Alert archive / Kentucky / Wind Advisories in 2013

Wind Advisory 4, NWS Jackson, KY

October 31, 201333 counties in Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this wind advisory at Oct 31, 2013, 4:01 AM EDT for 33 counties in Kentucky. It took effect at Oct 31, 2013, 1:18 PM EDT. It was in force for 17 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 31, 2013, 4:01 AM EDT (08:01 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 31, 2013, 1:18 PM EDT
Expired
Nov 1, 2013, 6:00 AM EDT
In force
17 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, KY
All 33 counties

Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2013-10-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 40 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2013-10-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 132 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
40 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-46 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
560 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
132 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
172 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

533 
WWUS73 KJKL 310801
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
401 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.A VIGORUS COLD FRONT WILL CROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY ON THURSDAY
NIGHT. ALONG AND IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT STRONG WINDS OF 15 TO 25
MPH WITH STRONGER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE ARE
HAZARDOUS FOR BOATERS AND TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY ON EAST TO WEST HIGHWAYS.

KYZ087-088-118-120-311615-
/O.CAN.KJKL.LW.Y.0003.131031T2100Z-131101T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.131031T2000Z-131101T1000Z/
BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...
WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE
401 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT
FRIDAY...
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM
EDT FRIDAY. THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT LATE THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON AND WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH MUCH OF THURSDAY NIGHT.

* EXPECT WINDS FROM THE SOUTH OF 15 TO 30 MPH SUSTAINED WITH SOME
  HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 2000 FEET.

* WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD BE HAZARDOUS FOR BOATERS AND
  TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE
  BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL BE
  ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS ON EAST TO WEST HIGHWAYS. WEAKLY ROOTED TREES
  IN AREAS OF STEEP WET TERRAIN MAY ALSO BE DOWN AND LEAD TO ISOLATED
  POWER OUTAGES. A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF LEAVES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN
  ONTO ROADWAYS BY THIS SYSTEM AND COULD LEAD TO SLICK ROADS IN
  SPOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-311615-
/O.CAN.KJKL.LW.Y.0003.131031T2100Z-131101T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.131031T2000Z-131101T1000Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE
401 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT
FRIDAY...
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM
EDT FRIDAY. THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT LATE THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON AND WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH MUCH OF THURSDAY NIGHT.

* EXPECT WINDS FROM THE SOUTH OF 15 TO 25 MPH SUSTAINED WITH SOME
  HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD BE HAZARDOUS FOR BOATERS AND
  TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE
  BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL BE
  ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS ON EAST TO WEST HIGHWAYS. WEAKLY ROOTED TREES
  IN AREAS OF STEEP WET TERRAIN MAY ALSO BE DOWN AND LEAD TO ISOLATED
  POWER OUTAGES. A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF LEAVES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN
  ONTO ROADWAYS BY THIS SYSTEM AND COULD LEAD TO SLICK ROADS IN
  SPOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

KYZ104-106>117-119-311615-
/O.EXT.KJKL.LW.Y.0003.131031T2000Z-131101T1000Z/
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ
401 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT LATE THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON AND WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH MUCH OF THURSDAY NIGHT.

* EXPECT WINDS FROM THE SOUTH OF 10 TO 20 MPH SUSTAINED WITH SOME
  GUSTS AS HIGH AS 35 TO 40 MPH.

* WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD BE HAZARDOUS FOR BOATERS AND
  TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE
  BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL BE
  ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS ON EAST TO WEST HIGHWAYS. WEAKLY ROOTED TREES
  IN AREAS OF STEEP WET TERRAIN MAY ALSO BE DOWN AND LEAD TO ISOLATED
  POWER OUTAGES. A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF LEAVES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN
  ONTO ROADWAYS BY THIS SYSTEM AND COULD LEAD TO SLICK ROADS IN
  SPOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

$$

JP
5 follow-up statements
127 
WWUS73 KJKL 311536 AAA
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1136 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.A VIGORUS COLD FRONT WILL CROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY ON THURSDAY
NIGHT. ALONG AND IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO
25 MPH WITH STRONGER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE ARE
HAZARDOUS FOR BOATERS AND TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...
ESPECIALLY ON EAST TO WEST HIGHWAYS.

