River Flood Warning 17, NWS Milwaukee, WI

261 
WGUS83 KMKX 120243
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WISCONSIN...
 
  EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE AFFECTING LAFAYETTE
  COUNTY 
  MILWAUKEE RIVER NEAR CEDARBURG AFFECTING OZAUKEE COUNTY 
  PECATONICA RIVER AT DARLINGTON AFFECTING LAFAYETTE COUNTY 
  SHEBOYGAN RIVER AT SHEBOYGAN AFFECTING SHEBOYGAN COUNTY 
  SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD AFFECTING ROCK AND GREEN COUNTIES 
  TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
ILLINOIS...WISCONSIN...
  FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER AFFECTING LAKE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES 
  PECATONICA RIVER AT MARTINTOWN AFFECTING GREEN COUNTY 
  ROOT RIVER CANAL AT RAYMOND AFFECTING RACINE COUNTY 
  SPRING CREEK AT LODI AFFECTING COLUMBIA COUNTY 
  TURTLE CREEK NEAR BELOIT-3 NE AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY 
 
WIC065-121443-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130313T0800Z/
/BCHW3.1.ER.130311T0205Z.130312T0000Z.130312T2000Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE.
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.8 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 50 PERCENT CHANCE 
  FLOOD MEANING THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE
  RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL.  WATER COVERS A LOW SPOT ON HIGHWAY H 
  AND FLOODWATERS ARE INTO MCKELLAR PARK IN BLANCHARDVILLE.

$$

ILC097-WIC059-121443-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NMSW3.1.ER.130311T1632Z.130312T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER.
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.1 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.1 FEET...WATER IS UP TO THE FLOOR LEVELS OF SOME 
  HOMES IN THE WHEATLAND AREA.

$$

WIC089-121443-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130314T0600Z/
/CEDW3.1.ER.130311T1956Z.130312T1800Z.130314T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MILWAUKEE RIVER NEAR CEDARBURG.
* AT  9:02 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.7 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS SPREAD INTO THE BACK YARDS OF 
  HOMES IN THE THIENSVILLE AREA.

$$

WIC065-121443-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130312T1605Z/
/DARW3.1.ER.130311T0621Z.130311T1600Z.130312T0405Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PECATONICA RIVER AT DARLINGTON.
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 13.9 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 50 PERCENT CHANCE 
  FLOOD MEANING THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE
  RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL.

$$

WIC045-121443-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130315T2100Z/
/MTNW3.1.ER.130311T2315Z.130313T1800Z.130315T1500Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PECATONICA RIVER AT MARTINTOWN.
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.4 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...FLOODWATERS AFFECT MARTINTOWN ROAD AND WEST
  RIVER ROAD IN THE MARTINTOWN AREA.  UPSTREAM IN THE BROWNTOWN 
  AREA...FLOODWATERS AFFECT HIGHWAY MM AND WEST INDIES ROAD.

$$

WIC101-121443-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0017.130312T0600Z-130313T1200Z/
/RAYW3.1.ER.130312T0600Z.130312T1200Z.130313T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROOT RIVER CANAL AT RAYMOND.
* AT  9:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 9.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...WATER IS OVER A BASEBALL FIELD NEAR 6 MILE 
  ROAD. IN GENERAL...THE EFFECTS OF FLOODING AT STAGES ABOVE 9 FEET 
  ARE TO RURAL LAND AND AGRICULTURAL LAND

$$

WIC117-121443-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130316T1800Z/
/SEBW3.2.ER.130311T0140Z.130312T1200Z.130316T0600Z.NR/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHEBOYGAN RIVER AT SHEBOYGAN.
* AT  9:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.8 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.1 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS THE 4 PERCENT CHANCE FLOOD 
  MEANING THAT THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE 
  RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL.

