Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 8, NWS Lincoln, IL

March 11, 2013Marshall County, Putnam County, Illinois

NWS Lincoln, IL issued this river flood warning at Mar 11, 2013, 11:25 AM CDT for Marshall County, Putnam County, Illinois. It took effect at Mar 13, 2013, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 54 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Mar 11, 2013, 11:25 AM CDT (16:25 UTC)
In effect from: Mar 13, 2013, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired: Mar 16, 2013, 1:00 AM CDT
In force: 54 hr
Issued by: NWS Lincoln, IL
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Marshall County, IL, Putnam County, IL

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Illinois River near Henry (HNYI2). The gauge peaked at 22.72 ft at Mar 14, 2013, 12:00 PM CDT.

Action stage: 22 ft
Minor stage: 23 ft
Moderate stage: 24 ft
Major stage: 31 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05558300, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

837 
WGUS43 KILX 111625
FLWILX
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1125 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN IL HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS... 

  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY AFFECTING MARSHALL AND PUTNAM COUNTIES
  ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA AFFECTING PEORIA...TAZEWELL AND WOODFORD
  COUNTIES
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA AFFECTING CASS...FULTON AND MASON COUNTIES
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN AFFECTING BROWN...CASS...MORGAN AND 
  SCHUYLER COUNTIES

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THIS RIVER NEED TO PREPARE FOR FLOODING.
STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS FLOODING SITUATION. 

&&

ILC123-155-120625-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0008.130313T1030Z-130317T1800Z/
/HNYI2.1.ER.130313T1030Z.130314T1200Z.130317T1200Z.NO/
1125 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN IL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY.
* FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT TO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 1045 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.8 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT THE MARINA IN HENRY 
  ALONG WITH MINOR FLOODING OF LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

ILLINOIS RIVER
 HENRY             23  18.9 MON 11 AM   21.3   23.1   23.8



$$

ILC143-179-203-120625-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0009.130314T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PIAI2.1.ER.130314T0000Z.130315T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1125 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN IL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA.
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1045 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 19.3 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...SOME FLOODING BEGINS TO BOTTOMLAND NOT 
  PROTECTED BY LEVEES.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

ILLINOIS RIVER
 PEORIA            18  13.4 MON 11 AM   15.2   17.1   18.7



$$

ILC017-057-125-120625-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0010.130312T0712Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAVI2.2.ER.130312T0712Z.130316T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1125 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN IL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1045 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.4 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.


&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

ILLINOIS RIVER
 HAVANA            14  12.9 MON 11 AM   14.4   16.1   17.4



$$

ILC009-017-137-169-120625-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0011.130312T0336Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEAI2.2.ER.130312T0336Z.130316T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1125 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN IL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1045 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 18.7 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.


&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

ILLINOIS RIVER
 BEARDSTOWN        14  13.2 MON 11 AM   14.6   16.2   17.7



$$

6 follow-up statements

369 
WGUS83 KILX 120246
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
946 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY AFFECTING MARSHALL AND PUTNAM COUNTIES 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN AFFECTING BROWN...CASS...MORGAN AND 
  SCHUYLER COUNTIES 
  ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA AFFECTING PEORIA...TAZEWELL AND 
  WOODFORD COUNTIES 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA AFFECTING CASS...FULTON AND MASON 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC123-155-121646-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0008.130313T1200Z-130317T1200Z/
/HNYI2.1.ER.130313T1200Z.130314T1800Z.130317T0600Z.NO/
946 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY. 
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 9 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 23.8 FEET BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT THE MARINA IN HENRY 
  ALONG WITH MINOR FLOODING OF LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

ILLINOIS RIVER
 HENRY             23  19.9 MON 9 PM    21.2   23.0   23.7

$$

ILC143-179-203-121646-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0009.130314T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PIAI2.1.ER.130314T0000Z.130315T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA. 
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 19.3 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18 FEET...SOME FLOODING BEGINS TO BOTTOMLAND NOT 
  PROTECTED BY LEVEES.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

ILLINOIS RIVER
 PEORIA            18  14.3 MON 9 PM    15.2   17.1   18.6

$$

ILC017-057-125-121645-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0010.130312T0712Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAVI2.2.ER.130312T0712Z.130316T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA. 
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.4 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