KYZ087-088-118-120-010000-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.131031T2000Z-131101T1000Z/
BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...
WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE
1136 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT LATE 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH MUCH OF 
  THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* EXPECT WINDS FROM THE SOUTH OF 15 TO 30 MPH SUSTAINED WITH SOME
  HIGHER GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 2000 FEET.

* WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD BE HAZARDOUS FOR BOATERS AND
  TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE
  BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL BE
  ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS ON EAST TO WEST HIGHWAYS. WEAKLY ROOTED TREES
  IN AREAS OF STEEP WET TERRAIN MAY ALSO BE BLOWN DOWN AND LEAD TO
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF LEAVES WILL BE
  BLOWN DOWN ONTO ROADWAYS BY THIS SYSTEM AND COULD LEAD TO SLICK
  ROADS IN SPOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-010000-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.131031T2000Z-131101T1000Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE
1136 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT LATE 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH MUCH OF 
  THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* EXPECT WINDS FROM THE SOUTH OF 15 TO 25 MPH SUSTAINED WITH 
  SOME HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. 

* WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD BE HAZARDOUS FOR BOATERS AND
  TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE
  BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL BE
  ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS ON EAST TO WEST HIGHWAYS. WEAKLY ROOTED TREES
  IN AREAS OF STEEP WET TERRAIN MAY ALSO BE BLOWN DOWN AND LEAD TO
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF LEAVES WILL BE
  BLOWN DOWN ONTO ROADWAYS BY THIS SYSTEM AND COULD LEAD TO SLICK
  ROADS IN SPOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

KYZ104-106>117-119-010000-
/O.CON.KJKL.LW.Y.0003.131031T2000Z-131101T1000Z/
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ
1136 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT LATE 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH MUCH OF 
  THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* EXPECT WINDS FROM THE SOUTH OF 10 TO 20 MPH SUSTAINED WITH 
  SOME GUSTS AS HIGH AS 35 TO 40 MPH. 

* WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD BE HAZARDOUS FOR BOATERS AND
  TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE
  BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL BE
  ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS ON EAST TO WEST HIGHWAYS. WEAKLY ROOTED TREES
  IN AREAS OF STEEP WET TERRAIN MAY ALSO BE BLOWN DOWN AND LEAD TO
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF LEAVES WILL BE
  BLOWN DOWN ONTO ROADWAYS BY THIS SYSTEM AND COULD LEAD TO SLICK
  ROADS IN SPOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

$$

JP/GEOGERIAN
534 
WWUS73 KJKL 311718
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
118 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.A VIGORUS COLD FRONT WILL CROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY TONIGHT. ALONG AND
IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
STRONGER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE ARE HAZARDOUS
FOR TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY ON EAST TO WEST
HIGHWAYS.

KYZ104-106>117-119-010130-
/O.CAN.KJKL.LW.Y.0003.131031T2000Z-131101T1000Z/
/O.EXB.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.131031T1718Z-131101T1000Z/
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ
118 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. THE LAKE
WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND
  REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT.

* EXPECT WINDS FROM THE SOUTH OF 10 TO 20 MPH SUSTAINED WITH SOME
  GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH.

* WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD BE HAZARDOUS FOR BOATERS AND
  TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE
  BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL BE
  ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS ON EAST TO WEST HIGHWAYS. WEAKLY ROOTED TREES
  IN AREAS OF STEEP WET TERRAIN MAY ALSO BE BLOWN DOWN AND LEAD TO
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF LEAVES WILL BE
  BLOWN DOWN ONTO ROADWAYS BY THIS SYSTEM AND COULD LEAD TO SLICK
  ROADS IN SPOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

KYZ087-088-118-120-010130-
/O.EXT.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.131031T1718Z-131101T1000Z/
BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...
WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE
118 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND
  REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT.

