Alert archive / Wisconsin / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 15, NWS Milwaukee, WI

March 11, 2013Rock County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this river flood warning at Mar 11, 2013, 12:28 PM CDT for Rock County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 16 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 11, 2013, 12:28 PM CDT (17:28 UTC)
Expired
Mar 12, 2013, 4:56 AM CDT
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Milwaukee, WI
Flood severity
Minor

County Rock County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Turtle Creek near Clinton (CLIW3).

Action stage
6 ft
Minor stage
8 ft
Moderate stage
11 ft
Major stage
12 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05431486, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

227 
WGUS43 KMKX 111728
FLWMKX
 
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1228 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN...

  TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY

WIC105-120516-
/O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0015.130311T1728Z-130312T0516Z/
/CLIW3.1.ER.130311T0600Z.130311T1215Z.130311T1716Z.UU/
1228 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON.
* AT 12:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.3 FEET...THERE IS FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND AND 
  LOWLAND. 

&& 

RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING
LOCATIONS. THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECAST TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST
PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ETC..AND PREDICTED
FUTURE 24 HOUR BASIN-AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.
 
(STAGES IN FT.)        BANK-      LATEST         FORECAST STAGES
-               FLOOD  FULL      OBSERVED        ...FOR 7 AM...
LOCATION       STAGE  STAGE    STAGE/TIME       TUE  WED  THU  FRI
CLINTON          8.0   6.0   8.78 12 PM 03/11   6.2  5.5  4.9  4.6

-                   HIGHEST      24 HOUR CHANGE
-                   OBSERVED     IN RIVER STAGE
-                   STAGE IN      (FT.) UP TO      HIGHEST STAGE
-                   THE LAST    LATEST OBSERVED     FORECAST IN
-                   7 DAYS          STAGE           NEXT 7 DAYS
CLINTON          8.97  07 AM 03/11       M       6.20 07 PM 03/11

...BELOW IS PREDICTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION INFORMATION...

(CLIW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
CLINTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.03
CLINTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.04
CLINTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
CLINTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00

$$
3 follow-up statements
461 
WGUS83 KMKX 112125
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
425 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WISCONSIN...ILLINOIS...
 
  EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE AFFECTING LAFAYETTE
  COUNTY 
  FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER AFFECTING LAKE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES 
  PECATONICA RIVER AT DARLINGTON AFFECTING LAFAYETTE COUNTY 
  ROOT RIVER AT FRANKLIN AFFECTING MILWAUKEE COUNTY 
  SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD AFFECTING ROCK AND GREEN COUNTIES 
  TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WISCONSIN...
  MILWAUKEE RIVER NEAR CEDARBURG AFFECTING OZAUKEE COUNTY 
  SHEBOYGAN RIVER AT SHEBOYGAN AFFECTING SHEBOYGAN COUNTY 
  SPRING CREEK AT LODI AFFECTING COLUMBIA COUNTY 
  TURTLE CREEK NEAR BELOIT-3 NE AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY 
 
WIC065-120925-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130312T1800Z/
/BCHW3.1.ER.130311T0205Z.130311T2100Z.130312T0600Z.NO/
425 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE.
* AT  4:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 12.8 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 50 PERCENT CHANCE 
  FLOOD MEANING THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE
  RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL.  WATER COVERS A LOW SPOT ON HIGHWAY H 
  AND FLOODWATERS ARE INTO MCKELLAR PARK IN BLANCHARDVILLE.

$$

ILC097-WIC059-120925-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NMSW3.1.ER.130311T1632Z.130313T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
425 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER.
* AT  4:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.6 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.6 FEET...WATER SURROUNDS A HOME AT THE INTERSECTION 
  OF HIGHWAY 50 AND HIGHWAY W IN THE WHEATLAND AREA.

