Red Flag Warning 1, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TO ADD WIND ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
422 AM CDT MON MAR 25 2013

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...A SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER
AND DRIER AIR MASS HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA. A DEEP UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH REMAINS POSITIONED JUST TO OUR NORTH BUT ASSOCIATED RAIN
CHANCES WILL REMAIN NORTH AS THE SYSTEM LIFTS OUT TO THE NORTHEAST
TODAY. GUSTY NW WIND WILL DEVELOP AGAIN BY NOON ACROSS THE AREA.
ALTHOUGH NOT QUITE AS INTENSE AS WIND SPEEDS SUNDAY...MANY LOCATIONS
WILL SEE SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS 15-25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHER
GUSTS BEFORE WIND SPEEDS DECREASE DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

THE WEAKENING SRN FRINGES OF THE TROUGH WILL PIVOT ACROSS THE
AREA LATE TONIGHT...EXITING THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A
FEW LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER NRN ZONES TONIGHT WHEN THE
TROUGH PASSES BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN SHALLOW...THE PRIMARY EFFECT
BEING A WIDESPREAD BLANKET OF STRATOCU ACROSS THE REGION. RELATIVELY
COOL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY DUE TO CONTINUING COLD AIR
ADVECTION IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER WAVE AND DAYTIME CLOUDS. /03/

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THE REGION WILL REMAIN UNDER
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC. THIS WILL LEAD TO
DRY DAYS AND SUNNY CONDITIONS FOR THE FIRST DAY OR TWO OF THE
PERIOD. THE SFC HIGH WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION BY THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY AND THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOUTHERLY FLOW AND MOISTURE TO SLOWLY
SEEP BACK INTO THE REGION. BY FRIDAY THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. THIS WILL BRING THE
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS TO THE AREA THOUGH THE GFS IS A BIT MORE
BULLISH IN BRINGING THIS IN THAN THE ECMWF. ANOTHER DECENT SHORTWAVE
WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA SUNDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS. BEHIND THIS SECOND SHORTWAVE...A SFC LOW WILL BE MOVING
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS WILL DRAG A FRONT INTO NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE CWA AND STALL ROUGHLY NEAR THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR.
THIS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION AND LIFT A LITTLE NORTH AS A WARM
FRONT INTO THE EARLY PARTS OF THE WORK WEEK AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING
SFC LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD
WILL BE WARMING GIVEN INCREASING MOISTURE AND SOUTHERLY FLOW. /28/

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH
INTERMITTENT 4-6K FT CLOUD DECKS. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AGAIN TODAY
WITH SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS FROM THE NW 15-25 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE DURING THE EVENING TO 5-10 KTS OVERNIGHT.
ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT.
/03/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       55  30  53  29 /   2   2   0   0
MERIDIAN      55  28  56  27 /   2   3   0   0
VICKSBURG     55  29  52  29 /   2   2   0   0
HATTIESBURG   57  30  56  30 /   2   2   0   0
NATCHEZ       53  28  53  28 /   2   2   0   0
GREENVILLE    51  30  49  30 /   3   4   0   0
GREENWOOD     53  26  49  27 /   3   7   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     FOR MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074.

LA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026.

AR...WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

03/28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
508 AM CDT MON MAR 25 2013

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
261015-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
508 AM CDT MON MAR 25 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL REMAIN HEALTHY ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WITH SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH AND OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH.
WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE DURING THE EARLY EVENING.

AREAS OF FROST CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL COOL INTO THE 20S AND LOWER 30S
BY SUNRISE TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY.
.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

03