$$

WIC021-121443-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LODW3.3.ER.130310T2335Z.130311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING CREEK AT LODI.
* AT  7:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING...NO FORECAST IS AVAILABLE.
* FORECASTS ARE NOT ISSUED FOR THIS LOCATION. THIS WARNING WILL 
  REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL THE RIVER FALLS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.


$$

WIC045-105-121443-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130313T1200Z/
/BROW3.1.ER.130311T1118Z.130312T0600Z.130313T0600Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD.
* AT  8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 5.9 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.5 FEET...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLAND AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND.  DOWNSTREAM IN THE AVON BOTTOMS AREA OF ROCK 
  COUNTY...THERE IS FLOODING IN SUGAR RIVER PARK.

$$

WIC105-121443-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOW3.2.ER.000000T0000Z.130311T2140Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR BELOIT-3 NE.
* AT  4:40 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 

$$

WIC105-121400-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-130312T1400Z/
/CLIW3.1.ER.130311T0600Z.130311T1215Z.130312T0200Z.UU/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON.
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THERE IS FLOODING TO AGRICULTURAL LAND AND 
  LOWLAND

$$

&&

RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING
LOCATIONS. THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECAST TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST
PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ETC..AND PREDICTED 
FUTURE 24 HOUR BASIN-AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.
 
(STAGES IN FT.)        BANK-      LATEST         FORECAST STAGES
-               FLOOD  FULL      OBSERVED        ...FOR 7 PM...
LOCATION       STAGE  STAGE    STAGE/TIME       TUE  WED  THU  FRI
BLANCHARDVILLE  11.0   9.0  12.97 09 PM 03/11  10.4  8.3  6.8  6.5
NEW MUNSTER     10.0   9.0  11.00 09 PM 03/11  12.1 12.0 11.7 11.2
CEDARBURG       11.0  10.0  11.33 09 PM 03/11  11.7 11.0 10.2  9.3
DARLINGTON      13.5  10.0  13.83 09 PM 03/11  11.1  8.4  6.9  6.0
MARTINTOWN      13.5   9.5  13.83 09 PM 03/11  14.0 14.4 14.0 12.7
RAYMOND          9.0   7.0   8.89 09 PM 03/11   9.0  7.7  5.9  5.1
BRODHEAD         5.0   4.5   5.83 09 PM 03/11   5.3  4.2  3.4  2.7
SHEBOYGAN        8.0   6.0  11.53 09 PM 03/11  11.3 10.1  8.8  8.2
CLINTON          8.0   6.0   8.00 09 PM 03/11   6.6  5.5  4.9  4.7
LODI             6.5   5.5   8.00 07 AM 03/11

-                   HIGHEST      24 HOUR CHANGE
-                   OBSERVED     IN RIVER STAGE
-                   STAGE IN      (FT.) UP TO      HIGHEST STAGE
-                   THE LAST    LATEST OBSERVED     FORECAST IN
-                   7 DAYS          STAGE           NEXT 7 DAYS
BLANCHARDVILLE  13.03  07 PM 03/11    1.98      12.80 01 AM 03/12
CEDARBURG       11.33  09 PM 03/11    3.28      11.70 01 PM 03/12
DARLINGTON      14.42  11 AM 03/11    1.90      13.20 01 AM 03/12
MARTINTOWN      13.83  09 PM 03/11    1.95      14.40 01 PM 03/13
RAYMOND          8.92  08 PM 03/11       M       9.10 07 AM 03/12
BRODHEAD         5.83  09 PM 03/11    3.67       5.94 01 AM 03/12
SHEBOYGAN       11.54  09 PM 03/11    3.28      11.80 07 AM 03/12
NEW MUNSTER     10.84  07 PM 03/11    3.45      12.10 01 PM 03/12
CLINTON          8.97  07 AM 03/11       M       7.84 01 AM 03/12
LODI             8.00  07 AM 03/11    2.90      ..NOT AVAILABLE..

...BELOW IS PREDICTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION INFORMATION FOR 
THE LISTED SITES...