$$

WIC089-120925-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130314T0000Z/
/CEDW3.1.ER.130311T1956Z.130312T0600Z.130313T1800Z.NO/
425 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MILWAUKEE RIVER NEAR CEDARBURG.
* AT  4:02 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.5 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS SPREAD INTO THE BACK YARDS OF 
  HOMES IN THE THIENSVILLE AREA.

$$

WIC065-120925-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130312T1617Z/
/DARW3.1.ER.130311T0621Z.130311T1600Z.130312T0417Z.NO/
425 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PECATONICA RIVER AT DARLINGTON.
* AT  3:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 13.9 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 50 PERCENT CHANCE 
  FLOOD MEANING THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE
  RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL.

$$

WIC079-120924-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-130312T1856Z/
/FRKW3.1.ER.130311T1327Z.130311T1600Z.130312T0656Z.NO/
425 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROOT RIVER AT FRANKLIN.
* AT  3:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...A LOW SPOT ON OAKWOOD ROAD IS FLOODED

$$

WIC117-120924-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130316T1200Z/
/SEBW3.2.ER.130311T0140Z.130312T0600Z.130316T0000Z.NR/
425 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHEBOYGAN RIVER AT SHEBOYGAN.
* AT  3:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.5 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.1 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS THE 4 PERCENT CHANCE FLOOD 
  MEANING THAT THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE 
  RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL.

$$

WIC021-120924-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LODW3.3.ER.130310T2335Z.130311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
425 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING CREEK AT LODI.
* AT  7:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING...NO FORECAST IS AVAILABLE.
* FORECASTS ARE NOT ISSUED FOR THIS LOCATION. THIS WARNING WILL 
  REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL THE RIVER FALLS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.


$$

WIC045-105-120924-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130312T1251Z/
/BROW3.1.ER.130311T1118Z.130312T0000Z.130312T0651Z.NO/
425 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD.
* AT  3:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 5.6 FEET BY THIS 
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...SOME ROADS BECOME FLOODED ABOUT 6 MILES 
  DOWNSTREAM IN AVON TOWNSHIP IN ROCK COUNTY.  IN THE AVON BOTTOMS 
  AREA OF ROCK COUNTY...SOME MINOR FLOODING DEVELOPS IN SUGAR RIVER 
  PARK...INCLUDING THE BOAT RAMP.

$$

WIC105-120924-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOW3.2.ER.000000T0000Z.130311T1710Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
425 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

$$

WIC105-120924-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-130312T1424Z/
/CLIW3.1.ER.130311T0600Z.130311T1215Z.130312T0224Z.UU/
425 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON.
* AT  3:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 8.3 FEET...THERE IS FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND AND 
  LOWLAND. 

$$

&& 

RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING
LOCATIONS. THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECAST TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST
PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ETC..AND PREDICTED
FUTURE 24 HOUR BASIN-AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.
 
(STAGES IN FT.)        BANK-      LATEST         FORECAST STAGES
-               FLOOD  FULL      OBSERVED        ...FOR 7 AM...
LOCATION       STAGE  STAGE    STAGE/TIME       TUE  WED  THU  FRI
BLANCHARDVILLE  11.0   9.0  12.97 04 PM 03/11   9.8  6.5  6.0  5.8
NEW MUNSTER     10.0   9.0  10.56 04 PM 03/11  11.4 11.6 11.3 10.9
CEDARBURG       11.0  10.0  11.03 04 PM 03/11  11.5 11.1 10.5  9.7
DARLINGTON      13.5  10.0  14.32 03 PM 03/11  12.4  9.3  6.3  3.8
BRODHEAD         5.0   4.5   5.45 04 PM 03/11   4.4  3.6  3.1  2.5
SHEBOYGAN        8.0   6.0  11.37 03 PM 03/11  11.5 10.5  9.4  8.5
FRANKLIN         8.0   7.0   8.03 03 PM 03/11   7.9  7.1  6.2  5.5
CLINTON          8.0   6.0   8.55 03 PM 03/11   7.0  5.2  4.9  4.6
LODI             6.5   5.5   8.00 07 AM 03/11   NOT A FORECAST POINT
BELOIT-3 NE      9.0   7.5  11.45 12 PM 03/11   NOT A FORECAST POINT

