Flash Flood Warning 23, NWS Lake Charles, LA

981 
WGUS74 KLCH 301344
FFSLCH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
844 AM CDT MON SEP 30 2013

TXC241-351-301530-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.W.0023.000000T0000Z-130930T1530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JASPER TX-NEWTON TX-
844 AM CDT MON SEP 30 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL NEWTON AND
CENTRAL JASPER COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 AM CDT...

AT 832 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS CENTRAL NEWTON AND JASPER 
COUNTIES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SINCE 530 AM HAVE BEEN IN THE 2 TO 7 INCH 
RANGE. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
BURKEVILLE...NEWTON...JAMESTOWN...MAGNOLIA SPRINGS...MT. UNION...
ROGANVILLE AND STRINGTOWN.

NUMEROUS ROADS IN THE NEWTON...ROGANVILLE AND MAGNOLIA SPRINGS AREA 
HAVE WATER COVERING THEM.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO THE THE FOLLOWING 
STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...THICKETY CREEK...BEAR BRANCH...MCGRAW 
CREEK...HUNTER CREEK...THREEMILE BRANCH...WHITE OAK CREEK...BIG COW 
CREEK...CANEY CREEK...EAST BRANCH WHITE OAK CREEK...TROUT 
CREEK...WEST BRANCH WHITE OAK CREEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS 
AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...NORMALLY DRY WASHES... AS WELL AS 
FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND
IMMEDIATELY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE
IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 3097 9359 3081 9359 3076 9362 3064 9404
      3069 9410 3081 9414 3105 9364 3105 9363

$$

BRAZZELL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
701 AM CDT MON SEP 30 2013

.AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. A NORTH TO SOUTH
ORIENTED FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER EAST TEXAS THROUGH
TODAY. THIS COMBINED WITH STRENGTHENING SHORTWAVE ENERGY
COMING IN FROM THE WEST WITH BRING A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AT ALL TERMINALS TODAY.

&&

MARCOTTE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 444 AM CDT MON SEP 30 2013/

DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM THE 40S TO 50S AS FAR SOUTH AS OKLAHOMA
THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS AND LOUISIANA
REMAIN IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S AHEAD OF A STALLED FRONT.
THIS FRONT IS PRODUCING SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHEAST TEXAS WITH STRONGER STORMS NOTED IN THE GULF SOUTH OF
JEFFERSON COUNTY. STORMS ARE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST. CLOUDS AND
RAINS TODAY WILL HOLD TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S. RAINS WILL
GENERALLY PRODUCE AROUND 1/2 INCH OF RAINFALL WITH SOME LOCATIONS
GETTING A BIT MORE.

THE STALLED FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES RIPPLE
ACROSS THE REGION. THE FRONT WILL LOOSE IT'S IDENTITY BY LATE
TUESDAY WITH STORMS TAPERING OFF A BIT OFF ON WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CREEP BACK INTO THE
LOWER 90S IN SOME LOCATIONS. BUT THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE
FIRST TRUE COLD FRONT OF THE SEASON LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH ON
SATURDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE
FRONT ENDING WITH THE WIND SHIFT. LOW TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
LAKES REGION IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA ARE EXPECTED
INTO THE 50S BY SUNDAY MORNING.

OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS WITH SOME DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE THE TROPIC'S REMAIN QUIET.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  84  72  87  71  87 /  60  30  40  30  40
KBPT  84  73  86  72  86 /  60  30  40  20  40
KAEX  85  69  87  69  88 /  60  30  30  20  40
KLFT  84  71  87  69  87 /  60  30  50  30  40

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
406 AM CDT MON SEP 30 2013

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-
073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-010915-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-
ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
406 AM CDT MON SEP 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON TAP TODAY AS A STATIONARY
FRONT TO OUR NORTHWEST BLOCKS MOISTURE FROM LIFTING OUTSIDE OF
THIS REGION. IN ADDITION... THERE IS NOT ENOUGH UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT TO PRODUCE STRONG THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. NO HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDWEEK BEFORE
TAPERING OFF A BIT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE TOWARDS
THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ON SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.