River Flood Warning 14, NWS St. Louis, MO

379 
WGUS83 KLSX 270051
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
651 PM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  BLACK RIVER NEAR 

      ANNAPOLIS  


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL
OBSERVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC179-280051-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-130228T1912Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.130226T1937Z.130227T0600Z.130227T1912Z.NO/
651 PM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER NEAR ANNAPOLIS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 6:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 9.6 FEET TONIGHT BEFORE
  FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 372 WILL BEGIN FLOODING NEAR THIS
  HEIGHT.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     02/27  02/28  03/01  03/02  03/03

BLACK RIVER
  ANNAPOLIS        8.0    9.01       9.0    5.1    4.4    4.1    3.9

467 
WGUS83 KLSX 271626
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1026 AM CST WED FEB 27 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  BLACK RIVER 

     NEAR ANNAPOLIS...AFFECTING REYNOLDS COUNTY


.THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT ISSUED REGARDING THIS EVENT ALONG 
THE BLACK RIVER NEAR ANNAPOLIS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC179-271656-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-130228T1912Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.130226T1937Z.130227T0345Z.130227T1122Z.NO/
1026 AM CST WED FEB 27 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER NEAR ANNAPOLIS.
* AT  9:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  5:22 AM WEDNESDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 6.4 FEET BY THURSDAY  
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...ANNAPOLIS ROAD ON THE WEST BANK OF THE BLACK 
  RIVER SOUTH OF LESTERVILLE BEGINS FLOODING CLOSE TO THIS HEIGHT.  
  THIS IS THE ONLY ROAD DIRECTLY CONNECTING ANNAPOLIS AND 
  LESTERVILLE.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     02/28  03/01  03/02  03/03  03/04

BLACK RIVER
  ANNAPOLIS        8.0    7.63       6.4    5.4    4.8    4.6    4.4

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1242 PM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1056 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

UPDATED FORECAST TO REMOVE HEAVY SNOW WORDING AND REDUCE SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS THE REST OF THE DAY. DRY SLOT HAS WRAPPED ABOUT THE NORTH
SIDE OF THE LOW WHICH HAS SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED AREAL COVERAGE OF
PRECIPITATION THE LAST FEW HOURS. RADAR IS SHOWING MAINLY SHOWERY
PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA WITH A MORE CONCENTRATED AREA OF RAIN
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE QUINCY AREA.

MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING IS MOVING NORTH AWAY FROM THE
AREA...SO IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE NO MORE THAN AN ADDITIONAL
1-2 INCHES OF SNOWFALL THE REST OF THE DAY OVER NORTHEAST MISSOURI
AND WEST CENTRAL IL. ELSEWHERE WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES AT OR
ABOVE FREEZING...IT WILL BE MAINLY A RAIN/SNOW MIX OR ALL RAIN SO
ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL WILL BE AN INCH OR LESS.

THROUGH WILL BE WRAPPING AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW LATE TONIGHT
WITH YET ANOTHER...WEAKER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
THESE TROUGHS MAY BRING SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS TO THE
AREA THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING.

BRITT

&&

.SHORT TERM...
ISSUED AT 317 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)

IMPRESSIVE WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA TODAY.
P-TYPE WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN ISSUE AS IT HAS ALL NIGHT.  THE WARM
CONVEYOR BELT WILL CONTINUE TO WRAP WARM/MOIST AIR BACK INTO THE
STORM WHICH WILL KEEP THE RAIN/SNOW LINE BACK AWAY FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER IN EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS.  HOWEVER...NONE OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS DOING A GOOD
JOB WITH THE RAIN/SNOW LINE AT THIS TIME.  THAT LINE CONTINUES TO
MARCH SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWEST AND LOOKS TO BE THROUGH WESTERN
WARREN/CENTRAL LINCOLN AND INTO NORTHERN CALHOUN COUNTIES AT THIS
TIME BASED ON THE LATEST DUAL-POL CORRELATION COEFFICIENT DATA FROM
THE KLSX-88D.  EVERYTHING NORTH/WEST OF THAT LINE LOOKS TO BE SNOW
WHILE SOUTH/EAST OF THE LINE RAIN SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY PRECIP TYPE.

HAVE MORE OR LESS DECIDED TO STAY THE COURSE WITH THIS FORECAST.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR UNTIL ISSUANCE TIME...BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE
ANY MAJOR CHANGES TO HEADLINES OR ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS AT THIS TIME
AS I JUST DO NOT FEEL CONFIDENT ENOUGH IN ANY PARTICULAR MODEL'S
THERMAL PROFILES TO MAKE CHANGES.  HOWEVER...IF CURRENT TRENDS
CONTINUE...ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAY BE A LITTLE HIGH IN THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE ADVISORY AREA.  UNFORTUNATELY I FEEL WE'LL JUST HAVE
TO NOWCAST THIS AND ADJUST HEADLINES AS PRECIP TRENDS (HOPEFULLY)
BECOME MORE CLEAR LATER THIS MORNING.  AS THE LOW PASSES INTO
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS/INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON...COLD AIR SHOULD WRAP BACK
INTO THE AREA AND ANY REMAINING LIQUID PRECIP SHOULD TRANSITION TO
SNOW...THO DRY AIR WILL BE COMING WITH IT WHICH WILL SHUT DOWN THE
SNOW PRETTY QUICKLY.

THE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT...BUT
ANOTHER LOBE OF VORTICITY WILL ROTATE AROUND THE THE CENTER OF THE
UPPER LOW TONIGHT WHICH IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW.
AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE PRETTY LIGHT IN COMPARISON WITH THE CURRENT ROUND
OR SNOW...BUT AN ADDITIONAL INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWFA.

CARNEY

&&

.LONG TERM...
ISSUED AT 348 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES TO PERSIST ALOFT THROUGH THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.  WEDNESDAY LOOKS LIKE A RAW COLD DAY WITH SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS AND NOT MUCH OF WARM UP FROM MORNING LOWS.  MODELS ONLY
PRINT OUT A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF QPF...SO ANY NEW
ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE PRETTY LIGHT...GENERALLY AN INCH OR LESS
EXCEPT IN NORTHERN AREAS OF THE CWFA WHERE THERE MIGHT BE A LITTLE
MORE THAN AN INCH.  ANOTHER SHORTWAVE ROCKETS SOUTH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY WHICH WILL SHARPLY AMPLIFY THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN
FOR THE WEEKEND.  A STEEP LONGWAVE TROF WILL PERSIST OVER THE
EASTERN SEABOARD AND A RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES WILL KEEP THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY IN NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT...AND KEEP OUR
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  CAN'T RULE OUT SOME FLURRIES OR SOME
LIGHT SNOW WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE WAVE THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT
MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...SO AGAIN AM THINKING THERE WILL BE LITTLE
IF ANY ACCUMULATION.  WEEKEND LOOKS DRY...THO AS MENTIONED BEFORE
WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPS.  ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL DIP INTO THE
CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS ON MONDAY WHICH WILL BRING THE WIND BACK AROUND
TO THE SOUTH ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM BACK TO WITHIN A FEW
DEGREES OF NORMAL.

CARNEY

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED AT 1206 PM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

LOW PRESSURE WAS JUST S OF ST LOUIS EARLY THIS AFTN. SHOULD GET
ADDITIONAL SNOW THIS AFTN IN UIN...BUT THE REST OF THE TAF SITES
MAY JUST HAVE INTERMITTENT DRIZZLE. LOW CLOUD CEILINGS BELOW
1000 FT SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH AT LEAST
LIGHT FOG. MAY HAVE PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE THIS EVNG IN UIN AND
COU...THEN AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING EWD THROUGH SRN MO
LATE TGT SHOULD BRING LIGHT SNOW AND FLURRIES TO THE AREA MAINLY
LATE TGT AND WED MRNG. THE VSBYS MAY BE QUITE LOW AT TIMES...AROUND
1-2SM DURING THE DRIZZLE AND LIGHT SNOW. THE SFC WIND SHOULD BACK
AROUND TO A NWLY DIRECTION LATER THIS AFTN OR THIS EVNG AS THE
LOW MOVES WELL E OF OUR AREA.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL...CLOUD HEIGHTS BELOW 1000 FT SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. VSBYS SHOULD ALSO BE LOW THIS AFTN
...AROUND 1-2SM WITH INTERMITTENT DRIZZLE ALONG WITH FOG. THE VSBYS
MAY IMPROVE A LITTLE LATER THIS AFTN INTO THIS EVNG AS THE DRIZZLE
BECOMES LESS FREQUENT AND THE SFC WIND INCREASES AND SHIFTS TO A
NWLY DIRECTION AS THE LOW MOVES EAST OF THE AREA. THERE MAY BE
SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE LATE TGT AS THE TEMPERATURE FALLS TO
32 DEGREES F OR LESS. THERE SHOULD BE LIGHT SNOW AND FLURRIES
MAINLY LATE TGT AND WED MRNG WHICH MAY DROP VSBYS AGAIN. SFC WINDS
WILL BE RELATIVELY STRONG AND GUSTY LATE WED MRNG AND AFTN FROM A
W-NW DIRECTION.

GKS

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR AUDRAIN
     MO-BOONE MO-CALLAWAY MO-COLE MO-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-MARION MO-
     MONITEAU MO-MONROE MO-OSAGE MO-RALLS MO-SHELBY MO.

IL...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR ADAMS IL-
     BROWN IL.

&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
524 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-271200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
524 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY TODAY ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. WINTER STORM WARNINGS
AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT. PLEASE SEE THESE
PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER
OFF FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF
LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TONIGHT MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSOURI
AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS.

CARNEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
940 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0938 AM     HEAVY SNOW       EDINA                   40.17N  92.17W
02/26/2013  M8.9 INCH        KNOX               MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            STILL SNOWING HEAVILY

&&

TES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
948 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0947 AM     SNOW             LORAINE                 40.15N  91.22W
02/26/2013  M4.0 INCH        ADAMS              IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

BRITT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1027 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1026 AM     SNOW             LOUISIANA               39.44N  91.06W
02/26/2013  M3.5 INCH        PIKE               MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1045 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1044 AM     SNOW             HANNIBAL                39.71N  91.38W
02/26/2013  M4.0 INCH        MARION             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1233 PM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1202 PM     HEAVY SNOW       3 E MOUNT STERLING      39.98N  90.72W
02/26/2013  M7.6 INCH        BROWN              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL. SNOW WAS VERY WET AND HEAVY AS IT FELL.

&&

BRITT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
152 PM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0151 PM     HEAVY SNOW       CENTRALIA               39.21N  92.13W
02/26/2013  M8.8 INCH        BOONE              MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            STORM TOTAL.

&&

BRITT