Gale Warning 1, NWS Northern Indiana

041 
WHUS73 KIWX 160345
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1045 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

LMZ043-046-161145-
/O.EXT.KIWX.GL.W.0001.130116T1200Z-130116T2300Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1045 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS WEDNESDAY...WITH
  A FEW GUSTS TO 35 KNOT GALES LATE MORNING INTO LATE AFTERNOON.

* WAVES: BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FEET WEDNESDAY. WAVES SUBSIDING TO 3
  TO 6 FEET LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

560 
WHUS73 KIWX 160910
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
410 AM EST WED JAN 16 2013

LMZ043-046-161715-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0001.130116T1200Z-130116T2300Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
410 AM EST WED JAN 16 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS MORNING. A
  FEW GUSTS TO 35 KNOT GALES LATE MORNING INTO LATE AFTERNOON.

* WAVES: BUILDING TO 4 TO 8 FEET TODAY...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

750 
WHUS73 KIWX 161548
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1048 AM EST WED JAN 16 2013

LMZ043-046-162300-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130116T2300Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
1048 AM EST WED JAN 16 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS THIS MORNING. A FEW GUSTS TO 35
  KNOT GALES THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

* WAVES: BUILDING TO 4 TO 8 FEET TODAY...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 6 
  FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

447 
WHUS73 KIWX 162204
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
504 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

LMZ043-046-162315-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130116T2300Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
504 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. GUSTS TO 35 KNOT GALES THROUGH
  6 PM EST.

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

727 
WHUS73 KIWX 162259
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
559 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

LMZ043-046-170700-
/O.EXP.KIWX.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130116T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KIWX.SC.Y.0007.130116T2300Z-130118T1600Z/
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
559 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST FRIDAY.
THE GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT. GUSTS
  TO 30 KNOTS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS LATE
  EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WEST TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS THURSDAY
  AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FEET THURSDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN
4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
333 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

CU FIELD IN NW AREAS HAS QUICKLY DISSIPATED WITH MAIN FEATURE BEING
A EXPANDING MID/HIGH CLOUD DECK THAT HAS BEEN OVERSPREADING THE
AREA. UPSTREAM SAT/OBS DATA SUGGEST THIS WILL REMAIN A ISSUE THROUGH
AT LEAST THIS EVENING. HAVE INCREASED SKY COVER MOST LOCATIONS THIS
EVENING. NW LOCATIONS SHOULD SEE A CLEARING TREND OVERNIGHT.
HOWEVER...LOCATIONS IN SE WILL SEE CLOUD COVER REMAIN THE SAME IF
NOT INCREASE FURTHER AS ENERGY FROM SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM CURRENTLY
PRODUCING FREEZING RAIN/SLEET AND SNOW WELL SOUTH AND EAST OF US
MOVES INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. RAISED TEMPS ACROSS THE BOARD ALL
AREAS GIVEN THE INSOLATION FROM THE CLOUDS THIS EVENING ALL AREAS
AND SE LATER TONIGHT.

HI RES MODELS SHOW A SMALL WINDOW OF CLEARING WEDS MORNING ACROSS
THE AREA WITH PREV GRIDS HANDLING WELL. TEMPS WILL CLIMB TOWARDS OR
JUST ABOVE FREEZING WITH CURRENT GRIDS HAVING A GOOD HANDLE. TRACK
OF THE ANTICIPATED CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVING NORTH OF THE AREA IS EVEN
FURTHER NORTH IN NEWEST MODEL RUNS. DESPITE THIS...FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM STILL WORKS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.
MAIN LIFT AND DEEPEST MSTR WILL BE TOO FAR AWAY TO BE OF ANY
SIGNIFICANCE...BUT MINOR CONTRIBUTION FROM LK MI WILL HELP INCREASE
CLOUD COVER AND GIVE AT LEAST A SHOT FOR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR
FLURRIES. KEPT WITH PREV FORECAST FOR NOW WITH CONFIDENCE IN
ANYTHING OCCURRING IN THESE AREA LOWERING.

&&

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PROGRESSIVE NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH TO TRACK ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
REGION WEDNESDAY. OPPORTUNITY FOR ANY MOISTURE ADVECTION OF NOTE
APPEARS TO BE VERY MINIMAL AND ANY PRECIP CHANCES WITH THIS TROUGH
SHOULD BE CONFINED WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA. BRIEF SHOT OF COLD
ADVECTION MAY CLIP FAR NORTHERN LOCATIONS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS
WAVE...BUT RAPIDLY BUILDING MID LEVEL HEIGHTS SHOULD ALLOW FOR
MODERATING LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. COOLEST
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE FAR NORTHEAST WHERE ONSET OF
HEIGHT RISES SHOULD BE MORE DELAYED. LOW LEVEL RIDGE AXIS TO SETTLE
ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING...AND HAVE TRIED TO INDICATE A NON
DIURNAL TEMPERATURE TREND WITH LATE EVENING LOW TEMPERATURES...AND
THEN STEADY OR SLOWLY RISING TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT AS STRONGER
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW DEVELOPS.

FOCUS FOR REMAINDER OF FORECAST WILL CONTINUE TO FOCUS ON EVOLUTION
OF SOUTHERN STREAM CUT OFF LOW AS IT EJECTS NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
MID MS RIVER VALLEY. OVERALL SPREAD IN DETERMINISTIC/ENSEMBLE
SOLUTIONS HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL RUNS. 12Z ECMWF/GEM
DETERMINISTIC SOLUTIONS HAVE SLOWED UPPER TROUGH A BIT AND REMAIN
SLOWER THAN THE MORE PROGRESSIVE GFS/GEFS. SREF 500 HPA HEIGHTS ALSO
EXHIBIT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER EVOLUTION THAN THE TYPICALLY PROGRESSIVELY
BIASED GFS/GEFS. WITH THIS MIND...HAVE CONTINUED TO STEER FORECAST
MORE TOWARD A ECMWF/SREF BLEND. THIS TIMING WOULD PUT HIGHEST POPS
INTO THE THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING TIME PERIOD. CURRENT FORECASTED
TRACK SHOULD ALLOW A NARROW...WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY AXIS TO
DEVELOP...PARTICULARLY ACROSS FAR SOUTH/SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF AREA
WHERE HAVE MENTIONED SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER THURSDAY EVENING.
GIVEN INCREASING CONFIDENCE IN TRACK...SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TRANSPORT ASSOCIATED WITH LOW LEVEL JET AND INCREASING
UPPER DIFFLUENCE...HAVE INCREASED POPS TO LIKELY FOR THIS PERIOD.
SOME FAIRLY HEALTHY RAINFALL AMOUNTS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THIS PERIOD
DUE TO ABOVE FACTORS. SOME LINGERING LIGHT RAIN MAY PERSIST INTO
FRIDAY BUT HAVE MAINTAINED DRY FRIDAY NIGHT WITH SHALLOW LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE SUPPORTING THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE.

A SHIFT TO MORE OF A FULL LATITUDE WAVE PATTERN IN THE FORM OF
WESTERN CONUS TROUGH/EASTERN CONUS RIDGE STILL APPEARS TO BE IN
STORE FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH LOCAL AREA EXPECTED TO BE IN WARM
SECTOR AT LEAST THROUGH SATURDAY. SMALLER SCALE SHORT WAVES LIFTING
THROUGH THIS LONGWAVE PATTERN SHOULD SUPPORT GOOD CHANCE OF PERIODIC
SHOWERS WITH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDER A POSSIBILITY. EASTWARD MIGRATION
OF LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL EVENTUALLY SUPPORT SOME SNOW BY LATE
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AS COLD FRONT TRACKS THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY.

&&

.AVIATION...
POTENTIAL FOR A PERIOD OF MVFR CU LINGERS AT KSBN WITH SCT CU NOW
FORMING WITH BASES AROUND 2200 FT. HAVE MODIFIED THE TEMPO GROUP
AND EXTENDED A FEW HOURS BEFORE LOSS OF LIMITED HEATING BRINGS CU
DEVELOPMENT TO AN END. OTHERWISE HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE IN AND
PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES ON WEDS/WEDS NGT.
IMPACTS TO BOTH TAF SITES APPEAR LIMITED AND IF OCCURRING CONFINED
TO OUTSIDE THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
ADJACENT MARINE ZONES HAVE UPGRADED TO GALE WARNINGS. WILL
HESITANTLY FOLLOW SUIT WITH AFTERNOON PACKAGE. VERY SMALL...MARGINAL
WINDOW FOR A FEW GALE FORCE GUSTS LATE MORNING INTO EARLY WEDS
AFTERNOON. PERIOD OF ADVISORY CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL
EXIST STARTING AFTER SUNRISE WEDS. WILL KEEP WITH ONE HEADLINE.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...GALE WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LMZ043-046.

&&

SHORT TERM...FISHER
LONG TERM...MARSILI
AVIATION...FISHER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
547 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-161100-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
547 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013 /447 AM CST TUE JAN 15 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE REFERENCE RIVER FLOOD PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE FOR
THE LATEST RIVER FORECAST AND FLOOD INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

EXTREME COLD WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH
NEAR OR SUB ZERO TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE. BELOW ZERO WIND CHILL
TEMPERATURES ALSO APPEAR LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-161100-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
547 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL DEVELOP AGAIN BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY. SOUTHWESTERLY GALE FORCE GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY. HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL
LIKELY EXTEND THROUGH THURSDAY...AND COULD DEVELOP AGAIN THIS
WEEKEND.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE