Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 45, NWS St. Louis, MO

March 17, 2013Jefferson County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Mar 17, 2013, 9:31 AM CDT for Jefferson County, Missouri. It took effect at Mar 18, 2013, 9:53 AM CDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2013, 9:31 AM CDT (14:31 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 18, 2013, 9:53 AM CDT
Expired
Mar 21, 2013, 3:37 PM CDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Jefferson County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Big River at Byrnesville (BYRM7).

Action stage
13 ft
Minor stage
16 ft
Moderate stage
20 ft
Major stage
28 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07018500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

563 
WGUS43 KLSX 171431
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
931 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI... 


  BIG RIVER AT 

      BYRNESVILLE 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF ONE TO TWO INCHES OF PRECIPITATION THE 
PAST 24 HOURS AND 1.00-1.50 INCHES FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC099-181431-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0045.130318T1500Z-130321T2037Z/
/BYRM7.1.ER.130318T1500Z.130319T1200Z.130320T2037Z.NO/
931 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BIG RIVER AT BYRNESVILLE
* FROM MONDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING
  AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.6 FEET TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...SOUTH BYRNESVILLE ROAD GOES UNDER WATER NEAR
  THIS LEVEL.
* IMPACT...AT 19.2 FEET...STATE HIGHWAY BB SOUTHEAST OF CEDAR HILL 
  WILL BE CLOSED NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 19.1 FEET...BACKYARDS AND ONE BASEMENT ALONG BURGAN 
  GROVE ROAD 2 MILES WEST OF HOUSE SPRINGS BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...DUTCH CREEK ROAD SOUTH OF BYRNESVILLE AND 
  BYRNESVILLE ROAD NEAR JOHN MCKEEVER ROAD NORTH OF BYRNESVILLE BEGIN
  TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...CEDAR HILL ROAD AT CEDAR HILL AND KLONDIKE 
  ROAD SOUTH OF CEDAR HILL BEGIN TO FLOOD NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.5 FEET...ROCKFORD BEACH PARK AT THE HIGHWAY MM BRIDGE
  BEGINS FLOODING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3834 9060 3833 9068 3846 9063 3849 9057


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/18  03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22

BIG RIVER
  BYRNESVILLE     16.0    5.60      14.8   19.6   17.9   12.1    9.1
8 follow-up statements
313 
WGUS83 KLSX 180204
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
904 PM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...
 
  
               THE BIG RIVER AT 

                ...BYRNESVILLE 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC099-190204-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0045.130318T1453Z-130321T1952Z/
/BYRM7.1.ER.130318T1453Z.130319T1200Z.130320T1952Z.NO/
904 PM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG RIVER AT BYRNESVILLE
* AT 8:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE 
  MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.9 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...SOUTH BYRNESVILLE ROAD GOES UNDER WATER.
* IMPACT...AT 19.2 FEET...STATE HIGHWAY BB SOUTHEAST OF CEDAR HILL 
  WILL BE CLOSED NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 19.1 FEET...BACKYARDS AND ONE BASEMENT ALONG BURGAN 
  GROVE ROAD 2 MILES WEST OF HOUSE SPRINGS BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...DUTCH CREEK ROAD SOUTH OF BYRNESVILLE AND BYRNESVILLE 
  ROAD NEAR JOHN MCKEEVER ROAD NORTH OF BYRNESVILLE BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...CEDAR HILL ROAD AT CEDAR HILL AND KLONDIKE 
  ROAD SOUTH OF CEDAR HILL BEGIN TO FLOOD NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.5 FEET...ROCKFORD BEACH PARK AT THE HIGHWAY MM BRIDGE
  BEGINS FLOODING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3834 9060 3833 9068 3846 9063 3849 9057


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/18  03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22

BIG RIVER
  BYRNESVILLE     16.0    8.32      14.7   19.9   17.8   12.0    9.1
113 
WGUS43 KLSX 181510
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1010 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...


  BIG RIVER AT 

      BYRNESVILLE 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC099-191510-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-130321T1921Z/
/BYRM7.2.ER.130318T1122Z.130319T1800Z.130320T1921Z.NO/
1010 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE BIG RIVER AT BYRNESVILLE
* AT 9:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 21.8 FEET EARLY
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 20.5 FEET...BURGAN GROVE ROAD BEGINS FLOODING NEAR 
  COTTAGE GROVE ROAD, CUTTING OFF ACCESS TO COTTAGE GROVE ROAD.  
  HIGHWAY W NEAR HOENE SPRING IS CLOSED AS WATER CROSSES THE 
  PAVEMENT.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...SOUTH BYRNESVILLE ROAD GOES UNDER WATER NEAR
  THIS LEVEL.
* IMPACT...AT 19.2 FEET...STATE HIGHWAY BB SOUTHEAST OF CEDAR HILL 
  WILL BE CLOSED NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 19.1 FEET...BACKYARDS AND ONE BASEMENT ALONG BURGAN 
  GROVE ROAD 2 MILES WEST OF HOUSE SPRINGS BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...DUTCH CREEK ROAD SOUTH OF BYRNESVILLE AND 
  BYRNESVILLE ROAD NEAR JOHN MCKEEVER ROAD NORTH OF BYRNESVILLE BEGIN
  TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...CEDAR HILL ROAD AT CEDAR HILL AND KLONDIKE 
  ROAD SOUTH OF CEDAR HILL BEGIN TO FLOOD NEAR THIS HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3834 9060 3833 9068 3846 9063 3849 9057


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23

BIG RIVER
  BYRNESVILLE     16.0   16.87      21.6   18.6    9.2    5.8    4.6
539 
WGUS83 KLSX 190219
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
919 PM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...
 
  

              THE BIG RIVER AT 

               ...BYRNESVILLE 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC099-200219-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-130321T1833Z/
/BYRM7.2.ER.130318T1122Z.130319T1800Z.130320T1833Z.NO/
919 PM CDT MON MAR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG RIVER AT BYRNESVILLE
* AT 8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 22.3 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.4 FEET...AT THIS LEVEL, TWIN RIVERS BRIDGE ROAD MUST 
  BE CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 20.5 FEET...BURGAN GROVE ROAD BEGINS FLOODING NEAR 
  COTTAGE GROVE ROAD, CUTTING OFF ACCESS TO COTTAGE GROVE ROAD.  
  HIGHWAY W NEAR HOENE SPRING IS CLOSED AS WATER CROSSES THE PAVEMENT.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...SOUTH BYRNESVILLE ROAD GOES UNDER WATER NEAR
  THIS LEVEL.
* IMPACT...AT 19.2 FEET...STATE HIGHWAY BB SOUTHEAST OF CEDAR HILL 
  WILL BE CLOSED NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 19.1 FEET...BACKYARDS AND ONE BASEMENT ALONG BURGAN 
  GROVE ROAD 2 MILES WEST OF HOUSE SPRINGS BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...DUTCH CREEK ROAD SOUTH OF BYRNESVILLE AND 
  BYRNESVILLE ROAD NEAR JOHN MCKEEVER ROAD NORTH OF BYRNESVILLE BEGIN
  TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...CEDAR HILL ROAD AT CEDAR HILL AND KLONDIKE 
  ROAD SOUTH OF CEDAR HILL BEGIN TO FLOOD NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.5 FEET...ROCKFORD BEACH PARK AT THE HIGHWAY MM BRIDGE
  BEGINS FLOODING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3834 9060 3833 9068 3846 9063 3849 9057


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23

BIG RIVER
  BYRNESVILLE     16.0   19.14      21.5   19.2    6.8    2.5    0.1
555 
WGUS83 KLSX 191419
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
919 AM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  BIG RIVER AT 

      BYRNESVILLE  


  MERAMEC RIVER

      NEAR SULLIVAN

      AT PACIFIC  

      NEAR EUREKA 

      AT VALLEY PARK  

      NEAR ARNOLD
  

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC099-201419-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-130321T2115Z/
/BYRM7.2.ER.130318T1122Z.130319T1800Z.130320T2115Z.NO/
919 AM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG RIVER AT BYRNESVILLE
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 23.1 FEET EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER IS THEN EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.4 FEET...AT THIS LEVEL, TWIN RIVERS BRIDGE ROAD MUST 
  BE CLOSED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3834 9060 3833 9068 3846 9063 3849 9057


$$

MOC055-221-201419-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-130321T1536Z/
/SLLM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130319T0430Z.130320T1536Z.NO/
919 AM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER NEAR SULLIVAN
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED NEAR 19.8 FEET LAST NIGHT AND IS FORECAST
  TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3800 9120 3806 9125 3829 9109 3840 9089 3837 9082


$$

MOC071-099-201419-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0052.130319T1952Z-130323T0013Z/
/PCFM7.1.ER.130319T1952Z.130321T0000Z.130322T0013Z.NO/
919 AM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER AT PACIFIC
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 8:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON
  AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.5 FEET EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.6 FEET...HORNECKER ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD NEAR THIS 
  HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...THE LEFT BANK BEGINS TO OVERFLOW.
* IMPACT...AT 17.5 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD UNDER THE HIGHWAY F BRIDGE 
  BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...STATE HIGHWAY AK BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE 
  INTERSECTION WITH STATE HIGHWAY O NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...OPEECHEE BEACH ROAD IS FLOODED AND CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 16.2 FEET...OPEECHEE BEACH ROAD BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...HIGHWAY N BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 15.4 FEET...HUNTERS FORD ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS 
  HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  FARM AND PASTURE LAND BEGINS 
  TO FLOOD.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3838 9085 3840 9079 3848 9080 3849 9064 3845 9065


$$

MOC099-189-201418-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0053.130319T1716Z-130323T0217Z/
/ERKM7.1.ER.130319T1716Z.130320T1800Z.130322T0217Z.NO/
919 AM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER NEAR EUREKA
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 8:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON
  AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.8 FEET...SPRING RIVER RANCH ROAD BEGINS FLOODING NEAR
  THIS HEIGHT ON THE EAST END.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...WILLMAN ROAD NEAR THE HIGHWAY 109/W BRIDGE 
  BECOMES INUNDATED AND IMPASSABLE.  ABOVE THIS HEIGHT, WILLMAN ROAD 
  RESIDENTS GENERALLY USE BOATS TO LEAVE THEIR PROPERTY.
* IMPACT...AT 20.2 FEET...HUNTERS FORD ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS 
  HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WEST SPRING RIVER ROAD BECOMES INUNDATED AT 
  THIS HEIGHT.  AT THIS LEVEL ALL CARS MUST BE MOVED OFF THE ROAD TO 
  HIGHER GROUND.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3845 9065 3855 9063 3855 9056 3850 9056


$$

MOC099-189-201418-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0054.130319T1923Z-130323T0300Z/
/VLLM7.2.ER.130319T1923Z.130321T0000Z.130322T0300Z.NO/
919 AM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER AT VALLEY PARK
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 8:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON
  AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.5 FEET...MARSHALL ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 20.2 FEET...PORTIONS OF FENTON BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 19.5 FEET...BUDER PARK AND THE RECREATION PARK AT THE 
  WATER PLANT FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FARMLAND ON THE RIGHT BANK BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.  BUDER 
  PARK BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3854 9056 3855 9056 3857 9043 3851 9044


$$

MOC099-189-201418-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0055.130320T1100Z-130322T1630Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.130320T1100Z.130321T0000Z.130321T1630Z.NO/
919 AM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER NEAR ARNOLD
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY
  MORNING AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.0 FEET EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...HOUSE AT THE END OF KASEBAUM LANE IS 
  SURROUNDED BY WATER JUST WEST OF LEMAY FERRY ROAD BRIDGE.  ALSO, 
  HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS 
  HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 25.1 FEET...ST. LOUIS COUNTY CLOSES THE FOLLOWING ROADS 
  AT THIS HEIGHT:  BUTLER HILL WEST OF SUMMERHEDGE PLACE, MERAMEC 
  BOTTOM ROAD BETWEEN HAGEMAN ROAD AND HIGHWAY 21, HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH
  OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD, AND OLD TELEGRAPH ROAD AT EARL WIDMAN 
  COUNTY PARK.
* IMPACT...AT 24.7 FEET...HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD 
  BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...CORISANDE HILLS ROAD BEGINS FLOODING AT THIS
  HEIGHT.  MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD BETWEEN HAGEMAN ROAD AND HIGHWAY 21 
  BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...THE BOAT RAMPS AND FISHING BANKS AT ARNOLD 
  CITY PARK AND AT THE FLAMM CITY ACCESS ON THE WEST BANK NEAR THE 
  TELEGRAPH ROAD BRIDGE ARE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...OLD TELEGRAPH ROAD AT EARL WIDMAN COUNTY 
  PARK AND BUTLER HILL ROAD WEST BEYOND SUMMERHEDGE PLACE BEGIN 
  FLOODING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034 3845 9043


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24

BIG RIVER
  BYRNESVILLE     16.0   22.20      20.2    9.2    6.2    4.9    4.3

MERAMEC RIVER
  SULLIVAN        11.0   18.15      11.9    7.7    6.0    5.8    5.5
  PACIFIC         15.0   12.68      18.1   17.6    9.9    4.5    3.4
  EUREKA          18.0   16.96      23.7   21.6   14.4    6.5    5.4
  VALLEY PARK     16.0   14.82      19.7   19.2   13.6    5.7    3.1
  ARNOLD          24.0   21.10      24.2   24.9   19.5   15.7   13.6
951 
WGUS83 KLSX 200149
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
849 PM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  BIG RIVER AT BYRNESVILLE

  MERAMEC RIVER

    NEAR SULLIVAN
    AT PACIFIC
    NEAR EUREKA
    AT VALLEY CITY
    NEAR ARNOLD
  

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL FROM LAST
WEEKEND...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC099-210149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-130322T0118Z/
/BYRM7.2.ER.130318T1122Z.130320T0030Z.130321T0118Z.NO/
849 PM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG RIVER AT BYRNESVILLE
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 7:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY CRESTING AND IS FORECAST TO FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.4 FEET...AT THIS LEVEL, TWIN RIVERS BRIDGE ROAD MUST 
  BE CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 20.5 FEET...BURGAN GROVE ROAD BEGINS FLOODING NEAR 
  COTTAGE GROVE ROAD, CUTTING OFF ACCESS TO COTTAGE GROVE ROAD.  
  HIGHWAY W NEAR HOENE SPRING IS CLOSED AS WATER CROSSES THE 
  PAVEMENT.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...SOUTH BYRNESVILLE ROAD GOES UNDER WATER 
  NEAR THIS LEVEL.
* IMPACT...AT 19.2 FEET...STATE HIGHWAY BB SOUTHEAST OF CEDAR HILL 
  WILL BE CLOSED NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 19.1 FEET...BACKYARDS AND ONE BASEMENT ALONG BURGAN 
  GROVE ROAD 2 MILES WEST OF HOUSE SPRINGS BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...DUTCH CREEK ROAD SOUTH OF BYRNESVILLE AND 
  BYRNESVILLE ROAD NEAR JOHN MCKEEVER ROAD NORTH OF BYRNESVILLE BEGIN
  TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...CEDAR HILL ROAD AT CEDAR HILL AND KLONDIKE 
  ROAD SOUTH OF CEDAR HILL BEGIN TO FLOOD NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.5 FEET...ROCKFORD BEACH PARK AT THE HIGHWAY MM 
  BRIDGE BEGINS FLOODING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3834 9060 3833 9068 3846 9063 3849 9057

$$

MOC055-221-210149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-130321T1443Z/
/SLLM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130319T0430Z.130320T1443Z.NO/
849 PM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER NEAR SULLIVAN
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY.
* AT 8 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...AT THIS HEIGHT THE ARAPAHO CAMPGROUND WILL 
  EVACUATE CAMPERS.  THIS CAMPGROUND IS ABOUT 8.5 RIVER MILES 
  DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE.  ABOUT 14.3 MILES UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE...
  CAVE ROAD ACCESS TO OZARK OUTDOORS BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THIS 
  HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE MAIN ENTRANCE ROAD TO THE MERAMEC STATE 
  PARK CAMPGROUND BEGINS FLOODING...BLOCKING ACCESS TO CABINS 1-8...
  THE PICNIC AND PLAYGROUND AREAS, AND THE WILDERNESS TRAILHEAD 
  PARKING LOT.  AT ONONDAGA CAVE STATE PARK...THE PRIMARY ENTRANCE TO
  THE CAMPGROUND IS CLOSED AND THE SECONDARY ENTRANCE IS USED NEAR 
  THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...CAVE ROAD BEGINS FLOODING AT ONONDAGA CAVE 
  STATE PARK NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE MAIN ENTRANCE GATE AT ONONDAGA CAVE 
  STATE PARK BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.  THIS MAY EVENTUALLY  
  FORCE THE PARK TO USE THE REAR ENTRANCE AS THE PRIMARY ENTRANCE TO 
  THE PARK.
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...A SMALL BRIDGE IN THE BACK OF MERAMEC STATE 
  PARK PARK IS FLOODED, CUTTING THE PARK IN TWO.  IF THE RIVER 
  CONTINUES TO RISE...PARK OFFICIALS WILL EVACUATE THE CAMPGROUNDS AT
  THIS POINT.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS TO OVERFLOW FLOODING 
  WOODED AREAS.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...WHEN THE RIVER IS RISING ABOVE THIS HEIGHT, 
  CANOE OUTFITTERS WILL GENERALLY NOT RENT OUT CANOES OR RAFTS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3800 9120 3806 9125 3829 9109 3840 9089 3837 9082

$$

MOC071-099-210149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-130322T2209Z/
/PCFM7.1.ER.130320T0158Z.130321T0000Z.130321T2209Z.NO/
849 PM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER AT PACIFIC
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 8 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 17.3 FEET WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.5 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD UNDER THE HIGHWAY F BRIDGE 
  BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...STATE HIGHWAY AK BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE 
  INTERSECTION WITH STATE HIGHWAY O NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...OPEECHEE BEACH ROAD IS FLOODED AND CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 16.2 FEET...OPEECHEE BEACH ROAD BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...HIGHWAY N BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 15.4 FEET...HUNTERS FORD ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS 
  HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  FARM AND PASTURE LAND BEGINS 
  TO FLOOD.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3838 9085 3840 9079 3848 9080 3849 9064 3845 9065

$$

MOC099-189-210149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130323T0140Z/
/ERKM7.1.ER.130319T1704Z.130320T1800Z.130322T0140Z.NO/
849 PM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER NEAR EUREKA
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 24.5 FEET WEDNESDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...HORNECKER ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 22.8 FEET...SPRING RIVER RANCH ROAD BEGINS FLOODING 
  NEAR THIS HEIGHT ON THE EAST END.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...WILLMAN ROAD NEAR THE HIGHWAY 109/W BRIDGE 
  BECOMES INUNDATED AND IMPASSABLE.  ABOVE THIS HEIGHT, WILLMAN ROAD 
  RESIDENTS GENERALLY USE BOATS TO LEAVE THEIR PROPERTY.
* IMPACT...AT 20.2 FEET...HUNTERS FORD ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS 
  HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WEST SPRING RIVER ROAD BECOMES INUNDATED AT 
  THIS HEIGHT.  AT THIS LEVEL ALL CARS MUST BE MOVED OFF THE ROAD TO 
  HIGHER GROUND.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3845 9065 3855 9063 3855 9056 3850 9056

$$

MOC099-189-210149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-130323T0316Z/
/VLLM7.2.ER.130319T1735Z.130321T0000Z.130322T0316Z.NO/
849 PM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER AT VALLEY PARK
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 21.0 FEET WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS THE SW CORNER OF LARKIN 
  WILLIAMS AND YARNELL ROAD INTERSECTION THROUGH A STORMWATER GRATE.
* IMPACT...AT 20.5 FEET...MARSHALL ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 20.2 FEET...PORTIONS OF FENTON BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 19.5 FEET...BUDER PARK AND THE RECREATION PARK AT THE 
  WATER PLANT FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FARMLAND ON THE RIGHT BANK BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.  BUDER 
  PARK BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...SLUICE GATES AT 5TH STREET, 3RD STREET, AND 
  FISHPOT CREEK AT UNION PACIFIC RAILWAY TRACKS MUST BE CLOSED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3854 9056 3855 9056 3857 9043 3851 9044

$$

MOC099-189-210149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0055.130320T1400Z-130322T2149Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.130320T1400Z.130321T0600Z.130321T2149Z.NO/
849 PM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER NEAR ARNOLD
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 8 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 26.0 FEET WEDNESDAY 
  NIGHT AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...HOUSE AT THE END OF KASEBAUM LANE IS 
  SURROUNDED BY WATER JUST WEST OF LEMAY FERRY ROAD BRIDGE.  ALSO, 
  HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS 
  HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 25.1 FEET...ST. LOUIS COUNTY CLOSES THE FOLLOWING ROADS 
  AT THIS HEIGHT:  BUTLER HILL WEST OF SUMMERHEDGE PLACE, MERAMEC 
  BOTTOM ROAD BETWEEN HAGEMAN ROAD AND HIGHWAY 21, HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH
  OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD, AND OLD TELEGRAPH ROAD AT EARL WIDMAN 
  COUNTY PARK.
* IMPACT...AT 24.7 FEET...HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD 
  BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...CORISANDE HILLS ROAD BEGINS FLOODING AT 
  THIS HEIGHT.  MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD BETWEEN HAGEMAN ROAD AND HIGHWAY 
  21 BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...THE BOAT RAMPS AND FISHING BANKS AT ARNOLD 
  CITY PARK AND AT THE FLAMM CITY ACCESS ON THE WEST BANK NEAR THE 
  TELEGRAPH ROAD BRIDGE ARE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...OLD TELEGRAPH ROAD AT EARL WIDMAN COUNTY 
  PARK AND BUTLER HILL ROAD WEST BEYOND SUMMERHEDGE PLACE BEGIN 
  FLOODING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034 3845 9043

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24

BIG RIVER
  BYRNESVILLE     16.0   23.31      21.1   11.4    8.7    7.5    6.8

MERAMEC RIVER
  SULLIVAN        11.0   14.34      11.5    8.1    6.5    5.6    5.0
  PACIFIC         15.0   14.78      16.7   16.8   10.3    6.2    3.9
  EUREKA          18.0   20.96      23.5   22.0   14.7    8.5    6.9
  VALLEY PARK     16.0   18.19      20.4   18.8   13.9    6.6    4.8
  ARNOLD          24.0   21.96      23.7   25.6   20.7   16.4   14.1
871 
WGUS83 KLSX 201424
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
924 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  BIG RIVER AT 

      BYRNESVILLE  


  BOURBEUSE RIVER AT 

      UNION 


  MERAMEC RIVER  

      AT PACIFIC  

      NEAR EUREKA 
  
      AT VALLEY PARK  

      NEAR ARNOLD 
  

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE BASIN
THIS PAST WEEKEND...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC099-211424-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-130322T0648Z/
/BYRM7.2.ER.130318T1122Z.130320T0030Z.130321T0648Z.NO/
924 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG RIVER AT BYRNESVILLE
* UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED NEAR 23.5 FEET LAST EVENING AND IS FORECAST
  TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3834 9060 3833 9068 3846 9063 3849 9057


$$

MOC071-099-211424-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-130322T1948Z/
/PCFM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130321T0000Z.130321T1948Z.NO/
924 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER AT PACIFIC
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 17.6 FEET EARLY THIS EVENING
  BEFORE FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.5 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD UNDER THE HIGHWAY F BRIDGE 
  BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...STATE HIGHWAY AK BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE 
  INTERSECTION WITH STATE HIGHWAY O NEAR THIS HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3838 9085 3840 9079 3848 9080 3849 9064 3845 9065


$$

MOC099-189-211424-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130323T0524Z/
/ERKM7.1.ER.130319T1704Z.130321T0000Z.130322T0524Z.NO/
924 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER NEAR EUREKA
* UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 24.6 FEET EARLY THIS EVENING
  BEFORE FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...HORNECKER ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3845 9065 3855 9063 3855 9056 3850 9056


$$

MOC099-189-211423-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-130323T0537Z/
/VLLM7.2.ER.130319T1735Z.130321T0000Z.130322T0537Z.NO/
924 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER AT VALLEY PARK
* UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 22.0 FEET EARLY THIS EVENING
  BEFORE FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3854 9056 3855 9056 3857 9043 3851 9044


$$

MOC099-189-211423-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-130323T0027Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.130320T1723Z.130321T0600Z.130322T0027Z.NO/
924 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER NEAR ARNOLD
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 26.0 FEET OVERNIGHT
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...HOUSE AT THE END OF KASEBAUM LANE IS 
  SURROUNDED BY WATER JUST WEST OF LEMAY FERRY ROAD BRIDGE.  ALSO, 
  HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS 
  HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 25.1 FEET...ST. LOUIS COUNTY CLOSES THE FOLLOWING ROADS 
  AT THIS HEIGHT:  BUTLER HILL WEST OF SUMMERHEDGE PLACE, MERAMEC 
  BOTTOM ROAD BETWEEN HAGEMAN ROAD AND HIGHWAY 21, HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH
  OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD, AND OLD TELEGRAPH ROAD AT EARL WIDMAN 
  COUNTY PARK.
* IMPACT...AT 24.7 FEET...HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD 
  BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...CORISANDE HILLS ROAD BEGINS FLOODING AT THIS
  HEIGHT.  MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD BETWEEN HAGEMAN ROAD AND HIGHWAY 21 
  BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...THE BOAT RAMPS AND FISHING BANKS AT ARNOLD 
  CITY PARK AND AT THE FLAMM CITY ACCESS ON THE WEST BANK NEAR THE 
  TELEGRAPH ROAD BRIDGE ARE FLOODED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034 3845 9043


$$

MOC071-211423-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-130321T1800Z/
/UNNM7.1.ER.130320T1530Z.130320T1800Z.130320T1800Z.NO/
924 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BOURBEUSE RIVER AT UNION
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY CRESTING NEAR FLOOD STAGE AND IS
  FORECAST TO FALL TO NEAR 7.0 FEET FRIDAY MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3826 9123 3832 9133 3838 9137 3848 9094 3842 9087


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25

BIG RIVER
  BYRNESVILLE     16.0   21.77      14.7   11.9   10.3    9.1    8.2

MERAMEC RIVER
  PACIFIC         15.0   16.97      16.8    8.7    4.3    3.5    3.1
  EUREKA          18.0   23.96      23.3   15.2    9.1    8.1    7.4
  VALLEY PARK     16.0   21.20      20.8   14.2    8.3    6.4    5.6
  ARNOLD          24.0   23.45      26.0   21.3   16.3   14.4   13.0

BOURBEUSE RIVER
  UNION           15.0   14.88      12.1    7.0    5.3    4.2    3.3
520 
WGUS83 KLSX 210109
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
809 PM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  BIG RIVER AT BYRNESVILLE AFFECTING JEFFERSON COUNTY 

  MERAMEC RIVER AT PACIFIC AFFECTING FRANKLIN AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES 

  MERAMEC RIVER NEAR EUREKA AFFECTING JEFFERSON AND ST. LOUIS COUNTIES
  

  MERAMEC RIVER AT VALLEY PARK AFFECTING JEFFERSON AND ST. LOUIS 
  COUNTIES 

  MERAMEC RIVER NEAR ARNOLD AFFECTING JEFFERSON AND ST. LOUIS COUNTIES
  

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED 
THIS PAST WEEKEND...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC071-099-220109-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-130323T0248Z/
/PCFM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130321T0600Z.130322T0248Z.NO/
809 PM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER AT PACIFIC
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY CRESTING AND WILL BEGIN FALLING
  ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD
  STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...THE LEFT BANK BEGINS TO OVERFLOW.
* IMPACT...AT 17.5 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD UNDER THE HIGHWAY F BRIDGE 
  BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...STATE HIGHWAY AK BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE 
  INTERSECTION WITH STATE HIGHWAY O NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...OPEECHEE BEACH ROAD IS FLOODED AND CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 16.2 FEET...OPEECHEE BEACH ROAD BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...HIGHWAY N BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 15.4 FEET...HUNTERS FORD ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS 
  HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  FARM AND PASTURE LAND BEGINS 
  TO FLOOD.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3838 9085 3840 9079 3848 9080 3849 9064 3845 9065


$$

MOC099-189-220108-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130323T1103Z/
/ERKM7.1.ER.130319T1704Z.130321T0030Z.130322T1103Z.NO/
809 PM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER NEAR EUREKA
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY CRESTING AND WILL BEGIN FALLING
  OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...HORNECKER ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 22.8 FEET...SPRING RIVER RANCH ROAD BEGINS FLOODING NEAR
  THIS HEIGHT ON THE EAST END.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...WILLMAN ROAD NEAR THE HIGHWAY 109/W BRIDGE 
  BECOMES INUNDATED AND IMPASSABLE.  ABOVE THIS HEIGHT, WILLMAN ROAD 
  RESIDENTS GENERALLY USE BOATS TO LEAVE THEIR PROPERTY.
* IMPACT...AT 20.2 FEET...HUNTERS FORD ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS 
  HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WEST SPRING RIVER ROAD BECOMES INUNDATED AT 
  THIS HEIGHT.  AT THIS LEVEL ALL CARS MUST BE MOVED OFF THE ROAD TO 
  HIGHER GROUND.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3845 9065 3855 9063 3855 9056 3850 9056


$$

MOC099-189-220108-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-130323T1144Z/
/VLLM7.2.ER.130319T1735Z.130321T0015Z.130322T1144Z.NO/
809 PM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER AT VALLEY PARK
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY CRESTING AND WILL BEGIN TO FALL
  ON WEDNESDAY MORNING.  THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD
  STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.9 FEET...YARNELL ROAD IS CLOSED AT RIVERSIDE DRIVE.  
  LARKIN WILLIAMS IS CLOSED AT RIVERSIDE GOLF CLUB ENTRANCE.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS THE SW CORNER OF LARKIN 
  WILLIAMS AND YARNELL ROAD INTERSECTION THROUGH A STORMWATER GRATE.
* IMPACT...AT 20.5 FEET...MARSHALL ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 20.2 FEET...PORTIONS OF FENTON BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 19.5 FEET...BUDER PARK AND THE RECREATION PARK AT THE 
  WATER PLANT FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FARMLAND ON THE RIGHT BANK BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.  BUDER 
  PARK BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...SLUICE GATES AT 5TH STREET, 3RD STREET, AND 
  FISHPOT CREEK AT UNION PACIFIC RAILWAY TRACKS MUST BE CLOSED.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3854 9056 3855 9056 3857 9043 3851 9044


$$

MOC099-189-220108-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-130323T0341Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.130320T1930Z.130321T1200Z.130322T0341Z.NO/
809 PM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER NEAR ARNOLD
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.7 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  LATE ON WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...HOUSE AT THE END OF KASEBAUM LANE IS 
  SURROUNDED BY WATER JUST WEST OF LEMAY FERRY ROAD BRIDGE.  ALSO, 
  HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD IS CLOSED NEAR THIS 
  HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 25.1 FEET...ST. LOUIS COUNTY CLOSES THE FOLLOWING ROADS 
  AT THIS HEIGHT:  BUTLER HILL WEST OF SUMMERHEDGE PLACE, MERAMEC 
  BOTTOM ROAD BETWEEN HAGEMAN ROAD AND HIGHWAY 21, HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH
  OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD, AND OLD TELEGRAPH ROAD AT EARL WIDMAN 
  COUNTY PARK.
* IMPACT...AT 24.7 FEET...HAWKINS ROAD SOUTH OF MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD 
  BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...CORISANDE HILLS ROAD BEGINS FLOODING AT THIS
  HEIGHT.  MERAMEC BOTTOM ROAD BETWEEN HAGEMAN ROAD AND HIGHWAY 21 
  BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...THE BOAT RAMPS AND FISHING BANKS AT ARNOLD 
  CITY PARK AND AT THE FLAMM CITY ACCESS ON THE WEST BANK NEAR THE 
  TELEGRAPH ROAD BRIDGE ARE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...OLD TELEGRAPH ROAD AT EARL WIDMAN COUNTY 
  PARK AND BUTLER HILL ROAD WEST BEYOND SUMMERHEDGE PLACE BEGIN 
  FLOODING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3851 9043 3851 9039 3845 9032 3841 9034 3845 9043


$$

MOC099-220108-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-130322T0540Z/
/BYRM7.2.ER.130318T1122Z.130320T0030Z.130321T0540Z.NO/
809 PM CDT WED MAR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG RIVER AT BYRNESVILLE
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE  
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...CEDAR HILL ROAD AT CEDAR HILL AND KLONDIKE 
  ROAD SOUTH OF CEDAR HILL BEGIN TO FLOOD NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.5 FEET...ROCKFORD BEACH PARK AT THE HIGHWAY MM BRIDGE
  BEGINS FLOODING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3834 9060 3833 9068 3846 9063 3849 9057


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25

MERAMEC RIVER
  PACIFIC         15.0   17.93      17.7   11.9    6.2    4.2    3.6
  EUREKA          18.0   24.97      23.7   17.7    9.9    8.4    7.8
  VALLEY PARK     16.0   22.81      22.4   15.9    8.4    6.4    5.6
  ARNOLD          24.0   24.80      25.7   21.6   16.2   14.2   12.9

BIG RIVER
  BYRNESVILLE     16.0   17.86      14.7   12.8   11.8   10.8    9.9
370 
WGUS83 KLSX 211630
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1130 AM CDT THU MAR 21 2013

..THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI..
 
          
                   THE BIG RIVER AT 

                    ...BYRNESVILLE


THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THIS POINT IS CANCELLED.


&&

MOC099-211700-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-130322T0540Z/
/BYRM7.2.ER.130318T1122Z.130320T0030Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1130 AM CDT THU MAR 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BIG RIVER AT BYRNESVILLE.
* AT 10:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 14.7 FEET.  
  THE RIVER WILL FALL TO NEAR 5.1 FEET BY TUESDAY.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3834 9060 3833 9068 3846 9063 3849 9057


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

BIG RIVER
  BYRNESVILLE     16.0    9.67       6.7    6.2    5.7    5.3    5.1

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 17, 7:57 AM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 7:57 AM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
757 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 752 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

BULK OF MORNING PRECIP IS SLIDING S OF COU...SO HAVE TERMINATED
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BOONE AND MONITEAU COUNTIES. NO
CHANGES ELSEWHERE...YET. SNOW AMOUNTS MAY BE A BIT TOO HIGH FOR
AREAS N OF I-70 IN MISSOURI...BUT WITH ECHOES WORKING INTO THE
I-70 CORRIDOR JUST EAST OF COU WILL WAIT AWHILE FOR CHANGING
HEADLINES ELSEWHERE.  CHANGEOVER TO SNOW WITH MORE INTENSE ECHOES
DOES APPEARS TO BE LINING UP FROM SE OF JEF THROUGH S SECTIONS OF
STL METRO...ON N FRINGES OF PRECIP SHIELD...AND A NARROW BAND OF
SIGNFICANT ACCUMULATIONS STILL CERTAINLY POSSIBLE.

TRUETT

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 353 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

VERY DIFFICULT FORECAST THIS MORNING.  BETWEEN NOW AND 7
AM...THERMAL PROFILES ACROSS THE AREA ARE FORECAST TO BECOME COLD
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW ON THE N FRINGES OF LARGE OVERRUNNING PRECIP
SHIELD CURRENTLY STRETCHING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF MISSOURI
INTO S IL.  OBVIOUSLY...WHEN AND WHERE THIS CHANGEOVER OCCURS IS THE
KEY TO THIS FORECAST.  WAS HOPING THAT MOTHER NATURE WOULD BEGIN TO
SHOW HER HAND BY NOW...BUT SO FAR PRECIP HAS REMAINED ALL
RAIN...WITH A FEW SKIFFS OF SLEET HERE AND THERE.  SINCE THE
CRITICAL AMS COOLING IS JUST NOW BEGINNING...CAN'T SAY THAT LACK OF
SNOW UP TO THIS POINT IS A SIGN THAT THE MODELS ARE IN ERROR...AND
DON'T HAVE ANY RECENT ACARS SOUNDINGS TO EITHER LEAD CREDENCE TO OR
DISCOUNT THESE TRENDS.  IN ADDITION...WITH SUCH A LARGE ISOTHERMAL
LAYER NEAR 0C IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH...SUCH AS SUBTLE INCREASE IN
LIFT TO PRODUCE DYNAMIC COOLING AND/OR A BIT OF LOW LEVEL
EVAPORATIVE COOLING...TO KICK PTYPE OVER TO FROZEN.

IT DOES APPEAR THAT THREAT OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IN EXCESS OF AN INCH
WILL BE CONFINED TO A VERY NARROW W-E BAND...AND BASED ON LATEST
REGIONAL RADAR LOOPS IT WOULD APPEAR THAT THIS WILL SET UP ROUGHLY
ALONG A JEF-CPS-SLO LINE. TOTAL FORECAST ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE IN
THE 1-3 INCH RANGE...BUT GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY OF IF/WHEN THE CHANGE
OVER WILL OCCUR ACTUAL ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE SEVERAL INCHES EITHER
SIDE OF THIS RANGE.  I'VE ATTEMPTED TO REFLECT A TIGHT SNOWFALL
GRADIENT BUT IN TRYING TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT SOME UNCERTAINTY THE
SNOWFALL AXIS IS PROBABLY STILL TOO BROAD.

BECAUSE THIS AXIS IS A SLIGHT SWD SHIFT FROM EARLIER THINKING I'VE
TRIMMED A FEW NORTHERN COUNTIES FROM THE ADVISORY.

BEST LIFT WILL BE OCCURRING OVER THE AREA THROUGH MID MORNING WITH
PASSAGE OF FIRST SHORTWAVE.  ONCE THIS PASSES...SUBTLE WARMING OF
THE AMS SHOULD ALLOW THE PTYPES TO TRANSITION BACK TO A COLD RAIN AS
WE HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  BECAUSE OF THIS...HAVE ALSO
TRIMMED THE ENDING TIME OF THE ADVISORY TO MID AFTERNOON.

IN S SECTIONS OF THE CWA...WHERE PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARILY
RAIN...IT LOOKS LIKE A DAY OF SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL...WITH UP TO AN
INCH OF RAIN POSSIBLE.

TRUETT

&&

.LONG TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 353 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

DEALING WITH ONGOING PCPN TONIGHT...AS SURFACE LOW BEGINS TO LIFT
OUT TO THE NORTHEAST...TRACKING ACROSS THE BOOTHEEL...THEN INTO
WESTERN OH BY MIDDAY ON MONDAY. AS FOR PCPN TYPE...WITH SYSTEM
LIFTING NORTHEAST...WARMER AIR TO INFILTRATE REGION WITH PCPN IN
THE FORM OF RAIN ALL LOCATIONS THIS EVENING...BEFORE BEGINNING TO
MIX WITH SNOW ONCE AGAIN IN THE FAR NORTH AS COLDER AIR FILTERS IN
BEHIND THE SYSTEM LATE TONIGHT. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED. OTHERWISE...MAIN ISSUE WILL BE THE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS...ANYWHERE FROM A QUARTER TO HALF AN INCH POSSIBLE THIS
EVENING...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A WHITE HALL TO
OWENSVILLE LINE. THIS IS IN ADDITION TO WHAT HAS FALLEN SO FAR AND
WHAT IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY TODAY. OVERALL...ALONG AND SOUTH
OF I-70...COULD SEE BETWEEN HALF AN INCH TO OVER ONE AND A HALF
INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
OVER THE OZARKS. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOW 30S FAR NORTH TO
THE UPPER 30S FAR SOUTH.

BY MONDAY...PCPN TO TAPER OFF BY MIDDAY. OTHERWISE...SKIES TO SLOWLY
CLEAR OUT FROM WEST TO EAST AND GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS TO
PREVAIL. WILL SEE SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
NEAR 30 MPH AT TIMES IN FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.
HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL BE IN THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S.

THEN SURFACE RIDGE TO BUILD IN FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...BEFORE
WEAK COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. STILL HARD
TO SAY IF WE WILL GET ANY PCPN WITH THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY. FOR NOW
KEPT FORECAST DRY WITH JUST AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER. LOWS MONDAY
NIGHT WILL BE IN THE 20S...WITH HIGHS ON TUESDAY IN THE LOW 40S TO
LOW 50S. LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOW 20S TO LOW 30S.

BEYOND THAT...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED AS SURFACE RIDGE
BRIEFLY BUILDS IN ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE MOVING OFF TO THE EAST. STILL
COULD SEE SOME PCPN MOVE INTO WESTERN/SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF
FORECAST AREA THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT STILL HARD TO PIN DOWN
AS EXTENDED MODELS HAVE DIFFERING SOLUTIONS...SO JUST LEFT LOW
CHANCE POPS IN THIS AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. AS FOR TEMPS...HIGHS
WILL BE IN THE MID 30S TO NEAR 50...WITH LOWS EACH NIGHT IN THE
UPPER TEENS TO UPPER 20S.

BYRD

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 725 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

APPEARS COU AND STL AREA TAFS WILL BE ON THE N FRINGES OF LARGE
AREA OF OVERRUNNING PRECIP THAT BLANKETS S MO...AND PTYPE IS A
MAJOR HEADACHE AS THIS CORRIDOR IS RIGHT ON THE EDGE OF THE
CRITICAL 1300M 1000-850 MB RAIN/SNOW THICKNESS. THIS AREA OF
PRECIP SHOULD WORK EAST AND WEAKEN A BIT DURING THE MORNING...WITH
ANOTHER WAVE OF PRECIP REDEVELOPING AND WORKING NORTHEAST THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

COU...IT APPEARS THIS MORNINGS PRECIP WILL JUST BRUSH AREA...AND
THEN THERE SHOULD BE A BIT OF A LULL BEFORE THE NEXT WAVE OF
PRECIP MOVES IN DURING THE AFTERNOON AS RAIN. TAF PRIMARILY
EMPHASIZES MVFR CIGS...WITH OCNL IFR VSBYS IN SNOW OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS.

UIN...AREA WILL REMAIN N OF THIS MORNINGS PRECIP...ALTHOUGH ROUND
TWO MAY IMPACT THE AREA BY EARLY THIS EVENING. TAF THROUGH 00Z REMAINS
WITH MVFR CIGS BETWEEN 1500-2500 FT AGL...WITH LOWER CONDITIONS
HOLDING OFF UNTIL NEXT ROUND OF PRECIP AFTER 00Z.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL...APPEARS N EDGE OF PRECIP SHIELD WILL BE
NUDGING INTO AREA BETWEEN 13-14Z. HAVE PRIMARILY GONE WITH MVFR
CIGS/VSBYS THIS MORNING...WITH A TEMPO FOR IFR IN POCKETS OF
HEAVIER SNOW IN THE 14-17Z TIME FRAME.  MVFR CIGS SHOULD PERSIST
INTO THE AFTERNOON...WITH FORECAST ATTEMPTING TO SUGGEST A BIT OF
A LULL IN THE PRECIP BETWEEN THIS MORNINGS PRECIP AND THE LATE DAY
ARRIVAL OF ROUND TWO.

TRUETT

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     CALLAWAY MO-COLE MO-LINCOLN MO-MONTGOMERY MO.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     FRANKLIN MO-GASCONADE MO-JEFFERSON MO-OSAGE MO-ST. CHARLES
     MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-ST. LOUIS MO-WARREN MO.

IL...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     CALHOUN IL-RANDOLPH IL.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR BOND
     IL-CLINTON IL-FAYETTE IL-JERSEY IL-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON IL-
     MARION IL-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY IL-ST. CLAIR IL-WASHINGTON
     IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 17, 4:41 AM CDT, 4 hours 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
441 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-181200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
441 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SNOW...MIXED WITH RAIN AND SLEET AT TIMES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
MIDDAY TODAY...MAINLY ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR...BEFORE
CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR. PLEASE SEE
THE ADVISORY FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ATTENTION IS REQUIRED. SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

BYRD

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 17, 8:51 AM CDT, 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
851 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0851 AM     SNOW             TROY                    38.98N  90.98W
03/17/2013  M0.3 INCH        LINCOLN            MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

GOSSELIN
Local storm report, Mar 17, 8:57 AM CDT, 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
857 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0856 AM     SNOW             WASHINGTON              38.55N  91.01W
03/17/2013  M0.5 INCH        FRANKLIN           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GOSSELIN
Local storm report, Mar 17, 9:01 AM CDT, 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
901 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BLOOMSDALE              38.01N  90.22W
03/17/2013  M1.50 INCH       STE. GENEVIEVE     MO   STORM CHASER

            RAIN HAS CHANGED TO SNOW SLEET MIXTURE.

&&

GOSSELIN
Local storm report, Mar 17, 9:03 AM CDT, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
903 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0901 AM     SLEET            CADET                   37.99N  90.69W
03/17/2013  E0.5 INCH        WASHINGTON         MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SLEET SNOW MIXTURE.

&&

GOSSELIN
Local storm report, Mar 17, 9:16 AM CDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
916 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 AM     SNOW             SULLIVAN                38.22N  91.17W
03/17/2013  M1.0 INCH        FRANKLIN           MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            TOTAL THUS FAR... CURRENTLY HAVE A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND
            SLEET.

&&

GOSSELIN
Local storm report, Mar 17, 9:29 AM CDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
929 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 SE RED BUD            38.16N  89.93W
03/17/2013  M1.51 INCH       RANDOLPH           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SLEET MIXING IN CURRENTLY.

&&

GOSSELIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 9:34 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXCrawford, Washington4 days
Mar 17, 12:42 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXCrawford, Iron, Jefferson, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Washington6 hr
Mar 17, 6:19 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin, Iron, Jefferson, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois and 1 more18 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.