Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 3, NWS Lincoln, IL

January 29, 2013Clay County, Richland County, Illinois

NWS Lincoln, IL issued this river flood warning at Jan 29, 2013, 1:51 PM CST for Clay County, Richland County, Illinois. It took effect at Jan 30, 2013, 5:53 AM CST. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 29, 2013, 1:51 PM CST (19:51 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 30, 2013, 5:53 AM CST
Expired
Feb 5, 2013, 4:57 PM CST
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Lincoln, IL
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Clay County, IL, Richland County, IL

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Little Wabash River below Clay City (CLAI2). The gauge peaked at 20.44 ft at Jan 31, 2013, 11:00 PM CST.

actionminormoderate510152001/2901/3001/3102/0102/0202/0302/0402/0502/06
Action stage
15 ft
Minor stage
18 ft
Moderate stage
22 ft
Major stage
25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03379500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

538 
WGUS43 KILX 291951
FLWILX
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
151 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN IL HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS... 

  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES

.HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS
THE LITTLE WABASH BASIN. CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST 1 TO 2 INCHES
OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING
WHICH WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT RISES TO RIVER LEVELS AT CLAY CITY.

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THIS RIVER NEED TO PREPARE FOR FLOODING.
STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS FLOODING SITUATION. 

&&

ILC025-159-300951-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0003.130130T1109Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1109Z.130202T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
151 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN IL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1245 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.1 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WILCOX BRIDGE LANE FLOODS JUST EAST OF THE 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR THE GAGE LOCATION. BLUEFLOWER LANE 
  SOUTHEAST OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16   8.8 TUE 1 PM    16.0   16.9   19.4

$$
SMITH
15 follow-up statements
926 
WGUS83 KILX 300319
FLSILX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
919 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES.

.HEAVY RAIN OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES IS FORECAST TO AFFECT THE LITTLE
WABASH RIVER BASIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS IS EXPECTED 
TO CAUSE THE RIVER TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY
EVENING...WITH THE CREST COMING FRIDAY NIGHT.  

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-301719-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0003.130131T0400Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130131T0400Z.130202T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
919 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  845 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 18.9 FEET BY LATE FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WILCOX BRIDGE LANE FLOODS JUST EAST OF THE 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR THE GAGE LOCATION. BLUEFLOWER LANE 
  SOUTHEAST OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  10.3 TUE 9 PM    12.4   17.2   18.6

$$
GEELHART
350 
WGUS83 KILX 300826
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
226 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-302226-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0003.130130T1153Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1153Z.130201T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
226 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* FROM EARLY THIS MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  100 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.8 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WILCOX BRIDGE LANE FLOODS JUST EAST OF THE 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR THE GAGE LOCATION. BLUEFLOWER LANE 
  SOUTHEAST OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  11.7 WED 1 AM    19.3   19.7   19.7



$$
348 
WGUS83 KILX 301530
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
930 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-310530-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1116Z.130202T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  845 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.3 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...NORTH CLAY ROAD...1 MILE EAST OF THE GAGE IS
  FLOODED.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  18.1 WED 9 AM    19.5   20.0   20.3



$$
201 
WGUS83 KILX 311424
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
824 AM CST THU JAN 31 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-010424-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1116Z.130202T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
824 AM CST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  745 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...NORTH CLAY ROAD...1 MILE EAST OF THE GAGE IS
  FLOODED.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  20.0 THU 8 AM    20.3   20.5   20.1



$$

BARNES
423 
WGUS83 KILX 010337
FLSILX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
937 PM CST THU JAN 31 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES.

.THE RISE OF THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER HAS BEEN SLOWING A BIT OVER
THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND THE RIVER SHOULD CREST ON FRIDAY 
MORNING. HOWEVER...IT WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-011737-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130205T1836Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1116Z.130201T1200Z.130205T1236Z.NO/
937 PM CST THU JAN 31 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  845 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  MORNING.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  20.5 THU 9 PM    20.5   20.3   19.6

NOTICE TO USERS:

THE FLOOD STAGE FOR THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER AT CLAY CITY 
WILL BE RAISED TO 18 FEET. DUE TO THE ONGOING FLOODING...THIS
CHANGE HAS BEEN DELAYED UNTIL THURSDAY FEBRUARY 7. IF FLOODING
IS STILL ONGOING ON THAT DATE...THEN THE CHANGE WILL BE
POSTPONED AGAIN.

$$
GEELHART
726 
WGUS83 KILX 011444
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
844 AM CST FRI FEB 1 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-020444-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130205T1516Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1116Z.130201T0245Z.130205T0916Z.NO/
844 AM CST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  745 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...NORTH CLAY ROAD...1 MILE EAST OF THE GAGE IS
  FLOODED.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  20.3 FRI 8 AM    20.2   19.6   18.6



$$
354 
WGUS83 KILX 020131
FLSILX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
731 PM CST FRI FEB 1 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...

  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES.

.RIVER LEVELS ON THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY SHOULD 
REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY...BEFORE BEGINNING 
TO FALL AGAIN. 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-021531-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130205T1516Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1116Z.130201T0245Z.130205T0916Z.NO/
731 PM CST FRI FEB 1 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  645 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEARLY STEADY THROUGH SATURDAY...
  THEN RESUME A SLOW FALL. IT SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  20.1 FRI 7 PM    20.0   19.7   18.6

NOTICE TO USERS:

THE FLOOD STAGE FOR THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER AT CLAY CITY 
WILL BE RAISED TO 18 FEET. DUE TO THE ONGOING FLOODING...THIS
CHANGE HAS BEEN DELAYED UNTIL THURSDAY FEBRUARY 7. IF FLOODING
IS STILL ONGOING ON THAT DATE...THEN THE CHANGE WILL BE
POSTPONED AGAIN.

$$
GEELHART
372 
WGUS83 KILX 021514
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
914 AM CST SAT FEB 2 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-030514-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130205T1415Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1116Z.130201T0245Z.130205T0815Z.NO/
914 AM CST SAT FEB 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  845 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WILCOX BRIDGE LANE FLOODS JUST EAST OF THE 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR THE GAGE LOCATION. BLUEFLOWER LANE 
  SOUTHEAST OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  19.8 SAT 9 AM    19.1   18.1   15.5



$$

BARNES
200 
WGUS83 KILX 030344
FLSILX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
944 PM CST SAT FEB 2 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...

  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
 COUNTIES. 

.LEVELS OF THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY HAVE BEEN FAIRLY 
STEADY THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS...BUT WILL RESUME A SLOW FALL 
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-031744-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130205T1415Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1116Z.130201T0245Z.130205T0815Z.NO/
944 PM CST SAT FEB 2 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  845 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WILCOX BRIDGE LANE FLOODS JUST EAST OF THE 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR THE GAGE LOCATION. BLUEFLOWER LANE 
  SOUTHEAST OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  19.6 SAT 9 PM    19.3   18.1   15.5

NOTICE TO USERS:

THE FLOOD STAGE FOR THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER AT CLAY CITY 
WILL BE RAISED TO 18 FEET. DUE TO THE ONGOING FLOODING...THIS
CHANGE HAS BEEN DELAYED UNTIL THURSDAY FEBRUARY 7. IF FLOODING
IS STILL ONGOING ON THAT DATE...THEN THE CHANGE WILL BE
POSTPONED AGAIN.

$$
GEELHART
685 
WGUS83 KILX 031454
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
854 AM CST SUN FEB 3 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-040454-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130205T1912Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1116Z.130201T0245Z.130205T1312Z.NO/
854 AM CST SUN FEB 3 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 845 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WILCOX BRIDGE LANE FLOODS JUST EAST OF THE 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR THE GAGE LOCATION. BLUEFLOWER LANE 
  SOUTHEAST OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  19.5 SUN 9 AM    18.5   16.2   13.4

$$

07
651 
WGUS83 KILX 040121
FLSILX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
721 PM CST SUN FEB 3 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES.

