River Flood Warning 56, NWS St. Louis, MO

871 
WGUS83 KLSX 201424
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
924 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  BIG RIVER AT 

      BYRNESVILLE  


  BOURBEUSE RIVER AT 

      UNION 


  MERAMEC RIVER  

      AT PACIFIC  

      NEAR EUREKA 
  
      AT VALLEY PARK  

      NEAR ARNOLD 
  

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE BASIN
THIS PAST WEEKEND...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC099-211424-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-130322T0648Z/
/BYRM7.2.ER.130318T1122Z.130320T0030Z.130321T0648Z.NO/
924 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG RIVER AT BYRNESVILLE
* UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED NEAR 23.5 FEET LAST EVENING AND IS FORECAST
  TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3834 9060 3833 9068 3846 9063 3849 9057


$$

MOC071-099-211424-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-130322T1948Z/
/PCFM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130321T0000Z.130321T1948Z.NO/
924 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER AT PACIFIC
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 17.6 FEET EARLY THIS EVENING
  BEFORE FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.5 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD UNDER THE HIGHWAY F BRIDGE 
  BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...STATE HIGHWAY AK BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE 
  INTERSECTION WITH STATE HIGHWAY O NEAR THIS HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3838 9085 3840 9079 3848 9080 3849 9064 3845 9065


$$

MOC099-189-211424-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130323T0524Z/
/ERKM7.1.ER.130319T1704Z.130321T0000Z.130322T0524Z.NO/
924 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER NEAR EUREKA
* UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 24.6 FEET EARLY THIS EVENING
  BEFORE FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...HORNECKER ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3845 9065 3855 9063 3855 9056 3850 9056


$$

MOC099-189-211423-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-130323T0537Z/
/VLLM7.2.ER.130319T1735Z.130321T0000Z.130322T0537Z.NO/
924 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER AT VALLEY PARK
* UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 22.0 FEET EARLY THIS EVENING
  BEFORE FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3854 9056 3855 9056 3857 9043 3851 9044


$$

MOC099-189-211423-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-130323T0027Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.130320T1723Z.130321T0600Z.130322T0027Z.NO/
924 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER NEAR ARNOLD
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 26.0 FEET OVERNIGHT
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...HOUSE AT THE END OF KASEBAUM LANE IS 
  SURROUNDED BY WATER JUST WEST OF LEMAY FERRY ROAD BRIDGE.  ALSO, 
  HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS 
  HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 25.1 FEET...ST. LOUIS COUNTY CLOSES THE FOLLOWING ROADS 
  AT THIS HEIGHT:  BUTLER HILL WEST OF SUMMERHEDGE PLACE, MERAMEC 
  BOTTOM ROAD BETWEEN HAGEMAN ROAD AND HIGHWAY 21, HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH
  OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD, AND OLD TELEGRAPH ROAD AT EARL WIDMAN 
  COUNTY PARK.
* IMPACT...AT 24.7 FEET...HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD 
  BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...CORISANDE HILLS ROAD BEGINS FLOODING AT THIS
  HEIGHT.  MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD BETWEEN HAGEMAN ROAD AND HIGHWAY 21 
  BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...THE BOAT RAMPS AND FISHING BANKS AT ARNOLD 
  CITY PARK AND AT THE FLAMM CITY ACCESS ON THE WEST BANK NEAR THE 
  TELEGRAPH ROAD BRIDGE ARE FLOODED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034 3845 9043


$$

MOC071-211423-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-130321T1800Z/
/UNNM7.1.ER.130320T1530Z.130320T1800Z.130320T1800Z.NO/
924 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BOURBEUSE RIVER AT UNION
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY CRESTING NEAR FLOOD STAGE AND IS
  FORECAST TO FALL TO NEAR 7.0 FEET FRIDAY MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3826 9123 3832 9133 3838 9137 3848 9094 3842 9087


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25

BIG RIVER
  BYRNESVILLE     16.0   21.77      14.7   11.9   10.3    9.1    8.2

MERAMEC RIVER
  PACIFIC         15.0   16.97      16.8    8.7    4.3    3.5    3.1
  EUREKA          18.0   23.96      23.3   15.2    9.1    8.1    7.4
  VALLEY PARK     16.0   21.20      20.8   14.2    8.3    6.4    5.6
  ARNOLD          24.0   23.45      26.0   21.3   16.3   14.4   13.0

BOURBEUSE RIVER
  UNION           15.0   14.88      12.1    7.0    5.3    4.2    3.3

849 
WGUS83 KLSX 201616
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1116 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  BOURBEUSE RIVER AT 

      UNION 

.THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT FOR THIS EVENT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC071-201646-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-130321T1800Z/
/UNNM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1116 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BOURBEUSE RIVER AT UNION.
* AT 11:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 14.92 FEET AND IS
  FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO NEAR 10.2 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3826 9123 3832 9133 3838 9137 3848 9094 3842 9087


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25

BOURBEUSE RIVER
  UNION           15.0   14.57      10.2    6.8    5.3    4.2    3.3

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
616 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 313 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

STILL DEALING WITH SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES/SECONDARY COLD FRONT THAT
ARE SLIDING SOUTHEAST THROUGH FORECAST AREA TODAY. COLD FRONT HAS
MOVED THROUGH PITTSFIELD AND MEXICO AS OF 08Z...EXITING FORECAST
AREA BY 12Z/13Z TIMEFRAME. SC DECK NORTH OF FRONT TO CONTINUE ITS
TRACK INTO FORECAST AREA WITH A FEW FLURRIES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
BEFORE CLOUDS CLEAR OUT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.  WITH COLDER AIR
FINALLY FILTERING IN AND WINDS PICKING UP FROM THE NORTHWEST TO
NORTH AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 25 MPH AT
TIMES...TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO WARM UP. EXPECT HIGHS ONLY IN
THE LOW 30S FAR NORTH TO THE LOW 40S FAR SOUTH.

BYRD
&&

.LONG TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 313 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

(TONIGHT-THURSDAY NIGHT)

00Z RUNS ARE MAINTAINING FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THEIR HANDLING
OF SYSTEM THAT WILL IMPACT S MO IN THE THURSDAY-THURSDAY NIGHT TIME
FRAME.  IN PARTICULAR...SOLUTIONS ARE HOLDING STRONG WITH THE IDEA
THAT THERE WILL BE A VERY SHARP NE EDGE TO THE SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION SHIELD...WITH THIS GRADIENT PRIMARILY ALONG OUR COMMON
CWA BORDER WITH SGF AND PAH.

290K AND 295K SURFACES FROM BOTH THE NAM AND GFS REALLY DO A GREAT
JOB OF DEPICTING EVOLUTION OF PRECIP AND THIS SHARP GRADIENT.
NARROW BAND OF STRONG ASCENT WILL OCCUR IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM
WESTERN INTO S CENTRAL MO...WITH THE ASCENDING PARCELS THEN SHARPLY
TURNING SOUTHEAST AS THEY REACH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND
ENCOUNTER THE NW MID LEVEL FLOW.

ATTM...STILL IN THE PROCESS OF COORDINATING THE FORECAST PARTICULARS
WITH OUR SURROUNDING OFFICES...BUT IN GENERAL THINK THAT GOING
FORECAST TRENDS LOOK QUITE GOOD AND AM TRYING TO MAINTAIN THAT
FLAVOR IN THIS MORNINGS UPCOMING FORECAST. WITH THERMAL PROFILE OF
AMS SUPPORTING ALL FROZEN PRECIP...STILL LOOKS LIKE THE EXTREME
SOUTHERN TIP OF OUR CWA...SOUTH OF A CUBA-FREDERICKTOWN LINE...COULD
SEE ACCUMULATIONS IN THE 3-5 INCH RANGE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
AMOUNTS SHOULD TAPER OFF QUICKLY NORTH OF THIS LINE...AND DON'T
EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION N OF A JEF-FAM LINE.  WITH
MAIN EVENT STILL 30+ HOURS AWAY...NO HEADLINES ATTM.

BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHEAST FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT AS SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM UPPER MISSSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO
MID OHIO VALLEY BEGINS TO WEAKEN.  THIS WILL ALSO ALLOW WARM
ADVECTION REGIME TO SLOWLY WORK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA...
BUT OUTSIDE OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI DURING THE MORNING THIS ASCENT
WILL BE MUCH WEAKER THAN WHAT WILL BE OCCURRING OVER SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI ON THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT.  THIS SHOULD MEAN LOTS OF
CLOUDINESS THROUGHOUT THE REGION...AND HAVE ALSO ALLOWED LOW POPS TO
EXPAND NORTH A BIT.  AMS DOES WARM DURING THIS TIME...SO PTYPE WILL
REMAIN A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.

(SATURDAY-TUESDAY)
ALL MEDIUM RANGE OUTPUT CONTINUES TO SUGGEST A FAIRLY POTENT STORM
SYSTEM WILL BE CUTTING ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE
SATURDAY AND INTO SUNDAY...THE BIG QUESTION IS WHAT WILL BE THE
EXACT TRACK OF THE STORM.  THE GEM REMAINS THE MOST SOUTHERN
SOLUTION...WHILE THE OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN
MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT IN TAKING THE UPPER LOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HALF OF MISSOURI AND INTO NORTHERN OR CENTRAL ILLINOIS BY SUNDAY
EVENING.  FORECAST OUTPUT STILL HAS A "HMMM" FACTOR FOR WINTER
WEATHER LOVERS...AS ALMOST ALL OF THEM WOULD SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL
FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW SOMEWHERE IN THE REGION.  CERTAINLY ANOTHER
UPWARD TWEEK IN POPS LOOKS APPROPRIATE BUT AT THIS EARLY STAGE STILL
NOT CERTAIN WHETHER TO HEAD TO THE WARMER OR COLDER SOLUTIONS...AND
WILL REMAIN FIRMLY IN THE MIDDLE OF THE ROAD FOR NOW.

SYSTEM SHOULD EXIT BY MONDAY...TAKING MOST OF THE PRECIP THREAT WITH
IT.  HOWEVER...WITH BROAD TROF REMAINING OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK DONT SEE ANY STRONG SIGN OF SPRING-TIME WARMTH IN
THIS FORECAST PACKAGE.

TRUETT
&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 615 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

COLD FRONT TO EXIT FORECAST AREA BY MIDDAY TODAY. IN THE
MEANTIME...SOME POST FRONTAL CLOUDS/FLURRIES TO SLIDE THROUGH AREA
THIS MORNING. HARD TO PIN DOWN CIG HEIGHTS/COVERAGE. BEST CHANCES
OF MVFR CIGS WILL BE ALONG MISSISSIPPI RIVER...SO HAVE TEMPO
MENTION OF MVFR CIGS AT KUIN AND METRO AREA TAFS THROUGH 15Z.
FLURRIES WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT...SO HAVE NOT ADDED MENTION AT THIS
TIME. OTHERWISE...MAIN ISSUE WILL BE THE WINDS...WHICH HAVE BEGUN
TO PICKUP FROM THE NORTHWEST. WILL SEE GUSTS TO NEAR 25 KTS AT
TIMES...BEFORE DIMINISHING EARLY THIS EVENING.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL...COLD FRONT IS IN PROCESS OF MOVING THROUGH
METRO AREA AS OF 11Z. OTHERWISE...SOME POST FRONTAL CLOUDS/FLURRIES
TO SLIDE THROUGH AREA THIS MORNING. HARD TO PIN DOWN CIG
HEIGHTS/COVERAGE. BEST CHANCES OF MVFR CIGS WILL BE ALONG
MISSISSIPPI RIVER...SO HAVE TEMPO MENTION OF MVFR CIGS FOR METRO
AREA TAFS THROUGH 15Z. FLURRIES WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT...SO HAVE NOT
ADDED MENTION AT THIS TIME. BUT MAIN ISSUE WILL BE THE WINDS...WHICH
HAVE BEGUN TO PICKUP FROM THE NORTHWEST. WILL SEE GUSTS TO NEAR 25
KTS AT TIMES...BEFORE DIMINISHING 01Z THURSDAY.

BYRD
&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
557 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-211100-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
557 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ACCUMULATING SNOW OF SEVERAL INCHES APPEARS LIKELY FOR PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...PRIMARILY SOUTH OF A JEFFERSON
CITY TO FARMINGTON LINE...ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. A
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED...PLEASE SEE THIS
STATEMENT FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

A RAIN AND SNOW MIX IS LIKELY FOR PARTS OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY
NIGHT...THROUGH SUNDAY...AND INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

TRUETT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
355 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

MOZ041-047>050-059-062-065-072>075-084-085-099-202115-
BOONE MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-GASCONADE MO-
FRANKLIN MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBIA...JEFFERSON CITY...UNION...
FARMINGTON
355 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

...EARLY SPRING SNOWFALL EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

THE LATEST FORECAST DATA IS STILL SUGGESTING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL
FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND INTO THE OZARKS ON
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

THE COLD AIR THAT IS PUSHING INTO THE REGION TODAY IS VERY COLD
FOR LATE MARCH. BY THE TIME THE STORM SYSTEM ARRIVES AND THE
PRECIPITATION MOVES IN DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY...THE AIRMASS
WILL CERTAINLY BE COLD ENOUGH THAT MOST IF NOT ALL OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS SNOW.

THIS EARLY SPRING SNOWSTORM WILL ALSO PRODUCE A VERY SHARP
SNOWFALL GRADIENT...AND ACCUMULATIONS WILL VARY BY SEVERAL INCHES
OVER AN EXTREMELY SHORT DISTANCE.  IT STILL APPEARS THAT MOST OF
THE ACCUMULATION WILL BE OCCURRING ALONG AND ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF A
JEFFERSON CITY...FARMINGTON LINE.

SOUTH OF THIS LINE...ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER PARTS OF THE EASTERN OZARKS...WITH SNOWFALLS IN EXCESS OF 6
INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE HEART OF THE OZARKS REGION. NORTH OF
THIS LINE...ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE LESS THAN AN INCH.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO...TV...OR
CABLE TV OUTLETS...OR TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INTERNET
PAGE FOR CONTINUING UPDATES AND POSSIBLE ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS
FOR THIS EARLY SPRING SNOWSTORM.

TRUETT