Red Flag Warning 30, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

174 
WWUS84 KMAF 080830
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
330 AM CDT WED MAY 8 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE VAN HORN/HWY 54 CORRIDOR FOR 20
FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER... RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT
OR LESS... AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.A DRYLINE PUSHING EAST TODAY WILL RESULT IN VERY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS WILL
COMBINE WITH 20FT WINDS OVER 20 MPH AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER TO
PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

TXZ057-082200-
/O.EXA.KMAF.FW.W.0030.130508T1800Z-130509T0300Z/
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
330 AM CDT WED MAY 8 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
CDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE HIGHWAY
54 CORRIDOR...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

* WIND...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...8 TO 12 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

NMZ114-TXZ258-082200-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0030.130508T1800Z-130509T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
230 AM MDT WED MAY 8 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS...

* WIND...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$


FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)

675 
WWUS84 KMAF 081939
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
239 PM CDT WED MAY 8 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND VAN HORN/HWY 54 CORRIDOR FOR DRY AND
WINDY CONDITIONS...AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.RH'S OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT AND 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL 
PERSIST IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS, SOUTH TO THE VAN HORN AREA INTO
THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE BY LATE THIS EVENING WHILE RH'S
CREEP ABOVE 15 PERCENT.

NMZ114-TXZ057-258-090300-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0030.000000T0000Z-130509T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
239 PM CDT WED MAY 8 2013 /139 PM MDT WED MAY 8 2013/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS, AND VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...

* WIND...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...8 TO 12 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MAF (ALL LOWER CASE)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1233 PM CDT TUE MAY 7 2013

.DISCUSSION...

SEE 18Z TAF DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. ANY SHOWERS AND
STORMS THAT FORM THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD STAY EAST OF THE TERMINALS.
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY BEFORE SHIFTING TO
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 344 AM CDT TUE MAY 7 2013/

DISCUSSION...
WILL HAVE A WEAK UPPER RIDGE BUILD OVER THE REGION TODAY AND WEDNESDAY
BEFORE A CUT OFF LOW OVER CA THIS MORNING BEGINS TO IMPACT THE AREA
LATER IN THE WEEK.  THIS LOW WILL DISPLACE THE RIDGE EASTWARD AND A
NUMBER OF DISTURBANCES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL GET EJECTED
ACROSS THE AREA.  WHILE RAIN CHANCES DO NOT LOOK GREAT... WILL HAVE
LOW POPS IN THE FORECAST FOR MORE PERIODS THAN HAS BEEN SEEN LATELY.

DID HAVE A LITTLE LIGHT RAIN AROUND THE AREA MONDAY MORNING WITH
SOME OVER NIGHT STORMS MOVE DOWN ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS INTO THE
NORTHEASTERN PERMIAN BASIN OVERNIGHT.  CURRENTLY HAVE DECENT DEWPTS
IN THE EAST FROM THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S... WITH DEWPTS IN THE 30S
AND 40S WEST.  MAY SEE STORMS DEVELOP DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON OR
EARLY EVENING ALONG A DRYLINE EXTENDING ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN AND
LOWER TRANS PECOS.  MODEL QPF DEVELOPS SOME LIGHT PRECIP DURING THE
AFTERNOON MAINLY OVER THE NORTHEAST PERMIAN BASIN WITH A LITTLE OVER
THE EAST THIS EVENING.  THE DRYLINE WILL SET UP FARTHER EAST ON
WEDNESDAY WITH STORMS JUST BARELY SKIRTING THE EASTERN CWA.  PRECIP
CLIPS THE NE THURSDAY AND ALONG A COLD FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY...
AND GFS DEVELOPS IT OVER MUCH OF AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
BOTH MEX AND ECE LONG RANGE GUIDANCE SHOWS INCREASING POPS OVER THE
COMING WEEKEND AHEAD OF NEXT UPPER TROUGH... WITH SATURDAY HAVING
THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE BACK TO AROUND NORMAL WITH
HIGHS BACK INTO THE 80S FOR TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.  A COLD FRONT
THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING WILL KNOCK HIGHS BACK INTO THE 70S FOR
THE WEEKEND.  LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 50S.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

29

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1242 PM CDT TUE MAY 7 2013

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-081745-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1242 PM CDT TUE MAY 7 2013 /1142 AM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN AND LOWER TRANS
PECOS REGION...INCLUDING THE BIG BEND. A COUPLE OF STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS PRODUCED
BY STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES.

OTHERWISE...THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SPOTTER ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING FOR THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN AND LOWER TRANS PECOS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND