River Flood Warning 22, NWS St. Louis, MO

635 
WGUS83 KLSX 101710
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1210 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...

 
  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA

  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY

  MID FORK SALT RIVER NEAR HOLLIDAY


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF SNOW MELT AND 0.75 TO 1.5 INCHES
OF PRECIPITATION THE PAST 24 HOURS AND AROUND 0.5 INCHES FORECAST IN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RAINFALL HEAVIER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO
RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL
MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS
CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC111-111710-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130315T0454Z/
/EWNM7.2.RS.130310T1249Z.130312T0600Z.130314T0454Z.NO/
1210 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 11:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 17.5 FEET MONDAY 
  NIGHT AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...JUNIPER AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 513) WILL 
  BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.3 FEET...195TH STREET (COUNTY ROAD 516) JUST EAST OF 
  MONTICELLO WILL BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 532 (OR 230TH STREET) 
  WILL BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...STATE HIGHWAY E WEST OF WILLIAMSTOWN BEGINS 
  TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK BEGINS TO FLOOD NEAR MONTICELLO.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154


$$

MOC111-111709-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-130315T0617Z/
/EWMM7.2.RS.130310T0819Z.130313T0000Z.130314T0617Z.NO/
1210 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 11:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 19.0 FEET TUESDAY 
  EVENING AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 19.2 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD MONTEREY STREET NEAR 
  LEMON STREET WILL BEGIN FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.7 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 504 WILL BEGIN FLOODING 
  NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...YARDS BEGIN FLOODING IN MAYWOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 18.3 FEET...OAK AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 582) BEGINS 
  FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.8 FEET...OLIVE AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 587) NORTH 
  OF MAYWOOD BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.7 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 508 WILL BEGIN FLOODING 
  NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162


$$

MOC127-111709-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-130314T1840Z/
/TAYM7.2.RS.130309T2340Z.130312T0600Z.130313T1840Z.NO/
1210 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 11:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 15.9 FEET MONDAY 
  NIGHT AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 15.1 FEET...SMALL LEVEE IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  GAGE IS OVERTOPPED, FLOODING AGRICULTURAL FIELDS.
* IMPACT...AT 14.7 FEET...CORNFIELD JUST SOUTH AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  COUNTY ROAD 315 BRIDGE AT THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.7 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 319 JUST NORTH OF THE GAGE 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY ROAD 301 WILL BE FLOODED 
  NORTH OF COUNTY ROAD 150 NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...MARION COUNTY ROAD 150 WILL BE FLOODED NEAR 
  THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 NORTHWEST OF PHILADELPHIA 
  FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.2 FEET...THE RIVER BEGINS FLOODING THE RIGHT BANK 
  JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE COUNTY ROAD 319 BRIDGE AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 10.1 FEET...MARION COUNTY ROAD 310 BEGINS FLOODING JUST 
  WEST OF THE EAST END OF THE ROAD, THE INTERSECTION WITH COUNTY ROAD
  365.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172 3989 9176


$$

MOC127-111709-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-130313T0153Z/
/PALM7.2.RS.130309T2020Z.130311T0600Z.130312T0153Z.NO/
1210 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 17.7 FEET TONIGHT 
  AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE LEFT BANK 
  BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LEFT BANK BEGINS TO FLOOD NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY RD 341 NORTH OF PALMYRA 
  INUNDATED. SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING...RIGHT BANK.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 333, EAST OF PALMYRA, BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170


$$

MOC113-111709-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0022.130311T0447Z-130312T1920Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.130311T0447Z.130311T1200Z.130311T1920Z.NO/
1210 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 11:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS.  MINOR 
  FLOODING BEGINS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090


$$

MOC137-111709-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-130314T0200Z/
/PMZM7.1.RS.130309T2326Z.130311T1200Z.130313T0000Z.UU/
1210 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MID FORK SALT RIVER NEAR HOLLIDAY
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 19.7 FEET MONDAY 
  MORNING AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WASTE WATER LIFT STATION BEGINS FLOODING AT 
  ABOUT THIS HEIGHT.  WATER WAS 16 FT DEEP IN JULY 2008.
* IMPACT...AT 18.1 FEET...WATER EXITS THE LEFT BANK DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  STATE HIGHWAY A BRIDGE.  ADJACENT FIELDS BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 17.5 FEET...WATER EXITS THE RIGHT BANK DOWNSTREAM OF 
  THE STATE HIGHWAY A BRIDGE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199 3952 9221


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/11  03/12  03/13  03/14  03/15

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           11.0   12.81      15.8   17.3   14.0    9.8    6.6

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           12.0   14.66      18.3   18.8   17.7   10.0    5.6

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           9.5   11.52      14.6   15.1   11.1    5.3    3.8

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA         13.0   16.25      17.2   10.1    7.0    6.1    5.7

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   20.28      21.3   16.9   11.0    8.6    6.8

SALT RIVER
  HOLLIDAY        17.0   18.70      19.7   18.7   13.1    8.8    7.4

002 
WGUS83 KLSX 110237
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
937 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  MID FORK SALT RIVER NEAR HOLLIDAY AFFECTING MONROE COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF SNOW MELT AND 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF 
PRECIPITATION THE PAST 24 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC111-120237-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130315T0400Z/
/EWNM7.2.RS.130310T1249Z.130312T0600Z.130314T0400Z.NO/
937 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.7 FEET BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...JUNIPER AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 513) WILL 
  BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.3 FEET...195TH STREET (COUNTY ROAD 516) JUST EAST OF 
  MONTICELLO WILL BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 532 (OR 230TH STREET) WILL
  BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154


$$

MOC111-120236-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-130315T0600Z/
/EWMM7.2.RS.130310T0819Z.130313T0000Z.130314T0600Z.NO/
937 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.9 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.2 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD MONTEREY STREET NEAR LEMON
  STREET WILL BEGIN FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.7 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 504 WILL BEGIN FLOODING 
  NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...YARDS BEGIN FLOODING IN MAYWOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 18.3 FEET...OAK AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 582) BEGINS 
  FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.8 FEET...OLIVE AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 587) NORTH 
  OF MAYWOOD BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.7 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 508 WILL BEGIN FLOODING 
  NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE NEAR
  THE GAGE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162


$$

MOC127-120236-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-130314T1708Z/
/TAYM7.2.RS.130309T2340Z.130312T0000Z.130313T1708Z.NO/
937 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.3 FEET BY 
  MONDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.1 FEET...SMALL LEVEE IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  GAGE IS OVERTOPPED, FLOODING AGRICULTURAL FIELDS.
* IMPACT...AT 14.7 FEET...CORNFIELD JUST SOUTH AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE 
  COUNTY ROAD 315 BRIDGE AT THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.7 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 319 JUST NORTH OF THE GAGE 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY ROAD 301 WILL BE FLOODED NORTH
  OF COUNTY ROAD 150 NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...MARION COUNTY ROAD 150 WILL BE FLOODED NEAR 
  THIS HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172 3989 9176


$$

MOC127-120236-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-130313T2152Z/
/PALM7.2.RS.130309T2020Z.130311T0600Z.130312T2152Z.NO/
937 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.4 FEET EARLY 
  MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE LEFT BANK BEGINS
  FLOODING NEAR THE GAGE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170


$$

MOC113-120236-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0022.130311T0230Z-130312T2342Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.130310T1922Z.130311T1200Z.130311T2342Z.NO/
937 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* FROM THIS EVENING TO TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.2 FEET...GRAVENS ROAD BEGINS FLOODING NORTH OF 
  HIGHWAY C.
* IMPACT...AT 23.1 FEET...WATER BEGINS COVERING FRENCHMAN BLUFF ROAD 
  (COUNTY ROAD 658) JUST WEST OF THE CUIVRE RIVER BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE AGRICULTURAL LAND IS FLOODED 
  BETWEEN TROY AND MOSCOW MILLS.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090


$$

MOC137-120236-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-130313T1927Z/
/PMZM7.1.RS.130309T2326Z.130310T1830Z.130312T1727Z.UU/
937 PM CDT SUN MAR 10 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MID FORK SALT RIVER NEAR HOLLIDAY
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WASTEWATER LIFT STATION BEGINS FLOODING AT 
  ABOUT THIS HEIGHT.  WATER WAS 16 FT DEEP IN JULY 2008.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199 3952 9221


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/11  03/12  03/13  03/14  03/15

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           11.0   15.13      16.4   17.5   14.2    9.4    6.5

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           12.0   16.20      18.2   18.7   18.2    9.9    5.5

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           9.5   12.34      14.7   14.2   10.7    5.3    4.1

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA         13.0   17.13      17.0   15.0    8.1    6.0    5.7

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   22.72      23.3   15.0    8.4    7.1    6.8

SALT RIVER
  HOLLIDAY        17.0   19.61      19.5   18.0   11.2    8.4    7.2

217 
WGUS83 KLSX 111615
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1115 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
  

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 
  
  MID FORK SALT RIVER NEAR HOLLIDAY AFFECTING MONROE COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF SNOW MELT AND 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION OVER THE WEEKEND AND NO PRECIPITATION FORECAST IN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC111-121615-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130315T0300Z/
/EWNM7.2.RS.130310T1249Z.130312T0600Z.130314T0300Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 17.3 FEET EARLY 
  TUESDAY MORNING AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.3 FEET...195TH STREET (COUNTY ROAD 516) JUST EAST OF 
  MONTICELLO WILL BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 532 (OR 230TH STREET) 
  WILL BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...STATE HIGHWAY E WEST OF WILLIAMSTOWN BEGINS 
  TO FLOOD.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154

$$

MOC111-121615-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-130315T0645Z/
/EWMM7.2.RS.130310T0819Z.130313T0000Z.130314T0645Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 18.8 FEET TUESDAY 
  EVENING AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 19.2 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD MONTEREY STREET NEAR 
  LEMON STREET WILL BEGIN FLOODING NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.7 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 504 WILL BEGIN FLOODING 
  NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...YARDS BEGIN FLOODING IN MAYWOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 18.3 FEET...OAK AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 582) BEGINS 
  FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.8 FEET...OLIVE AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 587) NORTH 
  OF MAYWOOD BEGINS FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.7 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 508 WILL BEGIN FLOODING 
  NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162

$$

MOC127-121615-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-130314T0800Z/
/TAYM7.1.RS.130309T2340Z.130312T0000Z.130313T0800Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 12.6 FEET THIS
  EVENING AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY ROAD 301 WILL BE FLOODED 
  NORTH OF COUNTY ROAD 150 NEAR THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...MARION COUNTY ROAD 150 WILL BE FLOODED NEAR 
  THIS HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172 3989 9176

$$

MOC127-121615-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-130312T2343Z/
/PALM7.2.RS.130309T2020Z.130311T0745Z.130311T2343Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 17.4 FEET OVERNIGHT AND SHOULD FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170

$$

MOC113-121615-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130312T1948Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.130310T1922Z.130311T0715Z.130311T1948Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 10:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 23.4 FEET OVERNIGHT AND SHOULD FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090

$$

MOC137-121615-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-130313T2134Z/
/PMZM7.1.RS.130309T2326Z.130311T1530Z.130312T1934Z.UU/
1115 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MID FORK SALT RIVER NEAR HOLLIDAY
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY CRESTING AND SHOULD FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199 3952 9221

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/12  03/13  03/14  03/15  03/16

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           11.0   15.96      17.3   14.0    9.4    6.5    5.5

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           12.0   16.65      18.0   18.2    9.9    5.5    4.9

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           9.5   12.41      12.3    8.7    4.9    3.9    3.9

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA         13.0   16.23       8.9    6.7    5.9    5.6    5.5

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   21.67      15.1    8.5    7.2    6.8    6.7

SALT RIVER
  HOLLIDAY        17.0   20.15      18.6   11.4    8.3    7.2    6.6

565 
WGUS83 KLSX 111951
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
251 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY

.THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THE EVENT.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-112021-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130312T1948Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.130310T1922Z.130311T0715Z.130311T1635Z.NO/
251 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY.
* AT  2:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:35 AM MONDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 12.8 FEET BY TOMORROW
  MORNING.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     03/12  03/13  03/14  03/15  03/16

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   18.79      12.8    8.0    7.3    7.0    6.8

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1106 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 840 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROF EXISTS OVER THE HI PLAINS AND HAS RESULTED
IN A VERY FAVORABLE SETUP FOR DEEP AND RICH MOISTURE FROM THE GULF
OF MEXICO TO INVADE OUR REGION...WHICH IT IS IN THE PROCESS OF
DOING. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE HAS EJECTED OUT FROM THIS MAIN
TROF AND IS APPROACHING THE INTERFACE OF MO-KS-OK-AR ATTM. ANOTHER
IS OVER N-CNTRL TX NEAR THE METROPLEX. AT THE SFC...AN AREA OF LO
PRES EXISTS OVER ERN-CNTRL KS WITH A CDFNT EXTENDING NE AND SW OF
IT. THE CDFNT HAS BEEN STEADILY ADVANCING SEWD. ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...THIS ONE A WRMFNT...EXISTS OVER NRN AND CNTRL MO AND
INTO FAR W CNTRL IL...ITS NWD PROGRESS STUNTED...FOR THE TIME
BEING...BY THE RAPIDLY ERODING SNOW PACK OVER NRN MO AND WRN IL.
TEMPS RANGE FROM ARND 40F IN NERN MO TO 55-65F OVER PRETTY MUCH
THE REST OF THE FA. CLOUDS HAVE RETURNED AREAWIDE AFTER A BRIEF
BREAK IN THEM THIS AFTERNOON. RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS TWO AREAS OF
PCPN...AN ELONGATED BAND FROM WI THRU NWRN MO TO SERN KS AND ERN
OK THAT IS ADVANCING EWD VERY SLOWLY. ANOTHER EXTENDS FROM ERN OK
AND INTO SWRN MO AND HAS BEEN MAKING MUCH BETTER PROGRESS TO THE
NE EARLY THIS EVENING.

THE RAIN/TSRA ADVANCING OUT OF SWRN MO SHOULD ENVELOPE NERN-CNTRL
MO AND W-CNTRL IL BY MIDNIGHT AND EFFECTIVELY MERGE WITH THE SLOWER
EWD MOVING AREA BY THAT TIME AS WELL. IT THEN APPEARS RAIN MAY
HAVE SOME TROUBLE ADVANCING E-SE AGAIN WITH THIS FIRST PUSH
COURTESY OF THE SHORTWAVE OVER NERN OK. THE SHORTWAVE FURTHER TO
THE SW OVER N-CNTRL TX WILL THEN MAKE ITS APPROACH AROUND DAYBREAK
SUNDAY AND MAKE ITS PUSH THRU SERN MO AND STL METRO SUNDAY
MORNING THEN DRIVING RAIN AND ISO-SCT TSRA THRU THESE AREAS.
SPEAKING OF WHICH...TSRA CHCS LOOK TO DECREASE LATE TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY LOOKS IFFY BUT LEFT IN FOR NOW. ALL IN ALL...NO REAL BIG
ADJUSTMENTS TO PREV FCST.

WENT A FEW DEGS ABOVE THE WARMEST MOS ON MINS TONIGHT.

FCST UPDATE COMING OUT AROUND 850 PM.

TES

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THROUGH LATE TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 309 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN PCPN WILL BE ON
THE INCREASE AS FIRST IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES MOVES INTO FORECAST
AREA AHEAD OF MAIN WEATHER SYSTEM. WITH PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...ELEVATED CAPES BETWEEN 200-300J/KG...AND 45KT LOW LEVEL
JET...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING OVER WESTERN
MO AND SLIDE EAST THIS EVENING...REACHING COLUMBIA BY 02Z...QUINCY
BY 03Z...AND STL METRO AREA BY 06Z.

WILL ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE SNOW COVERED AND/OR RECENTLY SNOW
COVERED AREAS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS FOR TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...ROUGHLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A
JEFFERSON CITY...MOUNT STERLING LINE. FLOODING HAS BECOME A MAJOR
CONCERN IN THIS AREA AS THEY STILL HAVE BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OF
SNOW COVER...DESPITE THE WARMER TEMPS TODAY...AND HAD BETWEEN HALF
AN INCH AND AN INCH OF RAINFALL EARLY THIS MORNING THAT RAN RIGHT
OFF INTO THE LOCAL RIVERS AND CREEKS...WHICH HAVE RISEN CONSIDERABLY
TODAY.

RAINFALLS FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD
EASILY BE AROUND ONE INCH...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS CERTAINLY NOT OUT
OF THE QUESTION.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...THE CLEARING SKIES AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST TO
SOUTH WINDS HAVE ALLOWED TEMPS TO WARM UP INTO THE MID 50S TO LOW
70S FOR MOST OF THE AREA...THOUGH CLOUDS AND SNOW COVER HAVE KEPT
OUR FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS ONLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S THIS
AFTERNOON. SO WITH THE WARM SOUTH WINDS AND CLOUDS THAT WILL MOVE
BACK IN THIS EVENING...MILD TEMPS TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AHEAD
OF MAIN WEATHER SYSTEM...WITH LOWS ONLY DIPPING INTO THE LOW 40S TO
LOW 50S. COULD EVEN SEE STEADY OR SLOWLY RISING TEMPS IN THE FAR
NORTH.

BYRD/TRUETT

&&

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 309 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

(SUNDAY-MONDAY)
ALL 12Z MODELS HAVE SLOWED THE NE PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER LOW
ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING...SO PRIMARY TWEAKS
IN UPCOMING FORECAST ARE TO REFLECT THIS SLOWER MOVEMENT.

THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT THAT ONE VORT LOBE WILL BE WRAPPING
AROUND UPPER LOW DURING THE MORNING...WHICH SHOULD MEAN ONE VERY
STRONG SHOT OF RAIN DURING THIS TIME. DETAILS FOR THE AFTERNOON
HOURS ARE NOT AS CLEAR CUT...BUT AT LEAST SOME OF THE SOLUTIONS
SUGGEST YET ANOTHER SHORTWAVE ROTATING INTO THE AREA DURING THIS
TIME. BECAUSE OF THIS AND CONCERNS ABOUT TIMING OF THE
SYSTEM...HAVE MAINTAINED CATEGORICAL OR HIGHER POPS OVER MUCH OF
THE AREA...ALTHOUGH MID LEVEL DRY SLOT SHOULD CAUSE POPS TO TAPER
OFF OVER MID MO.

INSTABILITY ISN'T ALL THAT GREAT BUT THERE IS SOME...WHICH WILL
CERTAINLY BE ENOUGH TO WARRANT CONTINUING THE MENTION OF THUNDER
WITH SUCH STRONG DYNAMICS. WHILE GREATEST THREAT MAY BE ASSOCIATED
WITH MORNING SHORTWAVE...WONDERING IF THERE MAY BE A SMALL WINDOW
OF OPPORTUNITY FOR SOME LOW TOPPED CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS AHEAD OF SURFACE COLD FRONT.

PRECIPITATION SHOULD WIND DOWN QUICKLY OVER MOST OF THE AREA ON
SUNDAY NIGHT AS DRY SLOT SURGES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
REGION.

CONCERNING THE COLD SIDE OF THE SYSTEM...WITH CENTER OF UPPER LOW
TRACKING FROM NORTHEAST KANSAS TO EAST CENTRAL IOWA THE HEAVIEST
SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR WELL NORTH OF OUR CWA...AND ACCUMULATIONS IN OUR
NW COUNTIES SHOULD CERTAINLY BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE.  THE LATEST
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT AMS WILL BECOME COLD ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT THE CHANGEOVER FROM RAIN TO SNOW IN THE EDINA AREA BY
MID-LATE AFTERNOON.  THE COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO DROP SOUTHEAST
BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT BY THE TIME THE AMS WOULD
SUPPORT ALL SNOW MUCH OF THE PRECIP SHOULD BE SHUT DOWN TO TO
AFOREMENTIONED DRY SLOTTING...ANY LINGERING PRECIP WILL BE QUITE
LIGHT.  HAVE MAINTAINED SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OVER NORTHEAST
MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF
UNDER AN INCH.

ANY PRECIP THAT LINGERS IN THE WRAP AROUND MOISTURE OVER N SECTIONS
OF OUR FA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT SHOULD WIND DOWN BY MIDDAY MONDAY...WITH
CLEARING WORKING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS SYSTEM PULLS INTO THE GREAT LAKES.

TODAY'S TEMPERATURES CERTAINLY AN INDICATION OF THE WARMTH OF THE
WARM SECTOR OF THIS SYSTEM.  WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUDS AND PRECIP DON'T
THINK WE WILL REACH THESE LEVELS TOMORROW...BUT UPPER 50S TO LOWER
60S SHOULD BE COMMON OVER THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE CWA.
MEANWHILE...IN THE COOL AIR OVER THE NORTHWEST THE MERCURY WILL
LIKELY ONLY REACH THE 40S BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLDER AIR
DURING THE AFTERNOON.  COLDER AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM WILL
GRIP THE ENTIRE AREA ON MONDAY...WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 30S
TO MID 40S.

(TUESDAY-SATURDAY)
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY DURING
THE EXTENDED PERIOD...ALTHOUGH THE GRADUAL EWD DRIFT OF THE EAST
COAST TROF WILL ALLOW UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PLAINS TO WORK EAST.
SINCE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS WELL TO OUR WEST NO HUGE WARMUP IS
EXPECTED...BUT FA SHOULD CERTAINLY EXPERIENCE MODERATING
TEMPS...WITH AN EARLY TASTE OF SPRING BY THURSDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 50 TO MID 60S AND LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOW 40S.

DONT SEE ANY BIG PRECIPITATION THREAT AT THIS TIME SO EXTENDED
FORECAST WILL REMAIN DRY...BUT WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON WEAK
SHORTWAVE THAT MEDIUM RANGE SOLUTIONS DROP INTO THE AREA DURING THE
FRIDAY TIME FRAME.

TRUETT

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

A BROAD AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE SPREADING EWD ACROSS MO/IL OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW.
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED...ESPECIALLY AFTER ONGOING
RAINFALL BEGINS TO SATURATE THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE CAUSING CLOUD
BASES TO DESCEND. IF GUSTY SFC WINDS SUBSIDE TONIGHT THEN THERE
WILL BE A CONCERN FOR LLWS BECAUSE OF THE 50KT LLJ. THERE IS
STILL SOME QUESTION REGARDING WHETHER OR NOT THERE WILL BE A BREAK
IN THE PCPN TOMORROW AFTN WHEN THE DRY SLOT MOVES OVERHEAD. IF
CIGS DO IMPROVE DURING THE AFTN THEN THEY WILL PROBABLY FALL BACK
TO MVFR OR IFR TOMORROW EVENING AS STRATUS DVLPS AND SPREADS
ACROSS THE AREA BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. WINDS
REMAIN SLY TO SELY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SFC LOW THEN VEER NWLY
LATE IN THE TAF PD AFTER A CDFNT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL...ISO-SCT SHRA HAVE DVLPD NEAR KSTL AHEAD OF A
BROADER AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS WHICH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EWD AND
REACH KSTL OVERNIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL PROBABLY DETERIORATE TO
MVFR/IFR LATER TONIGHT. IF GUSTY SFC WINDS SUBSIDE TONIGHT THEN
THERE WILL BE A CONCERN FOR LLWS BECAUSE OF THE 50KT LLJ. THERE
COULD BE A BREAK IN THE PCPN TOMORROW AFTN HOWEVER EVEN IF CIGS DO
IMPROVE THEY WILL PROBABLY FALL BACK TO MVFR OR IFR TOMORROW
EVENING AS STRATUS DVLPS AND SPREADS ACROSS THE AREA BEHIND THE
DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. WINDS REMAIN SLY TO SELY AHEAD OF
THE APPROACHING SFC LOW THEN VEER NWLY LATE IN THE TAF PD BEHIND A
CDFNT.

KANOFSKY

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR AUDRAIN MO-BOONE MO-
     CALLAWAY MO-COLE MO-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-MARION MO-MONITEAU MO-
     MONROE MO-MONTGOMERY MO-PIKE MO-RALLS MO-SHELBY MO.

IL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL.

&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
354 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-101215-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
354 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI
AND PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD RAINS ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
TONIGHT. WHILE NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...THE RAINFALL
MAY PRODUCE FLOODING OVER THE SNOW COVERED AREAS OF CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
THE CONTINUATION OF OVERNIGHT RAINS WILL MEAN THE FLOOD THREAT
WILL PERSIST OVER SNOW COVERED AND RECENTLY SNOW COVERED AREAS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO CONTINUE ON
SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING THAT THEY OBSERVE.

TRUETT