Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Jackson, MS

Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

934 
WGUS64 KJAN 100204
FFAJAN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
804 PM CST WED JAN 9 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH ISSUED FOR THURSDAY...

LAZ007>009-015-016-101015-
/O.EXA.KJAN.FF.A.0002.130110T0600Z-130111T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BASTROP...OAK GROVE...EPPS...
LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...TALLULAH
804 PM CST WED JAN 9 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE ALL PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.

* FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* A DEEP MOISTURE PLUME WILL SPREAD NORTH INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND
  THURSDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT THAT WILL PRODUCE
  PERIODS OF WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL THE AFFECTED AREAS. RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE
  LIKELY... ESPECIALLY WEST OF A LAKE PROVIDENCE TO PORT GIBSON TO 
  HATTIESBURG LINE.

* MOIST SOIL CONDITIONS CURRENTLY IN PLACE FROM PREVIOUS RAINFALL
  WILL INCREASE RAINFALL RUNOFF RATES. RAIN AMOUNTS UP TO 3  INCHES
  WILL RESULT IN FLOODING PROBLEMS...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS
  AND WHERE DRAINAGE IS POOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LAZ023>026-MSZ053-054-059>064-072>074-101015-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0002.130110T0600Z-130111T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-MARION-LAMAR-
FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...
NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...
WEST FERRIDAY...PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...
WESSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE...
BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...
COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
804 PM CST WED JAN 9 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* MOST OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI.

* FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* A DEEP MOISTURE PLUME SPREADING NORTH INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND
  THURSDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF
  WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY WEST OF A LAKE
  PROVIDENCE TO PORT GIBSON TO HATTIESBURG LINE.

* MOIST SOIL CONDITIONS CURRENTLY IN PLACE FROM PREVIOUS RAINFALL
  WILL INCREASE RAINFALL RUNOFF RATES. RAIN AMOUNTS UP TO 3 INCHES
  WILL RESULT IN FLOODING PROBLEMS...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS
  AND WHERE DRAINAGE IS POOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

21

995 
WGUS64 KJAN 100958
FFAJAN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
358 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ053-054-059>064-072>074-101800-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-130111T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-MARION-LAMAR-
FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BASTROP...OAK GROVE...EPPS...
LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...
JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...
VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...
BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...
PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...
PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
358 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.

* THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON

* A DEEP MOISTURE PLUME CONTINUES TO SURGE NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION
  AHEAD OF A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
  CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS WILL BE LIKELY IN THE WATCH AREA.

* THE GROUND IS SOAKED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL HEAVY
  RAIN WILL INCREASE RAINFALL RUNOFF RATES AND THE RISK FOR FLASH
  FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

EC

257 
WGUS64 KJAN 101439
FFAJAN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
839 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
ENTIRE ARKLAMISS...

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025>052-055>058-065-066-102245-
/O.EXA.KJAN.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-130111T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-
MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-
HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-COVINGTON-JONES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...CLEVELAND...
INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...VAIDEN...
NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...
MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG...
JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...
UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...
STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL
839 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS 
  AND MISSISSIPPI. 

* UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING

* A DEEP MOISTURE PLUME CONTINUES TO SURGE NORTHWARD INTO THE 
  REGION AHEAD OF A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT. PERIODS OF HEAVY 
  RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY 
  AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH 
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE LIKELY IN THE WATCH AREA. 

* THE GROUND IS SOAKED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL 
  HEAVY RAIN WILL INCREASE RAINFALL RUNOFF RATES AND THE RISK 
  FOR FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ053-054-059>064-072>074-102245-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-130111T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-MARION-LAMAR-
FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BASTROP...OAK GROVE...EPPS...
LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...
JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...
VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...
BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...
PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...
PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
839 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.

* UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING

* A DEEP MOISTURE PLUME CONTINUES TO SURGE NORTHWARD INTO THE 
  REGION AHEAD OF A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT. PERIODS OF HEAVY 
  RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY 
  AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH 
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE LIKELY IN THE WATCH AREA. 

* THE GROUND IS SOAKED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL 
  HEAVY RAIN WILL INCREASE RAINFALL RUNOFF RATES AND THE RISK 
  FOR FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

28

696 
WGUS64 KJAN 102227
FFAJAN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
427 PM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 6PM...

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
110000-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-130111T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG...
JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...
UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...
STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...
MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...
BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...
WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
427 PM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND 
  MISSISSIPPI. 

* UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING

* A DEEP MOISTURE PLUME CONTINUES TO SURGE NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION
  AHEAD OF A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
  CONTINUE MAINLY IN EASTERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON.
  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS WILL BE LIKELY IN THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA.

* THE GROUND IS SOAKED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL 
  HEAVY RAIN WILL INCREASE RAINFALL RUNOFF RATES AND THE RISK 
  FOR FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

28

519 
WGUS64 KJAN 102329
FFAJAN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
529 PM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...RISK FOR HEAVY RAINS ENDED FOR NOW...

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
110030-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-130111T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...BASTROP...
OAK GROVE...EPPS...LAKE PROVIDENCE...RAYVILLE...DELHI...
TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE...HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...
ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...
CLEVELAND...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...
VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...
MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA...
YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...CARTHAGE...
PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...VICKSBURG...
JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...
UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...
STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...
MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...
BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...
WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
529 PM CST THU JAN 10 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE AXIS 
OF HEAVY RAINS HAS MOVED THROUGH MOST OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL SHOULD AVERAGE LESS THAN ONE QUARTER INCH...
MAINLY NEAR THE ALABAMA BORDER COUNTIES THIS EVENING.

$$

40

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1015 AM CST WED JAN 9 2013

.UPDATE...DEEP UPPER LOW CENTER CURRENTLY TRACKING SLOWLY EAST
THROUGH FAR NORTH CENTRAL MEXICO AND TOWARD THE RIO GRANDE IS
SPURRING COPIOUS NORTHWARD GULF MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO CONVECTIVE
COMPLEXES JUST OFFSHORE OF SE TX AND SW LA. THIS GENERAL ARRANGEMENT
OF THINGS HAS CUT OFF BEST TRANSPORT FROM COMING INTO THE LOWER MS
VALLEY...AND THUS NECESSITATED CANCELING PREVIOUS FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FOR PORTIONS OF THE FA EARLIER.

ACROSS OUR REGION...THERE IS A BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN SHOWERS LIFTING
SLOWLY NORTH INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AIDED BY TAMER SOUTHEAST
MOISTURE TRANSPORT VECTORS THAT ARE AT LEAST NOT BEING BLOCKED BY
GULF CONVECTION. EXPECTING THIS BAND TO LIFT THROUGH THE HEART OF
THE CWA INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE EVOLVING INTO A GENERAL LIGHTER
RAIN SHIELD OVER THE DELTA. ELSEWHERE...RAIN TODAY SHOULD BE
PREDOMINANTLY LIGHT...ALTHOUGH SOME SOUTHEAST ZONES MAY NOT GET TOO
MUCH MORE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS.
THERE IS SOME CHANCE LOCATIONS AROUND HBG COULD GET SOME PEAKS OF
AFTERNOON SUN AS WELL TO WARM TEMPERATURES ABOVE 70 DEGREES...BUT
OTHERWISE THE MAIN WARM FRONT HAS BEEN SEQUESTERED FURTHER SOUTH
THAN ANTICIPATED BY COASTAL CONVECTION AND THE LACK OF WIDESPREAD
HEAVIER RAIN SHOULD NOT RESULT IN MUCH WARMER REALIZED TEMPS.

THE SLOWLY APPROACHING UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONTAL WAVE
WILL BE GETTING IN BETTER PROXIMITY TO WESTERN ZONES LATE
TONIGHT...WHEN WIDESPREAD HEAVIER RAINS SHOULD BE MOVING IN FROM THE
WEST.

FOR THIS UPDATE THERE WAS SIGNIFICANT SHORT TERM ADJUSTMENTS TO
POPS...MAINLY TO LOWER THEM FOR LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN PORTIONS OF MS. /BB/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 503 AM CST WED JAN 9 2013/

DISCUSSION...

TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS HAVE OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS MORNING IN A
MOIST/ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE REGIME NORTH OF A WARM FRONT SITUATED
GENERALLY ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
THAT WE THOUGHT WAS GOING TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING HAS NOT UNFOLDED
DESPITE RATHER ANOMALOUS MOISTURE ADVECTION...AND GIVEN A WEAKENING
LOW LEVEL JET THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND LACK OF UPPER SUPPORT
FOR ASCENT IT APPEARS THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA HAS ENDED...AND WILL BE CANCELING THE FFA WITH THIS PACKAGE.
RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON/INTO THE EVENING HOURS
TONIGHT MAY APPROACH AN INCH IN A FEW AREAS ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF
OF THE FA...BUT NOT EXPECTING A WHOLE LOT MORE THAN THAT RIGHT NOW.

LATEST NWP GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS
THE REGION BY LATE THIS EVENING AS THE CUT OFF CYCLONE CURRENTLY
OVER NORTHERN MEXICO LIFTS NORTH ACROSS TX. LIGHT/SHOWERY ACTIVITY
CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS AS THIS
OCCURS WHILE WE BECOME MORE ENTRENCHED IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE
SYSTEM. OUR ATTENTION HEADED INTO THURSDAY WILL THEN BE CENTERED ON
HOW CONVECTION ALONG THE COLD FRONT EVOLVES AS THE FRONT PUSHES EAST
AND THE UPPER LOW OPENS AND LIFTS QUICKLY NORTHEAST. THE GFS/ECMWF
SUGGEST A FAIRLY LINEAR COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING IN
VICINITY OF THE SABINE RIVER THURSDAY MORNING. A FAIRLY STRONG PUSH
OF MARINE AIR ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS WILL BE UNDERWAY BY THIS TIME
WITH THE MODELS SHOWING 63-66 DEGREE DEW POINTS AS FAR NORTH AS
YAZOO CITY BY LATE MORNING. MLCAPE VALUES OF 300-600J/KG WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE FA BY MID DAY THURSDAY AHEAD OF
THE CONVECTION...CO-LOCATED WITH SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR
STORM ORGANIZATION/LIKELY IN LINEAR FASHION GIVEN A NEARLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILE. AS LONG AS THE SURFACE BASED
INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP (WHICH APPEARS LIKELY DESPITE MEAGER
MID/UPPER LEVEL LAPSE RATES) WE WILL HAVE A RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AS THE LINE OF CONVECTION PASSES...AS WELL AS A RISK FOR
TORNADOES AS THE MODELS DO SHOW AMPLE LOW LEVEL SHEAR (20-30KTS
0-1KM). THERE IS SOME QUESTION JUST HOW FAR NORTH THIS RISK MIGHT
EXTEND AS ITS VERY POSSIBLE THE DEEP CONVECTION MAY BE TIED CLOSER
TO THE COAST AS UPPER SUPPORT FOR ASCENT LIFTS OFF TO OUR NORTH
THROUGH THE DAY. FOR NOW...WE WILL KEEP THE DAMAGING WIND/TORNADO
RISK HIGHLIGHTED FOR ALL AREAS IN THE HWO/GRAPHICS AND DIFFER
TWEAKING OF THE AREAL EXTENT UNTIL WE GET CLOSER. THERE WILL BE A
RISK OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AS THE STRONGER CONVECTION PASSES AS
WELL...WITH ANYWHERE FROM 1-2 INCHES POSSIBLE. WILL KEEP THIS
HIGHLIGHTED...BUT WILL REMOVE THE MENTION OF HAIL AS WEAK MID/UPPER
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND NEARLY SATURATED PROFILES KEEP THAT RISK TO A
MINIMUM.

IT DOES APPEAR THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL COME TO AN END BY
LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING THURSDAY AS THE FRONT BEGINS TO HANG UP IN
THE FACE OF STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
CONUS. WENT AHEAD AND KEPT SOME POPS IN FOR THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS
OF THE FA THURSDAY NIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR THE SLOWING BOUNDARY.

