Wind Advisory 5, NWS Lake Charles, LA

982 
WWUS74 KLCH 181536
NPWLCH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
936 AM CST MON FEB 18 2013

...VERY BREEZY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS TODAY...

.A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS. THIS
SYSTEM WILL HELP TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION.
THE RESULT WILL BE VERY BREEZY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FROM MID
MORNING UNTIL SUNSET.

LAZ027>032-TXZ180-259-260-190000-
/O.EXA.KLCH.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130219T0000Z/
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-TYLER-
NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEESVILLE...NEW LLANO...ALEXANDRIA...
PINEVILLE...MARKSVILLE...BUNKIE...COTTONPORT...SIMMESPORT...
MANSURA...DE RIDDER...OAKDALE...KINDER...VILLE PLATTE...MAMOU...
WOODVILLE...COLMESNEIL...JASPER...KIRBYVILLE...NEWTON
936 AM CST MON FEB 18 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. 

* TIMING...FROM LATE MORNING UNTIL SUNSET.

* WINDS...SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE LAWN ITEMS AND TRASH CANS MAY BE BLOWN AROUND. 
  SOME HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY DRIVING ON EAST TO 
  WEST ROADWAYS...WILL BE HARD TO HANDLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 34 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

WINDS OVER LOCAL WATERWAYS COULD BE 5 MPH HIGHER THAN OVER LAND.
SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

&&

$$

LAZ033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ201-215-216-261-262-190000-
/O.CON.KLCH.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130219T0000Z/
ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-SOUTHERN JASPER-
SOUTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OPELOUSAS...EUNICE...LAKE CHARLES...
SULPHUR...JENNINGS...WELSH...LAKE ARTHUR...CROWLEY...RAYNE...
CHURCH POINT...LAFAYETTE...BREAUX BRIDGE...ST. MARTINVILLE...
ABBEVILLE...KAPLAN...NEW IBERIA...MORGAN CITY...FRANKLIN...
PATTERSON...BERWICK...BAYOU VISTA...STEPHENSVILLE...HACKBERRY...
HOLLY BEACH...CAMERON...GRAND CHENIER...LUMBERTON...SILSBEE...
BEAUMONT...PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE...VIDOR...BRIDGE CITY...BUNA...
DEWEYVILLE
936 AM CST MON FEB 18 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* TIMING...FROM MID MORNING UNTIL SUNSET.

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE LAWN ITEMS AND TRASH CANS MAY BE BLOWN AROUND. 
  SOME HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY DRIVING ON EAST TO 
  WEST ROADWAYS...WILL BE HARD TO HANDLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 34 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

WINDS OVER LOCAL WATERWAYS COULD BE 5 MPH HIGHER THAN OVER LAND.
SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1116 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2013

.AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 06Z TAF ISSUANCE. LOW TO MID LEVEL
CLOUDINESS WITHIN VFR WILL OVERSPREAD ALL TERMINALS TONIGHT. THIS
OCCURRING WITH A DEEPENING AND STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY FLOW COMING
IN FROM THE GULF WATERS AHEAD OF OUR NEXT FRONTAL PASSAGE SLATED
FOR MONDAY NIGHT. HAVE MAINTAINED A PROB30 GROUP FOR THE AFTERNOON
FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...WITH A TEMPO FOLLOWING WITH THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE. OTHERWISE...LOOKING FOR RATHER STRONG SURFACE
WINDS DEVELOPING FOR MONDAY AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. SUSTAINED
SOUTHERLIES OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BE COMMON...WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS FROM 25 TO 30 KNOTS.

&&

MARCOTTE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1021 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2013/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST IS GENERALLY ON TARGET THIS EVENING...THOUGH WINDS OVER
THE NORTHWEST GULF HAVE INCREASED A LITTLE QUICKER THAN PREVIOUSLY
EXPECTED. THUS...SHIFTED THE ONSET OF THE MARINE ADVISORIES TO THE
PRESENT TIME RATHER THAN MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES COULD STILL FALL A
BIT OVER EASTERN/NORTHERN ZONES WHERE THE ONSHORE FLOW IS NOT QUITE AS
STRONG...BUT THEY SHOULD REMAIN STEADY OR PERHAPS INCREASE OVER THE
SOUTH/WEST.