.RIVER LEVELS HAVE REMAINED FAIRLY STEADY TODAY ON THE LITTLE 
WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. NEAR STEADY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE NIGHT...BEFORE RESUMING A FALL ON MONDAY. 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-041521-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130206T0600Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1116Z.130201T0245Z.130206T0000Z.NO/
721 PM CST SUN FEB 3 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  645 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WILCOX BRIDGE LANE FLOODS JUST EAST OF THE 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR THE GAGE LOCATION. BLUEFLOWER LANE 
  SOUTHEAST OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  19.5 SUN 7 PM    19.3   17.6   14.9

NOTICE TO USERS:

THE FLOOD STAGE FOR THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER AT CLAY CITY 
WILL BE RAISED TO 18 FEET. DUE TO THE ONGOING FLOODING...THIS
CHANGE HAS BEEN DELAYED UNTIL THURSDAY FEBRUARY 7. IF FLOODING
IS STILL ONGOING ON THAT DATE...THEN THE CHANGE WILL BE
POSTPONED AGAIN.

$$
GEELHART
461 
WGUS83 KILX 041435
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
835 AM CST MON FEB 4 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-050435-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130207T1500Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1116Z.130201T0245Z.130207T0900Z.NO/
835 AM CST MON FEB 4 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WILCOX BRIDGE LANE FLOODS JUST EAST OF THE 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR THE GAGE LOCATION. BLUEFLOWER LANE 
  SOUTHEAST OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  19.5 MON 8 AM    18.7   17.3   15.8

$$

07
160 
WGUS83 KILX 050236
FLSILX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
836 PM CST MON FEB 4 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...

  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES.

.RIVER STAGES BEGAN TO STEADILY FALL AGAIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON 
AROUND CLAY CITY...AND SHOULD BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY 
MORNING. 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-051636-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130207T1500Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1116Z.130201T0245Z.130207T0900Z.NO/
836 PM CST MON FEB 4 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  745 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WILCOX BRIDGE LANE FLOODS JUST EAST OF THE 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR THE GAGE LOCATION. BLUEFLOWER LANE 
  SOUTHEAST OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  19.3 MON 8 PM    18.7   17.3   15.8

NOTICE TO USERS:

THE FLOOD STAGE FOR THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER AT CLAY CITY 
WILL BE RAISED TO 18 FEET. DUE TO THE ONGOING FLOODING...THIS
CHANGE HAS BEEN DELAYED UNTIL THURSDAY FEBRUARY 7. IF FLOODING
IS STILL ONGOING ON THAT DATE...THEN THE CHANGE WILL BE
POSTPONED AGAIN.

$$
GEELHART
144 
WGUS83 KILX 051604
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1004 AM CST TUE FEB 5 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-060430-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130206T0430Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1116Z.130201T0245Z.130205T2230Z.NO/
1004 AM CST TUE FEB 5 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 945 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNSET TODAY.
* IMPACT...AT 18 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO FLOOD LEFT BANK FARMLAND.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  17.4 TUE 10 AM   14.4   13.0   12.0

$$

07
099 
WGUS83 KILX 052257
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
457 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
ILLINOIS...
 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC025-159-052327-
/O.CAN.KILX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130206T0430Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.130130T1116Z.130201T0245Z.130205T2212Z.NO/
457 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY.
* AT 445 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 412 PM TUESDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 14.4 FEET BY TOMORROW
  MORNING.


