Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 8, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

April 2, 2013Pecos County, Terrell County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 2, 2013, 4:38 PM CDT for Pecos County, Terrell County, Texas. It was in force for 52 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 2, 2013, 4:38 PM CDT (21:38 UTC)
Expired: Apr 2, 2013, 5:30 PM CDT
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Pecos County, TX, Terrell County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 2, 2:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 550 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -218 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 796 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 266 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 265 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

442 
WUUS54 KMAF 022138
SVRMAF
TXC371-443-022230-
/O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0008.130402T2138Z-130402T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
438 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS...
  NORTHEASTERN TERRELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 432 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11
  MILES WEST OF SHEFFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...     
  SHEFFIELD AND INTERSTATE 10...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER... YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK
SAFE SHELTER NOW.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3053 10206 3075 10208 3083 10184 3081 10183
      3076 10183 3075 10181 3070 10180 3068 10177
      3066 10177 3065 10170 3062 10165 3060 10165
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 257DEG 14KT 3065 10199

$$

1 follow-up statement

575 
WWUS54 KMAF 022207
SVSMAF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
507 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

TXC371-443-022217-
/O.CAN.KMAF.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130402T2230Z/
PECOS TX-TERRELL TX-
507 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN TERRELL AND EAST
CENTRAL PECOS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

AT 507 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAD WEAKENED.
THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3053 10206 3075 10208 3083 10184 3081 10183
      3076 10183 3075 10181 3070 10180 3068 10177
      3066 10177 3065 10170 3062 10165 3060 10165
TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 257DEG 14KT 3068 10185

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 2, 3:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 2, 3:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
313 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

.DISCUSSION...

THE PESKY COLD FRONT THAT THE FCST MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH
HAS MOVED ALL THE WAY TO THE I-10 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON. LOW
CLOUDS AND FOG HAVE KEPT TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S AND 40S ALL DAY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN AND SE NM. SUNNY SKIES AND
SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE ALLOWING TEMPS TO CLIMB INTO THE 70S AND 80S
SOUTH OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE LOWER TRANS PECOS AND ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO DEVELOPING ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE FRONT AND WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. STRONG MID AND LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR NEAR 40 KTS RESIDE ACROSS THE LOWER TRANS PECOS AND BIG BEND
REGIONS. STRONG SFC HEATING IS LEADING TO UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WITH
SBCAPE VALUES NEAR 3000 J/KG. SOME OF THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AS THEY MOVE EAST
THROUGH THE EVENING. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
9 PM FOR SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN...THE STOCKTON
PLATEAU...THE BIG BEND REGION AND THE LOWER TRANS PECOS. A
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO MAY SNEAK INTO SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE PERMIAN
BASIN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...HOWEVER THESE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. FARTHER NORTH THE COLD AIR IS DEEPER AND ONLY
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. MORE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY AS THE ASSOCIATED UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH. THE
LOW WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA THURSDAY WITH CLEARING SKIES BY
AFTERNOON.

THE UPPER PATTERN THEN BECOMES MORE ZONAL LATE IN THE WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND WITH CONDITIONS DRYING OUT AND TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK
ABOVE NORMAL. LONG RANGE MODELS THEN SHOW A LARGE UPPER TROUGH
DIGGING INTO THE WESTERN U.S. EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM MAY BRING
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 39  56  38  72  /  60  30  10   0
BIG SPRING TX              38  52  37  68  /  60  40  10   0
CARLSBAD NM                43  63  39  78  /  30  20   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  53  67  46  74  /  60  20  10   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           46  63  45  78  /  60  20   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          39  63  43  74  /  20  10   0   0
HOBBS NM                   38  55  36  73  /  50  20   0   0
MARFA TX                   42  66  30  72  /  50  10   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    40  56  38  72  /  60  30  10   0
ODESSA TX                  39  57  39  74  /  60  30  10   0
WINK TX                    43  64  39  80  /  50  20  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