(BCHW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

(BROW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BRODHEAD: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BRODHEAD: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
BRODHEAD: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
BRODHEAD: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

(CEDW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
CEDARBURG: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
CEDARBURG: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
CEDARBURG: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
CEDARBURG: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00

(DARW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
DARLINGTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
DARLINGTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
DARLINGTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
DARLINGTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

(MTNW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
MARTINTOWN: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
MARTINTOWN: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
MARTINTOWN: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
MARTINTOWN: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

(NMSW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
NEW MUNSTER: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
NEW MUNSTER: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
NEW MUNSTER: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
NEW MUNSTER: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01

(RAYW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
RAYMOND: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
RAYMOND: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
RAYMOND: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
RAYMOND: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01

(CLIW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
CLINTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
CLINTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
CLINTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
CLINTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

(LODW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
LODI: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
LODI: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
LODI: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
LODI: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01

(SEBW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
SHEBOYGAN: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
SHEBOYGAN: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
SHEBOYGAN: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
SHEBOYGAN: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00

(BLOW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BELOIT: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BELOIT: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
BELOIT: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
BELOLIT: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

862 
WGUS83 KMKX 121001
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
501 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WISCONSIN...ILLINOIS...
  EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE AFFECTING 
  LAFAYETTE COUNTY 
  FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER AFFECTING LAKE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES 
  MILWAUKEE RIVER NEAR CEDARBURG AFFECTING OZAUKEE COUNTY 
  PECATONICA RIVER AT MARTINTOWN AFFECTING GREEN COUNTY 
  ROOT RIVER CANAL AT RAYMOND AFFECTING RACINE COUNTY 
  SHEBOYGAN RIVER AT SHEBOYGAN AFFECTING SHEBOYGAN COUNTY 
  SPRING CREEK AT LODI AFFECTING COLUMBIA COUNTY 
  SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD AFFECTING ROCK AND GREEN COUNTIES 
  TURTLE CREEK NEAR BELOIT-3 NE AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY 
 
WIC065-122201-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130313T0800Z/
/BCHW3.1.ER.130311T0205Z.130312T0000Z.130312T2000Z.NO/
501 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE.
* AT  4:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.8 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 50 PERCENT CHANCE 
  FLOOD MEANING THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE
  RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL.  WATER COVERS A LOW SPOT ON HIGHWAY H 
  AND FLOODWATERS ARE INTO MCKELLAR PARK IN BLANCHARDVILLE.

$$

ILC097-WIC059-122201-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NMSW3.1.ER.130311T1632Z.130312T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
501 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER.
* AT  4:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.1 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.1 FEET...WATER IS UP TO THE FLOOR LEVELS OF SOME 
  HOMES IN THE WHEATLAND AREA.

$$

WIC089-122201-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130314T0600Z/
/CEDW3.1.ER.130311T1956Z.130312T1800Z.130314T0000Z.NO/
501 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MILWAUKEE RIVER NEAR CEDARBURG.
* AT  4:02 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.7 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS SPREAD INTO THE BACK YARDS OF 
  HOMES IN THE THIENSVILLE AREA.

$$

WIC045-122201-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130315T2100Z/
/MTNW3.1.ER.130311T2315Z.130312T1800Z.130315T1500Z.NO/
501 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PECATONICA RIVER AT MARTINTOWN.
* AT  4:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS GET INTO THE BACK YARD OF AT 
  LEAST ONE HOME IN MARTINTOWN.