CUT GFS MOS HIGHS FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW TOWARD THE COOLER ECMWF
NUMBERS AS CLOUD COVER AND RAINS KEEP BIG WARMUPS UNLIKELY. RAISED
LOWS FRI MORNING FOR THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE REGION TO ACCOUNT
FOR SLOWER FRONTAL BOUNDARY PROGRESSION AND ELEVATED SURFACE WINDS.
/BK/

FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN HOW LONG THE RAINFALL WILL LINGER OVER
CENTRAL/EASTERN MS FRIDAY MORNING WITH THE GFS BEING QUICKER TO MOVE
THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT EASTWARD. HAVE CONTINUED TO LEAN TOWARD THE
ECMWF AND SLOWER MODEL CONSENSUS BASED ON THE CURRENT STRENGTH OF
RIDGE AND UPPER LEVEL PATTERN...AND HAVE RAISED MEX MOS POPS. IN ANY
CASE...RAINFALL FRIDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND
CONSIDERABLE MID LEVEL DRYING SHOULD FOLLOW FOR THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FOR MOST OF THE AREA BRINGING AT LEAST A TEMPORARY LULL IN
THE RAINFALL.

AS WE GO INTO THE WEEKEND...A STRONGER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIG
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE WESTERN CONUS AND REINFORCE THE PERSISTENT
SOUTHWEST MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER THE ARKLAMISS REGION. BACKING
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL ALLOW SCATTERED WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS TO
DEVELOP SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT MARKING THE LEADING EDGE OF A CHILLY
POLAR AIRMASS WILL APPROACH THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGION SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND ENHANCE LIFT AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS AS ANOMALOUS
PRECIPITABLE WATER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE 1.5 INCHES.
HOWEVER...THE TREND IN THE GUIDANCE HAS BEEN TO SLOW THE FRONTAL
PROGRESSION AND INITIALLY FOCUS HEAVIER RAINFALL NORTHWEST OF THE
ARKLAMISS. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...THEN THE WEEKEND WILL BE DRIER
THAN EARLIER THOUGHT...AT LEAST THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. IN ANY
CASE...IT WILL BE UNSEASONABLY MILD WITH HIGHS REACHING WELL INTO
THE 70S OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR THE FRI-SUN
PERIOD...NEARLY 20 DEG F ABOVE CLIMATIC NORMAL.

THE GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT THE FRONT WILL NOT PASS THROUGH
THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA BY MONDAY. INSTEAD IT WILL HANG UP AND EVEN
WAVER BACK TO THE NORTHWEST SOME WITH THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH. MOS POPS REFLECT A TREND FOR BETTER RAIN CHANCES
OVER THE ARKLAMISS DELTA REGION IN THIS ANA-FRONTAL RAINFALL
PATTERN...AND THAT IS WHERE THE GREATEST CONCERN IS FOR FLOODING AS
WE GO FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. ANOMALOUS MOISTURE AND INCREASED
CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY MAY RESULT IN VERY HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS BUT
CONFIDENCE IN LOCATION IS QUITE LOW AT THIS POINT GIVEN WIDELY
VARYING MODEL SOLUTIONS AND RUN-TO-RUN INCONSISTENCIES. AS WE GET
CLOSER TO THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK...WE WILL LIKELY NEED TO RAMP
UP WORDING FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OVER AT
LEAST PARTS OF THE ARKLAMISS. THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS STILL
EXPECTED TO BE MITIGATED BY A LACK OF PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION IN THE
CAPPED WARM SECTOR.

AS WE GO INTO MID WEEK...THE STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL GET
REINFORCED BY CP AIR INTRUSIONS. EXPECT MORE DISTURBED WEATHER UNDER
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF
HEAVY RAINFALL. OF COURSE...THIS WOULD FURTHER RAISE THE CONCERN FOR
FLOODING. THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF/GEFS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT AREAS NW
OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY CORRIDOR WILL RECEIVE IN EXCESS OF FIVE
INCHES OF RAINFALL IN THE NEXT 7-10 DAYS WITH MUCH OF THIS FALLING IN
THE SUNDAY TO WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME. /EC/

&&

.AVIATION... IFR/MVFR CIGS WITH LGT/MOD RA OCCURRING OVER MUCH OF
THE REGION. KGLH/KGWO WILL TEETER TO VFR ON OCCASION WITH SCT005,
BUT WILL TREND BKN/OVC AND BE IFR FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD. SFC WINDS
WILL BE E/SE THROUGH THE AFTN AT 5-10 KT WITH PERIODIC HIGHER GUSTS
NEAR 15 KT. WINDS WILL CALM SLIGHTLY OVRNGT AND BECM MORE SELY WITH
SOME PATCH FOG PSBL FOR ERN/CNTRL SITES. LOW IFR/MVFR CIGS AND
RA/-RA/BR WILL CONTINUE THRU PERIOD WITH VCTS/TSRA LIKELY TOMORROW
FOR AT LEAST CNTRL AND SRN SITES AS COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH.
/ALLEN/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       64  63  74  61 / 100  60  80  68
MERIDIAN      65  61  74  64 /  95  31  76  74
VICKSBURG     64  63  74  55 / 100  92  89  53
HATTIESBURG   70  63  74  64 /  94  33  80  71
NATCHEZ       67  66  72  56 / 100  92  94  41
GREENVILLE    59  58  72  52 / 100  99  89  66
GREENWOOD     62  61  73  59 / 100  84  81  76

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

BB/BK/EC/JA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
233 PM CST WED JAN 9 2013

LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ047-053>066-072>074-102045-
RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WARREN-
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-
MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
233 PM CST WED JAN 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY AS A POTENT
STORM SYSTEM AND HIGH MOISTURE STREAM INTO THE REGION. RAINFALL
TOTALS THROUGH LATE THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3
INCHES...WHICH COULD BE HIGH ENOUGH TO RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IN A
FEW LOCATIONS. SMALL CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS CAN EXPECT
SOME RISES IN WATER LEVELS.

IN ADDITION...A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A
COLD FRONT ATTEMPTS TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. ALTHOUGH HIGH LEVELS
OF WIND SHEAR ARE ANTICIPATED, THE LEVELS OF INSTABILITY SHOULD
REMAIN LOW ENOUGH TO KEEP THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER RATHER LOW. THE
MOST INTENSE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 50
MPH. THIS RISK OF STRONG STORMS AND HEAVY RAINS WILL END THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY STALLS OUT OVER THE REGION ALLOWING FOR
A WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. THERE
REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING TIMING, STRENGTH, AND OVERALL
RAINFALL TOTALS OF THIS SYSTEM, SO PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FUTURE
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY AND AGAIN THROUGH PORTIONS OF
THE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK.

MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-102045-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
233 PM CST WED JAN 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL, EAST, AND NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

PERIODS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE
THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA WHILE
ATTEMPTING TO BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. RAINFALL RATES
COULD POSSIBLY BE HIGH ENOUGH TO RESULT IN PONDING WATER
ISSUES...PARTICULARLY IN LOW LYING AREAS. SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS
CAN EXPECT RISES IN WATER LEVELS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY STALLS OUT OVER THE REGION ALLOWING FOR A
WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. THERE
REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING TIMING, STRENGTH, AND OVERALL
RAINFALL TOTALS OF THIS SYSTEM, SO PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FUTURE
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY AND AGAIN THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE
WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-041-102045-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
233 PM CST WED JAN 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS,
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A POTENT
DISTURBANCE SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION INTO AN MARGINALLY UNSTABLE BUT
HIGHLY SHEARED AIR MASS. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS COULD BE CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO AT LEAST 60 MPH AND A TORNADO OR TWO CAN NOT
BE RULED OUT. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED.

IN ADDITION...MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY WITH
THIS ACTIVITY AS THE OVERALL DISTURBANCE SHIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA
THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL RATES COULD BE HIGH ENOUGH TO
RESULT IN SOME PONDING OF WATER ISSUES...PARTICULARLY IN THE LOW
LYING AREAS. SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS CAN EXPECT RISES IN WATER
LEVELS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY STALLS OUT OVER THE REGION ALLOWING FOR A
WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. THERE
REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING TIMING, STRENGTH, AND OVERALL
RAINFALL TOTALS OF THIS SYSTEM, SO PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FUTURE
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY AND FOR PORTIONS OF THIS WEEKEND
AND NEXT WEEK.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

ALLEN