Alert archive / Missouri / Flash Flood Watches in 2013

Flash Flood Watch 1, NWS St. Louis, MO

April 16, 201324 counties in Missouri; 14 counties in Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this flash flood watch at Apr 16, 2013, 4:30 PM CDT for 24 counties in Missouri; 14 counties in Illinois. It took effect at Apr 17, 2013, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 23 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 16, 2013, 4:30 PM CDT (21:30 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 17, 2013, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired
Apr 18, 2013, 6:00 PM CDT
In force
23 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Flood severity
None
All 38 counties

Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Pike County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 239 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2013-04-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2013-04-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 46 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
647 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
382 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

267 
WGUS63 KLSX 162130
FFALSX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
430 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

...STRONG STORM TO BRING WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINS TO THE
NATIONS MIDSECTION...

.A POWERFUL EARLY SPRING STORM WILL LIKELY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL 
ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI...AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST SECTIONS
OF ILLINOIS. THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING BETWEEN TWO AND FOUR
INCHES OF RAIN FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT..AND
THIS WILL BE IN ADDITION TO ANY RAIN THAT OCCURS TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. SINCE PARTS OF NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AND WEST
CENTRAL ILLINOIS ARE ALREADY BE SATURATED FROM EARLIER
RAINS...FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A VERY REAL THREAT.

IN ADDITION TO FLASH FLOODING...SIGNIFICANT RISES ARE EXPECTED ON
AREA RIVERS. CONTINGENCY RIVER FORECASTS...USING THREE DAYS OF
FORECAST RAINFALL RATHER THAN THE OFFICIAL ONE DAY OF FORECAST
RAINFALL... REFLECT A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
IN NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. THE MOST
LIKELY SCENARIO ON THE KASKASKIA...MERAMEC...BOURBEUSE...BIG...
MARIES...AND BLACK RIVERS WOULD YIELD MINOR FLOODING ON THESE
STREAMS. MEANWHILE...MODERATE FLOODING APPEARS LIKELY ON SEVERAL
STREAMS FURTHER NORTH... INCLUDING THE BRANCHES OF THE FABIUS AND
SALT RIVERS...THE CUIVRE RIVER...AND THE NORTH RIVER.

IN ADDITION...THERE IS ALSO HIGH POTENTIAL OF MAJOR FLOODING ON
THE LARGER RIVERS BY THE WEEKEND...PARTICULARLY THE ILLINOIS AND
MISSISSIPPI RIVERS.

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>051-170930-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FF.A.0001.130418T0000Z-130419T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-
MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-
COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN...
COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY
430 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND 
  MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN WEST CENTRAL 
  ILLINOIS...ADAMS IL...BROWN IL AND PIKE IL. IN MISSOURI...
  AUDRAIN MO...BOONE MO...CALLAWAY MO...COLE MO...KNOX MO...
  LEWIS MO...MARION MO...MONITEAU MO...MONROE MO...MONTGOMERY 
  MO...OSAGE MO...PIKE MO...RALLS MO AND SHELBY MO.

* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY

* THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY EVENING
  THROUGH THURSDAY. WIDESPREAD RAINS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* THOSE LIVING IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CAREFULLY
  MONITOR WEATHER AND WATER LEVELS. BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF A
  FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF HIGH WATER LEVELS
  THREATEN.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

ILZ058>060-064-098>102-MOZ052-059>065-072-073-170930-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FF.A.0001.130418T1200Z-130419T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-
WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...EDWARDSVILLE...
BELLEVILLE...ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS
430 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL 
  MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...
  BOND IL...CALHOUN IL...GREENE IL...JERSEY IL...MACOUPIN IL...
  MADISON IL...MONROE IL...MONTGOMERY IL AND ST. CLAIR IL. IN 
  EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...CRAWFORD MO...FRANKLIN MO...GASCONADE 
  MO...JEFFERSON MO...LINCOLN MO...ST. CHARLES MO...ST. LOUIS 
  CITY MO...ST. LOUIS MO...WARREN MO AND WASHINGTON MO.

* FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT

* THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
  EVENING. WIDESPREAD RAINS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* THOSE LIVING IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CAREFULLY
  MONITOR WEATHER AND WATER LEVELS. BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF A
  FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF HIGH WATER LEVELS
  THREATEN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

TRUETT
6 follow-up statements
795 
WGUS63 KLSX 171219
FFALSX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
719 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...STRONG STORM TO BRING WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINS TO THE
NATIONS MIDSECTION...

.A POWERFUL EARLY SPRING STORM WILL LIKELY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI...AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST
SECTIONS OF ILLINOIS. THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING BETWEEN
TWO AND FOUR INCHES OF RAIN FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. PARTS OF NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS WHERE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE
LAST FEW DAYS HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME OF THE HIGHEST RAINFALL
AMOUNTS...THUS FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A VERY REAL THREAT.

IN ADDITION TO FLASH FLOODING...SIGNIFICANT RISES ARE EXPECTED ON
AREA RIVERS. CONTINGENCY RIVER FORECASTS...USING THREE DAYS OF
FORECAST RAINFALL RATHER THAN THE OFFICIAL ONE DAY OF FORECAST
RAINFALL... REFLECT A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
IN NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. THE MOST
LIKELY SCENARIO ON THE KASKASKIA...MERAMEC...BOURBEUSE...BIG...
MARIES...AND BLACK RIVERS WOULD YIELD MINOR FLOODING ON THESE
STREAMS. MEANWHILE...MODERATE FLOODING APPEARS LIKELY ON SEVERAL
STREAMS FURTHER NORTH... INCLUDING THE BRANCHES OF THE FABIUS AND
SALT RIVERS...THE CUIVRE RIVER...AND THE NORTH RIVER.

IN ADDITION...THERE IS ALSO HIGH POTENTIAL OF MAJOR FLOODING ON
THE LARGER RIVERS BY THE WEEKEND...PARTICULARLY THE ILLINOIS AND
MISSISSIPPI RIVERS.

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>051-180030-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0001.130418T0000Z-130419T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-
MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-
COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN...
COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY
719 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...ADAMS IL...
  BROWN IL AND PIKE IL. IN MISSOURI...AUDRAIN MO...BOONE MO...
  CALLAWAY MO...COLE MO...KNOX MO...LEWIS MO...MARION MO...
  MONITEAU MO...MONROE MO...MONTGOMERY MO...OSAGE MO...PIKE 
  MO...RALLS MO AND SHELBY MO.

* FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING

* THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED. THE STORMS WILL OCCUR
  AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY IS
  THE FAVORED PERIOD. WIDESPREAD RAINS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* THOSE LIVING IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CAREFULLY 
  MONITOR WEATHER AND WATER LEVELS. BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION 
  IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF HIGH WATER LEVELS 
  THREATEN. 

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

ILZ058>060-064-098>102-MOZ052-059>065-072-073-180030-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0001.130418T1200Z-130419T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-
WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...EDWARDSVILLE...
BELLEVILLE...ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS
719 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...BOND IL...CALHOUN IL...
  GREENE IL...JERSEY IL...MACOUPIN IL...MADISON IL...MONROE 
  IL...MONTGOMERY IL AND ST. CLAIR IL. IN EAST CENTRAL 
  MISSOURI...CRAWFORD MO...FRANKLIN MO...GASCONADE MO...
  JEFFERSON MO...LINCOLN MO...ST. CHARLES MO...ST. LOUIS CITY 
  MO...ST. LOUIS MO...WARREN MO AND WASHINGTON MO.

* FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT

* THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND 
  THURSDAY EVENING. WIDESPREAD RAINS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE 
  EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* THOSE LIVING IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CAREFULLY 
  MONITOR WEATHER AND WATER LEVELS. BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION 
  IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF HIGH WATER LEVELS 
  THREATEN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

GLASS
844 
WGUS63 KLSX 172032
FFALSX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
332 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

.A POWERFUL EARLY SPRING STORM WILL PRODUCE BETWEEN TWO AND FOUR
INCHES OF RAIN FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE A VERY REAL THREAT BECAUSE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER AREAS WHERE THE GROUND IS ALREADY
SATURATED. THE AREA OF GREATEST CONCERN INCLUDES NORTHEAST
MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS WHERE THE HIGHEST RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED.

IN ADDITION TO FLASH FLOODING...SIGNIFICANT RISES ARE EXPECTED ON
AREA RIVERS. PLEASE REFER TO THE RIVER FORECASTS FOR INFORMATION
ABOUT SPECIFIC RIVERS.

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>051-181000-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0001.130418T0000Z-130419T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-
MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-
COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN...
COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY
332 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...ADAMS IL...
  BROWN IL AND PIKE IL. IN MISSOURI...AUDRAIN MO...BOONE MO...
  CALLAWAY MO...COLE MO...KNOX MO...LEWIS MO...MARION MO...
  MONITEAU MO...MONROE MO...MONTGOMERY MO...OSAGE MO...PIKE 
  MO...RALLS MO AND SHELBY MO.

* FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING

* 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FROM THIS AFTERNOON
  THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. SEVERAL HOURS OF HEAVY RAIN FALLING ON
  TOP OF SATURATED SOILS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT FLASH
  FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL
  ILLINOIS WHERE THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED.

* THOSE LIVING IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CAREFULLY
  MONITOR WEATHER AND WATER LEVELS. BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF A
  FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF HIGH WATER LEVELS
  THREATEN. FLASH FLOODING IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT WHEN
  IT IS DIFFICULT TO SEE WASHED OUT ROADWAYS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

ILZ058>060-064-098>102-MOZ052-059>065-072-073-181000-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0001.130418T1200Z-130419T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-
WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...EDWARDSVILLE...
BELLEVILLE...ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS
332 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...BOND IL...CALHOUN IL...
  GREENE IL...JERSEY IL...MACOUPIN IL...MADISON IL...MONROE 
  IL...MONTGOMERY IL AND ST. CLAIR IL. IN EAST CENTRAL 
  MISSOURI...CRAWFORD MO...FRANKLIN MO...GASCONADE MO...
  JEFFERSON MO...LINCOLN MO...ST. CHARLES MO...ST. LOUIS CITY 
  MO...ST. LOUIS MO...WARREN MO AND WASHINGTON MO.

* FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT

* THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND 
  THURSDAY EVENING. WIDESPREAD RAINS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE 
  EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* THOSE LIVING IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CAREFULLY 
  MONITOR WEATHER AND WATER LEVELS. BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION 
  IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF HIGH WATER LEVELS 
  THREATEN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

KANOFSKY
814 
WGUS63 KLSX 180903
FFALSX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
403 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>051-190000-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130419T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-
MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-
COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN...
COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY
403 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...ADAMS IL...
  BROWN IL AND PIKE IL. IN MISSOURI...AUDRAIN MO...BOONE MO...
  CALLAWAY MO...COLE MO...KNOX MO...LEWIS MO...MARION MO...
  MONITEAU MO...MONROE MO...MONTGOMERY MO...OSAGE MO...PIKE 
  MO...RALLS MO AND SHELBY MO.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THOUGH THIS
  EVENING. SEVERAL HOURS OF HEAVY RAIN FALLING ON TOP OF SATURATED
  SOILS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY
  ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS WHERE THE
  HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE ALREADY FALLEN WITH MORE EXPECTED
  TODAY.

* THOSE LIVING IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CAREFULLY 
  MONITOR WEATHER AND WATER LEVELS. BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION 
  IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF HIGH WATER LEVELS 
  THREATEN. FLASH FLOODING IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT 
  WHEN IT IS DIFFICULT TO SEE WASHED OUT ROADWAYS. 

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

ILZ058>060-064-098>102-MOZ052-059>065-072-073-190000-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0001.130418T1200Z-130419T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-
WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...EDWARDSVILLE...
BELLEVILLE...ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS
403 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...BOND IL...CALHOUN IL...
  GREENE IL...JERSEY IL...MACOUPIN IL...MADISON IL...MONROE 
  IL...MONTGOMERY IL AND ST. CLAIR IL. IN EAST CENTRAL 
  MISSOURI...CRAWFORD MO...FRANKLIN MO...GASCONADE MO...
  JEFFERSON MO...LINCOLN MO...ST. CHARLES MO...ST. LOUIS CITY 
  MO...ST. LOUIS MO...WARREN MO AND WASHINGTON MO.

* FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING.
  WIDESPREAD RAINS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY
  HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* THOSE LIVING IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CAREFULLY 
  MONITOR WEATHER AND WATER LEVELS. BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION 
  IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF HIGH WATER LEVELS 
  THREATEN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

TILLY
910 
WGUS63 KLSX 181534
FFALSX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1034 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>051-181645-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130419T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-
MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-
COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN...
COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY
1034 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND
MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

ONLY LIGHT ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS
POINT ON...WITH ALL RAINFALL COMING TO AN END DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. NO NEW FLOODING IS EXPECTED OTHER THAN AREAS CURRENTLY
EXPERIENCING IT. 

$$

ILZ065-069-182300-
/O.EXB.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130418T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...VANDALIA
1034 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL 
  ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...CLINTON IL AND 
  FAYETTE IL.

* UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING

* THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* THOSE LIVING IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CAREFULLY 
  MONITOR WEATHER AND WATER LEVELS. BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION 
  IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF HIGH WATER LEVELS 
  THREATEN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

ILZ058>060-064-098>102-MOZ052-059>065-072-073-182300-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130418T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-
WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...EDWARDSVILLE...
BELLEVILLE...ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS
1034 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...BOND IL...CALHOUN IL...
  GREENE IL...JERSEY IL...MACOUPIN IL...MADISON IL...MONROE 
  IL...MONTGOMERY IL AND ST. CLAIR IL. IN EAST CENTRAL 
  MISSOURI...CRAWFORD MO...FRANKLIN MO...GASCONADE MO...
  JEFFERSON MO...LINCOLN MO...ST. CHARLES MO...ST. LOUIS CITY 
  MO...ST. LOUIS MO...WARREN MO AND WASHINGTON MO.

* UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING

* THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* THOSE LIVING IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CAREFULLY 
  MONITOR WEATHER AND WATER LEVELS. BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION 
  IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF HIGH WATER LEVELS 
  THREATEN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

TES
262 
WGUS63 KLSX 182035
FFALSX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
335 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

ILZ058-059-098-099-MOZ052-059>065-072-073-182145-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130418T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-LINCOLN MO-
GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS
335 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS AND EAST
CENTRAL MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY THIS EVENING BUT IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT WITH MINIMAL
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. 

$$

ILZ060-064-065-069-100>102-182300-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130418T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-MADISON IL-
ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...EDWARDSVILLE...
BELLEVILLE
335 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN SOUTH CENTRAL 
  ILLINOIS...BOND IL...CLINTON IL...FAYETTE IL AND MONTGOMERY 
  IL. IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...MADISON IL...MONROE IL AND ST. 
  CLAIR IL.

* UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING

* THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED UNTIL EARLY THIS
  EVENING. TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE HEAVY RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY
  FALLEN ACROSS THE AREA AND THAT IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL TO CREATE ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING...EVEN THE EXPECTED
  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF UP TO A HALF INCH COULD CAUSE PROBLEMS.

* THOSE LIVING IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CAREFULLY 
  MONITOR WEATHER AND WATER LEVELS. BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION 
  IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF HIGH WATER LEVELS 
  THREATEN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

TES
634 
WGUS63 KLSX 182315
FFALSX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
615 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

ILZ060-064-065-069-100>102-190015-
/O.EXP.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130418T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-MADISON IL-
ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...EDWARDSVILLE...
BELLEVILLE
615 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND
SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS HAS EXPIRED. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF THIS
EVENING AND COME TO AN END BY MIDNIGHT.

$$

GKS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Apr 16, 4:01 PM CDT, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 16, 4:01 PM CDT, 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
401 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THROUGH LATE TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 319 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

ALTHOUGH SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY PRESSED SOUTH OF THE CWA EARLY THIS
MORNING....WEAK WAA INTO 850 MB BAROCLINIC ZONE HAS ALLOWED
ELEVATED CONVECTION TO PERSIST FROM THE N OZARKS INTO CENTRAL IL.
THIS ACTIVITY HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLE OVER THE PAST 90 MINUTES
OR SO...AND ALTHOUGH SOME LIGHT PRECIP IS CERTAINLY STILL POSSIBLE
INTO THE EARLY EVENING THINK THE MAIN PRECIP EVENT WILL BE LATER
TONIGHT...PRIMARILY AFTER MIDNIGHT...AS BROAD LO LEVEL JET RAMPS
UP AND INTERACTS WITH STRONG 850MB THERMAL GRADIENT.  ALTHOUGH MID
LEVEL TEMPS ARE PROGGED TO BE FAIRLY WARM...IF THERMAL AND
MOISTURE ADVECTION BENEATH THIS CAPPING IS INTENSE ENOUGH ELEVATED
CONVECTION SHOULD BLOSSOM AND MAY LEAD TO A VERY NOISY PREDAWN
FOR SOME SPOTS N OF I-70.  LARGE HAIL AND POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN
CERTAINLY POSSIBLE WITH MUCAPES PROGGED BETWEEN 800-1500
J/KG...SOME 2 TO 3 TIMES THAT OF THIS MORNING.

TRUETT

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 319 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

(WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY)

ATTM...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO LONG-ADVERTISED STORMY MIDWEEK PERIOD.
UNLIKE THE LAST 2 DAYS...BELIEVE THAT THE AFOREMENTIONED EARLY
MORNING CONVECTION WILL BE ON THE MOVE AS AS 850 THERMAL BOUNDARY
LIFTS NORTH IN DEEPENING S LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF MAIN UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM. CERTAINLY BELIEVE THAT ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL
BE POSSIBLE NEAR/N OF NWD SURGING WARM FRONT...BUT UNSURE ABOUT
DEVELOMENT IN THE WARM SECTOR AS SOME SOLUTIONS INDICATE FAIRLY
WARM MID LEVEL TEMPS THAT MAY TEND TO CAP SURFACE BASED
CONVECTION.

HOWEVER CONVECTION EVOLVES ON WEDNESDAY...GREATEST COVERAGE AND
SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL SHOULD BE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AS STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SWEEP INTO
AREA.  THERE WILL CERTAINLY MORE THAN ENOUGH SHEAR FOR SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...AND ACTUAL EXTENT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL
PROBABLY DEPEND ON HOW INSTABILITY EVOLVES ACROSS THE AREA IN THE
00Z THU-00Z FRI TIME FRAME.

GIVEN WHAT EFFICIENT RAIN-MAKERS THE STORMS OF THE PAST 24
HOURS HAVE BEEN...WIDESPREAD SIGNFICANT RAINFALL SHOULD OCCUR AS
THIS SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. DUE TO ITS SLOW MOVEMENT...THE
INTENSE AND DEEP UVV...AND PWATS OF OVER 1.5 INCHES. HAVE OPTED
TO ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR CENTRAL AND NE MO AND WEST
CENTRAL IL FOR WED NIGHT-THU...AND FOR E OZARKS THROUGH STL AREA
INTO CENTRAL IL FOR THURSDAY AND THU EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE
FLASH FLOOD THREAT...THE EXPECTED WIDESPREAD RAINS OF 3-4 INCHES
WILL MAKE SOME MAINSTEM FLOODING LIKELY. SEE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
STATEMENT FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

HAVE WOUND DOWN THE POST-FRONTAL PRECIP EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER ON THURSDAY EVENING...FOLLOWED BY A BLUSTERY AND
UNSEASONABLY CHILLY APRIL CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY.

(SATURDAY-TUESDAY)
SLOW MODERATION IN TEMPS SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE
WEEKEND...FOLLOWED ANOTHER SHOT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
NEXT WORK WEEK AS ANOTHER DEEP TROF PUSHES INTO THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  DID NOT MAKE MANY CHANGES TO GUIDANCE DURING
THIS PERIOD.

TRUETT

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1239 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

PRIMARY CHALLENGE THIS TAF PACKAGE IS THE ONGOING SHRA/TSRA
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION ALONG WITH TIMING THE ONSET AND LOCATION
OF LATER SHRA/TSRA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH SMALL
HAIL...HAVE CONTINUED TO PERCOLATE ALONG AND NORTH OF A
KMTO...KSUS...AND KVIH LINE AT THE TIME OF TAF ISSUANCE. AS THE
LLJ WEAKENS...SHRA HAS WANED FROM WEST TO EAST...THOUGH CIGS
REMAIN IN THE IFR TO LOW MVFR RANGE FROM SW MO TO CENTRAL IL THIS
AFTERNOON BEHIND A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IMPROVEMENT
BEYOND LOW MVFR CIGS THIS AFTERNOON...AND EXPECT A RETURN TO IFR
LATE THIS EVENING AS ANOTHER ROUND OF SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPS AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED FRONT BEGINS TO SHIFT NORTHWARD. EXACT TIMING AND
LOCATION OF PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO BE A QUESTION...THUS HAVE
MAINTAINED TRENDS AND MENTIONED ONLY VCTS IN TAFS AT THIS TIME.
AN IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MORNING.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL...
MUCH OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS SHIFTED NORTHEAST OF THE
TERMINAL...THOUGH THERE ARE STILL SOME SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHWEST
THAT COULD AFFECT KSTL THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. CIGS WILL
REMAIN RIGHT ON THE CUSP OF IFR/MVFR...THOUGH EXPECT LOW MVFR
CONDITIONS TO PREVIAL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING...PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF A SECOND ROUND OF SHRA/TSRA AND
DETERIORATION TO IFR LATE THIS EVENING. EXACT TIMING IS HARD TO
PIN DOWN...THUS HAVE MAINTAINED GENERAL TRENDS AND GONE WITH VCTS
IN THE TAF. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO MVFR WEDNESDAY
MORNING...PRIOR TO MORE POTENTIALLY WIDESPREAD SHRA/TSRA BEGINNING
LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.

JP

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
     NIGHT FOR CRAWFORD MO-FRANKLIN MO-GASCONADE MO-JEFFERSON MO-
     LINCOLN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
     WARREN MO-WASHINGTON MO.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR AUDRAIN MO-BOONE MO-CALLAWAY MO-COLE MO-KNOX MO-
     LEWIS MO-MARION MO-MONITEAU MO-MONROE MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
     OSAGE MO-PIKE MO-RALLS MO-SHELBY MO.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
     NIGHT FOR BOND IL-CALHOUN IL-GREENE IL-JERSEY IL-MACOUPIN
     IL-MADISON IL-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY IL-ST. CLAIR IL.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 16, 4:28 PM CDT, 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
428 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-171145-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
428 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY LATER TONIGHT...GENERALLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AS WELL AS POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN LIKELY FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING. ON LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY THERE IS POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER...AND POSSIBLY A SEVERE WEATHER
OUTBREAK WITH NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY LATER TONIGHT FOR AREAS ALONG
AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

TRUETT

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 16, 11:30 AM CDT, 5 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1130 AM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1124 AM     HAIL             MARTHASVILLE            38.63N  91.05W
04/16/2013  E0.70 INCH       WARREN             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            INITIALLY DIME SIZED...QUICKLY DOWN TO PEA SIZED.

&&

TRUETT
Local storm report, Apr 16, 11:31 AM CDT, 4 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1131 AM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 AM     HAIL             HARVESTER               38.75N  90.58W
04/16/2013  M0.50 INCH       ST. CHARLES        MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            PEA TO MARBLE SIZE HAIL

&&

BRITT
Local storm report, Apr 16, 11:40 AM CDT, 4 hours 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1140 AM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1139 AM     HAIL             MARYLAND HEIGHTS        38.72N  90.48W
04/16/2013  M0.88 INCH       ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BRITT
Local storm report, Apr 16, 12:39 PM CDT, 3 hours 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1239 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1236 PM     HAIL             ALTON                   38.90N  90.15W
04/16/2013  E0.25 INCH       MADISON            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GOSSELIN
Special weather statement, Apr 16, 12:43 PM CDT, 3 hours 47 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1243 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

ILZ059-100-161830-
MACOUPIN IL-MADISON IL-
1243 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MADISON AND SOUTHERN
MACOUPIN COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM CDT...

AT 1240 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ALTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  BETHALTO...
  STAUNTON...
  GILLESPIE...
  ROXANA...
  DORSEY...
  PRAIRIETOWN...
  BUNKER HILL...
  WILSONVILLE...
  BENLD...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

BYRD
Local storm report, Apr 16, 2:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
255 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     HEAVY RAIN       COFFEEN                 39.09N  89.39W
04/16/2013  M2.00 INCH       MONTGOMERY         IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MINOR FLOODING ON LOCAL CREEKS AND STREAMS...ABOUT 2
            INCHES OF RAIN BETWEEN 11 AM AND 2 PM.

0200 PM     FLOOD            COFFEEN                 39.09N  89.39W
04/16/2013                   MONTGOMERY         IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MINOR FLOODING ON LOCAL CREEKS AND STREAMS...ABOUT 2
            INCHES OF RAIN BETWEEN 11 AM AND 2 PM.

&&

BYRD

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 10:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe27 min
Apr 15, 10:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Montgomery, Warren49 min
Apr 15, 11:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln, Saint Charles, Warren46 min
Apr 15, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis46 min
Apr 16, 6:56 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXCole4 days
Apr 16, 9:08 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXBoone6 hr
Apr 16, 11:12 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln90 days
Apr 16, 12:32 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln32 hr
Apr 16, 2:42 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles36 hr
Apr 16, 4:04 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln32 days
Apr 16, 11:51 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Jersey88 days

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Missouri, 2013Flash Flood Watches in Illinois, 2013Every flash flood watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.