River Flood Warning 49, NWS Memphis, TN

327 
WGUS84 KMEG 121611
FLSMEG
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1111 AM CDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELED FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER...COLDWATER 
RIVER.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

MSC137-143-121641-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-130413T0208Z/
/SARM6.1.ER.130411T1704Z.130412T0000Z.130412T0851Z.NO/
1111 AM CDT FRI APR 12 2013

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  COLDWATER RIVER NEAR SARAH
* AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 14.5 FEET FRIDAY APRIL 12.

$$

MSC087-095-121641-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-130415T1800Z/
/ABDM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1111 AM CDT FRI APR 12 2013

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER NEAR ABERDEEN
* AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 12.2 FEET SUNDAY APRIL 14.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 12.2 FEET SUNDAY APRIL 14.
* AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS FLOODED

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
638 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013

.UPDATE...

UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

DISCUSSION...
UPDATED TO REMOVE POPS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND CANCEL
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH PER RADAR TRENDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 308 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013/

SKIES REMAIN CLOUDY OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON
WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. RAIN
CONTINUES TO FALL OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AND
IS SHOWING SIGNS OF MOVING OUT OF THE REGION. THE RAIN SHOULD
FINISH MOVING OUT THE EASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES OUT OF THE REGION. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL
REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING. WITH ALL OF THE RAIN
THAT HAS FALLEN OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS...SOME PATCHY AREAS OF FOG
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FRIDAY BRINGING MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES AND WARMER TEMPERATURES THAN TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 60S. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE DRY AND COOLER THAN NORMAL
WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. THIS WEEKEND WILL BE QUITE
PLEASANT WITH DRY WEATHER AND A WARMING TREND. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE GULF
COAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS DISTURBANCE MIGHT PRODUCE
SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. BY MONDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL REACH JUST
NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS FRONT WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR
SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FOR MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT.

THE FRONT WILL SLIDE A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH ON TUESDAY KEEPING A
SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FORECAST AREA FOR TUESDAY
AND TUESDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG ON WEDNESDAY
AND MOVE EAST BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. BY
THURSDAY THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE SOMEWHERE NORTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION. THIS WILL
PROVIDE A GOOD CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE WARM FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR WITH HIGHS MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID
70S TO MID 80S.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

00Z TAF CYCLE (12/00Z-13/00Z)

AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO EXIT THE REGION...GOOD CLEARING AND LIGHT
WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR POSSIBLE FOG TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS AT ALL SITES BY 03Z EXCEPT TUP WHICH SHOULD CLEAR
BY 06Z. SKIES WILL BECOME CLEAR AND FOG WILL MOST LIKELY DEVELOP
AROUND 08Z AT ALL SITES EXCEPT JBR. WINDS WILL PICK UP LATE FRIDAY
MORNING TO 12 KTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 18.

AC3

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  44  67  46  69 /  10  10  10  10
MKL  39  65  38  68 /  10  10  10  10
JBR  40  63  40  66 /  10  10  10  10
TUP  44  69  43  71 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
829 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-130330-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
829 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.