-                   HIGHEST      24 HOUR CHANGE
-                   OBSERVED     IN RIVER STAGE
-                   STAGE IN      (FT.) UP TO      HIGHEST STAGE
-                   THE LAST    LATEST OBSERVED     FORECAST IN
-                   7 DAYS          STAGE           NEXT 7 DAYS
BLANCHARDVILLE  12.97  04 PM 03/11    3.56      12.90 07 PM 03/11
CEDARBURG       11.06  04 PM 03/11    3.50      11.50 01 AM 03/12
DARLINGTON      14.42  11 AM 03/11    3.60      14.00 07 PM 03/11
BRODHEAD         5.48  03 PM 03/11    4.06       5.60 07 PM 03/11
SHEBOYGAN       11.37  03 PM 03/11    4.62      11.58 01 AM 03/12
FRANKLIN         8.12  11 AM 03/11    4.21       8.02 07 PM 03/11
NEW MUNSTER     10.43  03 PM 03/11    3.48      11.60 07 PM 03/12
CLINTON          8.97  07 AM 03/11       M       8.20 07 PM 03/11
LODI             8.00  07 AM 03/11    2.90      ..NOT AVAILABLE..
BELOIT-3 NE     11.45  12 PM 03/11       M      ..NOT AVAILABLE..

...BELOW IS PREDICTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION INFORMATION...

(BCHW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 AM-1 PM   0.03
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00

(NMSW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
NEW MUNSTER: 7 AM-1 PM   0.03
NEW MUNSTER: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00
NEW MUNSTER: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
NEW MUNSTER: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00

(CEDW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
CEDARBURG: 7 AM-1 PM   0.05
CEDARBURG: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02
CEDARBURG: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
CEDARBURG: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00

(DARW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
DARLINGTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.03
DARLINGTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00
DARLINGTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
DARLINGTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00

(BROW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BRODHEAD: 7 AM-1 PM   0.03
BRODHEAD: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00
BRODHEAD: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BRODHEAD: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00

(LODW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
LODI: 7 AM-1 PM   0.04
LODI: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00
LODI: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
LODI: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00

(FRKW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
FRANKLIN: 7 AM-1 PM   0.04
FRANKLIN: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01
FRANKLIN: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
FRANKLIN: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00

(SEBW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
SHEBOYGAN: 7 AM-1 PM   0.05
SHEBOYGAN: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02
SHEBOYGAN: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
SHEBOYGAN: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00

(CLIW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
CLINTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.03
CLINTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00
CLINTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
CLINTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00

(BLOW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BELOIT: 7 AM-1 PM   0.03
BELOIT: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00
BELOIT: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BELOIT: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
261 
WGUS83 KMKX 120243
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WISCONSIN...
 
  EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE AFFECTING LAFAYETTE
  COUNTY 
  MILWAUKEE RIVER NEAR CEDARBURG AFFECTING OZAUKEE COUNTY 
  PECATONICA RIVER AT DARLINGTON AFFECTING LAFAYETTE COUNTY 
  SHEBOYGAN RIVER AT SHEBOYGAN AFFECTING SHEBOYGAN COUNTY 
  SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD AFFECTING ROCK AND GREEN COUNTIES 
  TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
ILLINOIS...WISCONSIN...
  FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER AFFECTING LAKE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES 
  PECATONICA RIVER AT MARTINTOWN AFFECTING GREEN COUNTY 
  ROOT RIVER CANAL AT RAYMOND AFFECTING RACINE COUNTY 
  SPRING CREEK AT LODI AFFECTING COLUMBIA COUNTY 
  TURTLE CREEK NEAR BELOIT-3 NE AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY 
 
