Small Craft Advisory 3, NWS Lake Charles, LA

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
700 AM CST TUE JAN 8 2013

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
091300-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
700 AM CST TUE JAN 8 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AREAS OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE...AND A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...WITH
THE GREATEST RISK OF FLOODING RAINS OCCURRING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
SLOW MOVING PACIFIC FRONT THAT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN MOVING THROUGH
THE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS SOME SPREAD IN MODEL
SOLUTIONS AS TO HOW QUICKLY THIS FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE
AREA...BUT A CONSENSUS OF THESE SOLUTIONS INDICATES THE FRONT WILL
MOVE OUT OF THE AREA PRIOR TO NOON THURSDAY. THERE IS ALSO SOME
INDICATION THAT RAINFALL MAY BEGIN TO EASE OFF AS THE FRONT
ENTERS EAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AFTER MIDNIGHT
WEDNESDAY...SO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS NOT EXTENDED TO THESE AREAS
NOR AFTER THIS TIME. THIS COULD CHANGE WITH LATER FORECASTS...AND
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO KEEP UP WITH THE LATEST
INFORMATION.

THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS. THIS RISK MAY CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST EARLY THURSDAY
PENDING THE SPEED OF THE PACIFIC FRONT.

AFTER A RELATIVELY BRIEF DRY PERIOD IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT...RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO RETURN TO THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT AS A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS INTO THE WESTERN UNITED
STATES...AND ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. DEPENDING ON HOW
MUCH RAIN FALLS DURING THE INITIAL EVENT TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...ADDITIONAL RAINS THIS WEEKEND MAY POSE ANOTHER FLOOD
RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT...BUT
MAY BE REQUIRED WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-091300-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
700 AM CST TUE JAN 8 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY WITH EAST TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS EXPECTED. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS WILL DEVELOP LATE
WEDNESDAY AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER TEXAS. EXERCISE CAUTION OR
LOW END SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THIS
SYSTEM AS IT CROSSES THE AREA...AND SOME STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECASTS AND UPDATES ON THIS SYSTEM THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

13