Alert archive / Michigan / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2013
Lake Effect Snow Warning 2, NWS Northern Indiana
NWS Northern Indiana issued this lake effect snow warning at Jan 31, 2013, 11:53 AM EST for Cass County, Saint Joseph County, Michigan. It was in force for 27 hr. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 31, 2013, 11:53 AM EST (16:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 1, 2013, 3:10 PM EST
- In force
- 27 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Northern Indiana
Counties Cass County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI
The radar
The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 5:30 PM EST | SNOW 3.9 | 2 N Granger, MI | 3.9 INCH STORM TOTAL OVER THE PAST 23 HOURS. 4.0 INCHES ON THE GROUND. |
| Feb 1, 5:30 AM EST | SNOW 5.9 | 2 N Granger, MI | 5.9 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL |
| Feb 1, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 6.2 | Dowagiac, MI | 2 DAY STORM TOTAL |
| Feb 1, 9:00 AM EST | HEAVY SNOW 9.2 | 5 Nnw Dowagiac, MI | 9.2 INCHES STORM TOTAL...5.8 INCHES FROM 8 AM THURSDAY THROUGH 9 AM FRIDAY |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 212 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 849 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 51 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 63 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 72 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
812 WWUS43 KIWX 311653 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1153 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EXPECTED... .LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS OVER SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN AND EXTREME NORTHERN INDIANA WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES EARLY TONIGHT THAT WILL FURTHER INTENSIFY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW. SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. MIZ077>079-010100- /O.UPG.KIWX.LE.Y.0003.130131T2100Z-130201T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.LE.W.0002.130131T1653Z-130201T1500Z/ BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH... BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS...STURGIS... THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON 1153 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT TO MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AND INCREASE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF BERRIEN AND CASS COUNTIES. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WHERE THE HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL PERSIST. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. * MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 94 IN NORTHERN BERRIEN COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ INZ004-005-010100- /O.NEW.KIWX.LE.Y.0004.130131T1653Z-130201T1500Z/ ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE... WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...NAPPANEE 1153 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT TO MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE TOLL ROAD. LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE PERSISTENT AND MODERATE TONIGHT. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS UP TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE TOLL ROAD. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN NORTHERN ST. JOSEPH AND EXTREME NORTHWEST ELKHART COUNTIES. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. * MODERATE SNOWFALL TONIGHT WILL CREATE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE INDIANA TOLL ROAD. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. && $$ MIZ080-010100- /O.NEW.KIWX.LE.Y.0004.130131T1653Z-130201T1500Z/ BRANCH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLDWATER...BRONSON 1153 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MODERATE SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AFTER AN EXPECTED BRIEF DIMINISH OF SNOWFALL INTENSITY AND COVERAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED IN THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE COUNTY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WHERE SNOW BANDS PERSIST. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. * MODERATE SNOWFALL THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TONIGHT WILL CREATE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. && $$
6 follow-up statements
786 WWUS43 KIWX 010007 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 707 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EXPECTED... .LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY WITH BANDS SHIFTING FARTHER SOUTH AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH ADDITIONAL MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. MIZ077>079-010815- /O.CON.KIWX.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T1500Z/ BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH... BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS...STURGIS... THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON 707 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH INTENSITY GRADUALLY DIMINISHING FRIDAY MORNING. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF BERRIEN AND CASS COUNTIES. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WHERE THE HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS PERSIST. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. * MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 94 IN NORTHERN BERRIEN COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ INZ004-005-010815- /O.CON.KIWX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130201T1500Z/ ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE... WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...NAPPANEE 707 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN NORTHERN ST. JOSEPH AND EXTREME NORTHWEST ELKHART COUNTIES. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. * MODERATE SNOWFALL TONIGHT WILL CREATE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE INDIANA TOLL ROAD. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. && $$ MIZ080-010815- /O.CON.KIWX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130201T1500Z/ BRANCH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLDWATER...BRONSON 707 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * MODERATE SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED IN THE NORTHWEST PART OF BRANCH COUNTY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WHERE SNOW BANDS PERSIST. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. * MODERATE SNOWFALL TONIGHT WILL CREATE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. && $$
584 WWUS43 KIWX 010848 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 348 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...BITTERLY COLD WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW DIMINISHING... .LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK BEFORE BEGINNING TO DIMINISH. MEANWHILE BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA WITH GUSTY WEST WINDS DRIVING WIND CHILLS DOWN TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20 BELOW ZERO THROUGH THIS MORNING. MIZ079-011500- /O.CAN.KIWX.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T1500Z/ /O.EXA.KIWX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130201T1500Z/ ST. JOSEPH MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON... MENDON 348 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK BEFORE DIMINISHING. * GENERAL STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED IN THE NORTHWEST PART OF ST. JOSEPH COUNTY. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. && $$ INZ005-011500- /O.CAN.KIWX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130201T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.WC.Y.0002.130201T0900Z-130201T1800Z/ ELKHART- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...GOSHEN...NAPPANEE 348 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIND CHILL READINGS WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 15 BELOW AND 20 BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING. * WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH AIR TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE EXPECTED. IMPACTS... * PROLONGED EXPOSURE MAY LEAD TO FROST BITE ON EXPOSED SKIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ MIZ080-011000- /O.CAN.KIWX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130201T1500Z/ BRANCH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLDWATER...BRONSON 348 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * SEND REPORTS TO NWS NORTHERN INDIANA OR VISIT WEATHER.GOV/IWX FOR MORE INFORMATION. && $$ MIZ077-078-011500- /O.CON.KIWX.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T1500Z/ BERRIEN-CASS MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH... BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS 348 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK BEFORE DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY THROUGH MID MORNING. * GENERAL STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BERRIEN AND NORTHERN CASS COUNTIES. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING. * MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL AND GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 94 IN BERRIEN COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ INZ004-011500- /O.NEW.KIWX.WC.Y.0002.130201T0900Z-130201T1800Z/ /O.CON.KIWX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130201T1500Z/ ST. JOSEPH IN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE... WALKERTON 348 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK BEFORE DIMINISHING. * GENERAL STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR 6 INCHES OVER NORTHERN ST. JOSEPH COUNTY. * WIND CHILL READINGS WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 15 BELOW AND 20 BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING. * WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH AIR TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE EXPECTED. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING. * MODERATE SNOWFALL WILL LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE INDIANA TOLL ROAD. * PROLONGED EXPOSURE MAY LEAD TO FROST BITE ON EXPOSED SKIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ INZ003-006-008-009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ015-016-024-025- 011500- /O.NEW.KIWX.WC.Y.0002.130201T0900Z-130201T1800Z/ LA PORTE-LAGRANGE-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN- KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON- WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...LAGRANGE... TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION... AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC... FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER... ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE... COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE... NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...MONON...LOGANSPORT... ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...WABASH... NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN... DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...HARTFORD CITY... MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE... OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS... OHIO CITY...LIMA...SPENCERVILLE 348 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 /248 AM CST FRI FEB 1 2013/ ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIND CHILL READINGS WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 15 BELOW AND 20 BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING. * WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH AIR TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE EXPECTED. IMPACTS... * PROLONGED EXPOSURE MAY LEAD TO FROST BITE ON EXPOSED SKIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
880 WWUS43 KIWX 011505 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...BITTERLY COLD WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW DIMINISHING... .LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY FOR ALL BUT NORTHERN PORTIONS OF BERRIEN COUNTY WHERE THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA WITH GUSTY WEST WINDS DRIVING WIND CHILLS DOWN TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 BELOW ZERO THROUGH THIS MORNING. MIZ079-011615- /O.CAN.KIWX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130201T1500Z/ ST. JOSEPH MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON... MENDON 1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWSHOWERS HAVE WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY ACROSS ST JOSEPH COUNTY WITH ONLY FLURRIES EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * SEND REPORTS TO NWS NORTHERN INDIANA OR VISIT WEATHER.GOV/IWX FOR MORE INFORMATION. && $$ MIZ077-012100- /O.EXT.KIWX.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T2100Z/ BERRIEN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH... BUCHANAN 1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COUNTY INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. BY MID AFTERNOON...THE BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME CONFINED ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF BERRIEN COUNTY AND PERSIST THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY THROUGH MID MORNING. * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN BERRIEN COUNTY. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS TO 5 TO LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 9 INCHES. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING. * MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL AND GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 94 IN BERRIEN COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ MIZ078-011800- /O.EXT.KIWX.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T1800Z/ CASS MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS 1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE MAINLY THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF CASS COUNTY THROUGH LATE MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER NOON. * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR SO ARE EXPECTED THROUGH NOON WITH GENERAL STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING. * MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL AND GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 94 IN BERRIEN COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ INZ004-011800- /O.EXT.KIWX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130201T1800Z/ /O.CON.KIWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T1800Z/ ST. JOSEPH IN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE... WALKERTON 1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT TO MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING. * GENERAL STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR 6 INCHES OVER NORTHERN ST. JOSEPH COUNTY. * WIND CHILL READINGS WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 10 AND 20 BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING. * WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH AIR TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE EXPECTED. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING. * MODERATE SNOWFALL WILL LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE INDIANA TOLL ROAD. * PROLONGED EXPOSURE MAY LEAD TO FROST BITE ON EXPOSED SKIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ INZ003-005-006-008-009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ015-016-024- 025-011800- /O.CON.KIWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T1800Z/ LA PORTE-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL- FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH- HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-PAULDING-PUTNAM- VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...ELKHART... GOSHEN...NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX... NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE... PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES... SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON... MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO... WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON... OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND... HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...PAULDING... ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...FORT JENNINGS... VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...SPENCERVILLE 1005 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 /905 AM CST FRI FEB 1 2013/ ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ THIS AFTERNOON... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIND CHILL READINGS WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 10 BELOW AND 20 BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING. * WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH AIR TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE EXPECTED. IMPACTS... * PROLONGED EXPOSURE MAY LEAD TO FROST BITE ON EXPOSED SKIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
009 WWUS43 KIWX 011510 CCA WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1009 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...BITTERLY COLD WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW DIMINISHING... .LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY FOR ALL BUT NORTHERN PORTIONS OF BERRIEN COUNTY WHERE THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA WITH GUSTY WEST WINDS DRIVING WIND CHILLS DOWN TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20 BELOW ZERO THROUGH THIS MORNING. MIZ079-011615- /O.CAN.KIWX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130201T1500Z/ ST. JOSEPH MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON... MENDON 1009 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWSHOWERS HAVE WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY ACROSS ST JOSEPH COUNTY WITH ONLY FLURRIES EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * SEND REPORTS TO NWS NORTHERN INDIANA OR VISIT WEATHER.GOV/IWX FOR MORE INFORMATION. && $$ MIZ077-012100- /O.COR.KIWX.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T2100Z/ BERRIEN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH... BUCHANAN 1009 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COUNTY INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. BY MID AFTERNOON...THE BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME CONFINED ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF BERRIEN COUNTY AND PERSIST THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY THROUGH MID MORNING. * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN BERRIEN COUNTY. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS TO 5 TO LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 9 INCHES. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING. * LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL AND GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 94 IN BERRIEN COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ MIZ078-011800- /O.COR.KIWX.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T1800Z/ CASS MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS 1009 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE MAINLY THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF CASS COUNTY THROUGH LATE MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER NOON. * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR SO ARE EXPECTED THROUGH NOON WITH GENERAL STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING. * LIGHT TO MODERATE AND GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ INZ004-011800- /O.EXT.KIWX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130201T1800Z/ /O.CON.KIWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T1800Z/ ST. JOSEPH IN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE... WALKERTON 1009 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT TO MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING. * GENERAL STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR 6 INCHES OVER NORTHERN ST. JOSEPH COUNTY. * WIND CHILL READINGS WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 10 AND 20 BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING. * WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH AIR TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE EXPECTED. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING. * MODERATE SNOWFALL WILL LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE INDIANA TOLL ROAD. * PROLONGED EXPOSURE MAY LEAD TO FROST BITE ON EXPOSED SKIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ INZ003-005-006-008-009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ015-016-024- 025-011800- /O.CON.KIWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T1800Z/ LA PORTE-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL- FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH- HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-PAULDING-PUTNAM- VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...ELKHART... GOSHEN...NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX... NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE... PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES... SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON... MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO... WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON... OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND... HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...PAULDING... ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...FORT JENNINGS... VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...SPENCERVILLE 1009 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 /909 AM CST FRI FEB 1 2013/ ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ THIS AFTERNOON... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIND CHILL READINGS WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 10 BELOW AND 20 BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING. * WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH AIR TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE EXPECTED. IMPACTS... * PROLONGED EXPOSURE MAY LEAD TO FROST BITE ON EXPOSED SKIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
930 WWUS43 KIWX 011807 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 107 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...BITTERLY COLD WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW DIMINISHING... .LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS BERRIEN AND EXTREME NORTHWEST CASS COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE AREA ARE EXPECTED TO BE AN INCH OR LESS BUT WILL ADD TO HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS WITH AREAS OF REDUCED VISIBILITIES. MIZ078-011915- /O.EXP.KIWX.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T1800Z/ CASS MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS 107 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. ALTHOUGH A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS MAY PERSIST ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN CASS COUNTY...ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT WITH NO ADDITIONAL IMPACTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * SEND REPORTS TO NWS NORTHERN INDIANA OR VISIT WEATHER.GOV/IWX FOR MORE INFORMATION. && $$ INZ004-011915- /O.EXP.KIWX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130201T1800Z/ /O.EXP.KIWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T1800Z/ ST. JOSEPH IN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE... WALKERTON 107 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS HAVE MOVED NORTH OF THE AREA. A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON BUT LITTLE IMPACT IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURES HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE TEENS...ALLOWING WIND CHILLS TO RISE SOMEWHAT. WIND CHILLS OF ZERO TO 10 BELOW ARE STILL EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * SEND REPORTS TO NWS NORTHERN INDIANA OR VISIT WEATHER.GOV/IWX FOR MORE INFORMATION. && $$ INZ003-005-006-008-009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ015-016-024- 025-011915- /O.EXP.KIWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T1800Z/ LA PORTE-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL- FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH- HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-PAULDING-PUTNAM- VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...ELKHART... GOSHEN...NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX... NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE... PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES... SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON... MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO... WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON... OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND... HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...PAULDING... ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...FORT JENNINGS... VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...SPENCERVILLE 107 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 /1207 PM CST FRI FEB 1 2013/ ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. TEMPERATURES HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE TEENS...ALLOWING WIND CHILLS TO RISE SOMEWHAT. WIND CHILLS OF ZERO TO 10 BELOW ARE STILL EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * SEND REPORTS TO NWS NORTHERN INDIANA OR VISIT WEATHER.GOV/IWX FOR MORE INFORMATION. && $$ MIZ077-012100- /O.CON.KIWX.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T2100Z/ BERRIEN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH... BUCHANAN 107 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE MAINLY NORTH OF ROUTE 12 THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO LOCALLY 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHERN BERRIEN COUNTY. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS TO 5 TO LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 9 INCHES. IMPACTS... * UNTREATED ROADWAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING. * LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL AND GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 94 IN BERRIEN COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
296 WWUS43 KIWX 012010 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 310 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 MIZ077-012115- /O.CAN.KIWX.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130201T2100Z/ BERRIEN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH... BUCHANAN 310 PM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS HAVE PUSHED MAINLY NORTH OF BERRIEN COUNTY WITH ONLY A FEW FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS REMAINING ACROSS FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * SEND REPORTS TO NWS NORTHERN INDIANA OR VISIT WEATHER.GOV/IWX FOR MORE INFORMATION. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Jan 31, 7:00 AM EST, 4 hours 53 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 7:00 AM EST, 4 hours 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
700 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013
.AVIATION... /12 UTC TAFS/
LITTLE SUBSTANTIVE CHNGS WRT 12 UTC TAFS FOR NRN IN. SLIGHT LULL IN
SFC WIND SPEEDS...THOUGH SITLL ANTICIPATE INCRS WITH MORE SIG GUSTS
BY MID/LATE AM AS LAPSE RATES STEEPEND THROUGH A MORE DEEPER LYR FM
SFC TO AROUND 850 MB...AFORDING GRTR MOMENTUM XFER. CONTD VEERING
FLOW THIS EVENING SHOULD AFFORD HEAVIER SNOWBANDS INTO KSBN VCNTY TO
LKLY DETERIORATE INTO IFR/OCNL LIFR CONDS GIVEN XTRM INSTABILITY.
&&
.SHORT TERM... /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
DIFFICULT SHORT TERM WRT LES EVENT/RATIOS/HEADLINES. DEPARTING
INTENSE 975 MB SFC LOW ACRS FAR SRN QUEBEC WITH WWD TROF EXTENSION
INTO BURGEONING NRN LAKE AGGREGATE TROF THIS AM. DECENT LES SETUP
ALREADY IN EFFECT WITH DECENT SYNOPTIC MSTR /RELATIVE TO COLD
THERMAL PROFILE/ ACRS WRN GRTLKS WITHIN BROAD/DEEP MID
TROPOSPHERIC TROF. UPSTREAM SHORTWAVES TO GARNER
SUSTENANCE/SLOWING OF LONGWAVE TROFS EWD PROGRESSION THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND...KEEPING TEMPS QUITE COLD. FIRST SHORTWAVE ACRS
DAKOTAS/MN BORDER AT PRESENT TO DIG THROUGH SRN GRTLKS THIS
EVENING. INADVOF FEATURE CLOUD BEARING FLOW TO BACK THROUGH THE
DAY TO ABOUT 270 DEGREE FETCH. THIS WILL ALLOW STRONGEST LES BANDS
TO PULL NWD INTO CNTL LWR MI...JUST AS INTENSE BAND AROUND 05-06
UTC FM NEAR KLWA-KAZO-KADG HAS SHIFTED NWD ALREADY. SHORTWAVE
FEATURE TO TEMPORARILY SHUT DOWN UPSTREAM/WRN LK SUPR
PRECONDITIONING UNTIL PASSAGE THROUGH FAR SRN LK MI THIS EVE.
FOLLOWED CLOSE TO WRF/NAM SIGNALS WRT BAND PLACEMENT WITH ACK OF
TYPICAL MODEL CONVERGENCE BANDS PLACED SLIGHTLY S OF OBSERVED
BAND. CLOUD BEARING FLOW TO VEER THIS EVENING TO 285 DEGREES AT 00
UTC THEN ALIGN ABOUT 300-310 DEGREES WITH LESSENED LYR SHEAR
OVERNIGHT. THIS TO ALLOW RECAPTURE OF LK SUPR MSTR AND WITH XTRM
LK/8H THERMAL DIFFERENTIALS WELL INTO THE LWR 20S OVERNIGHT ALONG
WITH S/WV EFFECTIVE REMOVAL OF CAPPING INVERSION TO AFFORD
EFFECTIVE EQL OF 7-9 KFT WITH 500-700 J/KG LAKE INDUCED CAPE FOR
SEVERAL HOURS. DEEP MSTR AT PEAK TAPPING INTO STELLAR LK/7H
DIFFERENTIALS AROUND 30C. ALSO OF NOTE IS MODEL MUCAPE ACRS
CNTL/SRN LK MI IN 100-150 J/KG RANGE. AVERAGED MULTI-MODEL/MULTI
METHOD COBB POINTS JUST N OF CWA YIELD 3-6 INCHES AND WELL EXPECT
EXTENT ION OF SIMILAR IF NOT LOCALLY HIR AMOUNTS INTO CWA. THE FAR
NRN BANDS THAT SHOULD ENTER NRN/NWRN ST. JOSEPH WILL HAVE THE
LONGEST DURATION OF PRECONDITIONING AND HAVE EXTENDED THE LES
ADVISORY FURTHER EWD BY ONE COUNTY. STILL EXPECT THE STRONGEST
BANDS JUST NORTH OF CWA...WITH SUSTENANCE INTO WRN LK ERIE FOR
MULTI-LAKE CONDITIONING INTO NCNTL/NERN OH.
INTENSE ARCTIC SFC HIGH POISED OVR ALB/SASK THIS AM...TO DROP
RAPIDLY SEWD INTO CNTL MO BY 12 UTC FRI AND THEN WRAP EWD TO
CAROLINAS BY 12 UTC SAT. LES BANDS WILL ONCE AGAIN SHIFT NWD INTO
ONLY MI COUNTIES AS NERN FRINGE OF SFC HIGH NUDGES INTO SRN LK MI.
LWRG SUBSIDENCE INVERSION TO QUICKLY HALT SIG ACCUMS BY ABOUT 15
UTC FRI. ON HEELS OF RIDGE WL BE A QUICK CLIPPER SYSTEM. I275K
ASCENT AND QUICK SATURATION OF COLD AIRMASS SHOULD PROVIDE QUICK
BURST OF SNOW ESPCLY IN ISENT LIFT FAVORED WRN COUNTIES LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT. BULK MSTR SHOULD KEEP AMOUNTS GNRLY ONE INCH OR
LESS...COUNTERED BY VERY HIGH SNOW/LIQUID RATIOS.
&&
.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
BARRAGE OF CLIPPER SYSTEMS EXPECTED THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD
WITH PERSISTENT NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES OVER EASTERN CANADA AND
BROAD RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN CONUS LEAVING OUR REGION IN
PREDOMINATELY NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW. FIRST SUCH VORT MAX
ASSOCIATED WITH A RESPECTABLE MIDLEVEL JET STREAK WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. CVA WILL INCITE A DECENT INCREASE IN
700MB OMEGA BUT MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED WITH 850MB SPECIFIC
HUMIDITIES ONLY AROUND 2 G/KG. STILL SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES AMONG
THE LATEST NWP MEMBERS SO WILL CONTINUE WITH MID RANGE CHANCE POPS
FOR BOTH SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
LIGHT...PERHAPS 1-2 INCHES AT BEST. LAKE EFFECT SNOW REMAINS AN
OUTSIDE POSSIBILITY ON SUNDAY MORNING BUT 00Z GFS BUFR SOUNDINGS
STILL INDICATE LOW INVERSION HEIGHTS WITH A VERY DRY BACKGROUND
AIRMASS. WILL THEREFORE LEAVE OUT ANY PRECIP MENTION ON SUNDAY FOR
NOW. NEXT LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY.
AGAIN...LIMITED MOISTURE AND THE BEST FORCING/ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL
BE NORTH OF THE LOW TRACK...CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS
MICHIGAN. WILL MAINTAIN LOW CHANCE POPS GIVEN IT IS STILL 4 DAYS
AWAY BUT IF MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE...WOULDNT BE SURPRISED IF MONDAY
IS DRY FOR MOST OF THE AREA. YET ANOTHER CLIPPER WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION ON TUESDAY WITH A VERY SIMILAR SETUP TO THE PREVIOUS.
THIS MAY BE THE LAST TRUE ALBERTA CLIPPER THOUGH AS PACIFIC ENERGY
IS EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY BREAK DOWN THE WEST COAST RIDGE...FORCING
A MORE ZONAL BUT STILL ACTIVE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN FOR THE LATTER
HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD WILL GRADUALLY MODERATE THROUGH
MONDAY WITH INCREASING WAA. HIGHS OVER THE WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE
IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S BEFORE A BRIEF PERIOD OF SOUTHWEST FLOW
PUSHES HIGHS TO ALMOST 40F ON MONDAY. THIS MEANS THAT IF ANY PRECIP
DOES OCCUR IT MAY END UP BEING IN THE FORM OF RAIN. NO ARCTIC AIR
BEHIND THIS WAVE THOUGH WITH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
ONLY DROPPING BACK TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST
FRIDAY FOR MIZ077>079.
OH...NONE.
LM...GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY FOR LMZ043-046.
&&
SHORT TERM...MURPHY
LONG TERM...AGD
AVIATION...MURPHYHazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 6:06 AM EST, 5 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 606 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ080-081-OHZ001-002-004-005- 015-016-024-025-011115- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE- PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN- MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BRANCH- HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT- ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON... WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE... MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH... NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR... BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...COLDWATER... HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON... PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 606 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 /506 AM CST THU JAN 31 2013/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO... SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 5 BELOW TO 15 BELOW ZERO TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY EVENING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX MIZ077>079-011115- BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH... BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS 606 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BEGIN TO INTENSIFY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS MAY BE OCCASIONALLY HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AS WELL. WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 0 TO 10 BELOW ZERO TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH IN INTENSITY ON FRIDAY. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY EVENING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SNOWFALL REPORTS ARE GREATLY APPRECIATED. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX LMZ043-046-011115- NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 606 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A GALE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON SUNDAY. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jan 31, 6:26 AM EST, 5 hours 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 626 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004- 005-015-016-024-025-311530- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB- STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN- WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD- JAY-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS- FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN... NAPPANEE...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX... NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE... PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...CULVER...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES... SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON... MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO... WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON... OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND... HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...NILES... BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS... MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...WHITE PIGEON...MENDON... COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE... BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE... SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER... PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA... FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA... SPENCERVILLE 626 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 /526 AM CST THU JAN 31 2013/ ...ICY ROADS IN SPOTS THIS MORNING... THE COMBINATION OF LIGHT SNOW FALLING ONTO WET ROADS AND A FLASH FREEZE AS TEMPERATURES PLUMMETED THROUGH THE 20S OVERNIGHT...HAS CAUSED UNTREATED ROADWAYS TO BECOME ICY IN SPOTS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. PARKING LOTS AND SIDEWALKS WILL ALSO BE SLIPPERY.
Local storm report, Jan 31, 8:24 AM EST, 3 hours 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
824 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW 4 NW SOUTH BEND 41.70N 86.31W
01/31/2013 M1.6 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN ASOS
1.6 INCHES 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM THURSDAY.
0728 AM SNOW 1 E GEORGETOWN 41.73N 86.21W
01/31/2013 E1.5 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN BROADCAST MEDIA
0748 AM SNOW BURR OAK 41.85N 85.32W
01/31/2013 E2.0 INCH ST. JOSEPH MI FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
0750 AM SNOW N ELKHART 41.68N 85.98W
01/31/2013 E1.0 INCH ELKHART IN PUBLIC
0754 AM SNOW COLOMA 42.19N 86.31W
01/31/2013 E2.0 INCH BERRIEN MI PUBLIC
1.5 TO 2 INCHES IN THE COLOMA AND WATERVLIET AREA
0809 AM SNOW DOWAGIAC 41.98N 86.11W
01/31/2013 E2.5 INCH CASS MI PUBLIC
&&
FISHERSpecial weather statement, Jan 31, 9:00 AM EST, 2 hours 53 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 900 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 INZ004>006-MIZ077>079-311430- BERRIEN MI-CASS MI-ELKHART IN-LAGRANGE IN-ST. JOSEPH MI-ST. JOSEPH IN- 900 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 849 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 INCH PER HOUR...ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 16 MILES WEST OF BUCHANAN TO ROSELAND TO DUNLAP...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. VISIBILITIES IN THIS SNOW BAND WILL FALL BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES WITH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH PER HOUR...CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON AREA ROADS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE INDIANA TOLL ROAD IN ST. JOSEPH AND ELKHART COUNTIES. LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS BAND OF HEAVY SNOW INCLUDE... GRANGER... BUCHANAN... SIMONTON LAKE...NILES AND MIDDLEBURY... BERTRAND... SHIPSHEWANA...ADAMSVILLE AND BARRON LAKE... ROADS WILL BE SNOW PACKED...SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION SAFELY. SLOW DOWN AND LEAVE PLENTY OF SPACE BETWEEN YOUR VEHICLE AND THE ONE AHEAD OF YOU. NG
Local storm report, Jan 31, 9:29 AM EST, 2 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
929 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW EDWARDSBURG 41.80N 86.08W
01/31/2013 E3.0 INCH CASS MI PUBLIC
0900 AM SNOW 2 E CONSTANTINE 41.84N 85.63W
01/31/2013 M2.0 INCH ST. JOSEPH MI COCORAHS
0900 AM SNOW WAKARUSA 41.54N 86.02W
01/31/2013 M1.6 INCH ELKHART IN COCORAHS
0900 AM SNOW 3 W NILES 41.83N 86.31W
01/31/2013 M1.5 INCH BERRIEN MI COCORAHS
0900 AM SNOW 3 W GRANGER 41.75N 86.17W
01/31/2013 M2.8 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN COCORAHS
0900 AM SNOW 6 NNE JONESVILLE 42.06N 84.62W
01/31/2013 M1.0 INCH HILLSDALE MI COCORAHS
0900 AM SNOW 2 SW LA PORTE 41.59N 86.74W
01/31/2013 M1.3 INCH LA PORTE IN COCORAHS
0900 AM SNOW 1 ESE BUCHANAN 41.82N 86.34W
01/31/2013 M2.5 INCH BERRIEN MI COCORAHS
0900 AM SNOW 6 ENE WALKERTON 41.50N 86.38W
01/31/2013 M1.0 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN COCORAHS
&&
FISHERThe office that day
Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 11:53 AM EST | Lake Effect Snow Advisory | IWX | Branch, Saint Joseph | 25 hr |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Michigan, 2013Every lake effect snow warning in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.