Alert archive / Oregon / Red Flag Warnings in 2013
Red Flag Warning 10, NWS Medford, OR
NWS Medford, OR issued this red flag warning at Aug 6, 2013, 12:58 PM PDT for 9 counties in Oregon; Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California. It took effect at Aug 6, 2013, 11:00 PM PDT. It was in force for 3 days. 18 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 6, 2013, 12:58 PM PDT (19:58 UTC)
- In effect from
- Aug 6, 2013, 11:00 PM PDT
- Expired
- Aug 9, 2013, 11:00 PM PDT
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS Medford, OR
Counties Modoc County, CA, Siskiyou County, CA, Coos County, OR, Curry County, OR, Douglas County, OR, Harney County, OR, Jackson County, OR, Josephine County, OR, Klamath County, OR, Lake County, OR, Lane County, OR
The radar
The Medford radar (KMAX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 1:44 PM PDT | TSTM WND GST 37 | Burns, OR | WIND GUSTED FROM THE SOUTH AT 144 PM PDT. |
| Aug 7, 3:09 PM PDT | HAIL 0.5 | 8 S Applegate, OR | PUBLIC REPORTED HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL. |
| Aug 7, 3:36 PM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 0 | 3 Ese Grants Pass, OR | VISIBLITY REDUCED TO 1/8 MILE, FREQUENT LIGHTNING HEAVY RAIN DURATION 1 HOUR OBSERVER LOCATION ON ROGUE RIVER 3 MI E TOWN |
| Aug 7, 3:43 PM PDT | HAIL 0.88 | Ruch, OR | HAIL REPORTED AS HALF THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS OR ABOUT 0.875 INCH HAIL. SPOTTER REPORTED HAIL WAS INCREASING IN SIZE AND THAT IT WAS RAINING VERY HEAVILY. REPORT FROM NORTH SIDE OF RUCH. |
| Aug 7, 4:38 PM PDT | HAIL 1 | 1 Sse Ruch, OR | AT 2320 REPORTED 1 HAIL...OBSERVER LOCATION RUCH ON SQUIRES PEAK |
| Aug 7, 4:38 PM PDT | SLEET 1 | 1 Sse Ruch, OR | AT 2320 REPORTED 1 HAIL SLEET DURATION 24 HOURS OBSERVER LOCATION RUCH ON SQUIRES PEAK |
| Aug 7, 4:54 PM PDT | TSTM WND GST 32 | 7 Wnw Coyote Gap, OR | NW WIND 16G32 MPH...TEMP DROPPED TO 74 FROM A HIGH OF 89. 0.06 INCHES OF PRECIP INTHE HOUR ENDING AT 5 PM PDT. LITTLE MCCOY CREEK CLOSE TO CORE OF STORM MEASURED 0.32 INCHES IN THE HOUR ENDING AT 5 PM PDT WHEN TEMP WAS 66 AND WIND WSW 10G24 MPH. TEMP DROPPED 2 |
| Aug 7, 5:43 PM PDT | TSTM WND GST 50 | Riddle Mountain, OR | WIND SHIFTED FROM THE EAST AT 23G36MPH TO SSW 19G50 MPH IN THE LAST HOUR. TEMP DROPPED TO 65 FROM A HIGH OF 82. NO RAINFALL. |
| Aug 7, 5:45 PM PDT | HAIL 0.5 | Howard Prairie, OR | 30 MINUTES OF ON AND OFF RAIN AND HAIL. MAX SIZE 1/2 INCH DIAMETER. |
| Aug 7, 6:43 PM PDT | TSTM WND GST 41 | 1 Ssw Sagehen Hill, OR | ERRATIC WINDS FROM THE N 16G28 THEN FROM SE AT 28G41 MPH.TEMPERATURE 59 AT 843 PM MDT FROM A HIGH OF 90...WITH 0.27 INCHES OF RAIN BETWEEN 643 AND 943 PM MDT. |
| Aug 7, 8:00 PM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 0.45 | 1 W Williams, OR | RAINFALL FROM THUNDERSTORMS ON THE WEST SIDE OF WILLIAMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. |
| Aug 7, 8:00 PM PDT | WILDFIRE | 1 W Williams, OR | 5+ ACRE WILDFIRE FROM A DRY LIGHTNING STRIKE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE WILLIAMS VALLEY 2.5 MILES AWAY FROM HWERE 0.45 OF RAIN OCCURRED. 2 DOZERS WORKING IT. |
| Aug 8, 6:25 PM PDT | HAIL 0.25 | Seiad Valley, CA | SEIAD VALLEY CAFE. ALSO HEAVY RAIN AND NEARLY CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING. |
| Aug 8, 7:45 PM PDT | HEAVY RAIN 2 | 2 Ne Seiad Valley, CA | 6PM-7PM RAINFALL. ALSO PEA SIZED HAIL. SEVERAL SMALL 0.10 ACRE OR LESS FIRES BETWEEN SEIAD AND BEAVER. |
| Aug 9, 2:40 PM PDT | HAIL 0.88 | Oakridge, OR | |
| Aug 9, 4:30 PM PDT | HAIL 0.5 | 3 Wsw Talent, OR | 0.20 INCHES MEASURED RAIN |
| Aug 9, 5:20 PM PDT | HAIL 0.5 | 12 Nw Glendale, OR | FIELD OBSERVER AT DOUGLAS COMPLEX REPORTED HALF-INCH HAIL ON THE NORTH END NEAR HAYES RIDGE IRAWS. HAIL DURATION 15 MINUTES |
| Aug 9, 5:45 PM PDT | HAIL 0.88 | 5 W Tiller, OR | LOTS OF RAIN AND THUNDER HEARD. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 55 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -688 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1747 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 2 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 58 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
301 WWUS86 KMFR 061958 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 1258 PM PDT TUE AUG 6 2013 .AN UPPER LOW OFF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN AS MOISTURE INCREASES STORMS WILL BECOME WETTER. THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AND CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOONS. HOWEVER CONDITIONS WILL BECOME QUITE MOIST WITH WETTING RAINS POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHICH MAY LESSEN THE IMPACTS FROM ADDITIONAL STORMS. CAZ280-284-285-ORZ617-621-623>625-071400- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0006.130807T1800Z-130809T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0010.130807T0600Z-130808T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS- SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT- WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 1258 PM PDT TUE AUG 6 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...284...285...617...621...623...624 AND 625... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 624...285...284...621... 625...623...617 AND 280 * THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. STORMS WILL THEN INCREASE TO SCATTERED AND BECOME WETTER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * RAINFALL...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DRY AND PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS WITH LITTLE TO NO RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. WETTING RAINS ARE POSSIBLE UNDER ANY STORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING. * OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR ANY STORMS. * IMPACTS...ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS MAY RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. OUTFLOW WINDS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRES TO SPREAD. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...VISIT HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=MFR PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ281-282-ORZ616-619-620-622-071400- /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0010.130807T0600Z-130808T0600Z/ CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-SHASTA- TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY-UMPQUA BASIN- WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 1258 PM PDT TUE AUG 6 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 281...282...616...619...620 AND 622... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 281...622...282...616...620 AND 619 * THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. STORMS WILL THEN INCREASE TO SCATTERED AND BECOME WETTER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * RAINFALL...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DRY AND PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS WITH LITTLE TO NO RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. WETTING RAINS ARE POSSIBLE UNDER ANY STORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING. * OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR ANY STORMS. * IMPACTS...ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS MAY RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. OUTFLOW WINDS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRES TO SPREAD. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...VISIT HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=MFR PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
8 follow-up statements
914 WWUS86 KMFR 071108 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 408 AM PDT WED AUG 7 2013 .AN UPPER LOW OFF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING...THEN EXPECT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY. AS MOISTURE INCREASES LATE TODAY INTO THURSDAY, STORMS WILL BECOME WETTER. THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY AND CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOONS. WETTING RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOST AREAS BY SATURDAY. INCREASING RAINFALL MAY LESSEN THE IMPACTS WITH EACH DAY. CAZ280>282-284-285-ORZ617-623>625-072315- /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130809T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-SHASTA- TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 408 AM PDT WED AUG 7 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280... 281...282...284...285 IN CALIFORNIA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617...621...623...624 AND 625 IN OREGON... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THURSDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...282...284...285 IN CALIFORNIA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617...623...624 AND 625 IN OREGON. * THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. STORMS WILL THEN INCREASE TO SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN TONIGHT INCREASING TO SCATTERED COVERAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * RAINFALL...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DRY AND PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS WITH LITTLE RAIN INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THE CHANCE FOR WETTING RAIN INCREASES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THEN EXPECT A HIGHER CHANCE FOR WETTING RAIN WITH STORMS ON THURSDAY. * OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. * IMPACTS...ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS MAY RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. OUTFLOW WINDS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRES TO SPREAD. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...VISIT HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=MFR PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ ORZ616-619>622-072315- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130808T0600Z/ UMPQUA BASIN-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 408 AM PDT WED AUG 7 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 616...619...620 AND 622... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 616...619...620 AND 622. * THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. STORMS WILL THEN INCREASE TO SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * RAINFALL...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DRY AND PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS WITH LITTLE RAIN THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THE CHANCE FOR WETTING RAIN WITH STORMS INCREASES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON THURSDAY BUT AS MOISTURE INCREASES, EXPECT WETTING RAINS TO BE MORE LIKELY THURSDAY. * OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. * IMPACTS...ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS MAY RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. OUTFLOW WINDS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRES TO SPREAD. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...VISIT HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=MFR PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