&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  15.9 TUE 5 PM    14.4   13.0   11.9

$$
SMITH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 29, 11:19 AM CST, 2 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 29, 11:19 AM CST, 2 hours 32 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1119 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 1035 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS AS OF 16Z HAS THE COLD FRONT LOCATED OVER
EXTREME EASTERN IOWA WITH THE WARM FRONT WELL TO OUR NORTH LATE THIS
MORNING. ANOTHER SURFACE WAVE WAS ANALYZED OVER NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA AND THAT WILL TRACK NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN INCREASE
IN COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR WEST. AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT...VERY HIGH DEW POINTS (FOR JANUARY) WERE STREAMING NORTH
INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. UPPER 60 DEW POINTS WERE LOCATED
OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS LATE THIS MORNING. ILX
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AS OF 12Z WERE AT 1.13 INCHES...WITH
UPSTREAM PWATS OVER 1.25 INCHES ACRS CENTRAL ARKANSAS...SOME 2 TO
3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE WHERE IT SHOULD BE THIS TIME OF YEAR!
STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW AT ALL LEVELS AHEAD OF THE DEEP AND SLOW
MOVING TROF IS A CLASSIC SETUP FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PARTS OF
OUR AREA STARTING LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. QUICK LOOK AT
THE 12Z NAM-WRF AND GFS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST A SLOWING TREND WITH
THE SFC BOUNDARY AND HEAVY RAINFALL AXIS...WITH A MORE WESTERLY
PUSH TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT. MOST OF OUR SE COUNTIES MAY
NOT SEE THE THREAT MOVE IN UNTIL LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

AS FAR AS THE SEVERE THREAT IS CONCERNED...CLASSIC COOL SEASON
LOW CAPE/HIGH SHEAR SETUP. WITH 50-60 KT FLOW JUST OFF THE
SURFACE...IT WOULDN'T TAKE MUCH TO BRING SOME OF THOSE STRONGER
WINDS DOWN TO THE SURFACE WITH ANY OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. WITH
SUCH A DYNAMIC SYSTEM...THE THREAT FOR ISOLD WIND DAMAGE WILL BE
WITH US RIGHT THRU THE NIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF
OF THE FORECAST AREA. MODELS SUGGESTING LOW POSSIBLY MID 60S INTO
SOUTHEAST IL AHEAD OF THE SFC WAVE AND COLD FRONT...WITH SOME LOCAL
BACKING OF THE WINDS INTO A SE DIRECTION...WHICH INCREASES THE
THREAT FOR MESOVORTICES EMBEDDED IN THE CONVECTIVE BAND AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES.

CURRENT FLOOD HEADLINES TO REMAIN INTACT WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN
OVER MOST OF THE AREA...WITH LOCALLY 3 INCHES POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY
WHERE ANY THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.
REST OF FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE. NO ZFP UPDATED NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 1110 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

STRONG WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
WITH HEAVY RAINFALL THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS THROUGH AT LEAST
HALF OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED INTO EASTERN IOWA AND THAT SHOULD BE ABOUT
AS FAR AS IT GETS THIS AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVES NORTHEAST FROM OKLAHOMA ALONG THE BOUNDARY. THIS WILL BRING
OUR MAIN RAIN AND THUNDER THREAT STARTING OUT IN OUR WESTERN
AREAS IN THE 19Z-22Z TIME FRAME...ALONG THE I-55 CORRIDOR FROM
21Z-00Z...AND FURTHER EAST NEAR CHAMPAIGN IN THE 00Z-03Z TIME
FRAME. CIGS A REAL CHALLENGE IN THE WARM SECTOR WITH SATELLITE
AND SFC OBS TO OUR WEST CONTINUING TO SHOW A NARROW STRETCH OF
VFR CIGS...BUT THAT QUICKLY DETERIORATES NEAR THE INCREASING
BAND OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS NOW OVER EXTREME WEST CENTRAL IL
INTO NE MISSOURI. CIGS FURTHER EAST WERE MVFR WITH OCCASIONAL
VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME ISOLD SHOWERS DEVELOPING MAINLY ALONG
AND EAST OF I-57. AS THE MAIN BAND OF CONVECTION AND STRATIFORM
PRECIP MOVES IN LATER THIS AFTN AND TONIGHT...LOOK FOR IFR TO
LIFR CIGS AND VSBYS ASSOCIATED WITH SOME OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO INDICATE WINDS AT 1000-1500 FEET
IN THE 50-60 KT RANGE LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT WHICH COULD EASILY
TRANSLATE TO THE SFC WITH SOME OF THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS. WILL
CONTINUE WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS INTO THIS EVENING AT 15 TO 20 KTS
WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 TO 30 KTS AT TIMES...WITH WINDS VEERING MORE
INTO THE SW-W AS THE FRONT APPROACHES OUR WESTERN AREAS LATER THIS
EVENING...AND FINALLY INTO NORTHWEST AFTR FROPA LATE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

