River Flood Warning 151, NWS Indianapolis, IN

012 
WGUS83 KIND 281810
FLSIND
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
210 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN
WESTERN INDIANA...

  WABASH RIVER...


.LOWLAND FLOODING WILL DEVELOP ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WABASH RIVER IN
WESTERN INDIANA THIS WEEK AND INTO EARLY JUNE.  SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
IS NOT EXPECTED.

HIGH WATER WILL AFFECT A FEW RURAL ROADS...LOW AGRICULTURAL LAND AND
SOME RIVER PARKS.  FLOODING WILL BEGIN TONIGHT IN THE LAFAYETTE AREA
AND SPREAD DOWNSTREAM TO NEAR VINCENNES BY EARLY JUNE.

RAINFALL OF 2 TO NEARLY 4 INCHES FELL DURING THE WEEKEND IN NORTHERN
INDIANA.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF NEARLY AN INCH IS EXPECTED BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING.  MORE RAINFALL FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
COULD CAUSE HIGHER FLOOD CRESTS AND PROLONG FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD NEVER DRIVE INTO FLOOD WATER. TURN AROUND AND GO 
ANOTHER WAY. KEEP CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS.  RECREATIONAL AND
AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING RIVER 
CONDITIONS.

FOR DETAILED FLOOD INFORMATION GO TO WEATHER.GOV/IND ON THE WEB.  
FROM THE BLUE MENU BAR ON THE LEFT SIDE OF THE PAGE...CLICK ON RIVERS
AND LAKES.

&&

INC045-121-157-165-171-291810-
/O.CON.KIND.FL.W.0147.130529T0800Z-130601T0600Z/
/LAFI3.1.ER.130529T0800Z.130530T1200Z.130531T1800Z.NO/
210 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT LAFAYETTE.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  1:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 13.3 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 14.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING IS IN PROGRESS.  HIGH WATER AFFECTS 
  RIVER CABINS NEAR NORTH 9TH STREET.  LOW COUNTY ROADS ARE NEARLY 
  IMPASSABLE.  TAPAWINGO PARK IN WEST LAFAYETTE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

LAT...LON 4056 8673 4048 8688 4040 8709 4033 8709
      4040 8688 4054 8670             

$$

INC045-121-165-171-291810-
/O.CON.KIND.FL.W.0148.130530T0515Z-130601T1617Z/
/CVGI3.1.ER.130530T0515Z.130531T0000Z.130601T0417Z.NO/
210 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT COVINGTON.
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  1:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 17.5 FEET...SOME LOW AGRICULTURAL FIELDS FLOOD.  BACKYARD FLOOD 
  OF COTTAGES A SHORT DISTANCE NORTH OF US HIGHWAY 136.  HIGH WATER 
  BLOCKS LAND ACCESS TO AT LEAST ONE RESIDENCE.  FROM APRIL 21 TO MAY
  5, 2011 AT LEAST ONE SOUTH RIVER ROAD RESIDENT BOATED TO HIS HOUSE 
  BECAUSE OF PROLONGED HIGH WATER WHEN THE RIVER WAS ABOVE 17.5 FEET.

&&

LAT...LON 4040 8709 4020 8747 3997 8745 3997 8739
      4017 8737 4033 8709             

$$

INC121-165-167-291810-
/O.CON.KIND.FL.W.0149.130529T2000Z-130602T1021Z/
/MTZI3.1.ER.130529T2000Z.130531T1200Z.130601T2221Z.NO/
210 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT MONTEZUMA.
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT  1:46 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 18 FEET...MONTEZUMA AGRICULTURAL LEVEE IS OVERTOPPED.  FOURTEEN
  HUNDRED ACRES OF LOW BOTTOMLANDS FLOOD.  LOWEST BOTTOMLANDS FLOOD.

&&

LAT...LON 3997 8745 3985 8741 3977 8741 3977 8734
      3986 8734 3997 8739             

$$

ILC023-033-INC153-167-291810-
/O.CON.KIND.FL.W.0150.130530T2000Z-130603T0210Z/
/HUFI3.1.ER.130530T2000Z.130601T1200Z.130602T1410Z.NO/
210 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT TERRE HAUTE.
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  2:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.0 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 15.0 FEET...A FEW SLOUGHS AND A DRAINAGE HAVE WATER IN THEM IN 
  THE VICINITY OF SR 63 ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE WABASH RIVER.

&&

LAT...LON 3961 8741 3944 8747 3932 8763 3931 8757
      3943 8741 3961 8735             

$$

ILC033-101-INC083-153-291810-
/O.CON.KIND.FL.W.0151.130530T1640Z-130603T2120Z/
/HUTI2.1.ER.130530T1640Z.130602T0600Z.130603T0920Z.NO/
210 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT HUTSONVILLE.
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...SEEP WATER OCCURS BEHIND LEVEES ON INDIANA SIDE.  
  HUTSON CREEK BEGINS TO OVERFLOW FROM BACKWATER.  OLD DARWIN ROAD 
  AND A FEW RURAL ROADS IN EASTERN CLARK AND CRAWFORD COUNTIES IN 
  ILLINOIS ARE IMPASSABLE.  LOW AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODS.

&&

LAT...LON 3932 8763 3922 8761 3913 8767 3913 8764
      3923 8755 3931 8757             

$$

ILC033-101-INC083-153-291810-
/O.CON.KIND.FL.W.0152.130531T1800Z-130603T2217Z/
/RVTI3.1.ER.130531T1800Z.130603T0000Z.130603T1017Z.NO/
210 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT RIVERTON.
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  2:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.5 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 16.0 FEET...SOME AGRICULTURAL LANDS UNDERWATER.  A FEW RURAL 
  ROADS IN CRAWFORD COUNTY, ILLINOIS CLOSE AS WATER BACKS UP MINNOW 
  SLOUGH.  HIGH WATER AFFECTS CAMPGROUND AT LEAVERTON PARK IN 
  PALESTINE.  A FEW PRIVATE ROADS NEAR THE GILL TOWNSHIP LEVEE IN 
  SULLIVAN COUNTY MAY FLOOD.  WATER LEVEL IS AT THE TOP OF MOST 
  MAKESHIFT LEVEES.

&&

LAT...LON 3913 8767 3898 8758 3886 8757 3887 8750
      3898 8749 3913 8764             

$$

644 
WGUS83 KIND 291525
FLSIND
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1125 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2013

......THE FLOOD WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE 
FOLLOWING RIVER IN WESTERN INDIANA...

  WABASH RIVER...


.HEAVY RAIN DID NOT RETURN TO UPPER WABASH RIVER BASIN ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.  AS A RESULT...THE FLOOD WARNING FOR PORTIONS
OF THE WABASH RIVER IS CANCELLED AT THIS TIME AS LEVELS WILL ONLY
APPROACH BANKFULL LEVELS THROUGH THURSDAY.

HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.  RIVER FLOODING MAY STILL DEVELOP IN EARLY
JUNE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WABASH IN WESTERN INDIANA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ALERT TO FLOOD DEBRIS ON PREVIOUSLY FLOODED ROADS.  KEEP CHILDREN 
AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS.  RECREATIONAL AND AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS 
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING RIVER CONDITIONS.

FOR DETAILED FLOOD INFORMATION GO TO WEATHER.GOV/IND ON THE WEB.  
FROM THE BLUE MENU BAR ON THE LEFT SIDE OF THE PAGE...CLICK ON RIVERS
AND LAKES.

&&

INC045-121-157-165-171-291555-
/O.CAN.KIND.FL.W.0147.000000T0000Z-130601T0600Z/
/LAFI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1125 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT LAFAYETTE.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 10.6 FEET THIS
  AFTERNOON.


&&

LAT...LON 4056 8673 4048 8688 4040 8709 4033 8709
      4040 8688 4054 8670             

$$

INC045-121-165-171-291555-
/O.CAN.KIND.FL.W.0148.000000T0000Z-130601T1617Z/
/CVGI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1125 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT COVINGTON.
* AT 10:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 14.7 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.


&&

LAT...LON 4040 8709 4020 8747 3997 8745 3997 8739
      4017 8737 4033 8709             

$$

INC121-165-167-291555-
/O.CAN.KIND.FL.W.0149.000000T0000Z-130602T1021Z/
/MTZI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1125 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT MONTEZUMA.
* AT 10:46 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 13.1 FEET 
  TOMORROW MORNING.


&&

LAT...LON 3997 8745 3985 8741 3977 8741 3977 8734
      3986 8734 3997 8739             

$$

ILC023-033-INC153-167-291555-
/O.CAN.KIND.FL.W.0150.000000T0000Z-130603T0210Z/
/HUFI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1125 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT TERRE HAUTE.
* AT 11:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12.3 FEET 
  TOMORROW EVENING.


&&

LAT...LON 3961 8741 3944 8747 3932 8763 3931 8757
      3943 8741 3961 8735             

$$

ILC033-101-INC083-153-291555-
/O.CAN.KIND.FL.W.0151.000000T0000Z-130603T2120Z/
/HUTI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1125 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT HUTSONVILLE.
* AT  8:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 15.3 FEET 
  FRIDAY MORNING.


&&

LAT...LON 3932 8763 3922 8761 3913 8767 3913 8764
      3923 8755 3931 8757             

$$

ILC033-101-INC083-153-291555-
/O.CAN.KIND.FL.W.0152.000000T0000Z-130603T2217Z/
/RVTI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1125 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WABASH RIVER AT RIVERTON.
* AT 11:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 13.9 FEET 
  FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.


&&

LAT...LON 3913 8767 3898 8758 3886 8757 3887 8750
      3898 8749 3913 8764             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1009 AM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

.UPDATE...
THE AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 255 AM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

A WARM FRONT OVER NORTHERN INDIANA WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER FOCUS
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A VERY WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL BE
FOUND IN THE WAKE OF THE WARM FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA.
MEANWHILE SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCES ARE EXPECTED TO
PUSH OUT OF THE PLAINS STATES AND OVER THE FRONT. THIS WILL RESULT
IN MORE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY TODAY
AND TONIGHT...AND MOSTLY LIKELY CLOSEST TO THE WARM FRONT.

DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA...ALTHOUGH HUMID
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN.

MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AS SEVERAL MORE WEATHER SYSTEMS PUSH OUT OF THE PLAINS
STATES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM THROUGH
THE WORK WEEK THEN COOL TO NEAR AVERAGE FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /REST OF TODAY/...

ISSUED AT 939 AM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ILLINOIS WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE EAST TODAY. SOME SHOWERS OUT AHEAD OF THE LINE HAVE DISSIPATED.
INSTABILITY IS WEAK ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA AT THE MOMENT UNDER
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES.

CLOUDS SHOULD THIN OUT AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
THE FAR NORTH WHERE CLOUDS MAY PERSIST THANKS TO THE AFOREMENTIONED
STORMS. THIS THINNING SHOULD ALLOW FOR INSTABILITY TO BUILD...AND
REMNANTS OF STORMS ACROSS ILLINOIS COULD GAIN SOME STRENGTH ON THIS
INSTABILITY.

THEREFORE WENT LOW POPS NORTHWEST THIS MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR
WEAKENING SHOWERS SEEN ON RADAR...THEN WENT CHANCE POPS MOST AREAS
FOR THE AFTERNOON AS INSTABILITY BUILDS.

DID NOT ADJUST TEMPERATURES YET...BUT IF CLOUDS TAKE A LONG TIME TO
THIN MAY HAVE TO LOWER SOME LATER TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...

ISSUED AT 255 AM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

GFS AND NAM ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT OVERALL AND WILL USE A
BLEND. TONIGHT...YET ANOTHER SHORT WAVE IS PROJECTED OUT OF THE
CENTRAL PLAINS STATES AND ACROSS INDIANA. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD BE
WELL NORTH OF CENTRAL INDIANA BY THAT TIME...HOWEVER A VERY WARM
AND MOIST AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.
GIVEN THIS WILL USE A BLEND OF POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN 1/2 OF
THE FORECAST AREA...AND TREND TOWARDS A DRY FORECAST ACROSS THE
SOUTH WHERE FORCING AND DYNAMICS ARE LESS FAVORABLE. WILL TREND
TEMPS WARMER THAN MAVMOS GIVEN THE POSSIBLE PRECIP AND WARM AIR MASS.

GFS INDICATES AN UPPER RIDGE NOSING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY FROM THE
SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS CHANGES THE UPPER
FLOW IN THAT ANY PASSING SHORT WAVES PUSHING THROUGH THE FLOW
SHOULD PUSH WELL NORTH OF INDIANA...KEEPING OUR FORECAST AREA
WARM...HUMID AND VERY SUMMER LIKE. THUS WILL TREND TOWARD PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES AND TEMPS AT OR ABOVE MAVMOS.

THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED BLOCKING RIDGE SHIFTS EAST ON THURSDAY
AND THIS ALLOWS A NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH TO NOSE INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS. ONCE AGAIN A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES WILL BE PUSHING INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT. AGAIN...THE WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
ACROSS THE AREA WITH DEW POINTS STILL IN THE LOWER 60S. AGAIN
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW CAPE IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG WITH EASILY
ATTAINABLE CONVECTIVE TEMPS. THUS WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS IN THE
FORECAST FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WITH SEVERAL INGREDIENTS
FOR TSRA AVAILABLE. AGAIN WITH NO REACH CHANGE IN AIR MASS WILL
TREND TEMPS AT OR ABOVE MAVMOS FOR HIGHS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

ISSUED AT 255 AM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

ENSEMBLES INDICATE UNSETTLED WEATHER DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD AS
AN UPPER LOW...INITIALLY LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON
FRIDAY...GRADUALLY WEAKENS AND DRIFTS EAST ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WILL KEEP POPS GOING IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE
UPPER SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH. MOST OF THE ENSEMBLES INDICATE
THE PRECIPITATION THREAT WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA BY NEXT
MONDAY WITH THE UPPER TROUGH. WILL GO DRY AT THAT TIME.

&&

.AVIATION /UPDATE DISCUSSION FOR 281200Z TAFS/...

ISSUED AT 1010 AM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

CONVECTIVE GUSTS HAVE BEGUN MIXING TO SURFACE AND WILL BECOME
STRONGER...GUSTS 28KT...IN NEXT FEW HOURS. STORM CLUSTER FROM
CENTRAL ILLINOIS TO SOUTHWEST OF KSTL HAS WEAKENED IN NORTH HALF
BUT REMAINS ACTIVE FROM KSPI ON SOUTHWEST. WILL INTRODUCE THUNDER
IN VICINITY TO TAFS SINCE NOT CURRENTLY FORECAST. OTHERWISE VFR
CIGS AND VISIBILITY WITH CLOUDS AND THUNDER THREAT INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION ISSUED AT 635 AM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013...

REMNANTS OF CONVECTIVE COMPLEX CURRENTLY MOVING INTO WESTERN
ILLINOIS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING INTO THE AREA AFTER ABOUT 281500Z.
SCATTERED CONVECTION POSSIBLE WITH THIS FEATURE LATER TODAY AS
MODELS SUGGEST AIR MASS WILL BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE...HOWEVER
AIR MASS MAY ALSO BE MORE CAPPED OFF TODAY COMPARED TO THE PAST
COUPLE OF DAYS GIVEN THE AREA WILL BE WELL WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR.
AT THIS POINT...THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDER DIRECTLY IMPACTING A
TERMINAL IS TOO SMALL TO MENTION...BUT MAY NEED TO ADDED LATER WHEN
CONVECTIVE TRENDS BECOME MORE CLEAR. EXPECTED CONVECTIVE CLOUD BASES
030-040.

MODEL DATA SUGGEST GOOD POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE WIND GUSTS 25-28 KTS
FROM 190-210 DEGREES AFTER 281500Z.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...PUMA
NEAR TERM...50
SHORT TERM...PUMA
LONG TERM....JAS
AVIATION...TUCEK

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IND

FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
422 AM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-290830-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
422 AM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK: SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

HAZARDS: LIGHTNING...DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL.

TIMING: THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION: THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. STORMS WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE
SCATTERED AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

OUTLOOK: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. IT IS TOO SOON TO DETERMINE IF THE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE. LIGHTNING
IS A THREAT FROM ANY THUNDERSTORM.

DISCUSSION: THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON THURSDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

PUMA