791 WWUS86 KMFR 071117 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 417 AM PDT WED AUG 7 2013 .AN UPPER LOW OFF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING...THEN EXPECT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY. AS MOISTURE INCREASES LATE TODAY INTO THURSDAY, STORMS WILL BECOME WETTER. THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY AND CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOONS. WETTING RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOST AREAS BY SATURDAY. INCREASING RAINFALL MAY LESSEN THE IMPACTS WITH EACH DAY. ORZ616-619>622-072330- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130808T0600Z/ UMPQUA BASIN-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 417 AM PDT WED AUG 7 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 616...619...620...621 AND 622... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 616...619...620..621 AND 622. * THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. STORMS WILL THEN INCREASE TO SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * RAINFALL...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DRY AND PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS WITH LITTLE RAIN THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THE CHANCE FOR WETTING RAIN WITH STORMS INCREASES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON THURSDAY BUT AS MOISTURE INCREASES... EXPECT WETTING RAINS TO BE MORE LIKELY THURSDAY. * OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. * IMPACTS...ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS MAY RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. OUTFLOW WINDS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRES TO SPREAD. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...VISIT HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=MFR PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ280>282-284-285-ORZ617-623>625-072330- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130809T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-SHASTA- TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 417 AM PDT WED AUG 7 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280... 281...282...284...285 IN CALIFORNIA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617...623...624 AND 625 IN OREGON... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...282...284...285 IN CALIFORNIA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617...623...624 AND 625 IN OREGON. * THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. STORMS WILL THEN INCREASE TO SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN TONIGHT INCREASING TO SCATTERED COVERAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * RAINFALL...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DRY AND PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS WITH LITTLE RAIN INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THE CHANCE FOR WETTING RAIN INCREASES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THEN EXPECT A HIGHER CHANCE FOR WETTING RAIN WITH STORMS ON THURSDAY. * OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. * IMPACTS...ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS MAY RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. OUTFLOW WINDS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRES TO SPREAD. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...VISIT HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=MFR PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
608 WWUS86 KMFR 072001 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 101 PM PDT WED AUG 7 2013 .AN UPPER LOW WILL GRADUALLY MOVE ACROSS OUR AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. ASSOCIATED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE INCREASING WITH VERY WET STORMS EXPECTED BY THURSDAY. DESPITE THE RAIN...UNTIL FUELS RESPOND TO THE INCREASED MOISTURE...RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. CAZ280>282-284-285-ORZ616-617-619>625-081400- /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130810T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-SHASTA- TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-UMPQUA BASIN- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 101 PM PDT WED AUG 7 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280... 281...282...284...285...616...617...619...620...621...622...623... 624 AND 625... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 281...622...624...285... 282...284...621...625...623...616...617...280...620 AND 619 * THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY. STORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE DURING NIGHT TIME BUT WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE. * RAINFALL...STORMS WILL BECOME WETTER OVER TIME. WHILE NOT ALL AREAS WILL GET WETTING RAINS...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN PRODUCING CONSISTENT WETTING RAINS ALONG THEIR PATHS BY THURSDAY. THE GREATEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE CASCADES. * OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS...ESPECIALLY EAST SIDE AREAS. * IMPACTS...ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CAUSE NEW FIRES TO SPREAD. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...VISIT HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=MFR PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