SMITH
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 330 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

FORECAST CONCERN IS FLOOD WATCH THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND HOW
MUCH RAIN WILL FALL. ALSO CONCERNED ABOUT SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
STORMS LATER TODAY AND THIS EVENING AND ALSO WITH SNOW CHANCES
WEDNESDAY AND IF ANY ACCUMULATIONS OCCUR ESPECIALLY IN OUR NW COUNTIES.
00Z MODELS HAVE TRENDED FURTHER NW WITH HEAVY RAINS AND NOW INTO
THE IL RIVER VALLEY TOO. POTENTIAL FOR 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY UP TO 3 INCHES OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL IL. DECIDED TO EXPAND
THE FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE THE ENTIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THIS VERY STRONG STORM SYSTEM APPEARS SIMILAR TO THE JAN 13 2005
AND JAN 7-8 2008 STORM SYSTEM WITH UNSEASONABLY MILD TEMPS IN THE
60S AND LOWER 70S...HEAVY RAINS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES ALONG WITH
SOME SEVERE STORMS.

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT

EARLY MORNING SURFACE MAP SHOWS 1000 MB LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL
IA NORTH OF DES MOINES WITH COLD FRONT OVER CENTRAL IA/KS WHILE WARM
FRONT NEAR THE IL/WI BORDER. INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS
20-30 MPH HAS LIFTED THE DENSE FOG THAT PLAGUED MUCH OF CENTRAL IL
MONDAY EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE OVER
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MO INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN IA...NW IL AND
INTO WI/MI AND LAKE MI. CONVECTION OVER THE IL RIVER VALLEY
HEADING QUICKLY NE INTO PEORIA. VERY MILD TEMPS WERE IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S WITH MOIST DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S.

1000 MB LOW PRESSURE EJECTS NE FROM CENTRAL IA INTO NE WI/UPPER MI
BY NOON WHILE ANOTHER 1000 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE OK PANHANDLE
DEEPENS TO 995 MB INTO CENTRAL MO BY SUNSET AND TO 990 MB OVER NE
IL BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. BREEZY SOUTH WINDS TO WARM TEMPS TO RECORD
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S AND COULD SEE SOME PEAKS OF
SUNSHINE AS WELL SIMILAR TO SEEN YESTERDAY FROM SPRINGFIELD SW.
WIND ADVISORIES POSTED OVER SOUTHERN IL AND WILL NEED TO BE WATCH
BUT FOR NOW KEPT SUSTAINED WINDS UNDER 30 MPH AND WIND GUSTS UNDER
45 MPH. VERY STRONG/DYNAMIC STORM SYSTEM WITH AMPLE GULF
MOISTURE TO DEVELOP WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
DURING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD
WITH THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVES INTO THE WABASH RIVER VALLEY BY
EARLY WED MORNING. SPC CONTINUES SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY AND EVENING SE OF THE IL RIVER WITH RISK
OF LARGE HAIL (5-15%)...DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS (15-30%) AND EVEN
2-5% RISK OF TORNADOES SOUTH OF I-72. HEAVY RAINS OVER THE IL
RIVER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON SHIFT INTO EASTERN IL DURING THE
EVENING AND LINGER OVERNIGHT OVER EASTERN IL FROM I-57 EAST.
WIDESPREAD 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY UP TO 3
INCHES POSSIBLE NW OF I-70.

RAIN TO CHANGE TO SNOW LATE TONIGHT FAR NW BY KNOX AND STARK
COUNTIES AND ACROSS THE IL RIVER VALLEY DURING WED WITH AROUND 1
INCH OF SNOW POSSIBLE NW OF THE IL RIVER WED. DEFORMATION ZONE OF
SNOW TO MOSTLY STAY NW OF CENTRAL IL ON WED WHERE BETTER SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE. MOSTLY RAIN OVER EASTERN/SE IL WED...THOUGH
MIXING WITH SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON. EARLY MORNING HIGHS WED RANGE
FROM THE MID 30S NW OF THE IL RIVER TO THE UPPER 40S TO NEAR 50
NEAR THE WABASH RIVER WITH TEMPERATURES SLIPPING DURING THE DAY WED.

ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE TO SETTLE SE INTO THE MID MS VALLEY FRIDAY BRINGING
DRIER AND MUCH COLDER AIR INTO THE REGION WED NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.
THU NIGHT LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS OVER CENTRAL IL AND 10-15F IN
SE IL. HIGHS THU RANGE FROM UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S NORTH TO
LOWER 30S IN SE IL. HIGHS FRIDAY RANGE FROM UPPER TEENS AND LOWER
20S NE TO MID 20S SW AND SE IL.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT

GENERALLY A QUIETER WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD AFTER A VERY UNSETTLED PATTERN FROM SUN/JAN 27-WED/JAN 30.
MODELS NOW SHOWING A CLIPPER SYSTEM RACING SE ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH MODELS DISAGREE WITH TRACK OF CLIPPER AND
YESTERDAYS RUNS KEPT THIS FEATURE NE OF CENTRAL IL IN THE GREAT
LAKES REGION FOR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SAT. DECIDED TO RISE WITH
ALLBLEND SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT AND LINGERING IN
EASTERN IL SAT MORNING. BELOW NORMAL TEMPS LATE THIS WORK WEEK
WILL MODERATE THIS WEEKEND AND BE ABOVE NORMAL BY MONDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE 40S BY THEN.

07

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-
061>063-066>068-071>073.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 29, 11:45 AM CST, 2 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1145 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>043-047>053-301200-
CASS-CHRISTIAN-DE WITT-FULTON-KNOX-LOGAN-MACON-MARSHALL-MASON-
MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-PEORIA-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-STARK-
TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
1145 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES.
THE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE
LOCALLY SEVERE...WITH A FEW STORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES
OF RAINFALL LIKELY BY LATE TONIGHT. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE OVER
TWO AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN. THIS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RISES
IN AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
MAINLY BETWEEN 4 PM AND MIDNIGHT.

ILZ044>046-054>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-301200-
CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-
EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-MOULTRIE-PIATT-RICHLAND-SHELBY-
VERMILION-
1145 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES.
THE STORMS THIS EVENING AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO BE LOCALLY SEVERE...WITH A FEW STORMS PRODUCING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
LIKELY...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL LIKELY BY LATE TONIGHT. A
FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE OVER TWO AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN. THIS
WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RISES IN AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND
CREEKS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING...MAINLY BETWEEN 8 PM
AND 200 AM CST.

SMITH

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 29, 12:50 PM CST, 1 hour 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1250 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1232 PM     HAIL             WASHINGTON              40.70N 89.44W
01/29/2013  M0.50 INCH       TAZEWELL           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1/2 INCH HAIL LASTED ABOUT 1 MINUTE

&&

LAUFENBERG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 29, 3:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXCass, Morgan, Scott29 min
Jan 29, 5:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChristian, Logan, Macon, Sangamon47 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.