River Flood Warning 64, NWS St. Louis, MO

582 
WGUS83 KLSX 111339
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
839 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  MOREAU RIVER 

     NEAR JEFFERSON CITY...AFFECTING COLE COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION 
THE PAST 24 HOURS...WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION FORECAST 
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-121339-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0064.130411T1336Z-130413T0931Z/
/JCMM7.1.ER.130411T1216Z.130412T0000Z.130412T0931Z.NO/
839 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.4 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   17.14      15.8    5.7    3.8    3.2    3.0

481 
WGUS83 KLSX 111847
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
147 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  MOREAU RIVER 

     NEAR JEFFERSON CITY...AFFECTING COLE COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION 
THE PAST 24 HOURS AND LITTLE ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION FORECAST 
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND 
ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-121847-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-130413T1024Z/
/JCMM7.1.ER.130411T1216Z.130412T0000Z.130412T1024Z.NO/
147 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  1:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   19.55      16.2    5.8    3.9    3.2    3.0

160 
WGUS83 KLSX 120214
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
914 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER...
 
  
            MOREAU RIVER NEAR 
              ...JEFFERSON CITY AFFECTING COLE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-130214-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-130413T1346Z/
/JCMM7.1.ER.130411T1216Z.130412T0600Z.130412T1346Z.NO/
914 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* AT 8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 21.0 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/12  04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   20.74      18.3    6.2    3.9    3.2    3.0

249 
WGUS83 KLSX 121126
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
626 AM CDT FRI APR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  MOREAU RIVER 

     NEAR JEFFERSON CITY...AFFECTING COLE COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION 
RECEIVED OVER THE BASIN ON WEDNESDAY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-131126-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-130413T1436Z/
/JCMM7.1.ER.130411T1216Z.130412T0645Z.130412T1436Z.NO/
626 AM CDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  5:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   20.44       5.8    3.9    3.2    3.0

134 
WGUS83 KLSX 121448
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
947 AM CDT FRI APR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  MOREAU RIVER 

     NEAR JEFFERSON CITY...AFFECTING COLE COUNTY


.THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT ISSUED REGARDING THIS FLOODING 
EVENT ALONG THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC051-121517-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-130413T1436Z/
/JCMM7.1.ER.130411T1216Z.130412T0645Z.130412T1407Z.NO/
947 AM CDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MOREAU RIVER NEAR JEFFERSON CITY.
* AT  9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  9:07 AM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 5.8 FEET BY SATURDAY  
  MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207 3855 9214


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     04/13  04/14  04/15  04/16  04/17

MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY  17.0   16.49       5.8    3.9    3.2    3.0    2.9

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
640 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 350 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE THAT IS LINGERING OVER THE METRO AREA INTO
ILLINOIS IS SHOWING SLOW PROGRESSION EASTWARD EARLY THIS MORNING.
ANY LINGERING LIGHT RAIN WILL END THIS MORNING AS ASCENT WEAKENS
OVER THE AREA.  WILL KEEP MENTION OF ISOLATED/SCATTERED LIGHT
SHOWERS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-70 THIS AFTERNOON WHERE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL LINGER IN CYCLONIC FLOW.  TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY SHOW
A SLIGHT INCREASE TODAY WITH MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES AND COLD AIR
ADVECTION. ONLY TWEAKED GOING HIGHS WHICH MATCH UP WELL WITH MOS
HIGHS/MODEL 2 METER TEMPERATURES.

BRITT

.LONG TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 350 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