ILLINOIS RIVER
 HAVANA            14  13.6 MON 9 PM    14.4   16.1   17.4

$$

ILC009-017-137-169-121645-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0011.130312T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEAI2.2.ER.130312T0600Z.130316T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 PM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN. 
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.7 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

ILLINOIS RIVER
 BEARDSTOWN        14  13.8 MON 9 PM    14.3   16.2   17.7

$$

483 
WGUS83 KILX 121612
FLSILX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1112 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY AFFECTING MARSHALL AND PUTNAM COUNTIES. 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT PEORIA AFFECTING PEORIA...TAZEWELL AND WOODFORD 
  COUNTIES. 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA AFFECTING CASS...FULTON AND MASON 
  COUNTIES. 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN AFFECTING BROWN...CASS...MORGAN AND 
  SCHUYLER COUNTIES.

.RISES CONTINUE ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER IN RESPONSE TO THE HEAVY 
WEEKEND RAINFALL AND SNOW MELT. FLOODING WAS ALREADY OCCURRING 
ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA AND BEARDSTOWN DUE TO THE RAIN...
AND THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS. FROM PEORIA UPSTREAM...
FLOODING SHOULD DEVELOP IN A COUPLE DAYS AS THE SNOW MELT FROM 
NORTHERN ILLINOIS RUNS DOWNSTREAM.  

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC123-155-130612-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0008.130313T2159Z-130317T0000Z/
/HNYI2.1.ER.130313T2159Z.130315T0000Z.130316T1800Z.NO/
1112 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY. 
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 1045 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT THE MARINA IN HENRY 
  ALONG WITH MINOR FLOODING OF LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

ILLINOIS RIVER
 HENRY             23  21.1 TUE 11 AM   22.5   23.4   23.4

$$
ILC143-179-203-130612-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0009.130314T0130Z-130319T0600Z/
/PIAI2.1.ER.130314T0130Z.130315T1200Z.130319T0000Z.NO/
1112 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MARCH 19...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT PEORIA. 
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO TUESDAY MARCH 19.
* AT 1045 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 19.2 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...SOME FLOODING BEGINS TO BOTTOMLAND NOT 
  PROTECTED BY LEVEES.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

ILLINOIS RIVER
 PEORIA            18  15.4 TUE 11 AM   17.1   18.6   19.2

$$
ILC017-057-125-130612-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAVI2.2.ER.130312T0822Z.130316T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1112 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1045 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.2 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

ILLINOIS RIVER
 HAVANA            14  14.4 TUE 11 AM   15.7   16.9   17.8

$$
ILC009-017-137-169-130611-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEAI2.2.ER.130312T0600Z.130317T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1112 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1045 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

ILLINOIS RIVER
 BEARDSTOWN        14  14.3 TUE 11 AM   14.9   15.8   16.9

$$
GEELHART

105 
WGUS83 KILX 130244
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
944 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA AFFECTING PEORIA...TAZEWELL AND WOODFORD 
  COUNTIES 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY AFFECTING MARSHALL AND PUTNAM COUNTIES 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA AFFECTING CASS...FULTON AND MASON 
  COUNTIES 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN AFFECTING BROWN...CASS...MORGAN AND 
  SCHUYLER COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC123-155-131644-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0008.130313T2159Z-130317T0000Z/
/HNYI2.1.ER.130313T2159Z.130315T0000Z.130316T1800Z.NO/
944 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY. 
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 845 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT THE MARINA IN HENRY 
  ALONG WITH MINOR FLOODING OF LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

ILLINOIS RIVER
 HENRY             23  21.8 TUE 9 PM    22.5   23.4   23.4



$$

ILC143-179-203-131644-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0009.130314T0300Z-130319T0300Z/
/PIAI2.1.ER.130314T0300Z.130315T1200Z.130318T2100Z.NO/
944 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA. 
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 845 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 19.1 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...SOME FLOODING BEGINS TO BOTTOMLAND NOT 
  PROTECTED BY LEVEES.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

ILLINOIS RIVER
 PEORIA            18  16.1 TUE 9 PM    17.0   18.5   19.1



$$

ILC017-057-125-131644-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAVI2.2.ER.130312T0822Z.130316T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
944 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 845 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.0 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

ILLINOIS RIVER
 HAVANA            14  14.9 TUE 9 PM    15.4   16.6   17.5



$$

ILC009-017-137-169-131644-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEAI2.2.ER.130312T0600Z.130317T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
944 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 845 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.1 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

ILLINOIS RIVER
 BEARDSTOWN        14  14.5 TUE 9 PM    14.7   15.7   16.7



$$

SMITH

734 
WGUS83 KILX 131602
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1102 AM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY AFFECTING MARSHALL AND PUTNAM COUNTIES 
  ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA AFFECTING PEORIA...TAZEWELL AND WOODFORD 
  COUNTIES 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA AFFECTING CASS...FULTON AND MASON 
  COUNTIES 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN AFFECTING BROWN...CASS...MORGAN AND 
  SCHUYLER COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC123-155-140602-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0008.130314T0600Z-130316T0600Z/
/HNYI2.1.ER.130314T0600Z.130314T1800Z.130316T0000Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY. 
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 1045 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.1 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT THE MARINA IN HENRY 
  ALONG WITH MINOR FLOODING OF LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

ILLINOIS RIVER
 HENRY             23  22.4 WED 11 AM   23.0   23.1   22.8

$$

ILC143-179-203-140602-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0009.130314T0430Z-130319T0600Z/
/PIAI2.1.ER.130314T0430Z.130315T1200Z.130319T0000Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA. 
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 1045 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 19 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18 FEET...SOME FLOODING BEGINS TO BOTTOMLAND NOT 
  PROTECTED BY LEVEES.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

ILLINOIS RIVER
 PEORIA            18  17.3 WED 11 AM   18.3   19.0   18.9

$$

ILC017-057-125-140602-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAVI2.2.ER.130312T0822Z.130316T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1045 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.7 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

ILLINOIS RIVER
 HAVANA            14  15.6 WED 11 AM   16.5   17.3   17.6

$$

ILC009-017-137-169-140601-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEAI2.1.ER.130312T0600Z.130318T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1045 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.8 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

ILLINOIS RIVER
 BEARDSTOWN        14  14.8 WED 11 AM   15.6   16.5   17.2

$$

066 
WGUS83 KILX 140253
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
953 PM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

..THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...

  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY AFFECTING MARSHALL AND PUTNAM COUNTIES 
  ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA AFFECTING PEORIA...TAZEWELL AND WOODFORD 
  COUNTIES 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA AFFECTING CASS...FULTON AND MASON 
  COUNTIES 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN AFFECTING BROWN...CASS...MORGAN AND 
  SCHUYLER COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC123-155-140323-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0008.130314T1200Z-130316T0600Z/
/HNYI2.1.ER.130314T0600Z.130314T1800Z.130316T0000Z.NO/
953 PM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY.
* AT 845 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST AT OR JUST BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT THE MARINA IN HENRY 
  ALONG WITH MINOR FLOODING OF LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

ILLINOIS RIVER
 HENRY             23  22.6 WED 9 PM    22.9   22.8   22.7



$$

ILC143-179-203-141653-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0009.130314T0338Z-130318T1800Z/
/PIAI2.1.ER.130314T0338Z.130315T1800Z.130318T1200Z.NO/
953 PM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA. 
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 845 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 18.7 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...SOME FLOODING BEGINS TO BOTTOMLAND NOT 
  PROTECTED BY LEVEES.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

ILLINOIS RIVER
 PEORIA            18  17.9 WED 9 PM    18.3   18.6   18.6



$$

ILC017-057-125-141653-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAVI2.2.ER.130312T0822Z.130316T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
953 PM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 845 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.6 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

ILLINOIS RIVER
 HAVANA            14  16.0 WED 9 PM    16.5   17.3   17.6



$$

ILC009-017-137-169-141653-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEAI2.1.ER.130312T0600Z.130318T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
953 PM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 845 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.8 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

ILLINOIS RIVER
 BEARDSTOWN        14  15.1 WED 9 PM    15.5   16.5   17.2


$$

078 
WGUS83 KILX 140440 CCA
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT ...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
953 PM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

..THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...

  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY AFFECTING MARSHALL AND PUTNAM COUNTIES 
  ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA AFFECTING PEORIA...TAZEWELL AND WOODFORD 
  COUNTIES 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA AFFECTING CASS...FULTON AND MASON 
  COUNTIES 
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN AFFECTING BROWN...CASS...MORGAN AND 
  SCHUYLER COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC123-155-140323-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0008.130314T0000Z-130316T0600Z/
/HNYI2.1.ER.130314T0600Z.130314T1800Z.130316T0000Z.NO/
953 PM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY.
* AT 845 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST AT OR JUST BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT THE MARINA IN HENRY 
  ALONG WITH MINOR FLOODING OF LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

ILLINOIS RIVER
 HENRY             23  22.6 WED 9 PM    22.9   22.8   22.7



$$

ILC143-179-203-141653-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0009.130314T0338Z-130318T1800Z/
/PIAI2.1.ER.130314T0338Z.130315T1800Z.130318T1200Z.NO/
953 PM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA. 
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 845 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 18.7 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...SOME FLOODING BEGINS TO BOTTOMLAND NOT 
  PROTECTED BY LEVEES.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

ILLINOIS RIVER
 PEORIA            18  17.9 WED 9 PM    18.3   18.6   18.6



$$

ILC017-057-125-141653-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HAVI2.2.ER.130312T0822Z.130316T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
953 PM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 845 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.6 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

ILLINOIS RIVER
 HAVANA            14  16.0 WED 9 PM    16.5   17.3   17.6



$$

ILC009-017-137-169-141653-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEAI2.1.ER.130312T0600Z.130318T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
953 PM CDT WED MAR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 845 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.8 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

ILLINOIS RIVER
 BEARDSTOWN        14  15.1 WED 9 PM    15.5   16.5   17.2


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 11, 11:01 AM CDT, 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 11, 11:01 AM CDT, 24 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1101 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 1101 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES
REGION. SPOKES OF ENERGY CONTINUE TO IMPACT CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS IN THIS FLOW REGIME...PRODUCING MAINLY VERY LIGHT RAIN
AND/OR SNOW. SEE NO REASON WHY CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL NOT PERSIST
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND BEYOND...ALTHOUGH THE CYCLONIC FLOW WILL
RELAX A BIT TONIGHT IN THE WAKE OF SHARP TROF PIVOTING THROUGH
IOWA/MISSOURI AT THE MOMENT.

PLAN TO HAVE ISOLATED/SCATTERED SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
THE PRECIPITATION TYPE SHOULD TREND TOWARD PREDOMINANTLY SNOW AS
CAA LOWERS THE FREEZING LEVEL. ABOVE FREEZING SURFACE TEMPERATURES
SHOULD LIMIT THE RISK OF SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS
AREA NEEDED TO REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST TO COVER THE EXPECTED
AFTERNOON TRENDS.

BAK
&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 647 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

BELIEVE IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING AND INTO
THE AFTERNOON. CIGS AT ALL SITES...EXCEPT FOR DEC...ARE BELOW 1KFT
AND BELIEVE DEC WILL FALL BELOW AS WELL. A LITTLE BIT OF LIGHT
RAIN CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA...AFFECTING ONLY BMI AND
CMI FOR NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...SO HAVE A TEMPO GROUP TO COVER.
UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA TODAY SO BELIEVE
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AT ALL SITES
SO WILL HAVE VCSH AT ALL SITES WITH IFR CIGS. APPEARS CIGS COULD
IMPROVE INTO THE LOWER MVFR CATEGORY BUT NOT UNTIL THIS EVENING OR
AROUND MIDNIGHT. COULD BE SOME MORE IMPROVEMENT TOWARD TOMORROW
MORNING...BUT UNSURE SO WILL JUST KEEP MVFR CONDITIONS FOR
OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY THROUGH THE PERIOD AND GUSTY AT
TIMES TODAY.

AUTEN
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 352 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013
NOT MUCH OF A SHIFT IN THE FORECAST OVERALL. DRY SLOT IN CURRENT
SYSTEM DRYING OUT MUCH OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS THIS MORNING...WITH
SNOW SHOWERS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST IN IA. OVERCAST AND BREEZY WITH
SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG TO THE NW AS WELL. COOLER TEMPS AND MAYBE
SOME LIGHT SNOW EXPECTED TO WORK INTO THE FA TODAY AND THIS
AFTERNOON....BUT LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ANTICIPATED ON
THE RATHER WARM AND WET GROUND FROM THE ABUNDANT RAINFALL. MODELS
IN RATHER GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE EXIT OF THE UPPER TROF AND
FORECAST THROUGH MIDWEEK. HOWEVER...CURRENT UPPER TROF DIGS IN
OVER THE EAST COAST AND AMPLIFIES THE FLOW OVER THE
CONUS...LEAVING THE MIDWEST IN COMPLICATED NWRLY FLOW WITH SEVERAL
WAVES MOVING OVER THE RIDGE IN THE PAC NW. ON THE OTHER SIDE OF
THURSDAY...THE FORECAST GETS MORE VAGUE...AND POPS ARE CREEPING
INTO THE ALLBLEND FROM GUIDANCE ALL OVER THE PLACE.

SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TOMORROW...
COLDER DAY TODAY...WITH TEMPS DROPPING OR REMAINING STEADY FOR
MUCH OF THE DAY AS COLD FRONT WORKS ITS WAY INTO THE REGION.
COOLER TEMPS AND CHANCE FOR SNOW...PARTICULARLY IN THE NW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AS THE MAIN LOW PULLS OUT TO THE NW AND
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. SLOW WARMING TREND STARTS UP ALMOST
IMMEDIATELY WITH WARMER TEMPS TOMORROW...AND A SLOW BREAK UP OF
THE CLOUDS AS THIS LOW/CYCLONIC FLOW NOT SCHED TO HANG AROUND
NEARLY AS LONG AS THE LAST FEW SYSTEMS...AND RETURN THE MIDWEST TO
A MORE NWRLY FLOW ALOFT.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
THOUGH THE FLOW IS MORE NWRLY ALOFT...WESTERLY FLOW AT THE SFC AND
INTO THE MIDLEVELS WILL ALLOW SOME FO THE MIDLEVEL TEMPS/WAA TO
PUSH INTO THE FCST AREA...AND KEEP THE TEMPS RATHER TEMPERATE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. THAT BEING SAID...THE TEMP
FORECAST WILL REMAIN VERY SUSCEPTIBLE TO INFLUENCE BY CLOUD
COVER/PRECIP BY A SERIES OF WAVES CRESTING THE RIDGE OVER THE WEST
COAST AND DIVING INTO THE FA. ECMWF AND GFS ARE COMPLETELY OFF
FROM ONE ANOTHER...AND DIFFERENT FROM WHERE THEY WERE
YESTERDAY...WITH EVERYTHING FROM TIMING TO TRACK ON THESE SMALL
SYSTEMS. AS A RESULT...THE ALLBLEND IS GETTING A LOT OF LOW POPS
IN DAYS 4-7. INSTEAD OF CHASING THEM DOWN...THINK THE FORECAST
WILL REMAIN LOW/SLT CHC FOR BEST CHANCES AND WATCH THE TRENDS
OVERALL. MUCH OF THE CHANCES IN THE EXTENDED ARE FOR MILD RAIN
EVENTS...SO KEEPING A CONSERVATIVE APPROACH UNTIL DETAILS SHAKE
OUT IS THE WAY TO GO.

HJS

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 11, 6:05 AM CDT, 5 hours 20 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
605 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-121100-
CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-
DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-FULTON-JASPER-KNOX-LAWRENCE-LOGAN-
MACON-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PEORIA-PIATT-
RICHLAND-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-SHELBY-STARK-TAZEWELL-VERMILION-
WOODFORD-
605 AM CDT MON MAR 11 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE RAIN OF THE PAST 24 HOURS AND THE SNOW MELT OF THE PAST FEW
DAYS...WILL PRODUCE RISES ON AREA RIVERS...CREEKS...AND STREAMS.
REMAIN ALERT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF MINOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

AUTEN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 11, 11:25 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	ILX	Cass, Fulton, Mason	16 days
Mar 11, 11:25 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	ILX	Brown, Cass, Morgan, Schuyler	16 days
Mar 11, 11:25 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	ILX	Peoria, Tazewell, Woodford	8 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2013 Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.