/04 0.06 15.80 07 PM 05/11 NEW MUNSTER 10.74 11 PM 05/04 0.49 9.90 01 PM 05/11 LAKE KOSHKONONG 10.20 07 AM 05/10 -0.08 10.30 01 AM 05/13 ...BELOW IS PREDICTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION INFORMATION... (NMSW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) NEW MUNSTER: 7 AM-1 PM 0.02 NEW MUNSTER: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 NEW MUNSTER: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 NEW MUNSTER: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 (JFFW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) JEFFERSON: 7 AM-1 PM 0.03 JEFFERSON: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 JEFFERSON: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 JEFFERSON: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 (AFTW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) AFTON: 7 AM-1 PM 0.02 AFTON: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 AFTON: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 AFTON: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 (FATW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) FORT ATKINSON: 7 AM-1 PM 0.02 FORT ATKINSON: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 FORT ATKINSON: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 FORT ATKINSON: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 (NVLW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.) LK. KOSHKONONG: 7 AM-1 PM 0.02 LK. KOSHKONONG: 1 PM-7 PM 0.00 LK. KOSHKONONG: 7 PM-1 AM 0.00 LK. KOSHKONONG: 1 AM-7 AM 0.00 &&
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 10, 5:09 AM CDT, 4 hours 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 10, 5:09 AM CDT, 4 hours 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 509 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 .TODAY AND TONIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS FROM NEAR GREEN BAY TO SOUTHWEST OF MADISON AROUND 7 AM WILL EXIT THE FAR SOUTHEAST BY NOON. EXPECT SHOWERS UNTIL THE TROUGH AXIS PUSHES EAST. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED BELOW THE BASE OF A DEVELOPING STABLE LAYER AROUND 6 THSD FT. THEREFORE SKIES WILL BE SLOW TO CLEAR BUT MIXING FINALLY OCCURS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AND IN THE EAST DURING THE EVENING. THEN MODERATE TO STRONG 700 MB UPWARD MOTION AROUND 5 MICROBARS/SEC MOVES ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN LATE TONIGHT...REACHING THE SOUTHEAST AROUND SUNRISE SATURDAY. SATURATION OCCURS OVER MUCH OF THE LOWER TO MID LEVELS AND A BAND OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED TO PUSH QUICKLY ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN...AND INTO NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN BY SUNRISE. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT. .SATURDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE SOUTHEAST FORECAST AREA SATURDAY MORNING...WITH A TRAILING SHORTWAVE BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH MID MORNING. THERE WILL BE RAPID DRYING BEHIND THIS FRONT...SO NOT EXPECTING PRECIP TO HANG AROUND INTO THE AFTERNOON. IN FACT...CURRENT MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THAT QUICKLY APPROACHING HIGH PRESSURE MAY BRING A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE BY AFTERNOON. EVEN WITH THE SUN...IT WILL NOT FEEL VERY PLEASANT OUT THOUGH AS TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE INTO THE MIDDLE 50S UNDER BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS. .SUNDAY AND MONDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH THERE SHOULD BE A GOOD AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY SLIDES THROUGH THE AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL SUNDAY...LIKELY STRUGGLING INTO THE LOW 50S. THOUGH WINDS WILL BE A BIT LIGHTER THAN SATURDAY...THEY WILL STILL BE BREEZY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST...PUTTING A BIT OF A CHILL IN THE AIR FOR MOTHERS DAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF THE HIGH MOVES ON TO THE EAST OF THE AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RECOVER ABOUT 10 DEGREES FROM SUNDAY...FALLING JUST A COUPLE DEGREES SHY OF NORMAL VALUES MOST PLACES. IT WILL BE COOLER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN THOUGH AS ONSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON. .TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM WARM ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK ABOVE NORMAL. IT CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE WEDNESDAY MAY BE THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE 80S MOST PLACES...AS THERE IS CONCERN THAT WINDS MAY REMAIN ONSHORE TUESDAY. WENT WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS MONDAY NIGHT...AS STRONG WARM ADVECTION MAY KICK OFF A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS. LOOKS MAINLY DRY THEN TUESDAY AS THE WARM AND CAPPED AIRMASS MOVES INTO PLACE. HAVE POPS WEDNESDAY...THOUGH THAT WILL DEPEND ON THE TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT. THE ECMWF REMAINS DRY WITH THE FRONT TO THE WEST...WHILE THE GFS BRINGS THE FRONT INTO THE AREA ALONG WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/STORMS. POPS AND TEMPERATURES ARE LESS CERTAIN FOR THURSDAY...AS THE GFS HAS A COOLER AND DRY POST FRONTAL AIRMASS IN PLACE...WHILE THE ECMWF HAS SHOWERS/STORMS AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NW. GENERALLY SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN SOLUTIONS FOR NOW. && .AVIATION/12Z TAFS/... RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AS LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN INDIANA APPROACHES LAKE EIRE. MAINLY IFR CONDITIONS DURING THIS TIME WITH SOME LIFR EAST. THE RAIN SHOULD DIMINISH BY MID TO LATE MORNING FRIDAY...WITH CEILINGS TO MVFR OVER SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN DURING THE MORNING..AND RISING TO MVFR OVER THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON. SHOULD SEE MIXING OUT OF CEILINGS BY LATE AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY SOUTH CENTRAL. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BRING MORE SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT SOUTH CENTRAL AND SATURDAY MORNING SOUTHEAST. EXPECT VFR CEILINGS WITH THIS. && .MARINE... GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED INTO THIS MORNING MOST AREAS...WITH A FEW GALE GUSTS EARLY. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE HIGH WAVES...LINGERING INTO FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE SUBSIDING. THUS...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT INTO FRIDAY EVENING. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN INDIANA MOVES OFF TO LAKE EIRE BY NOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AGAIN LATE SATURDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON...AS GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS MOVE INTO THE REGION BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT. && .MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...NONE. LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LMZ643>646. && TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION/MARINE...HENTZ SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...DDV
Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 5:34 AM CDT, 4 hours before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 534 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-111045- MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE- WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE- LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA- 534 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY PATCHY FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WITH AREAS OF FROST EARLY MONDAY MORNING. A FROST ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AS A WEAK COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY. LMZ643>646-111045- SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI- PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI- NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI- WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL- 534 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS MORNING. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL THEN BE NEEDED INTO THE EARLY EVENING...AS BRISK NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS AND HIGH WAVES LINGER. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA SATURDAY. WINDS MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS ON TUESDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. HENTZ WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 10, 6:36 AM CDT, 2 hours 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
636 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0542 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SHEBOYGAN C-MAN 43.75N 87.69W
05/10/2013 M54 MPH SHEBOYGAN WI C-MAN STATION
GUST 47KTS AT SHEBOYGAN LAKESHORE OBSERVATION.
&&
MBKLocal storm report, May 10, 8:58 AM CDT, 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
858 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0857 AM HEAVY RAIN WATERTOWN 43.19N 88.72W
05/10/2013 M2.38 INCH JEFFERSON WI TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
PCThe office that day
Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 9:32 PM CDT | River Flood Watch | MKX | Kenosha | 13 hr |
| May 10, 5:33 AM CDT | Gale Warning | MKX | 6 hr | |
| May 10, 9:34 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MKX | Jefferson | 25 hr |
| May 10, 9:34 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MKX | Kenosha | 25 hr |
| May 10, 12:07 PM CDT | Small Craft Advisory | MKX | 11 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Wisconsin, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.