$$

WIC101-122200-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-130313T1200Z/
/RAYW3.1.ER.130312T1054Z.130312T1200Z.130313T0000Z.NO/
501 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROOT RIVER CANAL AT RAYMOND.
* AT  4:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 9.1 FEET BY THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...WATER IS OVER A BASEBALL FIELD NEAR 6 MILE 
  ROAD. IN GENERAL...THE EFFECTS OF FLOODING AT STAGES ABOVE 9 FEET 
  ARE TO RURAL LAND AND AGRICULTURAL LAND

$$

WIC117-122200-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130316T1800Z/
/SEBW3.2.ER.130311T0140Z.130312T1200Z.130316T0600Z.NR/
501 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHEBOYGAN RIVER AT SHEBOYGAN.
* AT  4:20 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.8 FEET BY THIS
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.1 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS THE 4 PERCENT CHANCE FLOOD 
  MEANING THAT THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE 
  RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL.

$$

WIC021-122200-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LODW3.3.ER.130310T2335Z.130311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
501 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING CREEK AT LODI.
* AT  7:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING...NO FORECAST IS AVAILABLE.
* FORECASTS ARE NOT ISSUED FOR THIS LOCATION. THIS WARNING WILL 
  REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL THE RIVER FALLS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.


$$

WIC045-105-122200-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130313T1200Z/
/BROW3.1.ER.130311T1118Z.130312T1200Z.130313T0600Z.NO/
501 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD.
* AT  3:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 7.4 FEET...A STAGE OF 7.4 FEET CAN BE CONSIDERED TO BE 
  ABOUT A 50 PERCENT CHANCE FLOOD MEANING THERE IS A 50 PERCENT 
  CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL.  THERE 
  IS WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND FLOODING IN THE BRODHEAD 
  AREA.  DOWNSTREAM IN THE AVON BOTTOMS AREA OF ROCK COUNTY...THERE 
  IS FLOODING IN SUGAR RIVER PARK.

$$

WIC105-122200-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOW3.2.ER.000000T0000Z.130311T2140Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
501 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR BELOIT-3 NE.
* AT  4:40 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 

$$

&&

RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING
LOCATIONS. THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECAST TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST
PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ETC..AND PREDICTED 
FUTURE 24 HOUR BASIN-AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.
 
(STAGES IN FT.)        BANK-      LATEST         FORECAST STAGES
-               FLOOD  FULL      OBSERVED        ...FOR 7 PM...
LOCATION       STAGE  STAGE    STAGE/TIME       WED  THU  FRI  SAT
BLANCHARDVILLE  11.0   9.0  12.40 04 AM 03/12  10.4  8.3  6.8  6.5
NEW MUNSTER     10.0   9.0  11.45 04 AM 03/12  11.9 12.0 11.6 11.2
CEDARBURG       11.0  10.0  11.69 04 AM 03/12  11.7 11.0 10.2  9.3
MARTINTOWN      13.5   9.5  14.60 04 AM 03/12  14.6 14.4 14.0 12.7
RAYMOND          9.0   7.0   8.85 04 AM 03/12   9.0  7.7  5.9  5.1
BRODHEAD         5.0   4.5   6.83 04 AM 03/12   5.8  4.2  3.4  2.7
SHEBOYGAN        8.0   6.0  11.20 04 AM 03/12  10.9 10.1  8.8  8.2
LODI             6.5   5.5   8.00 07 AM 03/11

-                   HIGHEST      24 HOUR CHANGE
-                   OBSERVED     IN RIVER STAGE
-                   STAGE IN      (FT.) UP TO      HIGHEST STAGE
-                   THE LAST    LATEST OBSERVED     FORECAST IN
-                   7 DAYS          STAGE           NEXT 7 DAYS
BLANCHARDVILLE  13.03  07 PM 03/11    0.57      12.20 07 AM 03/12
CEDARBURG       11.69  04 AM 03/12    2.23      11.70 01 PM 03/12
MARTINTOWN      14.60  04 AM 03/12    1.45      14.84 01 PM 03/12
RAYMOND          8.93  11 PM 03/11    1.20       9.10 07 AM 03/12
BRODHEAD         6.83  04 AM 03/12    2.36       7.27 07 AM 03/12
SHEBOYGAN       11.54  10 PM 03/11    0.89      11.80 07 AM 03/12
NEW MUNSTER     11.24  12 AM 03/12    3.09      12.10 01 PM 03/12
LODI             8.00  07 AM 03/11    2.90      ..NOT AVAILABLE..