MID CREW WILL WANT TO TAKE A LOOK AT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WIND
ADVISORY TOMORROW...ESPECIALLY THE I-10 CORRIDOR TO THE COAST.

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 553 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2013/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 00Z TAF ISSUANCE. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
CURRENTLY OVER ALL TERMINALS...AND THIS WILL REMAIN THE CASE
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. A DEEPENING AND STRENGTHENING
LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPING WILL USHER IN GULF MOISTURE
GOING INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. ASSOCIATED INCOMING CLOUD
DECK IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WITHIN VFR. CLOUDS WILL LOWER THROUGH
THE DAY INTO MVFR AHEAD OF OUR NEXT FRONTAL PASSAGE COMING MONDAY
NIGHT. HAVE INTRODUCED A PROB30 GROUP FOR ALL TERMINALS DURING THE
AFTERNOON FOR SOME PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE
LOOK FOR A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT...WITH SUSTAINED SOUTH
WINDS ON MONDAY GENERALLY IN A 15 TO 20 KNOT RANGE...WITH GUSTS
FROM 25 TO 30 KNOTS.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 423 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2013/

DISCUSSION...
SUNNY SKIES TODAY HAS ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE 60S
MOST LOCATIONS WITH A FEW LOCATIONS EVEN GETTING UP TO 70 DEGREES.
WE ARE ABOUT TO START THE CYCLE TOWARDS ANOTHER COLD FRONT THAT
WILL MOVE DOWN INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY MORNING.

BUT FOR TONIGHT AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST AND INTO
GEORGIA A SURFACE LOW WILL DROP DOWN INTO THE NORTH TEXAS/WESTERN
OKLAHOMA REGION. THIS WILL TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE
COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
POSTED THROUGH LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS
ESTABLISHES DEW POINTS HAVE BEEN RISING OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS AND THIS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVER NIGHT HOURS. THEREFORE
WE ARE LOOKING AT MUCH WARMER TEMPS TONIGHT THAN LAST NIGHT.

BY TOMORROW CLOUDS WILL SPILL IN EARLY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
FRONT WITH STORMS DEVELOPING DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS AS THE COLD FRONT
MOVES DOWN INTO NORTH TEXAS. THE FRONT LOOKS TO MAKE THE LOUISIANA
BORDER BY EARLY TUESDAY. SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF THRU THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. RAINFALL WILL BE LIMITED GENERALLY ABOUT AN INCH OR LESS
ACROSS THE REGION. COOLER TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
WEDNESDAY. WE ARE IN A VERY PROGRESS PATTERN AND SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WEDNESDAY.
STORMS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN AREA AND STRENGTH INTO
THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME THERE WILL BE A THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER
ON THURSDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE WINDS
BUT ISOLATED TORNADO'S WILL BE POSSIBLE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  50  70  51  67  45 /   0  50  60  10  10
KBPT  54  72  50  68  48 /   0  40  40  10  20
KAEX  46  71  46  64  40 /   0  50  70  10  20
KLFT  49  70  53  67  45 /   0  40  70  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT
     20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA
     OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 9 AM CST MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
602 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2013

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
181215-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
602 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE LACK OF
INSTABILITY...HOWEVER AN ISOLATED SEVERE EVENT IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE LAKES COUNTRY OF TEXAS INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON
THURSDAY...AT THIS TIME THE AREA WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR THIS
TO OCCUR IS ALONG AND NORTH OF U.S. HIGHWAY 190.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-181215-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
602 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT AND APPROACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BY LATE
TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AND CONFUSED THROUGH MUCH OF
THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.