Small Craft Advisory 11, NWS Lake Charles, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
704 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

.DISCUSSION...
BASED ON LATEST RADAR TRENDS...TWEAKED POPS FOR TODAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 530 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...THEN
TRENDING TO STRATOFORM RAINS NORTH OF A COLD FRONT ADNVANCING DEEPER
INTO THE GULF WATERS. MVFR CEILINGS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
TODAY...LOWERING INTO IFR OVERNIGHT.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013/

DISCUSSION...
SINCE MIDNIGHT...A LARGE AREA OF RAIN/SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDER HAS BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION...IN RESPONSE TO
STRONG LIFT ALONG A STALLED OUT COLD FRONT ACROSS LOUISIANA. AS A
SERIES OF SHORTWAVES MOVES ACROSS THE AREA...WE WILL BE CARRYING
HIGH POPS FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS BEFORE THE FRONT FINALLY PUSHES
ITS WAY EAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. AT THIS POINT...DO NOT
ANTICIPATE ANY OF THIS ACTIVITY TO BECOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE THE DOMINATING WEATHER FEATURE THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK...SO DRY WEATHER SHOULD BE ON TAP WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURE-WISE...SEASONABLE READINGS ARE IN STORE FOR THE
HIGHS...WHILE LOWS WILL BE A LITTLE COOLER THAN NORMAL WEDNESDAY
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  62  52  65  49  61 / 100  50  80  20  10
KBPT  62  52  64  49  60 /  90  50  60  20  10
KAEX  59  49  60  45  60 / 100  70  80  20  10
KLFT  62  53  67  51  61 / 100  70  80  30  20

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
354 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-
073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-121200-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-
ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
354 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT
ACROSS THE REGION...IN RESPONSE TO A STALLED OUT COLD FRONT.
HOWEVER...THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS VERY LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY BEFORE
ENDING TUESDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT FINALLY MOVES EAST OF OUR
REGION. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.