Severe Thunderstorm Warning 87, NWS Lincoln, IL

992 
WWUS53 KILX 260212
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
912 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

ILC057-260230-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-130626T0230Z/
FULTON IL-
912 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
FULTON COUNTY UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

AT 909 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF NEW PHILADELPHIA...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEWISTOWN...CANTON...CUBA...ST. DAVID...FAIRVIEW...FARMINGTON...
BERNADOTTE...SMITHFIELD...ELLISVILLE...BRYANT...FIATT...
DUNFERMLINE...LITTLE AMERICA...LIVERPOOL AND NORRIS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4043 9045 4062 9045 4063 9045 4072 9001
      4071 8999 4040 8997 4038 9001 4039 9046
      4042 9046
TIME...MOT...LOC 0212Z 262DEG 22KT 4045 9035

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
659 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 300 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

SEVERE STORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN THE FOCUS OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS.
FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL TONIGHT IN THE NORTH WILL ALSO BE A
CONCERN. BEYOND THAT...AN AIRMASS CHANGE IS PROJECTED FOR LATE
THIS WEEK AND WEEKEND. HOWEVER...A CUTOFF UPPER LOW LINGERING OVER
THE HEARTLAND WILL KEEP SHOWERS AND EVEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

WE DECIDED TO PUT OUR 5 NORTHERN COUNTIES IN A FLASH FLOOD THROUGH
TONIGHT DUE TO PREVIOUS 3-5 INCH RAINS EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2
INCHES AN HOUR WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. PWATS
REMAIN IN THE 1.7-1.9" RANGE...AND PERIODIC STORMS IN AN EAST-WEST
LINE ACROSS N IL IS POSSIBLE.

ADJUSTING OUR 12Z SOUNDING FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS SHOWS ML-CAPE
VALUES APPROACHING 3500 J/KG ACROSS OUR AREA...WITH LITTLE TO NO
CIN. VARIOUS BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE AREA FROM YESTERDAYS CONVECTION
HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO FIRE BETWEEN 18-19Z. WATER VAPOR PIX CONFIRM
A SHORTWAVE IN THE FLOW ACROSS IOWA PROGRESSING EAST-NE. THAT WAVE
SHOULD HELP RAMP UP THE COVERAGE OF STORMS AND POSSIBLY PUSH US
INTO SEVERE WEATHER MODE. FREEZING LEVEL AT 14.4K FT MEANS HAIL
WILL NEED INTENSE UPDRAFTS TO REACH SEVERE LEVELS /1"+/...BUT WE HAVE
THE CAPE TO ACCOMPLISH THAT WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. WIND SHEAR
WILL BE GRADUALLY INCREASING AS WE HEAD INTO THIS EVENING...SO
ROTATING SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE EVENT PROGRESSES.

THE LATEST HRRR IS INDICATING TWO PERIODS OF STORMS POSSIBLE. WE
EXPECT A WAVE OF STORMS THIS EVENING THAT MAY BE FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER BOWING COMPLEX OF STORMS ROLLING INTO OUR AREA FROM IOWA
REACHING KNOX COUNTY AROUND 06Z/1AM. THOSE STORMS MAY BE STILL
AFFECTING OUR COUNTIES SE OF I-70 WED MORNING BEFORE THEY DEPART
INTO INDIANA. WE WENT WITH SOME LIKELY POPS IN THE MORNING TO
ACCOUNT FOR THAT.

THEN A BREAK IN THE ACTION MAY DEVELOP THE REST OF WED MORNING AS
THE ATMOSPHERE RECHARGES FOR THE AFTERNOON WAVE OF STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS. IT APPEARS THAT A LINE OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS BY MID AFTERNOON...THEN PROGRESS
EASTWARD. AN INCREASING LLJ IS EXPECTED TO COINCIDE WITH UPPER
LEVEL WINDS VEERING TO THE NORTHWEST. THAT WILL INCREASE SHEAR AND
HELICITY PARAMETERS AND RAMP UP THE THREAT OF ROTATING STORMS AND
POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES...MAINLY EAST OF I-55. WE INCREASED POPS
TO LIKELY IN THE EAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO ACCOUNT FOR THAT
PERIOD OF SEVERE STORMS.

STORMS SHOULD BE WINDING DOWN WED EVENING AS THE COMPLEX MOVES
INTO INDIANA. THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE PRIMARILY
DRY...BUT A FEW DAYTIME SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE EAST AS
THE UPPER WAVE LINGERS ACROSS THE EAST...AND A FEW SHOWERS MAY
REACH OUR SOUTHWESTERN COUNTIES THUR NIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT UPPER
LEVEL WAVE. WE KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS EVERYWHERE ON FRIDAY AS
THAT WAVE PROGRESSES ACROSS IL. PRECIP SHOULD BE SPOTTY...AS
COOLER AND LESS HUMID AIR BEGINS TO FLOW INTO THE AREA ON
NORTHWEST WINDS.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

WE EXPECT TO BE IN AN EXTENDED PERIOD UP UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING AS
A CUT OFF LOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES AND
RETROGRADES AND OSCILLATES OVER THE MIDWEST THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. PERIODS OF SLIGHT CHANCE AND CHANCE POPS WILL PEPPER THE
EXTENDED FORECAST AS A RESULT...DUE TO VARIOUS SHORTWAVE ROTATING
AROUND THE UPPER LOW. RELATIVELY COOL AIR ALOFT WILL ALSO KEEP
LAPSE RATES MODERATELY HIGH...AND FAVORABLE FOR ANY SUNS HEATING
TO CREATE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS.

TEMPS WILL SETTLE OUT WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 AND
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S FOR MUCH OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 659 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

LINE OF CONVECTION CURRENTLY STRETCHES FROM NEAR KDNV TO
KTAZ...JUST SOUTH OF THE I-72 TERMINALS. WINDS IMMEDIATELY BEHIND
THE LINE WILL VEER TO THE N/NE FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE
GRADUALLY RETURNING TO A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION AFTER 02-03Z.
LATEST SATELLITE/RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS
DEVELOPING FURTHER WEST ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL ILLINOIS INTO
IOWA...HOWEVER THESE CELLS SHOULD DISSIPATE AS THEY TRACK EASTWARD
INTO A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT ALONG/EAST OF I-55. WILL CARRY VCTS
AT THE TAF SITES THROUGH MID-EVENING ACCORDINGLY. MAIN EMPHASIS
WILL THEN SHIFT TO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS HRRR SUGGESTS ANOTHER
COMPLEX OF STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS IOWA THEN TRACKING E/SE INTO
CENTRAL ILLINOIS TOWARD DAWN. WILL CARRY PREDOMINANT THUNDER AFTER
10Z AT KPIA...THEN AFTER 12Z FURTHER EAST AT KDEC. AFTER A 3-4
HOUR PERIOD OF CONVECTION WEDNESDAY MORNING...A LULL IN THE
ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP. DUE TO UNCERTAINTY...WILL ONLY MENTION VCTS
FROM MID MORNING THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON WHEN COLD FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH THE AREA AND SHIFTS BETTER STORM CHANCES FURTHER EAST INTO
INDIANA. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY AT LESS THAN 10KT TONIGHT...THEN
WILL BECOME WESTERLY BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

BARNES
&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR ILZ027>031.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
331 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

ILZ027>031-261100-
KNOX-MARSHALL-PEORIA-STARK-WOODFORD-
331 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO EARLY
EVENING...THEN AGAIN AFTER 1 AM AS ANOTHER COMPLEX ARRIVES IN
CENTRAL IL FROM IOWA. THE MORE INTENSE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE DUE TO SATURATED GROUNDS FROM RAINS THE LAST COUPLE OF
DAYS.

FOR INTERESTS ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER...FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
DOWNSTREAM OF PEORIA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ALONG THE SPOON RIVER...
MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND LONDON MILLS WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS SLATED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION LATER ON
WEDNESDAY BRINGING THE THREAT FOR MORE STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRIMARY TIME FRAME LOOKS TO BE IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL
THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY BETWEEN 3 PM UNTIL 9 PM...AND
POSSIBLY AGAIN AFTER 1 AM TONIGHT.

ILZ036-037-040-041-047-049-050-261100-
CASS-FULTON-MASON-MORGAN-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-TAZEWELL-
331 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO EARLY
EVENING...THEN AGAIN AFTER 2 AM AS ANOTHER COMPLEX ARRIVES IN
CENTRAL IL FROM IOWA. THE MORE INTENSE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

FOR INTERESTS ALONG THE SPOON RIVER... MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP AROUND LONDON MILLS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS SLATED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION LATER ON
WEDNESDAY BRINGING THE THREAT FOR MORE STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRIMARY TIME FRAME LOOKS TO BE IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL
THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY BETWEEN 3 PM UNTIL 9 PM...AND
POSSIBLY AGAIN AFTER 2 AM TONIGHT.

ILZ038-042>046-048-051>055-057-261100-
CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-LOGAN-MACON-MCLEAN-
MENARD-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SANGAMON-VERMILION-
331 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN OCCUR THIS EVENING OVER
PARTS OF CENTRAL THROUGH EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. A FEW OF THE
MORE INTENSE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...LARGE HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND
HEAVY RAIN ARE ANTICIPATED VERY LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS SLATED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION LATER ON
WEDNESDAY BRINGING THE THREAT FOR MORE STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRIMARY TIME FRAME LOOKS TO BE IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL
THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY FROM 3 PM UNTIL 10 PM.

ILZ056-061>063-066>068-071>073-261100-
CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-
RICHLAND-SHELBY-
331 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN OCCUR OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS TONIGHT. A FEW OF THE MORE INTENSE STORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL...HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS SLATED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION LATER ON
WEDNESDAY BRINGING THE THREAT FOR MORE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
THE PRIMARY TIME FRAME LOOKS TO BE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL THE
PRIMARY THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BETWEEN 4 PM UNTIL 11 PM.

SHIMON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
722 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NEWMAN                  39.80N 87.99W
06/25/2013                   DOUGLAS            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2-FOOT DIAMATER TREE LIMB AND POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN ON
            LYTLE STREET IN NEWMAN.

&&

LAUFENBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
736 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DANVILLE                40.14N 87.62W
06/25/2013                   VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            2-FOOT DIAMETER TREE BLOWN DOWN ON CAR IN DANVILLE.

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DANVILLE                40.14N 87.62W
06/25/2013                   VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE BLOWN BLOWN DOWN AT BOWMAN AND SEMINARY
            STREETS...POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN AS WELL.

&&

LAUFENBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
744 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ARTHUR                  39.72N 88.47W
06/25/2013                   DOUGLAS            IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN IN ARTHUR ON BOTH SIDES OF THE
            COUNTY LINE...POWER LINES ALSO BLOWN DOWN IN NEWMAN AT
            7PM.

&&

LAUFENBERG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
748 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

ILZ036-040-041-047-260145-
CASS-FULTON-MASON-SCHUYLER-
748 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CASS...SOUTHEASTERN SCHUYLER...
SOUTHWESTERN FULTON AND SOUTHWESTERN MASON COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM
CDT...

AT 746 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BEARDSTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BEARDSTOWN...
  RUSHVILLE...
  BLUFF SPRINGS...
  BROWNING...
  ASTORIA...
  BATH...

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...FREDERICK...SNICARTE...BLUFF CITY
AND MARBLETOWN.

PEOPLE NEAR THESE LOCATIONS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION
CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 4008 9068 4040 9016 4000 9001 3987 9045
      3987 9057 3989 9059 3992 9054 3994 9054
      3998 9052 3997 9059 4002 9062 4005 9068
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 231DEG 19KT 4002 9051

MILLER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
800 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

ILZ056-057-062-063-068-260200-
CLARK-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EDGAR-
800 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CLARK...NORTHEASTERN
CUMBERLAND...NORTHERN CRAWFORD...SOUTHEASTERN COLES AND SOUTHERN
EDGAR COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 755 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CHARLESTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ASHMORE...
  WESTFIELD...
  KANSAS...
  MARTINSVILLE...
  CLARKSVILLE...
  OLIVER...

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...FOX RIDGE STATE PARK...HUTTON...
LINCOLN TRAIL STATE PARK AND DARWIN.

PEOPLE NEAR THESE LOCATIONS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION
CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3935 8753 3933 8755 3934 8758 3931 8761
      3930 8759 3929 8761 3926 8760 3926 8757
      3921 8757 3915 8764 3943 8824 3959 8811
      3958 8752
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 289DEG 24KT 3948 8811

MILLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
845 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0818 PM     HAIL             ASTORIA                 40.23N 90.36W
06/25/2013  M1.75 INCH       FULTON             IL   MESONET

            MEASURED GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL IN ASTORIA.

&&

LAUFENBERG