10/29

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 2, 2:01 PM CDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
201 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-031915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
201 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013 /101 PM MDT TUE APR 2 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF I-20
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE GREATEST AREAL COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED TO BE FROM THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS EAST TO THE LOWER TRANS
PECOS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. AN ISOLATED TORNADO
CAN NOT BE RULED OUT IN PECOS AND TERRELL COUNTIES. THE STRONGER
STORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THERE IS A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF SPOTTER ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 2, 2:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
251 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

TXZ074-080-081-022015-
BIG BEND AREA-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-MARFA PLATEAU-
251 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
AFFECTING EAST CENTRAL PRESIDIO AND NORTHWESTERN BREWSTER COUNTIES
UNTIL 315 PM CDT...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED 5
MILES SOUTH OF ALTUDA AT 251 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3048 10323 3023 10309 2999 10319 2996 10386
      3027 10384
TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 250DEG 18KT 3024 10342

Special weather statement, Apr 2, 3:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
315 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

TXZ080-081-022045-
BIG BEND AREA-MARFA PLATEAU-
315 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
CENTRAL BREWSTER AND SOUTHEASTERN PRESIDIO COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM
CDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 24 MILES WEST OF TERLINGUA RANCH
LODGE AT 314 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. ANOTHER STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF TERLINGUA RANCH LODGE
AT 314 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH AND WILL CROSS STATE HIGHWAY
118.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH...NICKEL HAIL...HEAVY RAIN AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 2996 10386 2999 10319 2979 10313 2953 10315
      2936 10351 2938 10378 2948 10391 2959 10394
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 237DEG 10KT 2951 10378

Special weather statement, Apr 2, 3:24 PM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
324 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

TXZ081-022115-
BIG BEND AREA-
324 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY AT 324
PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH...NICKEL HAIL...HEAVY RAIN AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3018 10291 2994 10286 2990 10308 2999 10328
      3016 10328
TIME...MOT...LOC 2024Z 278DEG 16KT 3006 10317

Special weather statement, Apr 2, 3:48 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
348 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

TXZ075-082-022115-
PECOS-TERRELL-
348 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
EAST CENTRAL PECOS AND NORTH CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM
CDT...

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM 5 MILES EAST OF
BAKERSFIELD TO 10 MILES NORTH OF SANDERSON AT 346 PM CDT...MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AFFECTING INTERSTATE 10 JUST
EAST OF BAKERSFIELD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... SMALL HAIL... BRIEF HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3035 10209 3034 10244 3093 10215 3093 10188
      3091 10187 3089 10188 3087 10185 3084 10184
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 260DEG 12KT 3081 10208 3043 10229

Special weather statement, Apr 2, 4:16 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
416 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

TXZ075-082-022145-
PECOS-TERRELL-
416 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
EAST CENTRAL PECOS AND NORTH CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM
CDT...

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL TERRELL
COUNTY ABOUT 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BAKERSFIELD AT 415 PM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3078 10194 3052 10195 3051 10216 3072 10218
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 258DEG 8KT 3064 10209

Local storm report, Apr 2, 4:30 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
430 PM CDT TUE APR 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     HAIL             29 E MARATHON           30.21N 102.75W
04/02/2013  M1.00 INCH       PECOS              TX   PUBLIC

            PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL OCCURRED FOR 5 MINUTES.

&&

AKL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 1, 7:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	60 min
Apr 1, 7:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Pecos	66 min
Apr 1, 8:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Upton	29 min
Apr 2, 2:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	33 min
Apr 2, 2:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	24 min
Apr 2, 3:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	30 min
Apr 2, 3:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	56 min
Apr 2, 3:24 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	51 min
Apr 2, 3:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Terrell	27 min
Apr 2, 4:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	59 min
Apr 2, 4:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Pecos, Terrell	53 min
Apr 2, 4:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Terrell	29 min
Apr 2, 4:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	55 min
Apr 2, 4:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Terrell	53 min
Apr 2, 5:18 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Terrell	27 min
Apr 2, 5:42 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Terrell	33 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2013 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.