WIC065-121443-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130313T0800Z/
/BCHW3.1.ER.130311T0205Z.130312T0000Z.130312T2000Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE.
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.8 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 50 PERCENT CHANCE 
  FLOOD MEANING THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE
  RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL.  WATER COVERS A LOW SPOT ON HIGHWAY H 
  AND FLOODWATERS ARE INTO MCKELLAR PARK IN BLANCHARDVILLE.

$$

ILC097-WIC059-121443-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NMSW3.1.ER.130311T1632Z.130312T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER.
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.1 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.1 FEET...WATER IS UP TO THE FLOOR LEVELS OF SOME 
  HOMES IN THE WHEATLAND AREA.

$$

WIC089-121443-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130314T0600Z/
/CEDW3.1.ER.130311T1956Z.130312T1800Z.130314T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MILWAUKEE RIVER NEAR CEDARBURG.
* AT  9:02 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.7 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS SPREAD INTO THE BACK YARDS OF 
  HOMES IN THE THIENSVILLE AREA.

$$

WIC065-121443-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130312T1605Z/
/DARW3.1.ER.130311T0621Z.130311T1600Z.130312T0405Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PECATONICA RIVER AT DARLINGTON.
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 13.9 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 50 PERCENT CHANCE 
  FLOOD MEANING THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE
  RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL.

$$

WIC045-121443-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130315T2100Z/
/MTNW3.1.ER.130311T2315Z.130313T1800Z.130315T1500Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PECATONICA RIVER AT MARTINTOWN.
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.4 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...FLOODWATERS AFFECT MARTINTOWN ROAD AND WEST
  RIVER ROAD IN THE MARTINTOWN AREA.  UPSTREAM IN THE BROWNTOWN 
  AREA...FLOODWATERS AFFECT HIGHWAY MM AND WEST INDIES ROAD.

$$

WIC101-121443-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0017.130312T0600Z-130313T1200Z/
/RAYW3.1.ER.130312T0600Z.130312T1200Z.130313T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROOT RIVER CANAL AT RAYMOND.
* AT  9:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 9.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...WATER IS OVER A BASEBALL FIELD NEAR 6 MILE 
  ROAD. IN GENERAL...THE EFFECTS OF FLOODING AT STAGES ABOVE 9 FEET 
  ARE TO RURAL LAND AND AGRICULTURAL LAND

$$

WIC117-121443-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130316T1800Z/
/SEBW3.2.ER.130311T0140Z.130312T1200Z.130316T0600Z.NR/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHEBOYGAN RIVER AT SHEBOYGAN.
* AT  9:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.8 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.1 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS THE 4 PERCENT CHANCE FLOOD 
  MEANING THAT THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR OF THE 
  RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL.

$$

WIC021-121443-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LODW3.3.ER.130310T2335Z.130311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING CREEK AT LODI.
* AT  7:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING...NO FORECAST IS AVAILABLE.
* FORECASTS ARE NOT ISSUED FOR THIS LOCATION. THIS WARNING WILL 
  REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL THE RIVER FALLS BELOW FLOOD STAGE.


$$

WIC045-105-121443-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130313T1200Z/
/BROW3.1.ER.130311T1118Z.130312T0600Z.130313T0600Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD.
* AT  8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 5.9 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.5 FEET...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLAND AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND.  DOWNSTREAM IN THE AVON BOTTOMS AREA OF ROCK 
  COUNTY...THERE IS FLOODING IN SUGAR RIVER PARK.

$$

WIC105-121443-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOW3.2.ER.000000T0000Z.130311T2140Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR BELOIT-3 NE.
* AT  4:40 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 

$$

WIC105-121400-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-130312T1400Z/
/CLIW3.1.ER.130311T0600Z.130311T1215Z.130312T0200Z.UU/
943 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON.
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THERE IS FLOODING TO AGRICULTURAL LAND AND 
  LOWLAND

$$

&&

RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING
LOCATIONS. THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECAST TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST
PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ETC..AND PREDICTED 
FUTURE 24 HOUR BASIN-AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.
 
