River Flood Warning 49, NWS Little Rock, AR

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1130 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-211100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1130 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE STATE...BECOMING NEARLY
STATIONARY OVER WEST CENTRAL TO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS BY MORNING. WITH
AMPLE MOISTURE IN PLACE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. BY TONIGHT...A STRONGER
UPPER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER ARKANSAS ALONG THE STALLED FRONT
AND DEVELOP MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HEAVY RAIN IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT STARTING AT
MIDNIGHT FOR THE NORTHWEST TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
FROM TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING WILL BE RANGE FROM A HALF INCH TO
WELL OVER ONE INCH. SOME SPOTS COULD SEE UPWARDS OF 2 INCHES BY
AROUND SUNRISE ON SATURDAY.

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP LATER THIS EVENING
INTO TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG DAMAGING WINDS...WHILE
AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS ON SATURDAY AND
AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES ALONG IT...NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP...RESULTING IN AREAS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE
STORM SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. THE BEST CHANCES FOR THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST TWO THIRDS OF THE STATE...OR ALONG AND IN VICINITY OF A
LINE FROM MENA...TO HOT SPRINGS...TO CONWAY...TO BATESVILLE. SOME
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS AROUND 5 INCHES COULD BE SEEN IN THIS
REGION. AS A RESULT...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
NORTHWEST TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. LESSER
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE
AREA...BUT 1 TO AS MUCH AS 3 INCHES COULD STILL BE SEEN.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. THE BEST CHANCES OF SEEING SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A TEXARKANA TO SHERIDAN TO NEWPORT LINE WHERE A
MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER LIES. A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER EXTENDS ROUGHLY SOUTH OF A FORT SMITH TO ASH FLAT LINE. THE
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...BUT THERE WILL
ALSO BE A THREAT FOR TORNADOES.

THIS SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE REGION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY...WITH MOST PRECIPITATION ENDING BY SUNDAY MORNING. AT
THIS TIME...IT APPEARS SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN TO THE
NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AND LITTLE IF ANY WINTER PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED. IF ANY WINTRY PRECIPITATION WERE TO OCCUR...THIS WILL
BE PRIMARILY OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS ON SUNDAY. LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING...AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

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