Severe Thunderstorm Warning 11, NWS Lake Charles, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
400 PM CST MON FEB 18 2013

.DISCUSSION...A FAIRLY WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS HAS ADVECTED IN
DURING THE PAST 12 TO 16 HOURS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
AND SHORT WAVE. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE MEAGER INSTABILITY EXIST IN
A HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. THIS MAY LEAD TO ONE OR TWO ISOLD
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THROUGH THE EVENING MAINLY AWAY FROM THE
COOLING EFFECTS OF THE GULF AND FARTHER NORTH AND CLOSER TO THE
BETTER DYNAMICS... OR GENERALLY NORTH OF HWY 190. ALSO FOR THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON... THE WINDS CONTINUE TO RANGE IN THE 15 TO
25 MPH RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE WINDS HAVE DECREASED ACROSS
NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE CWA UNDER THE RAIN, HOWEVER WINDS MAY
STILL INCREASE FOR AN HR BEHIND THE STORMS. WILL LET THE WIND ADV
RIDE UNTIL 6 PM.

TONIGHT...THE FRONT WILL MOVE TO BPT LATE IN THE EVENING, TO LCH
AND AEX AROUND MIDNIGHT, AND TO LFT AND ARA EARLY TUE MORNING.
RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE BEHIND THE BOUNDARY AS A DRIER AIR MASS
MOVES IN.

TUESDAY A RIDGE WILL QUICKLY MOVE ACROSS THE REGION PROVIDING A
BRIEF BREAK FROM HIGHER RAIN CHANCES. TUE NIGHT A TROUGH WILL DIG
INTO THE SOUTHWEST WITH A LEE SIDE LOW DEVELOPING IN THE PLAINS BY
WED. THIS WILL ALLOW THE RETURN FLOW TO BEGIN AS MOISTURE IS
DRAWN NORTH BETWEEN THE DEPARTING RIDGE AND THE DEVELOPING LOW.
THE SURFACE LOW WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS AND INTO THE
MIDWEST BY LATE IN THE WEEK. THIS WILL SEND A COLD FRONT INTO OUR
AREA THU AND STALL OVER THE SOUTH HALF OF THE CWA INTO FRI. THE
STALLED BOUNDARY MAY FINALLY BE PUSHED OUT OF THE AREA LATER
FRIDAY, HOWEVER MODELS DO DIFFER AND RAIN MAY LINGER. OPTED TO
KEEP AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP WINDS
AROUND 20KTS OR HIGHER THROUGH THE EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL
ENTER THE COASTAL WATERS AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH WINDS SLIGHTLY
DECREASING AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY, HOWEVER AS THE BOUNDARY PASSES
WINDS WILL INCREASE BACK INTO SCA CRITERIA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN. THE RIDGE WILL QUICKLY MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTH TUESDAY WITH THE
SOUTH FLOW RETURNING TUE NIGHT. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL TAKE SHAPE WED
WITH WINDS AGAIN RAMPING UP TO SCA CONDITIONS LATE WED THROUGH THU.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  53  67  44  61  52 /  60  10  10  30  30
KBPT  51  68  47  61  56 /  60  10  10  40  40
KAEX  46  62  40  55  45 /  80  10  10  30  40
KLFT  53  66  44  61  52 /  80  10  10  20  20

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...
     CALCASIEU...EAST CAMERON...EVANGELINE...IBERIA...JEFFERSON
     DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST.
     LANDRY...ST. MARY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION...VERNON...
     WEST CAMERON.

TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: HARDIN...JEFFERSON...NORTHERN JASPER...NORTHERN
     NEWTON...ORANGE...SOUTHERN JASPER...SOUTHERN NEWTON...TYLER.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT
     20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA
     OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON
     LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
448 AM CST MON FEB 18 2013

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
191200-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
448 AM CST MON FEB 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

VERY BREEZY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM MID MORNING
THROUGH SUNSET...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-10
CORRIDOR...AS A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE PLAINS.
A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT TO ACCOUNT FOR SUSTAINED WINDS
BETWEEN 20 AND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS DURING THE EVENING HOURS THROUGH
SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP WITH THIS SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW. ALTHOUGH SOME GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ACCOMPANY THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AS IT MOVE ACROSS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS ON THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO BE A LITTLE MORE POTENT. THEREFORE...SOME STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-191200-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
448 AM CST MON FEB 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
STRONG SOUTH WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING AS DEEP
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE PLAINS. MODERATE TO STRONG
NORTH WINDS WILL THEN DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT LATER TONIGHT. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP BY WEDNESDAY OVER THE ROCKIES
AND MOVE ACROSS ON THURSDAY. MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS WILL AGAIN
BE LIKELY AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM. SOME STRONG STORMS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH THIS SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

RUA

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>