Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Jackson, KY

538 
WGUS73 KJKL 180415
FFSJKL

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1215 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013

KYC025-129-197-237-180630-
/O.CON.KJKL.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130618T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
POWELL KY-WOLFE KY-LEE KY-BREATHITT KY-
1215 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN BREATHITT...
NORTHEASTERN LEE...WOLFE AND EASTERN POWELL COUNTIES UNTIL 230 AM
EDT...

AT 1213 AM EDT...THE PUBLIC HAD REPORTED THAT FLASH FLOODING WAS 
ONGOING NEAR THE WAR CREEK AREA. WHILE THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY 
RAINFALL HAVE TAPER OFF ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...EXCESSIVE RUNOFF 
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING 
ALONG SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
CAMPTON...JACKSON...AIREDALE...ATHOL...BAPTIST...BAYS...BET
HANY...BOOTH...BOWEN...CALABOOSE...CAMP LEWIS...CANYON 
FALLS...CHENOWEE...COPEBRANCH...CURT...DUMONT...ELKATAWA...
FILLMORE...FINCASTLE...FIVEMILE...FIXER...FLAT...FROZEN CREEK... 
GILMORE...GLENCAIRN...GOSNEYVILLE...GRANNIE...GUAGE AND GUERRANT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3782 8364 3784 8362 3782 8360 3782 8356
      3786 8349 3760 8314 3745 8350 3761 8365
      3771 8376 3772 8375 3772 8372 3774 8376
      3776 8378 3776 8380 3790 8376

$$

GEOGERIAN

469 
WGUS73 KJKL 180625
FFSJKL

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
225 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013

KYC025-129-197-237-180640-
/O.EXP.KJKL.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130618T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
POWELL KY-WOLFE KY-LEE KY-BREATHITT KY-
225 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
BREATHITT...NORTHEASTERN LEE...WOLFE AND EASTERN POWELL COUNTIES WILL
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 230 AM EDT...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3782 8364 3784 8362 3782 8360 3782 8356
      3786 8349 3760 8314 3745 8350 3761 8365
      3771 8376 3772 8375 3772 8372 3774 8376
      3776 8378 3776 8380 3790 8376

$$

GEOGERIAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1003 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1003 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STILL ONGOING. SOME STORMS ARE MODERATE
INTENSITY WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. MAIN CONCERN IS
HEAVY RAINFALL DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT. REPORTS OF RAINFALL RATES OF
OVER 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THUS FAR...NO REPORTS OF FLOODING. HAVE
ISSUED SEVERAL URBAN AND SMALL STREAM ADVISORIES FOR THE HEAVY RAIN.
ZONES AND GRIDS UPDATED.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 815 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
COMMONWEALTH. STORM INTENSITY HAS DIMINISHED WITH THE SETTING SUN.
STORM MTION IS NEARLY NON EXISTANT AND SO THE RAINFALL IS VERY HEAVY
WHERE THE STORMS SET. HAVE ISSUED A COUPLE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
ADVISORIES FOR VERY LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN. EXPECT THE SHOWERS TO
PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT BUT AT A MUCH LOWER INTENSITY.
UPDATED GRIDS WITH LATEST DATA BUT ZONES STILL APPEAR ON TRACK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 304 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOULD BE MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY WITH POP UP
THUNDERSTORMS FORMING. TODAY IS ACTUALLY A BIT MORE UNSTABLE THAN
YESTERDAY AND THERE IS SOME DRY AIR ALOFT. AS SUCH...THERE IS A
BETTER CHANCE TO SEE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OR TWO THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING WITH STRONG WINDS BEING THE BIGGEST THREAT. THE HRR
CONTINUES TO SHOW THE CONVECTION STARTING TO BLOSSOM SOON ACROSS THE
AREA. THE FORECAST IS ASSUMING THAT THERE WILL BE MORE CONVECTION
DEVELOPING IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. THE STORMS ARE MORE SLOW
MOVING THIS EVENING SO THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SOME LOCALIZED
FLOODING...WITH SOME DITCHES AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS RUNNING FULL.
FOR TEMPERATURES WENT FOR A MODEL BLEND EXCEPT FOR TOMORROW WHICH IS
A BIT WARMER THAN THE BLEND.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 304 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE EXTENDED CONTINUES TO BE QUITE
UNCERTAIN. THE VARIOUS FORECAST MODELS HAVE YET TO CONVERGE ON ANY
ONE SOLUTION...WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF BOTH PRODUCING ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS AND STORMS DURING DIFFERENT PERIODS FROM THURSDAY ONWARD.
THE MOS GUIDANCE WAS ALSO FALLING IN LINE WITH THIS TYPE OF NEBULOUS
PATTERN. THAT BEING SAID...WITH WARM MOIST CONDITIONS EXPECTED...AND
WITH WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCES PASSING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE
AREA...DECIDED TO KEEP IN PERIODS OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS
BASED ON THE SPARSE EVIDENCE AVAILABLE. OVERALL IT SHOULD BE WARM
AND MOSTLY DRY PERIOD...BUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM COULD POP UP
AT ANYTIME DURING THE DAYTIME PERIODS OF THE EXTENDED...PARTICULARLY
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT
THE PERIOD WILL BE RUNNING AT OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN
THE 80S EACH DAY AND LOWS EACH NIGHT IN THE 60S. VALLEY FOG WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT DURING THE EXTENDED...WITH THE MORE
WIDESPREAD AND DENSER FOG CONFINED TO THE RIVER VALLEYS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 742 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

FORECAST SOUNDINGS LOOK SUPPORTIVE FOR CONTINUED CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT THROUGHOUT THE EVENING AND EVEN OVERNIGHT. THERE SHOULD
BE SOME FOG/MIST FORMING IN THE MORNING...ESPECIALLY WHERE THE
SHOWERS HAVE PASSED.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...DUSTY
SHORT TERM...JJ
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...DUSTY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
343 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-182245-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
343 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TUESDAY MORNING...WITH A CONTINUED
POSSIBILITY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY INSTANCES OF WIND DAMAGE
OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

JJ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
605 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

KYZ110-120-172300-
PIKE-FLOYD-
605 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 700
PM EDT MONDAY EVENING...

   SOUTHERN PIKE AND
   EAST CENTRAL FLOYD.

AT 605 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GRETHEL...OR 7
MILES WEST OF PIKEVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...GALVESTON
AROUND 610 PM EDT...COAL RUN AROUND 615 PM EDT...PIKEVILLE AROUND 635
PM EDT...JONANCY AROUND 645 PM EDT...CHLOE AROUND 650 PM EDT...

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE
INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS.
MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY.

DUSTY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
709 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

KYZ104-180015-
ELLIOTT-
709 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTY THROUGH 815
PM EDT MONDAY EVENING...

   ELLIOTT.

AT 709 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ISONVILLE...OR
NEAR SANDY HOOK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...NEWFOUNDLAND
AROUND 730 PM EDT...CULVER AROUND 740 PM EDT...BRUIN AROUND 815 PM
EDT...

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN
ONE AND TWO INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE HAS
BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM.

THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS.
MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY.

DUSTY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
716 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

KYZ079-083>085-180015-
MCCREARY-PULASKI-WAYNE-WHITLEY-
716 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 815
PM EDT MONDAY EVENING...

   MCCREARY...
   SOUTHERN PULASKI...
   WAYNE AND
   WEST CENTRAL WHITLEY.

AT 713 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GREGORY...OR 9
MILES EAST OF MONTICELLO. ANOTHER STRONG STORM WAS LOCATED AT
WHITLEY CITY WITH YET A THIRD STORM NEAR SUNNYBROOK IN WAYNE
COUNTY...MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...DENNEY AROUND
720 PM EDT...RITNER AROUND 725 PM EDT...GREAT MEADOWS CAMPSITES
AROUND 730 PM EDT...SLOANS VALLEY AROUND 735 PM EDT...ALPINE AROUND
740 PM EDT...

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN
ONE AND TWO INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS.
MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY.

DUSTY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
857 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0854 PM     HEAVY RAIN       THORNTON                37.16N 82.74W
06/17/2013  M1.02 INCH       LETCHER            KY   PUBLIC

            RAINFALL TOTAL OVER LAST 30 MINUTES. REPORTED RATES UP TO
            4 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES.

&&

JMWIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1038 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1028 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 E HAZARD              37.25N 83.14W
06/17/2013                   PERRY              KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS AND UP OVER THE ROADWAYS.
            A COUPLE PEOPLE HAVE BEEN STRANDED AS A RESULT.

&&

JMWIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1102 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 PM     HEAVY RAIN       JACKSON                 37.56N 83.38W
06/17/2013  M1.00 INCH       BREATHITT          KY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            RAIN FELL WITHIN PAST 30 TO 40 MINUTES. A WIND GUST OF 40
            TO 45 MPH WAS ALSO REPORTED...KNOCKING SEVERAL SHINGLES
            OFF ROOF AND CAUSING RAIN TO LEAK IN.

&&

JMWIX