* EXPECT WINDS FROM THE SOUTH OF 15 TO 30 MPH SUSTAINED WITH 
  SOME HIGHER GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 2000 
  FEET. 

* WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD BE HAZARDOUS FOR BOATERS AND 
  TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS 
  WILL BE BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH 
  WILL BE ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS ON EAST TO WEST HIGHWAYS. WEAKLY 
  ROOTED TREES IN AREAS OF STEEP WET TERRAIN MAY ALSO BE BLOWN 
  DOWN AND LEAD TO ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT 
  OF LEAVES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN ONTO ROADWAYS BY THIS SYSTEM AND 
  COULD LEAD TO SLICK ROADS IN SPOTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-010130-
/O.EXT.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.131031T1718Z-131101T1000Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE
118 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND
  REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT.

* EXPECT WINDS FROM THE SOUTH OF 15 TO 25 MPH SUSTAINED WITH 
  SOME HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. 

* WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD BE HAZARDOUS FOR BOATERS AND 
  TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS 
  WILL BE BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH 
  WILL BE ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS ON EAST TO WEST HIGHWAYS. WEAKLY 
  ROOTED TREES IN AREAS OF STEEP WET TERRAIN MAY ALSO BE BLOWN 
  DOWN AND LEAD TO ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT 
  OF LEAVES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN ONTO ROADWAYS BY THIS SYSTEM AND 
  COULD LEAD TO SLICK ROADS IN SPOTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

JP/GEOGERIAN
089 
WWUS73 KJKL 312350 AAA
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
750 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...GUSTY WINDS TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...

.A VIGORUS COLD FRONT WILL CROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY TONIGHT. ALONG
AND IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
STRONGER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE ARE
HAZARDOUS FOR TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY THOSE
TRAVELING ON EAST TO WEST ORIENTED HIGHWAYS. IN ADDITION...A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS COULD MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TOWARD MIDNIGHT AND THROUGH
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. 

KYZ104-106>117-119-010800-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-131101T1000Z/
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ
750 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS EVENING AND REMAIN
  GUSTY THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

* EXPECT WINDS FROM THE SOUTH OF 10 TO 20 MPH SUSTAINED WITH SOME
  GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH. HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
  THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT.

* WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD BE HAZARDOUS FOR BOATERS AND
  TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE
  BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL BE
  ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS ON EAST TO WEST ORIENTED HIGHWAYS. WEAKLY
  ROOTED TREES IN AREAS OF STEEP AND WET TERRAIN MAY ALSO BE BLOWN
  DOWN LEADING TO ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF
  LEAVES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN ONTO ROADWAYS BY THIS SYSTEM AND COULD
  LEAD TO SLICK ROADS IN SPOTS ALONG WITH BLOCKED STORM DRAINS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH OR WIND
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

$$

KYZ087-088-118-120-010800-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-131101T1000Z/
BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...
WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE
750 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS EVENING AND REMAIN
  GUSTY THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

* EXPECT WINDS FROM THE SOUTH OF 15 TO 30 MPH SUSTAINED WITH SOME
  HIGHER GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 2000 FEET. EVEN
  HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS LATE
  TONIGHT.

* WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD BE HAZARDOUS FOR BOATERS AND
  TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS WILL
  BE BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL BE
  ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS ON EAST TO WEST ORIENTED HIGHWAYS. WEAKLY
  ROOTED TREES IN AREAS OF STEEP AND WET TERRAIN MAY ALSO BE BLOWN
  DOWN LEADING TO ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF
  LEAVES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN ONTO ROADWAYS BY THIS SYSTEM AND COULD
  LEAD TO SLICK ROADS IN SPOTS ALONG WITH BLOCKED STORM DRAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH OR WIND
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-010800-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-131101T1000Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE
750 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS EVENING AND REMAIN
  GUSTY THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

* EXPECT WINDS FROM THE SOUTH OF 15 TO 25 MPH SUSTAINED WITH SOME
  HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. EVEN HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
  ANY THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT.

* WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD BE HAZARDOUS FOR BOATERS AND
  TRAVELERS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE
  BLOWN AROUND BY THE WIND. THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL BE
  ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS ON EAST TO WEST ORIENTED HIGHWAYS. WEAKLY
  ROOTED TREES IN AREAS OF STEEP AND WET TERRAIN MAY ALSO BE BLOWN
  DOWN LEADING TO ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF
  LEAVES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN ONTO ROADWAYS BY THIS SYSTEM AND COULD
  LEAD TO SLICK ROADS IN SPOTS ALONG WITH BLOCKED STORM DRAINS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH OR WIND
GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

$$

GEOGERIAN/GREIF
559 
WWUS73 KJKL 010817
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
417 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013

...GUSTY WINDS TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...

.A VIGORUS COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE COMMONWEALTH AND WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH. 

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-104-106>117-119-
010930-
/O.CAN.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-131101T1000Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-
CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ
417 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE DECREASED BEHIND A COLD FRONT AND NO LONGER MEET
WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. THUS THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

$$

KYZ087-088-118-120-011000-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-131101T1000Z/
BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...
WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE
417 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY FOR AN ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO UNTIL
  A COLD FRONT EXITS EASTERN KENTUCKY.

* EXPECT WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST OF 10 TO 20 MPH SUSTAINED WITH
  SOME HIGHER GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 2000 FEET.

* WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD BE HAZARDOUS TRAVELERS IN HIGH
  PROFILE VEHICLES. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND BY
  THE WIND. THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL BE ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS
  ON NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED HIGHWAYS. WEAKLY ROOTED TREES IN AREAS
  OF STEEP AND WET TERRAIN MAY ALSO BE BLOWN DOWN LEADING TO ISOLATED
  POWER OUTAGES. A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF LEAVES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN
  ONTO ROADWAYS BY THIS SYSTEM AND COULD LEAD TO SLICK ROADS IN SPOTS
  ALONG WITH BLOCKED STORM DRAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH OR
WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

JP
957 
WWUS73 KJKL 011000
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
600 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013

...WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED...

.A VIGORUS COLD FRONT HAS DEPARTED TO THE EAST OF THE COMMONWEALTH
AND WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BEHIND IT.

KYZ087-088-118-120-011100-
/O.EXP.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-131101T1000Z/
BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...
WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE
600 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING. 

WINDS HAVE DECREASED BEHIND A COLD FRONT AND NO LONGER MEET
WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. THUS THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

$$

JP

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Oct 31, 3:54 AM EDT, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 3:54 AM EDT, 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
354 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 345 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN FOR THE NEAR TERM PERIOD REMAINS THE
THE THREAT OF GUSTY WINDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...
ESPECIALLY IN ANY SHOWERS OR STRAY THUNDERSTORMS.

A STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AND STRENGTHEN OVER THE MS
VALLEY TO SOUTHERN PLAINS REGION. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN
FURTHER TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT WITH THE LOW OCCLUDING OVER THE GREAT
LAKES OR SOUTHERN ONTARIO REGION INTO A SUB 980 MB LOW. THE TRAILING
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE MS VALLEY AND INTO THE OH VALLEY
REGION THIS EVENING AND PLOW EAST TOWARD THE CREST OF THE
APPALACHIANS BY DAWN ON FRIDAY. DRIER AIR AND A WEAK SFC RIDGE WILL
BUILD IN TO END THE PERIOD IN ADVANCE OF A SECONDARY TROUGH.

