Severe Thunderstorm Warning 39, NWS Lake Charles, LA

652 
WWUS54 KLCH 100120
SVSLCH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
820 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2013

TXC241-457-100200-
/O.CON.KLCH.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-130510T0200Z/
JASPER TX-TYLER TX-
820 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
FOR TYLER AND NORTHWESTERN JASPER COUNTIES...

AT 819 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ON RADAR CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTH OF CHESTER..MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  8 MILES SOUTH OF CHESTER BY 825 PM CDT...
  WOODVILLE BY 840 PM CDT...
  COLMESNEIL BY 845 PM CDT...
  9 MILES SOUTH OF ROCKLAND BY 855 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3104 9448 3104 9445 3107 9431 3107 9425
      3055 9409 3053 9432 3053 9455 3099 9466
TIME...MOT...LOC 0120Z 252DEG 24KT 3081 9460

$$

JT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
411 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2013

.DISCUSSION...CAPPING HAS HELD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND NO
MORE THAN A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES CURRENTLY ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. MAIN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS NOW OVER CENTRAL TEXAS
IN THE FORM OF A BROKEN LINE OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING RAPIDLY EAST. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN PLACE FOR
THIS AREA...AND MAY BE SEEING ANOTHER WATCH FURTHER EAST THAT MAY
IMPACT THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA. OTHERWISE...

MID-TEXAS ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROF.
CONVECTION CURRENTLY ALIGNED ALONG A ZONE OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
MOVING ALONG WITH AFOREMENTIONED FEATURE. LATEST HIGH-RES
MODELS...BACKED UP BY MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS...SUGGESTING
CONVECTION TO BE MAINTAINED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS IT
TRACKS EAST...WHILE CONTINUING A SOUTHWARD DEVELOPMENT. THUS
HAVE BUMPED UP POPS FOR THE ENTIRE AREA TO 70 PERCENT. SPC CURRENTLY
CARRYING THE AREA UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE...AND HAS JUST NOW
ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA
AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS. DAMAGING HAIL AND WINDS WILL BE TH PRIMARY
THREAT BUT CANNOT TOTALLY RULE OUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

SOMEWHAT MORE CHALLENGING FOR FRIDAYS FORECAST. AT THIS TIME WILL
CARRY CHANCE POPS FOR THE MORNING HOURS IN THE WAKE OF THE THIS
INITIAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY. BUMPED RAIN CHANCES BACK UP TO LIKELY
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH SHORTWAVE ENERGY CONTINUING TO
MIGRATE ACROSS THE AREA DURING MAX HEATING AND DESTABILIZATION.
RAIN CHANCES THEN CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY WITH APPROACH OF NORTHERN
STREAM TROF ALONG WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. SPC CONTINUES THE
AREA UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR FRIDAY.

SOMEWHAT COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR WILL THEN BECOME REESTABLISHED
OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE NEW WEEK. NEXT RAIN
CHANCE ARRIVES THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES ALOFT
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST GULF SATURDAY...BRINGING A GRADUAL END TO RAINS WHILE WINDS
RETURN TO NORTHERLY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  69  81  68  76  65 /  70  70  50  50  20
KBPT  70  78  67  77  65 /  70  70  50  50  20
KAEX  68  82  65  76  61 /  70  70  50  40  20
KLFT  70  81  67  78  65 /  70  70  50  50  30

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
523 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2013

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
102230-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
523 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS
AND PARTS OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA UNTIL 10 PM CDT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK
...AS TRAVELING DISTURBANCES ALOFT CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION.
A COLD FRONT WILL TRAVEL SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
ON SATURDAY...WITH RAIN COMING TO AN END ON SUNDAY. T

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-102230-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
523 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE COASTAL
WATERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ENTER THE WESTERN
COASTAL SEGMENT BY EARLY MORNING SATURDAY...TRAVELING THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE COASTAL WATERS BY MIDMORNING SATURDAY. RAIN WILL
BE COMING TO AN END WITH PASSAGE OF COLD FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
718 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2013

TXZ180-259-100115-
NORTHERN JASPER TX-TYLER TX-
718 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JASPER AND TYLER COUNTIES UNTIL
815 PM CDT...

AT 714 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 18 MILES NORTH OF CHESTER TO 38
MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHESTER...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  ROCKLAND AND COLMESNEIL BY 810 PM...
  WOODVILLE BY 815 PM...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND WIND
GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING
UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM THURSDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3106 9457 3104 9445 3109 9421 3056 9452
      3056 9456 3101 9467

JT