(STAGES IN FT.)        BANK-      LATEST         FORECAST STAGES
-               FLOOD  FULL      OBSERVED        ...FOR 7 PM...
LOCATION       STAGE  STAGE    STAGE/TIME       TUE  WED  THU  FRI
BLANCHARDVILLE  11.0   9.0  12.97 09 PM 03/11  10.4  8.3  6.8  6.5
NEW MUNSTER     10.0   9.0  11.00 09 PM 03/11  12.1 12.0 11.7 11.2
CEDARBURG       11.0  10.0  11.33 09 PM 03/11  11.7 11.0 10.2  9.3
DARLINGTON      13.5  10.0  13.83 09 PM 03/11  11.1  8.4  6.9  6.0
MARTINTOWN      13.5   9.5  13.83 09 PM 03/11  14.0 14.4 14.0 12.7
RAYMOND          9.0   7.0   8.89 09 PM 03/11   9.0  7.7  5.9  5.1
BRODHEAD         5.0   4.5   5.83 09 PM 03/11   5.3  4.2  3.4  2.7
SHEBOYGAN        8.0   6.0  11.53 09 PM 03/11  11.3 10.1  8.8  8.2
CLINTON          8.0   6.0   8.00 09 PM 03/11   6.6  5.5  4.9  4.7
LODI             6.5   5.5   8.00 07 AM 03/11

-                   HIGHEST      24 HOUR CHANGE
-                   OBSERVED     IN RIVER STAGE
-                   STAGE IN      (FT.) UP TO      HIGHEST STAGE
-                   THE LAST    LATEST OBSERVED     FORECAST IN
-                   7 DAYS          STAGE           NEXT 7 DAYS
BLANCHARDVILLE  13.03  07 PM 03/11    1.98      12.80 01 AM 03/12
CEDARBURG       11.33  09 PM 03/11    3.28      11.70 01 PM 03/12
DARLINGTON      14.42  11 AM 03/11    1.90      13.20 01 AM 03/12
MARTINTOWN      13.83  09 PM 03/11    1.95      14.40 01 PM 03/13
RAYMOND          8.92  08 PM 03/11       M       9.10 07 AM 03/12
BRODHEAD         5.83  09 PM 03/11    3.67       5.94 01 AM 03/12
SHEBOYGAN       11.54  09 PM 03/11    3.28      11.80 07 AM 03/12
NEW MUNSTER     10.84  07 PM 03/11    3.45      12.10 01 PM 03/12
CLINTON          8.97  07 AM 03/11       M       7.84 01 AM 03/12
LODI             8.00  07 AM 03/11    2.90      ..NOT AVAILABLE..

...BELOW IS PREDICTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION INFORMATION FOR 
THE LISTED SITES...

(BCHW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

(BROW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BRODHEAD: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BRODHEAD: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
BRODHEAD: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
BRODHEAD: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

(CEDW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
CEDARBURG: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
CEDARBURG: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
CEDARBURG: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
CEDARBURG: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00

(DARW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
DARLINGTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
DARLINGTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
DARLINGTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
DARLINGTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

(MTNW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
MARTINTOWN: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
MARTINTOWN: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
MARTINTOWN: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
MARTINTOWN: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

(NMSW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
NEW MUNSTER: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
NEW MUNSTER: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
NEW MUNSTER: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
NEW MUNSTER: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01

(RAYW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
RAYMOND: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
RAYMOND: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
RAYMOND: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
RAYMOND: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01

(CLIW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
CLINTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
CLINTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
CLINTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
CLINTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

(LODW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
LODI: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
LODI: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
LODI: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
LODI: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01

(SEBW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
SHEBOYGAN: 7 PM-1 AM   0.01
SHEBOYGAN: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
SHEBOYGAN: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
SHEBOYGAN: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00

(BLOW3) 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BELOIT: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BELOIT: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
BELOIT: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
BELOLIT: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02
849 
WGUS83 KMKX 120956
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
456 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WISCONSIN...
 