AS FOR THE UPCOMING SYSTEM...WE WILL BE UPGRADING MANY OF THE
COUNTIES PRESENTLY IN THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY TO A WIND ADVISORY AS
CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER IN POSSIBILITY OF GUSTS OF 40 MPH OR MORE ACROSS
THE WESTERN COUNTIES AND NORTHERN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND IN THE
CUMBERLAND MOUNTAINS ALONG THE VA BORDER. SUCH GUSTS COULD POSSIBLY
OCCURRING OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS GIVEN SUCH STRONG
MOMENTUM ALOFT...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 2000 FEET. GUSTS TO THESE
MAGNITUDES WOULD ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY AREA
WITHIN ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

THE NEW DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK GENERALLY HAS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
AND HIGHER CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER TO THE WEST OF THE REGION WHERE
INSTABILITY AND TIMING OF CONVECTION WILL BE MORE CONDUCIVE TO
SOME THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE MARGINAL
AT BEST ON THU EVENING AND INTO THU NIGHT ALONG AND IN ADVANCE OF THE
COLD FRONT AND ANY THUNDER WOULD BE ELEVATED. THE WIND FIELDS ALOFT
WITH 850 MB WINDS PROGGED TO BE 70KT PLUS FROM ABOUT 22 OR 23Z
THROUGH AROUND 6Z AND 900 MB WINDS OF 50KT+ AND 925 MB WINDS OF 40 TO
50 KT DURING THIS TIME. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY IN
THE EVOLUTION AS ANTICIPATED STRONGER CONVECTION IN ADVANCE OF THE
FRONT REACHES EASTERN KY DURING THE MID TO LATE EVENING...IT MAY NOT
BE PRODUCING LIGHTNING OR VERY LITTLE LIGHTNING. A LINE OF ENHANCED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A STRAY RUMBLE OF THUNDER SHOULD WORK ACROSS
EASTERN KY FROM MID OR LATE EVENING AND NOT REACH VA UNTIL THE
PREDAWN HOURS OF FRI. IN SUMMARY...JUST SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY ANY WITH
HIGHER RAINFALL RATES OF MIXING DOWN A LARGE PERCENTAGE OF THIS
MOMENTUM.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE WE HAVE TRENDED THE GUSTS UP WITH THE WESTERN
PART OF THE CWA AS WELL AS THE VA BORDER COUNTIES HAVING THE
POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS INTO THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE AND THIS AREA IS IN
THE WIND ADVISORY. IN THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY FURTHER EAST INTO SOME
OF THE COALFIELD AND NORTHEAST KY COUNTIES...THE GUST POTENTIAL
APPEARS TO BE A BIT LOWER...BUT GUSTS INTO THE 35 TO 40 MPH RANGE ARE
ANTICIPATED. DURING THE EVENING AND UNTIL THE FRONT PASSES SUSTAINED
WINDS SHOULD REACH THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE...POSSIBLY THE 25 TO 30 MPH
RANGE ABOVE 2000 FEET. MILD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY...IN SOME
CASES ACROSS THE NORTHER SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN ON WED IN THE SOUTHERLY
FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

PRECIP CHANCES WILL INCREASE TODAY AS LIFT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH
INCREASES AND ISENTROPIC LIFT INCREASES AS WELL. THE FLOW WILL HAVE A
LINGERING DOWNSLOPE AFFECT OVER THE FAR SOUTHEAST DUE TO A SOUTHERLY
COMPONENT EARLY. THE NORTH AND WEST SHOULD STAND A BETTER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS FROM MID TO LATE MORNING INTO THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS.
CHANCES WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ALL LOCATIONS SHOULD RECEIVE
MEASURABLE PRECIP. EVEN IF THERE IS NO LIGHTNING...SHOWERS MIGHT LEAD
TO SOME PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. HOWEVER...FLOODING CONCERNS
WILL BE MINIMAL IN EAST KY DUE TO THE EXPECTED RATHER RAPID PROGRESS
OF THE PREFRONTAL RAIN ACROSS OUR REGION.