...BELOW IS PREDICTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION INFORMATION FOR 
THE LISTED SITES...

(BCHW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

(BROW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BRODHEAD: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BRODHEAD: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
BRODHEAD: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
BRODHEAD: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

(CEDW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
CEDARBURG: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
CEDARBURG: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
CEDARBURG: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
CEDARBURG: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00

(MTNW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
MARTINTOWN: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
MARTINTOWN: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
MARTINTOWN: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
MARTINTOWN: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

(NMSW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
NEW MUNSTER: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
NEW MUNSTER: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
NEW MUNSTER: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
NEW MUNSTER: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01

(RAYW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
RAYMOND: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
RAYMOND: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
RAYMOND: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
RAYMOND: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01

(LODW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
LODI: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
LODI: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
LODI: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
LODI: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01

(SEBW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
SHEBOYGAN: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
SHEBOYGAN: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
SHEBOYGAN: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
SHEBOYGAN: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00

(BLOW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BELOIT: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BELOIT: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
BELOIT: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
BELOLIT: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
333 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

.VERY SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM
TO HIGH

BAND OF LIGHT TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. THIS
AREA OF SNOW WILL WIND DOWN BY EVENING. LOOKS PRETTY QUIET THEN
OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY...WITH A ROUND OF SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN
THE AFTERNOON AS A WEAK WAVE ROLLS THROUGH. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION TOMORROW...MAYBE A DUSTING TO A COUPLE
TENTHS OF AN INCH.

KEPT LOWS A TOUCH HIGHER THAN SOME OF THE MODELS...AS EXPECT CLOUDY
SKIES TO LINGER. HIGHS TOMORROW WILL REMAIN A FEW DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL.

.SHORT TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM.

REGION REMAINS ON THE CYCLONIC SIDE OF THE UPPER JET AND UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND DEEP NEUTRALLY-ORIENTED 500
MB TROUGH AS IT SLOWLY PUSHES EAST. CLOUDS AND VERY LIGHT SNOW WILL
BE EXITING TO THE SOUTHEAST TUESDAY EVENING WITH SHORT WAVE. NO
NOCTURNAL INVERSION WITH NW WINDS KEEPING BOUNDARY LAYER MIXED AS
925 MB TEMPS DROP TO -9C TO -11C BY 12Z WED. CLOUD COVER WILL HELP
BUT STILL ADJUSTED BLENDED TEMPERATURES DOWN A DEGREE OR TWO CLOSER
TO THE COLDER MAV NUMBERS.

WILL FINALLY SEE SOME SUNSHINE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH SURFACE RIDGE
MOVING ACROSS THE REGION. MODELS IN SIGNIFICANT DISAGREEMENT WITH
THE DEGREE OF COLD AIR ADVECTION AND SUBSEQUENT 925 MB TEMPS. USING
BLENDED TEMPS AND WITH A TWEAK UP FOR THE MARCH SUN STILL YIELDS
BELOW NORMAL HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 30S.

WARM ADVECTION KICKS IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF NEXT SHORT WAVE AS
SURFACE RIDGE PASSES TO THE EAST... RAISING 925 MB TEMPS 2C TO 3C
OVERNIGHT. MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVERSPREAD SRN WI AFTER 06Z
THURSDAY PREVENTING A COMPLETE RADIATIONAL DROP TO THE 10-15F DEW
POINTS WITH THE LIGHT WINDS. TEMPS WILL FALL INTO THE LOWER 20S
BEFORE THE CLOUD COVER MOVES IN ALLOWING OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID
TO UPPER TEENS.

THURSDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE LOW TO MEDIUM.

12Z GFS BRINGS A SHORT WAVE ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY...WITH NAM AND
GEM KEEPING THE WAVE A BIT FARTHER SW AND TAKING ANY PCPN TO THE SW
WITH THE WAVE. 00Z ECMWF WAS CLOSER TO THE GFS SOLUTION...BUT THE
12Z RUN IS NOW FARTHER SW BARELY CLIPPING THE SW CWA. FOR NOW...WILL
USE A CONSENSUS BLEND THAT BRINGS SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE CWA.
WILL START IN THE MORNING AS LIGHT SNOW...THEN MIX WITH OR CHANGE
OVER TO ALL RAIN. NAM REMAINS WARMER THAN GFS AND ECMWF AT 925
MB...SO USED A BLEND FOR HIGHS.

.LONG TERM...HURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST CONFIDENCE LOW
TO MEDIUM.

TIMING AND PLACEMENT DIFFERENCES ABOUND WITH THE NEXT SERIES OF WEAK
SHORT WAVES IN WNW FLOW BRINGING SLIGHT CHANCES/CHANCES FOR PCPN
FROM FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY. LOW CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE PERIOD SEEING
PCPN. WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S
..AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 20S PCPN TYPE WILL BE DEPENDENT ON TIME
OF DAY.

SOME CONCERN DEVELOPING FOR MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT AS DPROG/DT ON
SYSTEM SHOWS GFS HAS PULLED BACK TO THE WEST AND DROPPED 1000-500 MB
THICKNESSES ABOUT 10 DAM FROM THE 11/00Z RUN TO THE 11/12Z RUN WITH
DRY AIR AND HIGH PRESSURE KEEPING SRN WI COOL AND DRY THROUGH THE
DAY MONDAY. THE FORECAST AREA GETS CLIPPED BY A 1/4 INCH OR LESS OF
QPF AS THE DEEPENING LOW MOVES UP THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TO NR
LOUISVILLE BY 12Z TUE.

ECMWF HAS GONE FROM A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH PASSING THROUGH THE CWA
MONDAY...TO DEVELOPING A PANHANDLE HOOK WHILE TRACKING SIMILARLY TO
THE GFS LOW...BUT SHOWING AN INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDING NW INTO SRN
WI THAT FOCUSES 0.30 INCH TO 0.50 INCH OF QPF THAT WOULD FALL AS ALL
SNOW.  STAY UP WITH THE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION/00Z TAFS/...

BAND OF LIGHT TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. SEEMS
THE TAF SITES WILL BE MISSED BY THE BRUNT OF THIS BAND. THIS
AREA OF SNOW WILL WIND DOWN BY EVENING. LOOKS PRETTY QUIET THEN
OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY...WITH A ROUND OF SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN
THE AFTERNOON AS A WEAK WAVE ROLLS THROUGH. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN
THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION TOMORROW...MAYBE A DUSTING TO A COUPLE
TENTHS OF AN INCH.

MAINLY IFR/MVFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. SHOULD SEE
SOME IMPROVEMENT IN THE CLOUD DECK BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...THOUGH
WILL LIKELY STILL REMAIN MVFR. OUTSIDE OF SHOW SHOWERS...VSBYS
SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR BY LATE EVENING OR EARLY IN THE NIGHT AS LOW
LEVEL WINDS INCREASE A BIT.

&&

.MARINE...

MAY EVENTUALLY NEED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS NORTHWEST WINDS DECREASE BEHIND DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

TONIGHT/TUESDAY AND AVIATION/MARINE...DDV
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...REM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
343 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-122045-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
343 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

MODERATE RAINFALL AND MELTING SNOW OVER THE WEEKEND HAS CAUSED
AREA RIVERS TO RISE ABOVE BANKFULL AND FLOOD STAGE. THESE HIGH
RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.

LMZ643>646-122045-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
343 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WINDS AND WAVES WILL APPROACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES BETWEEN DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTHEAST AND
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHING THE REGION FROM THE PLAINS.

REM
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