Flash Flood Warning 15, NWS Miami, FL

195 
WGUS72 KMFL 030348
FFSMFL

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1148 PM EDT WED OCT 2 2013

FLC086-030430-
/O.CON.KMFL.FF.W.0015.000000T0000Z-131003T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MIAMI-DADE FL-
1148 PM EDT WED OCT 2 2013

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM EDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...

AT 1146 PM EDT...FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES TO BE REPORTED OVER THE 
WARNED AREA.

RADAR ESTIMATES UP TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL THIS EVENING OVER 
PORTIONS OF THE AREA...AND RAIN GAGES HAVE MEASURED OVER 9 INCHES.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PINECREST AND
KENDALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 2567 8026 2565 8026 2562 8028 2564 8037
      2571 8032 2568 8025 2567 8025

$$
KONARIK

728 
WGUS52 KMFL 030423
FFWMFL
FLC086-030830-
/O.EXT.KMFL.FF.W.0015.000000T0000Z-131003T0830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1223 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 430 AM EDT

* AT 1221 AM EDT...FLASH FLOODING CONTINUED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 
RADAR ESTIMATES AND GAGE MEASUREMENTS INDICATE UP TO 10 INCHES OF 
RAIN FELL EARLIER...AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WAS APPROACHING FROM 
THE EAST.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...KENDALL AND
  PINECREST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. 
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA TAKE IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT 
LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH 
BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 2567 8026 2565 8026 2562 8028 2564 8037
      2571 8032 2568 8025 2567 8025

$$
KONARIK

290 
WGUS72 KMFL 030635
FFSMFL

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
235 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013

FLC086-030830-
/O.CON.KMFL.FF.W.0015.000000T0000Z-131003T0830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MIAMI-DADE FL-
235 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 AM EDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...

AT 231 AM EDT...RAIN WAS NO LONGER FALLING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.  
HOWEVER...FLOODWATERS WILL TAKE A WHILE TO RECEDE...THUS THE FLASH 
FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PINECREST AND
KENDALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF URBAN 
AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS...AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER 
DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

&&

LAT...LON 2567 8026 2565 8026 2562 8028 2564 8037
      2571 8032 2568 8025 2567 8025

$$
KONARIK

993 
WGUS72 KMFL 030815
FFSMFL

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
415 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013

FLC086-030824-
/O.CAN.KMFL.FF.W.0015.000000T0000Z-131003T0830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MIAMI-DADE FL-
415 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR EAST CENTRAL
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...

THE THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THAT WOULD IMPACT STRUCTURES HAS 
ENDED AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW 
HOURS.  THUS...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  SOME 
STREETS AND LOW-LYING AREAS ARE STILL FLOODED...SO AN URBAN FLOOD 
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA UNTIL 815 AM EDT.

LAT...LON 2567 8026 2565 8026 2562 8028 2564 8037
      2571 8032 2568 8025 2567 8025

$$
KONARIK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
830 PM EDT WED OCT 2 2013

.AVIATION...
HEAVY SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ASHORE FROM BISCAYNE BAY TO
THE METRO MIAMI-DADE AREAS THROUGH THE MID-EVENING PERIOD BEFORE
DIMINISHING. AS A RESULT...VCSH WILL REMAIN IN THE TMB/MIA
FORECAST THROUGH THESE INITIAL HOURS OF THE CYCLE.
ELSEWHERE...LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUING. THE BEST CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY WILL REMAIN OVER THE
INLAND AND GULF COAST LOCATIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING
PERIODS...WHICH INCLUDES APF.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 239 PM EDT WED OCT 2 2013/

SHORT TERM...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDED FROM THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND INTO
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WATERS WITH ANOTHER MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WATERS. THE TROUGH WAS HELPING TO
GENERATE SHOWERS AND EVEN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS MORNING
INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON OVER METRO BROWARD AND NORTHERN MIAMI-
DADE COUNTIES.

THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN AND WEST COAST METRO
AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...AS THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY. SO HAVE ADJUSTED THE POPS TO REFLECT THIS WITH LOWER
POPS OVER THE NORTHERN AREAS AND HIGHER POPS OVER THE SOUTHERN AND
WEST COAST METRO AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA FOR REST OF THIS
AFTERNOON.

THE MODELS ARE FORECASTING THIS DISTURBANCE TO MOVE NORTHWEST TO
NORTH-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF WATERS BY
THURSDAY. THIS WILL KEEP THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE NEARLY
STATIONARY OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. SO THE
TROPICAL MOISTURE SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THURSDAY. THEREFORE...THE POPS WILL
REMAIN IN THE SLIGHT CAT OVER THE NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF SOUTH
FLORIDA INCREASING TO CHANCE CAT OVER THE SOUTHERN AND WEST COAST
METRO AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO FORECAST THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO MOVE
NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN GULF COAST STATES ON FRIDAY. THIS
SHOULD SHIFT THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO MORE OF A NORTH TO
SOUTH SET UP MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. SOME MOISTURE
WILL STILL REMAIN OVER SOUTH FLORIDA ON FRIDAY WITH THE BEST
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN AREAS OF
SOUTH FLORIDA...AS THIS AREA IS CLOSEST TO THE TROUGH. SO THE POPS
WILL BE IN A SLIGHT CHANCE CAT OVER THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS
INCREASING TO A CHANCE CAT OVER THE WEST COAST METRO AREAS ON
FRIDAY.

LONG TERM...
THE LONG RANGE MODELS ARE TAKING THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE
NORTHERN GULF WATERS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES
AND INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE STEERING
FLOW TO BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY OVER THE AREA THIS WEEKEND FOCUSING
THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MORE AROUND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE
AREA. SO THE HIGHEST POPS WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN AREAS OF SOUTH
FLORIDA FOR THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER...ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD
STILL SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
WEEKEND.

MARINE...
THE WINDS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN AN EAST TO SOUTHEAST
DIRECTION THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY SWINGING TO MORE OF A
SOUTHERLY DIRECTION BY THIS WEEKEND. THE SPEEDS WILL BE 10 TO 15
KNOTS OVER ALL OF THE LOCAL WATERS...DUE TO THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE HIGH TO THE NORTH AND THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO THE
WEST. THE SEAS SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN 6 FEET IN BOTH THE ATLANTIC
AND GULF WATERS OF SOUTH FLORIDA LATE THIS WEEK INTO THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  77  88  77  88 / 10 20 20 20
FORT LAUDERDALE  79  88  79  88 / 20 30 20 20
MIAMI            74  89  78  89 / 40 40 30 20
NAPLES           75  90  75  90 / 30 50 40 40

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE...30/KOB
AVIATION/RADAR...85/AG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
355 PM EDT WED OCT 2 2013

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
031100-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
355 PM EDT WED OCT 2 2013

...HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG
ATLANTIC BEACHES.

THUNDERSTORMS: A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON, WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING.

FLOODING: SOME MINOR URBAN FLOODING IS POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY WHERE
ANY HEAVY RAIN BECOMES CONCENTRATED FOR ANY DURATION OF TIME.

WATERSPOUTS: THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A WATERSPOUT OFF THE
BROWARD COUNTY COAST, WHERE A CONVERGENT LINE HAS FORMED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY
OVER WESTERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA, THROUGH AT LEAST THIS
WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT NEEDED. HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR SEVERE WEATHER.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
519 PM EDT WED OCT 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     FLOOD            2 N PERRINE             25.64N  80.34W
10/02/2013                   MIAMI-DADE         FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLOODING WAS REPORTED ALONG SOUTHWEST 136TH ST IN THE
            FALLS AREA. STREETS WERE NEARLY IMPASSABLE AND THE FALLS
            SHOPPING CENTER PARKING LOT WAS ALMOST COMPLETLY
            UNDERWATER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER MFL1300227

CARACOZZA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
738 PM EDT WED OCT 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     FLOOD            2 N PERRINE             25.64N  80.34W
10/02/2013                   MIAMI-DADE         FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SW 136 ST IN THE FALLS BETWEEN 92ND AVE AND 97TH AVE
            HAVE BEEN FLOODED. ROADS ARE IMPASSABLE AND SEVERAL CARS
            HAVE BEEN FLOODED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER MFL1300228

CARACOZZA