ONCE THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND THE DEEPER MOISTURE DEPARTS...THE
NARROW WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION AND
LEAD TO A MOSTLY DRY DAY ON FRI. THE POST FRONTAL AIRMASS WILL DRIER
THAN THE ONE AHEAD OF IT AND WITH SOME CLEARING MAX T ON FRI SHOULD
BE NOT FAR FROM TODAYS ANTICIPATED MILD TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

THE WEEKEND WILL START OFF ON THE COOL SIDE AS A SHORTWAVE DIVES
SOUTHEAST REINFORCING THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...HOWEVER...PATTERN
WILL TURN MORE AMPLIFIED HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK...FAVORING AND
EASTERN CONUS RIDGE AND WESTERN CONUS TROUGH. THIS WILL SUPPORT
BUILDING HEIGHTS AND A WARMING TREND FOR THE AREA NEXT WEEK.

THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY CONTINUES TO
LOOK FAIRLY GOOD WITH DECENT MOISTURE...CONTINUING TO SUPPORT THE
THREAT OF SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY WITH THE
UPSLOPE FLOW. WILL BUMP UP POPS NEAR THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE
SOUTHEAST AS MOISTURE SHOULD GET RUNG OUT PRETTY GOOD IN THESE
AREAS. A FEW SNOWFLAKES NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION ON THE HIGHEST RIDGE
TOPS SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT WITH SFC TEMPERATURES STAYING AT OR ABOVE
FREEZING...NO CONCERN FOR ANY ACCUMULATIONS.

SOME STRATOCU MAY HOLD ON IN THE EAST INTO SUNDAY MORNING...BUT
AREAS WHICH DO CLEAR OUT WILL LIKELY PLUMMET TO NEAR THE FREEZING
MARK AS THE SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY. THIS RIDGE
WILL SLIDE EAST ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH COOL CONDITIONS
CONTINUING. BY MONDAY...RETURN FLOW SHOULD KICK IN ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THE RIDGE...ALLOWING A WARMING TREND FROM MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. THE RIDGE IS ALSO VERY DRY WITH LIMITED
MOISTURE...SO IT LOOKS LIKE A PLEASANT STRETCH OF WEATHER WILL BE
SEEN FOR A GOOD CHUNK OF THE WEEK. A MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL PUSH EAST
LATE NEXT WEEK...PROVIDING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS THE AREA.
MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF ON THE TIMING BY ROUGHLY 12 HOURS...SO ONLY
CHANGES WAS TO SLOW THINGS DOWN A BIT. LOOKS LIKE BEST RAIN CHANCES
SHOULD OCCUR SOMETIME BETWEEN THURSDAY OR FRIDAY LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 220 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

MUCH OF THE REGION IS UNDER VFR CONDITIONS. THIS SHOULD PERSIST UNTIL
ABOUT THE LAST 6 TO 8 HOURS WHEN MVFR OR IFR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN ADVANCE OF A POTENT COLD FRONT.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE AFTER 16Z...AND ANOTHER CONCERN
WILL BE THE THREAT OF HIGH WIND GUSTS LATE IN THE PERIOD...IN THE 20
TO 30 KT FROM 19Z OR SO ON. EVEN STRONGER GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS OF THE PERIOD IN STRONGER SHRA OR ANY TSRA.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-118-120.

LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY
FOR KYZ104-106>117-119.

&&

SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM...KAS
AVIATION...JP
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 30, 3:19 PM EDT, 12 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
319 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2013

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-312230-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
319 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2013

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THURSDAY TO 6 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN IMPACTING THE REGION ON HALLOWEEN...THURSDAY
EVENING. EXPECT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. STRONG TO PERHAPS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME...ESPECIALLY WITHIN STRONGER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2000 FEET...STRONG TO DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OUTSIDE OF SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY FROM THURSDAY EVENING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. AN ISOLATED
TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...ESPECIALLY
WEST OF A LINE FROM SANDY HOOK TO JACKSON TO BARBOURVILLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.

DUSTY

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Kentucky, 2013Every wind advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.