UPPER LEVEL LOW AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOW OVER IA THIS EVNG WILL MOVE
NEWD INTO WI LATER TGT. IT APPEARS THAT MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION
IN THE WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL REMAIN N OF OUR FORECAST
AREA...ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE A LITTLE LIGHT RAIN ACROSS NERN MO
AND W CNTRL IL...MAINLY THIS EVNG...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH A LITTLE
LIGHT SNOW LATE THIS EVNG. MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES CAN BE
EXPECTED TGT WITH THE NAM AND ECMWF MODELS DROPPING THE -4 DEGREE
C ISOTHERM SEWD INTO SERN MO AND SWRN IL BY 12Z FRI...THE GFS
MODEL IS A LITTLE WARMER. LOWS TGT WILL LIKELY BE DOWN TO AROUND
THE FREEZING MARK ACROSS NERN AND CNTRL MO AS WELL AS W CNTRL IL.
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONINUE ON FRI WITH CLOUD COVER
CONTINUING ACROSS NERN MO AND W CNTRL IL INTO SWRN IL...BUT
PRECIPITATION REMAINING N-NE OF OUR AREA...MAINLY IN THE GREAT
LAKES REGION IN THE VICINITY OF THE UPPER/SFC LOW. A NW FLOW
SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SEWD THROUGH IA AND NRN IL FRI NGT BRINGING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR INTO NERN MO AND W CNTRL IL. WITH
POTENTIALLY LESS CLOUD COVER AND WEAKER SFC WINDS THE LOWS FRI NGT
WILL LIKELY BE LOWER THAN TGT...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 20S IN
NERN MO TO THE MID 30S IN SERN MO. WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY
FREEZE/FROST HEADLINES/PRODUCTS FOR NOW BUT LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED
TO ISSUE A FREEZE WARNING FOR PARTS OF OUR AREA TGT AND/OR FRI
NGT AS THE GROWING SEASON HAS BEGUN. A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN
SAT AFTN AS THE SFC/LOW LEVEL WINDS BECOME S/SWLY BY 00Z SUN AS
THE SFC/850 MB RIDGE SHIFTS E-SE OF OUR AREA...AND THE UPPER LEVEL
HEIGHTS BEGIN TO RISE. THE PERSISTENT LOW LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD ALSO
FINALLY ADVECT WELL NE OF OUR AREA BY SAT...ALTHOUGH IT APPEARS
THAT MID LEVEL...WAA CLOUDS WILL BE MOVING EWD INTO OUR AREA SAT
AFTN. STILL LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED
CONVECTION...MAINLY LATE SAT NGT AND MAINLY ACROSS NERN MO AND W
CNTRL IL...AS A STRENGTHENING SWLY LOW LEVEL JET BRINGS STRONG
LOW-MID LEVEL WAA TO THIS AREA ALONG WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE. THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NERN MO AND W
CNTRL IL ON SUN AS AN UPPER LEVEL AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOW MOVE
NEWD THROUGH THE NRN PLAINS DRAGGING A COLD FRONT SLOWLY SEWD INTO
THE NWRN PORTION OF OUR FORECAST AREA. THIS FRONT SHOULD SAG SLOWLY
S-SEWD THROUGH OUR FORECAST AREA SUN NGT AND MON. THE GFS MODEL IS A
LITTLE MORE PROGESSIVE WITH THIS FRONT THAN THE ECMWF MODEL. IT
APPEARS THAT MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE POST FRONTAL...BUT
WITH A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF THIS FRONT
WILL NEED TO BROADBRUSH CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA MON NGT THROUGH TUE NGT. THE COOLEST TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE
ACROSS NERN MO WELL BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN
IS EXPECTED ON WED AND WED NGT AS A SFC LOW DEVELOPS ALONG THE
FRONT AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES. THE ECMWF MODEL KEEPS
THE MAIN SFC LOW N OF OUR AREA MORE TYPICAL OF SPRING...WHILE THE
GFS MODEL IS FURTHER S WITH THE TRACK OF THE SFC LOW...KEEPING IT
JUST S OF OUR AREA AND IS A COLDER SOLUTION.

GKS

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 627 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

CEILINGS ARE IFR/LOW MVFR ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. EXPECT A
SLOW INCREASE IN CEILINGS THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE BECOMING VFR BY
THIS AFTERNOON. WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE IN THE 10-14KT RANGE WITH
SOME GUSTS TO AROUND 20KTS. THERE WILL BE SCATTERED -SHRA MOVE
ACROSS NORTHEAST MO/WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
COVERAGE WILL NOT BE ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN THE KUIN AT THIS TIME.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL...CEILINGS WILL BE IN THE 800-1200FT RANGE
THROUGH 15Z BEFORE SLOWLY INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY. WESTERLY
WINDS WILL BE IN THE 10-14KT RANGE WITH SOME GUSTS TO AROUND
20KTS.

BRITT

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
452 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-121000-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
452 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO AROUND 32 DEGREES LATE TONIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

FREEZING TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS
NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
WITH LOWS RANGING FROM 28 TO 32 DEGREES.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA FROM
SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

GKS