Gale Warning 18, NWS Northern Indiana

469 
WHUS73 KIWX 181541
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1041 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

LMZ043-046-182100-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1041 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS: WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 5 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

743 
WHUS73 KIWX 182041
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
341 PM EST MON NOV 18 2013

LMZ043-046-190445-
/O.CAN.KIWX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KIWX.SC.Y.0079.131118T2041Z-131119T0900Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
341 PM EST MON NOV 18 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY.
THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS: WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. 

* WAVES: 4 TO 8 FEET SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1242 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 555 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA TONIGHT BEHIND A
STRONG COLD FRONT. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING...WITH
BREEZY CONDITIONS PERSISTING INTO MONDAY. QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 228 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED THIS AFTN/EARLY EVE...

A STRONGLY FORCED LINE OF CONVECTION IN THE ACT OF CONGEALING INTO A
LEWP/QLCS (AS OF 19Z) NEAR THE INDIANA/ILLINOIS BORDER WILL CONTINUE
EAST AND IMPACT THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EARLY EVENING. PDS TORNADO WATCH WARRANTED GIVEN INCREDIBLE
SHEAR/FLOW (0-1 KM SHEAR TO 45 KNOTS AND DEEP LAYER EFFECTIVE SHEAR
TO 70 KNOTS) AND ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT A HIGH RISK FOR
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THIS LINE.
SOME MLCIN EXISTS THANKS TO PERSISTENT LOW STRATUS AND SHOWERS SO
FAR TODAY. HOWEVER...NARROW CORRIDOR OF LOW 60S SFC DEWPOINTS ON
EASTERN FRINGE OF COLD POCKET ALOFT SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO REDUCE MLCIN
AND INCREASE MLCAPE TO BTW 400-800 J/KG JUST AHEAD OF THIS LINE.

SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE DANGEROUS WX IS EXTREMELY DYNAMIC WITH
NEGATIVE TILT TO DEEP PV ANOMALY (NOW NEAR THE IL/IA BORDER) AND
IMPRESSIVE 120 KT MID LVL JET UNDERCUTTING INTO THE OH VALLEY.
THIS, STRONG MID LVL DCVA, UPPER LVL DVRG, AND DEEP MOISTURE WITH
WAVE WILL ALLOW A 992 MB SFC LOW ACROSS SRN WI (AS OF 19Z) TO
DEEPEN NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. ASSOCIATED
STRONG ISALLOBARIC GRADIENT / RISE FALL COUPLET / SHOULD SUPPORT
A FEW GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH JUST BEHIND THE SFC COLD FRONT
LATER THIS AFTN AND EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE OVERNIGHT
INTO MONDAY AS SYSTEM LIFTS OUT AND LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE/DRYING
OVERSPREADS THE LOWER LAKES AND OH VALLEY. CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW
LAKE EFFECT SPRINKLES/FLURRIES IN LOW LEVEL CAA REGIME AND WNW
BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW TRAJECTORIES...ALTHOUGH DRY AIR SHOULD WIN OUT
WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED. LINGERING MODEST SFC PRESSURE
GRADIENT IN WAKE OF SYSTEM WILL KEEP WINDS UP A BIT TOMORROW WITH
GUST 25-30 MPH POSSIBLE.

&&

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 331 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE TO THE LONG TERM FORECAST WITH FOCUS ON
NEAR/SHORT TERM CONVECTIVE TRENDS. QUIET WEATHER AND SEASONABLE
TEMPS CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS FLOW FLATTENS AND
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. LOW CHANCES FOR RAIN LATE IN
THE WEEK AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DROPS SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA IN
DEVELOPING SOUTHWEST FLOW IN ADVANCE OF A FRACTURED UPPER TROUGH.
LAST SEVERAL MODEL CYCLES HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT IN
AMPLIFYING/DIGGING THE NORTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH INTO THE
EASTERN CONUS WHICH WOULD SUPPORT A SIGNIFICANT COOL DOWN AND
CHANCES FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW BY NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1239 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

WRAP AROUND STRATO CU WAS OVER NRN INDIANA WITH MVFR CIGS EARLY
THIS MORNING. THIS CLOUD DECK SHOULD GRDLY MOVE OUT OF THE AREA
THIS MORNING WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND ONLY SCT CLOUDS THE REST OF
THE PERIOD. BRISK W-NW WINDS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY AS
STRONG LOW LEVEL MIXING CONTS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH MONDAY EVE AS
RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA AND SFC BASED INVERSION DVLPS.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...STORM WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR LMZ043-046.

&&

SYNOPSIS...STEINWEDEL
SHORT TERM...STEINWEDEL
LONG TERM...STEINWEDEL
AVIATION...JT

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.NORTHERNIN.GOV
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSIWX
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
525 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-181030-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
525 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013 /425 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
POSSIBLY TORNADOES... ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE AREA BY EARLY AFTERNOON... THEN TRANSITION TO A LINE OF
SEVERE STORMS WITH WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES AS THEY MOVE ACROSS OUR AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOVING EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 50
TO 60 MPH. IN ADDITION... IT WILL BE VERY WINDY TODAY AND
TONIGHT... EVEN OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY... ESPECIALLY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING WHEN WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
THIS EVENING.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-181030-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
525 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. A STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. IN
ADDITION... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 50 KNOTS AND
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL LINGER INTO MONDAY
NIGHT.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1004 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WETZEL                  40.95N  84.44W
11/17/2013                   VAN WERT           OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

            3 CAMPERS WERE ROLLED AND SEVERAL OTHERS KNOCKED OFF
            BASES AT A STORAGE AREA. POWERLINES DOWN.

&&

LASHLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1008 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BERRIEN SPRINGS         41.95N  86.34W
11/17/2013                   BERRIEN            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            10 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMB BLOWN DOWN. ALSO REPORTED
            HEARING OF OTHER TREES AND LIMBS DOWN IN THE AREA FROM
            NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

&&

LASHLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1029 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0417 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WNW HESSEN CASSEL     40.99N  85.12W
11/17/2013                   ALLEN              IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            3 POLE BARNS DESTROYED...GRAIN SILO HAD TOP REMOVED.
            POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE. INTERSECTION OF FERGUSON RD AND
            THIELE RD.

&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

NG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1032 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 2 WNW POTTAWATTOMIE PAR 41.74N  86.91W
11/17/2013  M83 MPH          LMZ046             IN   C-MAN STATION

&&

JT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1033 PM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 2 WSW SAINT JOSEPH      42.10N  86.52W
11/17/2013  M57 MPH          LMZ043             MI   C-MAN STATION

&&

JT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1224 AM EST MON NOV 18 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0559 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 SW FORT WAYNE         40.98N  85.19W
11/17/2013  M58 MPH          ALLEN              IN   ASOS

&&

JT