  PECATONICA RIVER AT DARLINGTON AFFECTING LAFAYETTE COUNTY
  TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY
 
WIC065-121026-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130312T1605Z/
/DARW3.1.ER.130311T0621Z.130311T1600Z.130312T0437Z.NO/
456 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PECATONICA RIVER AT DARLINGTON.
* AT  4:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:37 PM MONDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 9.7 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THERE IS MINOR URBAN FLOODING IN 
  DARLINGTON.

$$

WIC105-121026-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-130312T1400Z/
/CLIW3.1.ER.130311T0600Z.130311T1215Z.130312T0200Z.UU/
456 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON.
* AT  4:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  9:00 PM MONDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 6.0 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...THERE IS MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING

$$

&&

RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING
LOCATIONS. THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECAST TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST
PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ETC..AND PREDICTED 
FUTURE 24 HOUR BASIN-AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.
 
(STAGES IN FT.)        BANK-      LATEST         FORECAST STAGES
-               FLOOD  FULL      OBSERVED        ...FOR 7 PM...
LOCATION       STAGE  STAGE    STAGE/TIME       WED  THU  FRI  SAT
DARLINGTON      13.5  10.0  12.78 04 AM 03/12  11.1  8.4  6.9  6.0
CLINTON          8.0   6.0   7.32 04 AM 03/12   6.4  5.5  4.9  4.7

-                   HIGHEST      24 HOUR CHANGE
-                   OBSERVED     IN RIVER STAGE
-                   STAGE IN      (FT.) UP TO      HIGHEST STAGE
-                   THE LAST    LATEST OBSERVED     FORECAST IN
-                   7 DAYS          STAGE           NEXT 7 DAYS
DARLINGTON      14.42  11 AM 03/11   -1.26      12.50 07 AM 03/12
CLINTON          8.97  07 AM 03/11   -1.23       7.17 07 AM 03/12

...BELOW IS PREDICTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION INFORMATION FOR 
THE LISTED SITES...

(DARW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
DARLINGTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
DARLINGTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
DARLINGTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
DARLINGTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

(CLIW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
CLINTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
CLINTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00
CLINTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
CLINTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 11, 10:32 AM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 11, 10:32 AM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1032 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

.UPDATE...RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THIS
MORNING...POSSIBLY SLIDING NORTH INTO THE NORTHEAST BY LATE
MORNING. WATCHING POTENTIAL FOR TAIL END OF DEFORMATION BAND OF
SNOW TO SLIDE ACROSS THE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS BAND IS A BIT
FARTHER WEST THAN ORIGINALLY EXPECTED...SO MAY HAVE TO CUT BACK ON
AFTERNOON POPS IF IT LOOKS LIKE SNOW WILL BE MAINLY NORTH OF THE
CWA BY THE TIME IT GETS THIS FAR EAST. TEMPS STILL EXPECTED TO
HOLD FAIRLY STEADY IN THE LOW TO MID 30S FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
DAY.

&&

.AVIATION/18Z TAFS/...DENSE FOG APPEARS TO BE OVER AT THIS
POINT...AND EXPECT IT SHOULD REMAIN THAT WAY THROUGH THE DAY. LOW
CIGS WILL HANG AROUND THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO TONIGHT...LIKELY
VARYING FROM 2 TO 15 HFT. SOME DRIER AIR FILTERS IN TONIGHT...BUT
NOT SURE IT WILL BE ENOUGH TO GET RID OF THE STRATUS. A LITTLE MORE
DRIER AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS TOMORROW...SHOULD AT LEAST RESULT IN
CIGS IMPROVING TO MVFR. WEAK WAVE TOMORROW MAY BRING A FEW SNOW
SHOWERS TO THE AREA BY AFTERNOON. NOT REALLY EXPECTING MUCH MORE
THAN A DUSTING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 353 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013/

TODAY AND TONIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM.

WL CANCEL WINTER WX ADVY AS HEAVIER SNOW HAS REMAINED NORTHWEST OF
THIS AREA OVERNIGHT. MAY BE PATCHY -ZL MIXED IN WITH OCNL -SN
EARLY THIS MRNG IN THIS AREA BUT NOT ENOUGH TO WARRANT HEADLINES.
OTHERWISE...LINGERING SFC TROUGH OVER EASTERN TAF SITES EARLY THIS
MRNG RESULTING IN LIGHT BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS. THE LIGHT WINDS AND
COPIOUS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF
DENSE FOG IN PARTS OF THE EAST THRU 12Z AND PERHAPS SEVERAL HOURS
BEYOND.

WL EXTEND DENSE FOG ADVY FOR SEVERAL HOURS IN THESE AREAS BUT LET
THE WESTERN FRINGES EITHER EXPIRE AT 12Z OR WL CANCEL
EARLY...PENDING HOW SFC OBS REACT TO THE GRADUALLY INCREASING
BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS AS SFC LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHWARD OVER LAKE
MI...ALLOWING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY. ALREADY
SEEING SOME OBS VSBY INCREASE EVEN WITH LIGHT WEST TO NW SFC WNDS
AROUND 5KTS. BRIEF BURST OF HIGHER WINDS AT KENW HAS CAUSED VSBY
TO INCREASE...BUT THINKING THIS MAY BE TEMPORARY.

OTHERWISE...PATCHY DRIZZLE AND VERY LIGHT RAIN THIS MRNG IN THE
EAST WITH PATCHY LIGHT SNOW AND POSSIBLY SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE IN
THE WEST. CRITICAL THICKNESSES GRADUALLY FALL FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE CWA TODAY AS WEAKENING MID-LEVEL TROUGH AND DEFORMATION
SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION. LOW TO MID LEVEL Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE
SPREADS ACROSS SRN WI DURING THE DAY. HENCE AREAS OF MOSTLY -SN
EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF SRN WI THIS AFTN...POSSIBLY
LINGERING INTO THE EVENING. ANY ACCUMULATION WILL REMAIN LIGHT.

WEAKENING OMEGA ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGH PUSHES NORTHEAST OF THE
AREA TONIGHT. HOWEVER OVERNIGHT...WEAK ISENTROPIC OMEGA CAUSED BY
SHORT WAVE PASSING TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA MAY BRING SOME -SN
BACK INTO SRN WI AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM.

SHORT TERM MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A 500MB SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING
EAST SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY. STRONG VORTICITY
MAXIMUM WITHIN TROUGH ROTATES THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE
AREA...DEPENDING ON WHICH MODEL SOLUTION IS USED. NAM/GFS FORECAST
SOUNDINGS ALSO SHOWING STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH SATURATION
AND IN THE DENDRITE GROWTH ZONE. NAM MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH LAPSE
RATES AND WEAK CAPE THAN THE GFS. NAM/GFS SHOWING LIGHT QPF...WITH
THE ECMWF/CANADIAN SHOWING LITTLE TO NO QPF.

ENOUGH EVIDENCE TO RAISE POPS TO HIGHER END CHANCE POPS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. MAY HAVE TO GO HIGHER IN LATER FORECASTS IF MODELS
REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH THE ABOVE FEATURES. VERY LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS MAY OCCUR WITH THESE SNOW SHOWERS. MAY SEE A MIX OF
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON IF
TEMPERATURES GET ABOVE FREEZING AS FORECAST. COULD SEE GUSTY WINDS
OCCUR WITH THE RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS AS WELL WITH THE STEEP LAPSE
RATES.

NAM KEEPS MOIST LOW LEVELS/STEEP LAPSE RATES INTO TUESDAY
EVENING...WITH THE GFS DRYING THINGS OUT. CANADIAN/NAM/ECMWF
SHOWING LIGHT QPF IN THE EVENING...WITH OTHER MODELS DRY. NOT
MUCH IN THE WAY OF UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION SEEN DURING THE
EVENING...BESIDES SOME MODEST Q VECTOR CONVERGENCE IN THE LOW TO
MID LEVELS. FOR NOW...WILL LEAVE LOW POPS IN THE EAST FOR TUESDAY
NIGHT. COOL TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER.

HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL BRING QUIET WEATHER TO THE AREA...ALONG WITH MODERATING
TEMPERATURES.

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM.

GFS/ECMWF SHOWING SOME DIFFERENCES WITH FEATURES DURING THIS
PERIOD. ECMWF IS ABOUT SIX HOURS QUICKER WITH BRINGING FOCUSED
WARM AIR ADVECTION AND SHORTWAVE TROUGH/VORTICITY MAXIMUM
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT. MAY SEE LIGHT
SNOW BECOME A MIX DURING THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AS TEMPERATURES RISE
ABOVE FREEZING. USED CONSENSUS POPS AND TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY
AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

WEST NORTHWEST 500MB FLOW GRADUALLY SHIFTS MORE WESTERLY FRIDAY
INTO SUNDAY ACROSS THE REGION. GFS/ECMWF BRING A WEAK LOW
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE REGION LATE SATURDAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT.

BOTH MODELS BRING AT LEAST LIGHT QPF ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY
NIGHT...THEN PRECIPITATION WINDING DOWN ON SATURDAY. DRIER FLOW
FROM THE EAST TRIES TO DRY THINGS OUT FOR A TIME SUNDAY...THOUGH
AREA DOES GET CLIPPED BY QPF. CONTINUED TREND WITH CONSENSUS POPS
AND TEMPERATURES.

AVIATION/12Z TAFS/...

AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL GRADUALLY THIN AND DISSIPATE THIS MORNING
AS BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS SLOWLY INCREASE BEHIND SFC LOW MOVING
NORTHWARD OVER LAKE MI. MAY NEED TO KEEP SOME 1/4SM VSBYS IN ERN
TAF SITES FOR A TIME BEYOND 12Z. OTRW IFR AND LOWER CIGS AND VSBYS
WL INCREASE TO MVFR LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MARINE...

CANCELLED SMALL CRAFT FOR LMZ643 AS PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS BECOME
MUCH MORE BAGGIER ACROSS THE NEARSHORE WATERS OVERNIGHT AS SFC LOW
PRESSURE MOVED NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. LINGERING SFC TROUGH
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NEARSHORE WATERS THIS MRNG AS LOW PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO MOVE NWD. WINDS WL TURN TO THE WEST TO NORTHWEST AND
INCREASE ONCE AGAIN LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS WL REACH
THE LOWER 20 KT RANGE BUT NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO ISSUE SMALL
CRAFT ADVY AT THIS TIME.

AVAILABLE WEBCAMS NOT SHOWING MUCH FOG OVER THE SHORE AREAS
OVERNIGHT AND WITH LOWER DEWPT AIR SLOWLY PUSHING ACROSS NEARSHORE
WATERS THIS MRNG...NOT PLANNING ON ISSUING MARINE DENSE FOG ADVY
AT THIS TIME. OF COURSE THIS MAY CHANGE ONCE THE SUN RISES.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...DDV
TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION/MARINE...MBK
TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WOOD
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 11, 9:41 AM CDT, 2 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
941 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-121445-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
941 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MODERATE RAINFALL AND MELTING SNOW OVER THE WEEKEND HAS CAUSED
AREA RIVERS TO RISE ABOVE BANKFULL AND FLOOD STAGE. THESE HIGH
RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.

LMZ643>646-121445-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
941 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

WINDS AND WAVES WILL APPROACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES.

REM
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 11, 4:04 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXLafayette25 hr
Mar 11, 4:22 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXGreen, Rock3 days
Mar 11, 6:34 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXKenosha7 days
Mar 11, 8:01 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXColumbia4 days
Mar 11, 8:29 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXRock37 hr
Mar 11, 10:10 AM CDTRiver Flood WatchMKXGreen10 hr
Mar 11, 10:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXOzaukee4 days
Mar 11, 10:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXMilwaukee10 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Wisconsin, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.