Red Flag Warning 37, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

169 
WWUS84 KMAF 281935
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
235 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...MINIMUM RH OF
10 PERCENT OR LESS...AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FOR THE GUADALUPE
AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN AREA AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE
UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF
20 MPH OR GREATER...MINIMUM RH OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...AND VERY
HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.IN WAKE OF THE DRYLINE MINIMUM RH/S OF HAVE FALLEN BELOW 10 PERCENT
ACROSS THE WARNED AREA WITH 20 FOOT WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH TODAY.
SIMILAR WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY BUT OVER A LARGER FARTHER
SOUTH AND EAST AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
WEDNESDAY.

NMZ114-115-TXZ057-258-291200-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0029.130529T1800Z-130530T0100Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0037.000000T0000Z-130529T0200Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
235 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013 /135 PM MDT TUE MAY 28 2013/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND 
LOW HUMIDITY GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN AREA AND SOUTHEAST 
NEW MEXICO...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN AREA...AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH. STRONGER THROUGH PARTS OF THE
  MOUNTAINS

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

TXZ045-050-058>060-067-074-291200-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0029.130529T1800Z-130530T0100Z/
GAINES-ANDREWS-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-
WARD-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
235 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE DAVIS 
MOUNTAINS AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...NEAR 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1222 AM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY PREVAILING AT ALL TAF SITES TONIGHT WITH
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUING TO STREAM OVERHEAD. WINDS ARE SOUTH
AND SOUTHEASTERLY AROUND 10-12KT SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS
28KT AT KFST. HAVE CONTINUED GUSTS OVERNIGHT AT KFST HOWEVER
OCCASIONAL GUSTS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE OTHER SITES. GUSTS
WILL RETURN TO ALL AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE IS A SMALL CONCERN FOR MVFR CIGS TO REACH KMAF BRIEFLY
TUESDAY MORNING SO CONTINUED TEMPO FROM 11-13Z. PREVIOUSLY HAD
MENTION OF LOW CIGS AT KFST AS WELL BUT CONFIDENCE WAS EVEN LOWER
HERE SO DECIDED TO TAKE IT OUT. WILL AMEND IF MORNING TRENDS
CHANGE CURRENT THINKING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL BUT KCNM. WILL NOT MENTION THUNDER AT
ANY TERMINALS AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 952 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013/

UPDATE...

UPDATE TO CANCEL THE REST OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 230.

DISCUSSION...

LINGERING CONVECTION OVER THE LOWER TRANS PECOS IS FAIRLY WEAK AND
DO NOT EXPECT A RESURGENCE IN STRENGTH AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS
AND CAP STRENGTHENS FURTHER.  WILL KEEP ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THROUGH 28/06Z, BUT CANCEL THE REST OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
230.

ALSO, WINDS CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS THIS
EVENING WITH BOTH GUADALUPE PASS AND THE BOWL SPORTING 20 FOOT WINDS
LESS THAN 20 MPH.  WILL GO AHEAD AND CANCEL THE REST OF THE RED FLAG
WARNING SET TO EXPIRE AT 28/03Z.  THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR TUESDAY.  UPDATED PRODUCTS WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 6 AM MDT TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN
     NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 6 AM MDT TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

27

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
343 AM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-290830-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
327 AM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013 /227 AM MDT TUE MAY 28 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING GENERALLY EAST OF A HOBBS TO BIG BEND LINE.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS TODAY ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO PLAINS. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN
WEDNESDAY EAST OF A LAMESA TO BIG BEND LINE. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE FOR SPOTTER ACTIVATION THIS
AFTERNOON.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND