Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 90, NWS St. Louis, MO

April 17, 2013Lincoln County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Apr 17, 2013, 11:00 AM CDT for Lincoln County, Missouri. It took effect at Apr 18, 2013, 11:48 AM CDT. It was in force for 52 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 17, 2013, 11:00 AM CDT (16:00 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 18, 2013, 11:48 AM CDT
Expired
Apr 20, 2013, 3:45 PM CDT
In force
52 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Lincoln County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cuivre River at Troy (TRYM7). The gauge peaked at 25.84 ft at Apr 19, 2013, 3:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate1015202504/1704/1804/1904/2004/21
Action stage
19 ft
Minor stage
21 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
29 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05514500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

216 
WGUS43 KLSX 171600
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1100 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI... 


  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING 

  MID FORK SALT RIVER NEAR HOLLIDAY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST
24 HOURS AND TWO TO THREE INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FORECAST OVER THE 
NEXT 24-36 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-181600-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0090.130418T1745Z-130420T2045Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.130418T1745Z.130419T1200Z.130419T2045Z.NO/
1100 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 24.7 FEET FRIDAY
  MORNING. NOTE...THIS FORECAST IS HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT
  AMOUNT OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE BASIN OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND THE
  ACTUAL CREST FORECAST MAY BE SUBSTANTIALLY HIGHER OR LOWER THAN
  CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS...SIGNIFICANT 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 24.8 FEET...NEAR THIS HEIGHT...SECOND STREET IN MOSCOW 
  MILLS BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE BYRD STREET INTERSECTION.
* IMPACT...AT 23.2 FEET...GRAVENS ROAD BEGINS FLOODING NORTH OF 
  HIGHWAY C.
* IMPACT...AT 23.1 FEET...WATER BEGINS COVERING FRENCHMAN BLUFF ROAD 
  (COUNTY ROAD 658) JUST WEST OF THE CUIVRE RIVER BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE AGRICULTURAL LAND IS FLOODED 
  BETWEEN TROY AND MOSCOW MILLS.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS.  MINOR 
  FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FROM HIGHWAY 61 EAST TO FRENCHMANS BLUFF...
  LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090


$$

MOC137-181600-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0091.130418T1827Z-130422T0849Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.130418T1827Z.130419T1200Z.130421T0649Z.UU/
1100 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE MID FORK SALT RIVER NEAR HOLLIDAY
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 20.6 FEET FRIDAY
  MORNING. NOTE...THIS FORECAST IS HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT
  AMOUNT OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE BASIN OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND THE
  ACTUAL CREST FORECAST MAY BE SUBSTANTIALLY HIGHER OR LOWER THAN
  CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WASTEWATER LIFT STATION BEGINS FLOODING AT 
  ABOUT THIS HEIGHT.  WATER WAS 16 FT DEEP IN JULY 2008.
* IMPACT...AT 18.1 FEET...WATER EXITS THE LEFT BANK DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  STATE HIGHWAY A BRIDGE.  ADJACENT FIELDS BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 17.5 FEET...WATER EXITS THE RIGHT BANK DOWNSTREAM OF THE
  STATE HIGHWAY A BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.7 FEET...WATER BEGINS LEAVING THE BANKS AT THE STATE 
  HIGHWAY A BRIDGE NORTH OF HOLLIDAY.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199 3952 9221


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   17.59      16.2   24.6   13.2    9.6    8.3

SALT RIVER
  HOLLIDAY        17.0    6.41      15.3   20.6   20.2   14.5    8.5
9 follow-up statements
321 
WGUS43 KLSX 180338
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1038 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...

  CUIVRE RIVER

    NEAR TROY
    AT OLD MONROE

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF LESS THAN 0.25 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION THE PAST 24 HOURS AND 2 TO 3 INCHES FORECAST IN THE
NEXT 36 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RAINFALL HEAVIER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO
RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL
MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS
CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-190338-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0090.130418T1617Z-130421T1044Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.130418T1617Z.130419T1200Z.130420T1044Z.NO/
1038 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
  MORNING...CREST NEAR 28.5 FEET FRIDAY MORNING AND FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS SURROUNDING SEVERAL HOMES 
  ALONG TOBAGO COURT IN TROPICANA VILLAGE MOBILE HOME PARK IN MOSCOW 
  MILLS.
* IMPACT...AT 28.5 FEET...VEHICLE STORAGE LOT STARTS FLOODING ON THE 
  NORTH END OF TROPICANA VILLAGE MOBILE HOME PARK IN MOSCOW MILLS.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS...SIGNIFICANT 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 24.8 FEET...NEAR THIS HEIGHT...SECOND STREET IN MOSCOW 
  MILLS BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE BYRD STREET INTERSECTION.
* IMPACT...AT 23.2 FEET...GRAVENS ROAD BEGINS FLOODING NORTH OF 
  HIGHWAY C.
* IMPACT...AT 23.1 FEET...WATER BEGINS COVERING FRENCHMAN BLUFF ROAD 
  (COUNTY ROAD 658) JUST WEST OF THE CUIVRE RIVER BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE AGRICULTURAL LAND IS FLOODED 
  BETWEEN TROY AND MOSCOW MILLS.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS.  MINOR 
  FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FROM HIGHWAY 61 EAST TO FRENCHMANS BLUFF...
  LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090

$$

MOC113-190338-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.130419T0112Z.130420T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1038 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MAJOR SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* AT 6 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
  EVENING AND CREST NEAR 31.5 FEET BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 31.8 FEET...OLD HIGHWAY 79 FLOODS BETWEEN OLD MONROE 
  AND HIGHWAY 79.
* IMPACT...AT 31.2 FEET...LOW STEEL ON THE BNSF RAILROAD BRIDGE IS 
  REACHED.
* IMPACT...AT 30.8 FEET...THE CORNER OF SYCAMORE ST. AND FIRST STREET 
  IS FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.  RESIDENTIAL 
  FLOODING IN OLD MONROE.
* IMPACT...AT 29.1 FEET...STREETS IN OLD MONROE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.1 FEET...DYER ROAD UPSTREAM FROM THE GAGE BEGINS 
  FLOODING JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE NEW HIGHWAY 79 BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061 3876 9062

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/18  04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   12.32      14.0   28.5   20.2   11.4    9.2
  OLD MONROE      24.0   23.10      23.2   26.5   31.3   30.5   30.6
802 
WGUS83 KLSX 180943
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
443 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY 
  AT OLD MONROE

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF FORECAST HEAVY RAINS THROUGH THIS
EVENING FALLING ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-190943-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0090.130418T1650Z-130421T1034Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.130418T1650Z.130419T1200Z.130420T1034Z.NO/
443 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* FROM THIS MORNING TO SATURDAY.
* AT 4:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 28.8 FEET TOMORROW MORNING.
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.5 FEET...VEHICLE STORAGE LOT STARTS FLOODING ON THE 
  NORTH END OF TROPICANA VILLAGE MOBILE HOME PARK IN MOSCOW MILLS.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS...SIGNIFICANT 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 24.8 FEET...NEAR THIS HEIGHT...SECOND STREET IN MOSCOW 
  MILLS BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE BYRD STREET INTERSECTION.
* IMPACT...AT 23.2 FEET...GRAVENS ROAD BEGINS FLOODING NORTH OF 
  HIGHWAY C.
* IMPACT...AT 23.1 FEET...WATER BEGINS COVERING FRENCHMAN BLUFF ROAD 
  (COUNTY ROAD 658) JUST WEST OF THE CUIVRE RIVER BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE AGRICULTURAL LAND IS FLOODED 
  BETWEEN TROY AND MOSCOW MILLS.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS.  MINOR 
  FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FROM HIGHWAY 61 EAST TO FRENCHMANS BLUFF...
  LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090


$$

MOC113-190943-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.130419T0036Z.130420T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
443 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* THE LATEST ESTIMATED STAGE WAS WAS 23.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING 
  AND CREST NEAR 31.7 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 31.2 FEET...LOW STEEL ON THE BNSF RAILROAD BRIDGE IS 
  REACHED.
* IMPACT...AT 30.8 FEET...THE CORNER OF SYCAMORE ST. AND FIRST STREET 
  IS FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.  RESIDENTIAL
  FLOODING IN OLD MONROE.
* IMPACT...AT 29.1 FEET...STREETS IN OLD MONROE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.1 FEET...DYER ROAD UPSTREAM FROM THE GAGE BEGINS 
  FLOODING JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE NEW HIGHWAY 79 BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061 3876 9062


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   11.65      12.3   28.8   20.1   11.3    9.1
  OLD MONROE      24.0  E23.90      23.6   26.4   31.6   31.0   30.8
327 
WGUS83 KLSX 181456
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
955 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  
               CUIVRE RIVER NEAR 
                 ...TROY

               NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR 
                 ...EWING

               MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR 
                 ...EWING

               SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR 
                 ...TAYLOR

               NORTH RIVER AT 
                 ...PALMYRA

               MID FORK SALT RIVER NEAR 
                 ...HOLLIDAY

               CUIVRE RIVER AT 
                 ...OLD MONROE 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND 
ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC127-191455-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-130421T0216Z/
/PALM7.3.ER.130418T0201Z.130418T1800Z.130420T0216Z.NR/
955 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* AT 8:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 26.0 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.1 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LEVEE ALONG THE RIGHT BANK NEAR
  THE GAGE IS OVERTOPPED.
* IMPACT...AT 19.5 FEET...AT THIS HEIGHT, THE FOLLOWING COUNTY ROADS 
  ALONG NORTH RIVER ARE IMPASSABLE:  230, 324, 329, AND 335.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE LEFT BANK BEGINS
  FLOODING NEAR THE GAGE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170


$$

MOC113-191455-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0090.130418T1648Z-130421T0917Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.130418T1648Z.130419T1200Z.130420T0917Z.NO/
955 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* AT 9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 28.2 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.5 FEET...VEHICLE STORAGE LOT STARTS FLOODING ON THE 
  NORTH END OF TROPICANA VILLAGE MOBILE HOME PARK IN MOSCOW MILLS.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS...SIGNIFICANT 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 24.8 FEET...NEAR THIS HEIGHT...SECOND STREET IN MOSCOW 
  MILLS BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE BYRD STREET INTERSECTION.
* IMPACT...AT 23.2 FEET...GRAVENS ROAD BEGINS FLOODING NORTH OF 
  HIGHWAY C.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090


$$

MOC113-191455-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.130419T0027Z.130421T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
955 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* AT 6:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 32.0 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 31.8 FEET OLD HWY 79 FLOODS BETWEEN OLD MONROE AND HWY 79.
* IMPACT...AT 31.2 FEET...LOW STEEL ON THE BNSF RAILROAD BRIDGE IS REACHED.
* IMPACT...AT 30.8 FEET...THE CORNER OF SYCAMORE ST. AND FIRST STREET 
  IS FLOODED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061 3876 9062


$$

MOC111-191455-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-130422T2018Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.130418T0527Z.130419T1800Z.130421T2018Z.NO/
955 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* AT 8:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 22.2 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 20.5 FEET...OLIVE STREET (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 585) BEGINS 
  FLOODING NEAR THE INTERSECTION WITH 280TH STREET (COUNTY ROAD 588).
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...JUNIPER AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 513) WILL 
  BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.3 FEET...195TH STREET (COUNTY ROAD 516) JUST EAST OF 
  MONTICELLO WILL BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154


$$

MOC111-191454-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-130422T2123Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.130418T0356Z.130420T1800Z.130421T2123Z.NO/
955 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* AT 8:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 20.3 FEET BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.2 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD MONTEREY STREET NEAR LEMON
  STREET WILL BEGIN FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.7 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 504 WILL BEGIN FLOODING 
  NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...YARDS BEGIN FLOODING IN MAYWOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 18.3 FEET...OAK AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 582) BEGINS 
  FLOODING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162


$$

MOC127-191454-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-130422T2132Z/
/TAYM7.3.ER.130418T0301Z.130420T0000Z.130421T2132Z.NO/
955 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* AT 8:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 19.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.1 FEET...SMALL LEVEE IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  GAGE IS OVERTOPPED, FLOODING AGRICULTURAL FIELDS.
* IMPACT...AT 14.7 FEET...CORNFIELD JUST SOUTH AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  COUNTY ROAD 315 BRIDGE AT THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.7 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 319 JUST NORTH OF THE GAGE 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY ROAD 301 WILL BE FLOODED NORTH
  OF COUNTY ROAD 150 NEAR THIS HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172 3989 9176


$$

MOC137-191454-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-130422T0732Z/
/PMZM7.2.ER.130418T0357Z.130419T0600Z.130421T0532Z.UU/
955 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MID FORK SALT RIVER NEAR HOLLIDAY
* AT 9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...HOUSE AND TRAILER HOME BELOW BRIDGE ON 
  BRIDGE STREET FLOODS.  WATER WAS 6-8 FT DEEP AT THIS HOUSE IN JULY 
  2008.  BRIDGE STREET LIKELY FLOODS AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WASTEWATER LIFT STATION BEGINS FLOODING AT 
  ABOUT THIS HEIGHT.  WATER WAS 16 FT DEEP IN JULY 2008.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199 3952 9221


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA         13.0   23.12      19.4    9.4    6.5    5.7    5.3

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   17.31      28.2   19.1   11.2    9.0    8.2
  OLD MONROE      24.0   23.10      26.7   31.7   31.7   30.9   31.1

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           11.0   15.57      22.0   19.4   13.0    8.1    6.1

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           12.0   17.30      19.4   20.2   15.9    7.8    6.1

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           9.5   15.12      18.6   17.7   12.4    5.1    3.8

SALT RIVER
  HOLLIDAY        17.0   20.42      22.2   20.3   14.7    8.7    7.5
641 
WGUS83 KLSX 181827
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
127 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER...
 
  

              THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR 

                ...TROY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND 
ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-191827-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-130421T0245Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.130418T1700Z.130419T1200Z.130420T0245Z.NO/
127 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* AT 1 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 25.9 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS...SIGNIFICANT 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 24.8 FEET...NEAR THIS HEIGHT...SECOND STREET IN MOSCOW 
  MILLS BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE BYRD STREET INTERSECTION.
* IMPACT...AT 23.2 FEET...GRAVENS ROAD BEGINS FLOODING NORTH OF 
  HIGHWAY C.
* IMPACT...AT 23.1 FEET...WATER BEGINS COVERING FRENCHMAN BLUFF ROAD 
  (COUNTY ROAD 658) JUST WEST OF THE CUIVRE RIVER BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE AGRICULTURAL LAND IS FLOODED 
  BETWEEN TROY AND MOSCOW MILLS.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS.  MINOR 
  FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FROM HIGHWAY 61 EAST TO FRENCHMANS BLUFF...
  LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   21.91      25.9   15.5   10.2    8.6    8.0
489 
WGUS83 KLSX 182022
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
322 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...
 
  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
  LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY
  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI..
  
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY 
  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION THE 
PAST 24 HOURS AND NO ADDITIONAL RAIN FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC127-192022-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-130420T2320Z/
/PALM7.3.ER.130418T0201Z.130418T1545Z.130419T2320Z.NR/
322 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  2:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.1 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LEVEE ALONG THE RIGHT BANK NEAR
  THE GAGE IS OVERTOPPED.
* IMPACT...AT 19.5 FEET...AT THIS HEIGHT, THE FOLLOWING COUNTY ROADS 
  ALONG NORTH RIVER ARE IMPASSABLE:  230, 324, 329, AND 335.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE LEFT BANK BEGINS
  FLOODING NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LEFT BANK BEGINS TO FLOOD NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY RD 341 NORTH OF PALMYRA 
  INUNDATED. SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING...RIGHT BANK.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 333, EAST OF PALMYRA, BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170


$$

MOC113-192022-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-130421T0245Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.130418T1700Z.130419T1200Z.130420T0245Z.NO/
322 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  3:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.9 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW 
  LATE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS...SIGNIFICANT 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 24.8 FEET...NEAR THIS HEIGHT...SECOND STREET IN MOSCOW 
  MILLS BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE BYRD STREET INTERSECTION.
* IMPACT...AT 23.2 FEET...GRAVENS ROAD BEGINS FLOODING NORTH OF 
  HIGHWAY C.
* IMPACT...AT 23.1 FEET...WATER BEGINS COVERING FRENCHMAN BLUFF ROAD 
  (COUNTY ROAD 658) JUST WEST OF THE CUIVRE RIVER BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE AGRICULTURAL LAND IS FLOODED 
  BETWEEN TROY AND MOSCOW MILLS.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS.  MINOR 
  FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FROM HIGHWAY 61 EAST TO FRENCHMANS BLUFF...
  LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090


$$

MOC113-192022-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.130419T0027Z.130421T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
322 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  6:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING 
  AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 31.5 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 31.8 FEET...OLD HIGHWAY 79 FLOODS BETWEEN OLD MONROE AND
  HIGHWAY 79.
* IMPACT...AT 31.2 FEET...LOW STEEL ON THE BNSF RAILROAD BRIDGE IS 
  REACHED.
* IMPACT...AT 30.8 FEET...THE CORNER OF SYCAMORE ST. AND FIRST STREET 
  IS FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING
  IN OLD MONROE.
* IMPACT...AT 29.1 FEET...STREETS IN OLD MONROE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.1 FEET...DYER ROAD UPSTREAM FROM THE GAGE BEGINS 
  FLOODING JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE NEW HIGHWAY 79 BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061 3876 9062


$$

MOC111-192021-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-130422T1930Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.130418T0527Z.130420T0000Z.130421T1930Z.NO/
322 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  2:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.9 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 20.5 FEET...OLIVE STREET (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 585) BEGINS 
  FLOODING NEAR THE INTERSECTION WITH 280TH STREET (COUNTY ROAD 588).
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...JUNIPER AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 513) WILL 
  BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.3 FEET...195TH STREET (COUNTY ROAD 516) JUST EAST OF 
  MONTICELLO WILL BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 532 (OR 230TH STREET) WILL
  BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...STATE HIGHWAY E WEST OF WILLIAMSTOWN BEGINS 
  TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK BEGINS TO FLOOD NEAR MONTICELLO.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154


$$

MOC111-192021-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-130422T2052Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.130418T0356Z.130420T1800Z.130421T2052Z.NO/
322 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  2:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.1 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.2 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD MONTEREY STREET NEAR LEMON
  STREET WILL BEGIN FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.7 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 504 WILL BEGIN FLOODING 
  NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...YARDS BEGIN FLOODING IN MAYWOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 18.3 FEET...OAK AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 582) BEGINS 
  FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.8 FEET...OLIVE AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 587) NORTH 
  OF MAYWOOD BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.7 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 508 WILL BEGIN FLOODING 
  NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE NEAR
  THE GAGE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162


$$

MOC127-192021-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-130422T1945Z/
/TAYM7.3.ER.130418T0301Z.130420T0000Z.130421T1945Z.NO/
322 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  2:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.1 FEET...SMALL LEVEE IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  GAGE IS OVERTOPPED, FLOODING AGRICULTURAL FIELDS.
* IMPACT...AT 14.7 FEET...CORNFIELD JUST SOUTH AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  COUNTY ROAD 315 BRIDGE AT THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.7 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 319 JUST NORTH OF THE GAGE 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY ROAD 301 WILL BE FLOODED NORTH
  OF COUNTY ROAD 150 NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...MARION COUNTY ROAD 150 WILL BE FLOODED NEAR 
  THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 NORTHWEST OF PHILADELPHIA 
  FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.2 FEET...THE RIVER BEGINS FLOODING THE RIGHT BANK 
  JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE COUNTY ROAD 319 BRIDGE AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 10.1 FEET...MARION COUNTY ROAD 310 BEGINS FLOODING JUST 
  WEST OF THE EAST END OF THE ROAD, THE INTERSECTION WITH COUNTY ROAD
  365.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172 3989 9176


$$

ILC009-192021-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-130426T0600Z/
/RIPI2.3.ER.130418T1252Z.130422T0600Z.130425T0600Z.NR/
322 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY
* UNTIL FRIDAY APRIL 26.
* AT  2:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...HIGHWAY 99, NORTH OF CAMDEN, BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE PASTURE FLOODING DOWNSTREAM OF THE
  GAUGE ALONG HIGHWAY 103 EAST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 24.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 1600E (LEVY ROAD) IS CLOSED JUST
  WEST OF LAGRANGE LOCK ROAD.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...TOWNSHIP ROAD, DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE ON THE
  RIGHT BANK, BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.  EXTENSIVE 
  CROPLAND IS FLOODED BELOW THE GAUGE NEAR THE LAGRANGE LOCK ROAD 
  BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  FARMLAND FLOODING AND RURAL 
  DAMAGES BEGIN.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4013 9074 4013 9068 4000 9051 3996 9052 3998 9064


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA         13.0   22.72      19.0    8.6    6.3    5.5    5.3

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   23.04      25.9   15.5   10.2    8.6    8.0
  OLD MONROE      24.0   23.10      26.6   31.3   31.3   31.0   31.1

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           11.0   15.86      19.4   19.7   12.6    8.1    5.9

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           12.0   18.21      19.2   20.0   15.7    7.6    5.9

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           9.5   15.90      18.4   17.5   11.6    5.2    3.8

LA MOINE RIVER
331 
WGUS83 KLSX 190230
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
930 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
  MID FORK SALT RIVER NEAR HOLLIDAY
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AND OLD MONROE
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION THE 
PAST 36 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-200230-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-130421T0245Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.130418T1700Z.130419T1200Z.130420T0245Z.NO/
930 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.9 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW 
  LATE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS...SIGNIFICANT 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090


$$

MOC113-200229-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.130419T0010Z.130425T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  6:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING 
  AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 32.3 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 31.8 FEET...OLD HIGHWAY 79 FLOODS BETWEEN OLD MONROE AND
  HIGHWAY 79.
* IMPACT...AT 31.2 FEET...LOW STEEL ON THE BNSF RAILROAD BRIDGE IS 
  REACHED.
* IMPACT...AT 30.8 FEET...THE CORNER OF SYCAMORE ST. AND FIRST STREET 
  IS FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING
  IN OLD MONROE.
* IMPACT...AT 29.1 FEET...STREETS IN OLD MONROE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.1 FEET...DYER ROAD UPSTREAM FROM THE GAGE BEGINS 
  FLOODING JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE NEW HIGHWAY 79 BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061 3876 9062


$$

MOC111-200229-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-130422T1851Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.130418T0527Z.130420T0600Z.130421T1851Z.NO/
930 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...JUNIPER AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 513) WILL 
  BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.3 FEET...195TH STREET (COUNTY ROAD 516) JUST EAST OF 
  MONTICELLO WILL BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154


$$

MOC111-200229-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-130422T2052Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.130418T0356Z.130420T1800Z.130421T2052Z.NO/
930 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.1 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.2 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD MONTEREY STREET NEAR LEMON
  STREET WILL BEGIN FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162


$$

MOC127-200229-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-130422T1715Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.130418T0301Z.130420T0000Z.130421T1715Z.NO/
930 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.4 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.1 FEET...SMALL LEVEE IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  GAGE IS OVERTOPPED, FLOODING AGRICULTURAL FIELDS.
&&
 
LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172 3989 9176


$$

MOC137-200229-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-130422T0704Z/
/PMZM7.2.ER.130418T0357Z.130419T0200Z.130421T0504Z.UU/
930 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MID FORK SALT RIVER NEAR HOLLIDAY
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...NEAR THIS HEIGHT, WATER WILL BEGIN FLOWING 
  OVER NORTH MAIN STREET (BUSINESS U.S. HIGHWAY 24 OR HIGHWAY 15) 
  JUST NORTH OF PARIS.  IN JULY 2008, THE WATER WAS 7+ FT DEEP AT 
  THIS LOCATION.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199 3952 9221


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   25.05      25.9   15.5   10.2    8.6    8.0
  OLD MONROE      24.0   23.80      26.3   30.4   30.9   31.3   31.4

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           11.0   16.12      17.2   18.3   12.7    8.0    5.8

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           12.0   18.92      19.2   20.0   15.7    7.6    5.9

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           9.5   15.88      17.7   16.7   10.9    5.1    3.6

SALT RIVER
291 
WGUS83 KLSX 191431
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
931 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  
               THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR 
                 ...TROY 
                 ...OLD MONROE  

               NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR 
                 ...EWING

               MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR 
                 ...EWING 

               SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR 
                 ...TAYLOR 

               NORTH RIVER AT 
                  ...PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 



   .THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN.



THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND 
ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-201431-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-130421T0100Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.130418T1700Z.130419T0800Z.130420T0100Z.NO/
931 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* AT 9 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS...SIGNIFICANT 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 24.8 FEET...NEAR THIS HEIGHT...SECOND STREET IN MOSCOW 
  MILLS BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE BYRD STREET INTERSECTION.
* IMPACT...AT 23.2 FEET...GRAVENS ROAD BEGINS FLOODING NORTH OF 
  HIGHWAY C.
* IMPACT...AT 23.1 FEET...WATER BEGINS COVERING FRENCHMAN BLUFF ROAD 
  (COUNTY ROAD 658) JUST WEST OF THE CUIVRE RIVER BRIDGE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090


$$

MOC113-201431-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.130418T2326Z.130424T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
931 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* AT 7:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 30.5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING
  IN OLD MONROE.
* IMPACT...AT 29.1 FEET...STREETS IN OLD MONROE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.1 FEET...DYER ROAD UPSTREAM FROM THE GAGE BEGINS 
  FLOODING JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE NEW HIGHWAY 79 BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061 3876 9062


$$

MOC111-201431-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-130422T1950Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.130418T0527Z.130420T0600Z.130421T1950Z.NO/
931 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* AT 8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 18.7 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...JUNIPER AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 513) WILL 
  BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.3 FEET...195TH STREET (COUNTY ROAD 516) JUST EAST OF 
  MONTICELLO WILL BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154


$$

MOC111-201430-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-130422T1918Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.130418T0356Z.130420T1800Z.130421T1918Z.NO/
931 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* AT 8:31 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.2 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD MONTEREY STREET NEAR LEMON
  STREET WILL BEGIN FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.7 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 504 WILL BEGIN FLOODING 
  NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...YARDS BEGIN FLOODING IN MAYWOOD.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162


$$

MOC127-201430-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-130422T0208Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.130418T0301Z.130419T0400Z.130421T0208Z.NO/
931 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* AT 8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.1 FEET...SMALL LEVEE IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  GAGE IS OVERTOPPED, FLOODING AGRICULTURAL FIELDS.
* IMPACT...AT 14.7 FEET...CORNFIELD JUST SOUTH AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  COUNTY ROAD 315 BRIDGE AT THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.7 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 319 JUST NORTH OF THE GAGE 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172 3989 9176


$$

MOC127-201430-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-130421T0248Z/
/PALM7.3.ER.130418T0201Z.130418T1545Z.130420T0248Z.NR/
931 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* AT 8:31 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 19.5 FEET...AT THIS HEIGHT, THE FOLLOWING COUNTY ROADS 
  ALONG NORTH RIVER ARE IMPASSABLE:  230, 324, 329, AND 335.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE LEFT BANK BEGINS
  FLOODING NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LEFT BANK BEGINS TO FLOOD NEAR THE GAGE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   24.87      15.8   10.2    8.6    8.0    7.8
  OLD MONROE      24.0   29.91      30.3   30.8   31.3   31.8   32.0

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           11.0   17.81      18.4   12.9    7.7    6.0    5.3

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           12.0   18.78      19.9   15.1    7.3    5.9    5.0

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           9.5   15.44      12.0    7.1    3.4    2.8    2.6

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA         13.0   19.42       9.0    5.8    5.3    5.1    5.0
161 
WGUS83 KLSX 191933
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
233 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR OLD MONROE
  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
  MID FORK SALT RIVER NEAR HOLLIDAY
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-201933-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-130420T2214Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.130418T1700Z.130419T0800Z.130419T2214Z.NO/
233 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  2:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS.  MINOR 
  FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FROM HIGHWAY 61 EAST TO FRENCHMANS BLUFF...
  LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090

$$

MOC113-201933-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.130418T2326Z.130424T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
233 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  2:01 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.0 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 31.8 FEET...OLD HIGHWAY 79 FLOODS BETWEEN OLD MONROE AND
  HIGHWAY 79.
* IMPACT...AT 31.2 FEET...LOW STEEL ON THE BNSF RAILROAD BRIDGE IS 
  REACHED.
* IMPACT...AT 30.8 FEET...THE CORNER OF SYCAMORE ST. AND FIRST STREET 
  IS FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING
  IN OLD MONROE.
* IMPACT...AT 29.1 FEET...STREETS IN OLD MONROE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.1 FEET...DYER ROAD UPSTREAM FROM THE GAGE BEGINS 
  FLOODING JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE NEW HIGHWAY 79 BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061 3876 9062


$$

MOC111-201933-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-130422T2332Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.130418T0527Z.130420T0600Z.130421T2332Z.NO/
233 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  2:01 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...JUNIPER AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 513) WILL 
  BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154

$$

MOC111-201933-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-130422T1918Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.130418T0356Z.130420T1800Z.130421T1918Z.NO/
233 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  1:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.8 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.2 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD MONTEREY STREET NEAR LEMON
  STREET WILL BEGIN FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162


$$

MOC127-201933-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-130422T0800Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.130418T0301Z.130419T0400Z.130421T0800Z.NO/
233 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT  1:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.1 FEET...SMALL LEVEE IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  GAGE IS OVERTOPPED, FLOODING AGRICULTURAL FIELDS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172 3989 9176


$$

MOC127-201933-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-130421T1106Z/
/PALM7.3.ER.130418T0201Z.130418T1545Z.130420T1106Z.NR/
233 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT  1:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE LEFT BANK BEGINS
  FLOODING NEAR THE GAGE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170


$$

MOC137-201933-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-130422T0525Z/
/PMZM7.2.ER.130418T0357Z.130419T0515Z.130421T0325Z.UU/
233 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MID FORK SALT RIVER NEAR HOLLIDAY
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT  2:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW LATE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WASTEWATER LIFT STATION BEGINS FLOODING AT 
  ABOUT THIS HEIGHT.  WATER WAS 16 FT DEEP IN JULY 2008.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199 3952 9221


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   21.92      15.2   10.2    8.8    8.1    7.8
  OLD MONROE      24.0   25.90      30.3   30.8   31.3   31.8   31.9

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           11.0   19.21      18.9   13.7    8.5    6.8    6.1

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           12.0   18.82      19.7   15.1    7.3    5.9    5.0

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           9.5   14.94      13.1    8.7    4.1    3.1    2.9

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA         13.0   18.31      12.6    6.6    6.1    5.9    5.8

SALT RIVER
  HOLLIDAY        17.0   22.05      20.0   13.4    8.7    7.4    6.8
595 
WGUS83 KLSX 201632
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1132 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  

             CUIVRE RIVER NEAR 
               ...TROY

             NORTH RIVER AT 
               ...PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY


.THIS FLOOD WARNING FOR THESE POINTS ARE CANCELLED...


&&

MOC113-201702-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-130420T2214Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.130418T1700Z.130419T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1132 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY.
* AT 11:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 15.8 FEET.  

&&
 
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090


$$

MOC127-201702-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-130421T1106Z/
/PALM7.3.ER.130418T0201Z.130418T1545Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1132 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA.
* AT 10:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12.0 FEET. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24  04/25

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   11.92      10.6    8.8    8.1    7.7    7.5


NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA         13.0   10.95       8.1    6.4    5.6    5.1    5.1

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 17, 10:34 AM CDT, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 17, 10:34 AM CDT, 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1034 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1034 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

UPDATED FORECAST TO REFLECT THAT AREAS OF FOG WILL LAST THROUGH LATE
MORNING AND CURRENT THINKING ABOUT STORM THE REST OF THE DAY. WARM
FRONT LOOKS TO HAVE MOVED NORTHWARD OVER SOUTHWEST MISSOURI WHERE
THERE HAS BEEN COME CLEARING THIS MORNING...AND THEN EXTENDS
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. STILL EXPECT CYCLOGENESIS
OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL HELP WARM FRONT MOVE NORTHWARD TO
NORTH OF I-70 THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BE VERY DEPENDENT ON HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM FRONT MOVES.

SATELLITE AND RADAR ARE BOTH SHOWING ELEVATED CONVECTION DEVELOPING
OVER EASTERN KANSAS. WATER VAPOR IS SHOWING A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
THAT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARD THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE INCREASE IN MID LEVEL ASCENT AND CONVERGENCE ALONG THE LOW
LEVEL BOUNDARY WILL CAUSE THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL IL
THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL THEN SPREAD EAST INTO EAST
CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS EARLY THIS EVENING. DO
THINK DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WILL DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI AND
PERHAPS EASTWARD ALONG THE WARM FRONT INTO EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE MORE LINEAR MODES DEVELOP BY EVENING. IMPRESSIVE
INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE MORE THAN ENOUGH FOR
ORGANIZED STORMS/SUPERCELLS. LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL ALSO SUGGESTS
TORNADO POTENTIAL...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE WARM FRONT OR ANY OTHER
BOUNDARIES. VERY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 8C/KM ALSO
SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL.

BRITT

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 433 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

FOCUS THRU THE PERIOD REMAINS POPS AND SVR WX POTENTIAL.

OVERALL CONFIDENCE IN DETAILS OF HOW THINGS WILL PAN OUT THRU THE
PERIOD ARE RATHER LOW GIVEN MDL SPREAD. WRMFNT IS CURRENTLY OVER WRN
KY INTO NRN AR AND IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NWD TODAY/TONIGHT. MAIN
QUESTION IS HOW QUICKLY. BELIEVE GUIDANCE HAS THIS FNT LIFTING NWD
TOO QUICKLY AND HAVE LOWER TEMPS ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA
TODAY BECAUSE OF THIS. THIS FNT WILL ALSO IMPACT WHERE TSRA WILL
DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVE. OVERALL...HAVE TRENDED TWD
A NAM/LOCAL WRF/ECMWF/SREF SOLNS.

TSRA CLUSTER OVER ERN KS SHUD LIFT TO THE ENE THIS MORNING
POTENTIALLY CLIPPING NRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. TSRA MAY DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON OVER WRN INTO CENTRAL MO AND MOVE INTO WRN PORTIONS OF THE
CWA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVE. GIVEN PROG THERMO PROFILES
ALONG WITH HODOGRAPHS...CAN EXPECT LARGE HAIL AND POSS
TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE FNT EARLY IN THE EVENT WHEN
SUPERCELLS ARE MORE LIKELY. MAIN QUESTION IS WHERE/WHEN THESE
SUPERCELLS WILL DEVELOP GIVEN UNCERTAINTY IN STORM EVOLUTION THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. TSRA SHUD CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...MAINLY
ACROSS THE NRN HALF OF THE CWA AS THE WRMFNT LIFTS NWD. TSRA SHUD
GRADUALLY EVOLVE INTO A LINEAR MODE ALONG THE ADVANCING CDFNT
REACHING FAR WRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA POSS LATE TONIGHT WITH BETTER
CHANCES INTO WED MORNING.

TEMPS TODAY WILL BE DIRECTLY TIED TO THE POSITION OF THE WRMFNT.
AREAS S OF THE FNT SHUD BE ABLE TO REACH THE LOWER TO POSS MID 80S
WHILE AREAS TO THE N OF THE FNT WILL STRUGGLE TO CLIMB INTO THE 60S.
GOING FORECAST SUGGESTS THE WRMFNT WILL REACH NEAR A MEXICO MO TO
LITCHFIELD IL LINE BEFORE BRIEFLY STALLING FOR A DAYTIME HIGH TODAY.
TRENDED WARM FOR TONIGHT WITH THE WRMFNT CONTINUING TO LIFT NWD THRU
THE AREA TONIGHT.

TILLY

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 434 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013
(THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)

EXPECT ONGOING TSRA TO BE ENTERING THE WRN CWA AT THE BEGINNING OF
THE PERIOD...OR SHORTLY AFTER. A NUMBER OF QUESTIONS REMAIN
EXACTLY HOW STORMS WILL EVOLVE THURS WHICH WILL LARGELY DEPEND UPON
EVENTS TODAY. BETTER CHANCES FOR SVR WX EXIST E OF THE MS RIVER
DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS WHERE MORE HEATING
WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FNT. MDLS CONTINUE TO PROG K INDEX VALUES
NEAR 40 C THURSDAY...TONIGHT TOO...SUGGESTING HEAVY RAIN THREAT.
HAVE NOT MADE CHANGES TO THE GOING HEADLINE DUE TO
UNCERTAINTY...BUT LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WRN PORTIONS OF OF THE
WATCH WILL BE ABLE TO BE CANCELED EARLY.

OTHERWISE...POPS WILL LINGER INTO FRI ACROSS THE NRN HALF OF THE
CWA FOR DEF ZONE PRECIP AS THE UPPER TROF SWINGS THRU THE REGION.
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH TIMING OF PRECIP...BUT FUTURE UPDATES
MAY NEED TO ADD MENTION OF SN FOR THIS PRECIP EARLY FRI MORNING.

AS FOR TEMPS...TRENDED TWD WARMER GUIDANCE AHEAD OF THE FNT ON
THURS THEN TRENDED AOB COOLEST GUIDANCE THRU THE END OF THE
PERIOD AS THE SFC RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA.

(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)

WITH DIFFERENCES AMONG MDLS THRU THE EXTD...USED A BLEND OF
GUIDANCE WHILE TRYING TO KEEP SOME CONTINUITY WITH THE PREV
FORECAST. KEPT POPS LOWER UNTIL TUES WHERE MDLS ARE IN BETTER
AGREEMENT THAT PORTIONS OF THE CWA WILL SEE PRECIP...EVEN IF THE
DETAILS ARE DIFFERENT.

WITH THE RELATIVELY LOW HEIGHTS PROGD THRU THE PERIOD...HAVE
TRENDED COOLER THRU THE PERIOD.

TILLY

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 645 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

A BROAD WEST-EAST SWATH OF IFR-LIFR CONDITIONS STRETCHED FROM
CENTRAL MO THRU EASTERN MO INTO SOUTHERN IL EARLY THIS MORNING
WITH MVFR CONDITIONS TO THE NORTH OF THIS. THERE WERE SOME SPOTTY
SHOWERS IN NORTHERN MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL IL WITH AREAS OF
DRIZZLE FURTHER SOUTH. THE GENERAL TREND FOR THIS MORNING SHOULD
BE FOR CONDITIONS TO REMAIN STATUS QUO FOR ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS
THEN GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT AS THE WARM FRONT CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR
THE MO/AR BORDER LIFTS NORTHWARD. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE
SIGNIFICANTLY TO MVFR AND EVENTUALLY VFR AFTER THE WARM FRONTAL
PASSAGE. THE PROBABILITY AND TIMING OF THUNDERSTORMS AT THE
TERMINALS ARE THE MOST DIFFICULT ISSUE. PRESENT THOUGHTS BASED ON
A NUMBER OF MODELS ARE THAT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVEOP
ACROSS SW MO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST
IMPACTING KCOU NEAR MID AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY THE ST LOUIS AREA
LATE-AFTERNOON. THIS WILL JUST BE THE FIRST WAVE WITH ADDITIONAL
AND GREATER COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. KCOU AND KUIN
HAS THE GREATEST CHANCE TO SEE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF THUNDER
TONIGHT. I WAS CONSERVATIVE IN THE TAFS WITH THE ATTENDANT
CONDITIONS WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS...ANY OF THE STORMS TODAY AND
TONIGHT BE SEVERE.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL...

IFR-LIFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST MID-MORNING THEN
I EXPECT TO SEE IMPROVEMENT AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES DURING THE
LATER HALF OF THE MORNING. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE SIGNIFICANTLY
TO MVFR AND EVENTUALLY VFR AFTER THE WARM FRONTAL PASSAGE EARLY
THIS AFTENOON. THE PROBABILITY AND TIMING OF THUNDERSTORMS AT THE
TERMINAL IS THE MOST DIFFICULT ISSUE. PRESENT THOUGHTS BASED ON A
NUMBER OF MODELS ARE THAT THUNDERSTORMS COULD IMPACT THE TERMINAL
IN THE 21Z-23Z TIME FRAME. AFTER THIS INITIAL THREAT THE MAIN
FOCUS SHOULD BE ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL MO INTO NORTHERN MO AND
THERE COULD BE SIGNIFICANT DRY TIME TONIGHT UNTIL MID MORNING ON
THURSDAY. I WAS CONSERVATIVE IN THE TAF WITH THE ATTENDANT
CONDITIONS WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS...ANY OF THE STORMS TODAY AND
TONIGHT BE SEVERE.

GLASS

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
     NIGHT FOR CRAWFORD MO-FRANKLIN MO-GASCONADE MO-JEFFERSON MO-
     LINCOLN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
     WARREN MO-WASHINGTON MO.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR AUDRAIN MO-BOONE MO-CALLAWAY MO-COLE MO-KNOX MO-
     LEWIS MO-MARION MO-MONITEAU MO-MONROE MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
     OSAGE MO-PIKE MO-RALLS MO-SHELBY MO.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
     NIGHT FOR BOND IL-CALHOUN IL-GREENE IL-JERSEY IL-MACOUPIN
     IL-MADISON IL-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY IL-ST. CLAIR IL.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 17, 5:24 AM CDT, 5 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
524 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-181200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
524 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION TODAY AND
TONIGHT. TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST
CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION ON
THURSDAY...COMING TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE
IS POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER...WITH NUMEROUS
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TILLY

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 17, 9:07 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis5 days
Apr 17, 9:07 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis5 days
Apr 17, 9:07 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion5 days
Apr 17, 9:07 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion3 days
Apr 17, 10:46 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau5 days
Apr 17, 10:46 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXCallaway, Osage8 days
Apr 17, 10:46 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXGasconade, Montgomery8 days
Apr 17, 10:46 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXGasconade, Montgomery8 days
Apr 17, 10:46 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXFranklin, Warren6 days
Apr 17, 10:46 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis8 days
Apr 17, 11:00 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMonroe5 days
Apr 17, 11:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis36 days
Apr 17, 11:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion36 days
Apr 17, 11:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion34 days
Apr 17, 11:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXRalls37 days
Apr 17, 11:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles32 days
Apr 17, 11:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Louis, City of Saint Louis24 days
Apr 17, 11:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXPerry, Sainte Genevieve39 days
Apr 17, 12:40 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Louis31 days
Apr 17, 4:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMoniteau43 min
Apr 17, 5:21 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXBoone, Moniteau24 min
Apr 17, 5:24 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXAudrain, Monroe36 min
Apr 17, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Moniteau47 min
Apr 17, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMarion, Monroe, Ralls, Shelby50 min
Apr 17, 5:55 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXAudrain, Monroe35 min
Apr 17, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway48 min
Apr 17, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone45 min
Apr 17, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLewis, Marion66 min
Apr 17, 6:42 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXLewis, Marion48 min
Apr 17, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Monroe50 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.