858 WWUS86 KMFR 081115 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 415 AM PDT THU AUG 8 2013 .AN UPPER LOW WILL GRADUALLY MOVE ACROSS OUR AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. ASSOCIATED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE INCREASING AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WET. DESPITE THE RAIN...UNTIL FUELS RESPOND TO THE INCREASED MOISTURE...RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. CAZ280>282-284-285-ORZ616-617-619>625-082315- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130810T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-SHASTA- TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-UMPQUA BASIN- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 415 AM PDT THU AUG 8 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280... 281...282...284...285...616...617...619...620...621...622...623... 624 AND 625... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281...282...284... 285...616...617...619...620...621...622...623...624 AND 625. * THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY. STORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED DURING THE NIGHT TIME BUT WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE. * RAINFALL...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WET. WHILE NOT ALL AREAS WILL GET WETTING RAINS...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WETTING RAINS ALONG THEIR PATHS. THE GREATEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE CASCADES. * OUTFLOW WINDS...GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. * IMPACTS...ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CAUSE NEW FIRES TO SPREAD. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...VISIT HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=MFR PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
682 WWUS86 KMFR 082101 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 201 PM PDT THU AUG 8 2013 CAZ280>282-284-285-ORZ616-617-619>625-091400- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130810T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-SHASTA- TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-UMPQUA BASIN- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 201 PM PDT THU AUG 8 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280... 281...282...284...285...616...617...619...620...621...622...623... 624 AND 625... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 281...622...624...285... 282...284...621...625...623...616...617...280...620 AND 619. * THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY. STORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED DURING THE NIGHT TIME BUT WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE. * RAINFALL...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WET. WHILE NOT ALL AREAS WILL GET WETTING RAINS...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WETTING RAINS ALONG THEIR PATHS. THE GREATEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE CASCADES. * OUTFLOW WINDS AND HAIL...GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. * IMPACTS...ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CAUSE NEW FIRES TO SPREAD. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...VISIT HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=MFR PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
204 WWUS86 KMFR 091334 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 634 AM PDT FRI AUG 9 2013 CAZ280>282-284-285-ORZ616-617-619>625-100145- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130810T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-SHASTA- TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-UMPQUA BASIN- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 634 AM PDT FRI AUG 9 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280... 281...282...284...285...616...617...619...620... 621...622...623... 624 AND 625... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 281...622...624...285... 282...284...621...625...623...616...617...280...620 AND 619. * THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED DURING THE NIGHT TIME BUT WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE. * RAINFALL...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WET UNDERNEATH THE CORE. WHILE NOT ALL AREAS WILL GET WETTING RAINS...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WETTING RAINS ALONG THEIR PATHS. THE GREATEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE CASCADES. * OUTFLOW WINDS AND HAIL...GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. * IMPACTS...ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CAUSE NEW FIRES TO SPREAD. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...VISIT HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=MFR PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
412 WWUS86 KMFR 092157 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 257 PM PDT FRI AUG 9 2013 ORZ616-617-620>625-101230- /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.A.0007.130810T1800Z-130811T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130810T0600Z/ UMPQUA BASIN-UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 257 PM PDT FRI AUG 9 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE ZONES 616...617...620...621...622...623...624 AND 625... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE ZONES 616...617...620...621...622...623...624 AND 625... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE ZONES 622...624...621...625...623...616... 617 AND 620 * THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN SATURDAY. * RAINFALL...WET STORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS GENERALLY BETWEEN A FEW HUNDREDTHS AND A QUARTER INCH. ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE HOWEVER. * OUTFLOW WINDS AND HAIL...GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS...ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS MAY RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CAUSE NEW FIRES TO SPREAD. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...VISIT HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=MFR PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ CAZ280>282-284-285-ORZ619-100600- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130810T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-SHASTA- TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- 257 PM PDT FRI AUG 9 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE ZONES 280...281...282...284...285 AND 619... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE ZONES 281...285...282...284...280 AND 619 * THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE OVERNIGHT. * RAINFALL...WET STORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS GENERALLY BETWEEN A FEW HUNDREDTHS AND A QUARTER INCH. ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE HOWEVER. * OUTFLOW WINDS AND HAIL...GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. * IMPACTS...ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CAUSE NEW FIRES TO SPREAD. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...VISIT HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=MFR PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ STAVISH VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
901 WWUS86 KMFR 100558 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 1058 PM PDT FRI AUG 9 2013 ORZ616-617-620>625-101800- /O.EXP.KMFR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130810T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0007.130810T1800Z-130811T0600Z/ UMPQUA BASIN-UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 1058 PM PDT FRI AUG 9 2013 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE ZONES 616...617...620...621...622...623...624 AND 625... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE ZONES 616...617... 620...621...622...623...624 AND 625... THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE ZONES 622...624...621...625...623...616... 617 AND 620 * THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN SATURDAY. * RAINFALL...WET STORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS GENERALLY BETWEEN A FEW HUNDREDTHS AND A QUARTER INCH. ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE HOWEVER. * OUTFLOW WINDS AND HAIL...GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS...ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS MAY RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CAUSE NEW FIRES TO SPREAD. * FOR A DETAILED VIEW OF THE HAZARD AREA...VISIT HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/WHV/?WFO=MFR PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE MAY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ CAZ280>282-284-285-ORZ619-100700- /O.EXP.KMFR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130810T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-SHASTA- TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- 1058 PM PDT FRI AUG 9 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE ZONES 280...281... 282...284...285 AND 619... THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Aug 6, 8:52 AM PDT, 4 hours 6 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 6, 8:52 AM PDT, 4 hours 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
852 AM PDT TUE AUG 6 2013
.DISCUSSION...NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED IN THE SHORT TERM. THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST DISCUSSION OUTLINES THE THUNDERSTORMS WELL. THE
UPPER LOW CENTERED NEAR 130W/38N WILL CONTINUE TO TAP INTO
MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA. THE PATTERN
THAT IS SETTING UP OVER THE AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS ONE THAT
IS FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. DESPITE THIS...THE FORECAST IS
GOING TO BE QUITE CHALLENGING WITH EXISTING WILDFIRES BECAUSE EVEN
AN ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORM COULD RESULT IN NEW STARTS. THE OTHER
ISSUE IS GOING TO BE THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED STORMS WEST OF THE
CASCADES TONIGHT. THIS IS IN PART DUE TO THE 12Z NAM SHOWING A
STRONGER SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO SOUTHWEST OREGON OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
ALONG WITH UPPER DIVERGENCE AND INCREASING UPPER JET NEAR 500 MB.
WE'LL TAKE A CLOSER LOOK AT THIS AND IF WE SEE STRONG ENOUGH
EVIDENCE FOR THEM. WE'LL ADD THEM INTO THE FORECAST FOR THE
AFTERNOON PACKAGE. -PETRUCELLI
&&
.AVIATION...IFR CIGS WITH AREAS OF IFR VSBYS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE
COAST AND INTO THE COASTAL VALLEYS THIS MORNING. EXPECT GRADUAL
CLEARING ALONG THE COAST BETWEEN 17Z AND 20Z. HOWEVER SOME AREAS
ALONG THE OREGON COAST SOUTH OF CAPE BLANCO MAY CONTINUE TO SEE
IFR CIGS INTO THE AFTERNOON. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE EXPECTED TO
RETURN TO THE COAST AND COASTAL VALLEYS THIS EVENING AROUND 02Z.
ACROSS INLAND AREAS, WILDFIRE SMOKE WILL MAKE FOR AREAS OF MVFR
VSBYS WITH LOCAL IFR VSBYS OVER WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY IN
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...AND OVER MUCH OF SOUTHWESTERN OREGON WEST OF
THE CASCADES...ESPECIALLY WITHIN VALLEYS AND ANYWHERE IN THE
VICINITY OF ACTIVE FIRES.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 354 AM PDT TUE AUG 6 2013/
DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER MOST OF THE NORTHWEST BUT A
BROAD UPPER LOW SITS OFFSHORE FROM CALIFORNIA PRODUCING SOUTHERLY
WINDS ALOFT INTO SOUTHERN OREGON. THIS PATTERN WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT
TO A CLOSED LOW OVER THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. THE LOW IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE INLAND AND NORTHWARD
ACROSS OUR REGION FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BETWEEN NOW AND
THEN, MANY AREAS ARE PROBABLY GOING TO SEE SOME RAINFALL WHICH
WILL BE GOOD NEWS FOR FIREFIGHTING. HOWEVER, THE RAIN WILL COME IN
THE FORM OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR MANY, AND THIS COULD PRODUCE MORE
RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD THAN IS WELCOME. IT WON'T TAKE MUCH
RAIN ON NEWLY FIRE-SCARRED AREAS TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS RUNOFF...SO
THAT IS A CONCERN. IN ADDITION, LIGHTNING MAY PRODUCE NEW FIRE
STARTS.
IN THE NEAR TERM, THE THUNDERSTORM FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT HAS CHANGED LITTLE FROM SLIGHT CHANCE. THE LATEST NAM12/GFS
SOLUTIONS ARE BOTH CONTINUING TO HINT AT AFTERNOON AND EVENING
CONVECTION DEVELOPING AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY RIDES NORTHWARD INTO
THE AREA. 700-500 MILLIBAR LAPSE RATES ARE SET TO STEEPEN TO 8-9
DEGC/KM ALONG AND EAST OF THE CASCADES BY 00Z WED...THEN ALL AREAS
OVERNIGHT. SINCE BOTH MODELS WERE TOO HIGH ON THE SFC-800 MB
DEWPOINT BY 5-10 DEGREES F AT 00Z LAST EVE...AM SKEPTICAL OF THE
FORECAST INSTABILITY TODAY...LI/S SINKING TO BETWEEN -2 AND -5 OVER
THE WEST SIDE HERE BY LATE DAY. EXPECT IT TO BE A TOUCH LESS
UNSTABLE THAN ADVERTISED. NONETHELESS, THE THREAT IS THERE AND
HAVE LEFT THE EARLIER FORECAST IN TACT. I DO BELIEVE THE NOCTURNAL
THREAT IS REAL...BUT AM MOSTLY CONCERNED FOR THE CASCADES AND
EAST. THESE STORMS SHOULD PRODUCE ONLY MARGINAL AMOUNTS OF RAIN.
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INCREASE INTO WEDNESDAY TO AN INCH PLUS IN
AREAS...AND A STRONGER SHORT WAVE LIFTING NORTH WILL IMPACT US. MOST
AREAS SHOULD ACTUALLY BE MOSTLY CLOUDY ALL DAY AND THIS WILL KEEP
HIGHS DOWN CONSIDERABLY VERSUS TODAY. THE WHOLE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN
COOLS AS WELL ALONG WITH FLOW BACKING TO SOUTHEAST. DESPITE THE
LIMITED SUN...INSTABILITY WILL STILL BE IN PLACE AND THE PATTERN IS
FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL STORMS. BEST CONFIDENCE IS IN OREGON AND
NEAR THE OR/CA BORDER AND TRIMMED SOME POPS DOWNWARD ACROSS
EASTERN SISKIYOU AND MODOC. SOME DRY SLOTTING MAY OCCUR THERE. WE
DID ALSO BOOST THE POPS A TOUCH ACROSS WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY AND
FOR THE SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND THESE AREAS (FIRE ZONES 280 AND
621) HAVE BEEN ADDED TO THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH. ONE NOTE...IT'S
UNUSUAL TO SEE THE GFS WITH THE HIGH LOW-LAYER MOISTURE BIAS OVER
THE NAM...BUT THAT'S THE CASE HERE AND THE GUT FEELING IS THAT THE
GFS IS OVERDONE. GUSTY WINDS SHOULD BE A CONCERN FOR ALL AREAS
WITH STORMS WEDNESDAY.
THE PREFERRED SOLUTION FOR THURSDAY TAKES A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE
GFS AND ECMWF WITH THE UPPER LOW NUDGING INLAND FURTHER INTO NORCAL
AND THEN ACROSS WESTERN OREGON THROUGH SATURDAY. THURSDAY WILL HAVE
A SIMILAR THUNDERSTORM THREAT AS WEDNESDAY AND WE'VE EXTENDED THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH. THE BETTER CONFIDENCE FOR GOOD RAINS IS OVER
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND THE CASCADES AND EAST AND THEREFORE THE
WATCH STILL EXEMPTS THE SW OREGON AREAS. THIS COULD CHANGE. SE TO
E FLOW ALOFT TYPICALLY DOESN'T DISCRIMINATE MUCH EAST VERSUS WEST
OF THE CASCADES, BUT THE GENERALLY SOLUTIONS DO KEEP THE WEST SIDE
IN A LOWER THREAT.
MADE SOME MINOR BUMPS UPWARD TO THE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY POPS
CONSIDERING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME AREAS TO RECEIVE A SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNT OF PRECIP. THE THREAT FOR RAIN ON FIRE AREAS REMAINS, BUT
AGAIN THE BETTER POTENTIAL LOOKS TO BE ALONG EAST OF THE CASCADES.
AFTER THE UPPER LOW LIFTS NORTH THROUGH OREGON, A TROUGH SHOULD
REDEVELOP OFFSHORE WHICH MAY PRODUCE AN ONGOING AN ONGOING SUBTLE
CONVECTIVE THREAT, BUT FOR NOW WE'RE AWAITING A BIGGER SIGNAL FOR
CONFIDENCE BEFORE ADDING THOSE IN. STAVISH
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR ORZ023-025-027-029.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR ORZ030-031.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR ORZ024-026-028.
CA...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR CAZ083>085.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR CAZ080.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...NONE.Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Oregon, 2013Red Flag Warnings in California, 2013Every red flag warning in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.