River Flood Warning 24, NWS Lincoln, IL

624 
WGUS83 KILX 180334
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1034 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE AFFECTING VERMILION COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION. WITH THE EXPECTED
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS LATE TONIGHT AND
THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY...RIVER LEVELS ALONG THE VERMILION
RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO SEE SIGNIFICANT RISES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC183-181734-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0024.130419T0616Z-130422T0504Z/
/DNVI2.2.ER.130419T0616Z.130420T1200Z.130421T2304Z.NO/
1034 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE. 
* FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT TO LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 945 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.4 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

VERMILION RIVER
 DANVILLE          18  12.8 WED 10 PM   13.9   20.1   23.4



$$
SMITH

879 
WGUS83 KILX 181533
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1033 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE AFFECTING VERMILION COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC183-190533-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0024.130419T1146Z-130421T1800Z/
/DNVI2.1.ER.130419T1146Z.130420T1200Z.130421T1200Z.NO/
1033 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE. 
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  945 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 21.9 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

VERMILION RIVER
 DANVILLE          18  12.1 THU 10 AM   18.1   21.9   18.0



$$

560 
WGUS43 KILX 190300
FLWILX
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1000 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS...

  VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE AFFECTING VERMILION COUNTY

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THIS RIVER NEED TO PREPARE FOR FLOODING.
STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS FLOODING SITUATION. 

&&

ILC183-191700-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0024.130419T0300Z-130421T1734Z/
/DNVI2.2.ER.130419T0243Z.130420T0600Z.130421T1134Z.NO/
1000 PM CDT THU APR 18 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE. 
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 945 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.8 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SUNDAY MORNING.


&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

VERMILION RIVER
 DANVILLE          18  18.0 THU 10 PM   20.8   23.4   17.9



$$
SMITH

478 
WGUS83 KILX 191549
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1049 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE AFFECTING VERMILION COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC183-200549-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-130421T2152Z/
/DNVI2.2.ER.130419T0243Z.130420T0600Z.130421T1552Z.NO/
1049 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE. 
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  945 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS DOWNSTREAM IN EUGENE AND 
  CAYUGA INDIANA.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

VERMILION RIVER
 DANVILLE          18  21.8 FRI 10 AM   24.5   19.1   14.1

$$

205 
WGUS83 KILX 200400
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1100 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE AFFECTING VERMILION COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC183-201800-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-130421T2015Z/
/DNVI2.2.ER.130419T0243Z.130420T1200Z.130421T1415Z.NO/
1100 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE. 
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 1030 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.2 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS DOWNSTREAM IN EUGENE AND 
  CAYUGA INDIANA.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

VERMILION RIVER
 DANVILLE          18  24.2 FRI 11 PM   24.2   18.6   13.7



$$
SMITH

921 
WGUS83 KILX 201618
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1118 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE AFFECTING VERMILION COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC183-210618-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-130421T1936Z/
/DNVI2.2.ER.130419T0243Z.130420T0600Z.130421T1336Z.NO/
1118 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE. 
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 1045 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

VERMILION RIVER
 DANVILLE          18  23.3 SAT 11 AM   18.4   13.8   11.2



$$

551 
WGUS83 KILX 210221
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
921 PM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE AFFECTING VERMILION COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC183-211621-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-130421T1930Z/
/DNVI2.2.ER.130419T0243Z.130420T0600Z.130421T1330Z.NO/
921 PM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE. 
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  845 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

VERMILION RIVER
 DANVILLE          18  21.3 SAT 9 PM    18.4   13.9   11.6



$$

996 
WGUS83 KILX 211524
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1024 AM CDT SUN APR 21 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE AFFECTING VERMILION COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC183-220055-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-130422T0055Z/
/DNVI2.2.ER.130419T0243Z.130420T0600Z.130421T1855Z.NO/
1024 AM CDT SUN APR 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE. 
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT  945 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS TO SOME SECONDARY 
  ROADS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND NOT PROTECTED BY LEVEES.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED

VERMILION RIVER
 DANVILLE          18  18.9 SUN 10 AM   14.4   11.6    9.8



$$

945 
WGUS83 KILX 212017
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
317 PM CDT SUN APR 21 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
ILLINOIS...
 
  VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE AFFECTING VERMILION COUNTY

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION. ALL RIVER LEVELS 
ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY FALL.

SINCE FLOODING HAS SUBSIDED...THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT ON THIS
FLOODING EVENT.

ILC183-212047-
/O.CAN.KILX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-130422T0055Z/
/DNVI2.2.ER.130419T0243Z.130420T0600Z.130421T1845Z.NO/
317 PM CDT SUN APR 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE VERMILION RIVER AT DANVILLE.
* AT  245 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  145 PM SUNDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 14.4 FEET BY TOMORROW
  MORNING.


&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED

VERMILION RIVER
 DANVILLE          18  17.8 SUN 3 PM    14.4   11.6    9.8



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1102 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 1040 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013
WARM FRONT JUST SOUTH OF THE FA THIS MORNING...MOSTLY ALONG THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THOUGH THE MAIN SFC LOW CENTER IS WELL TO THE
SOUTHWEST...AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE PUSHING THROUGH THE MISSOURI RIVER
VALLY IS STREAMING CONVECTION ALL THE WAY UP INTO NRN IL.
ACCORDING TO THE 4KM WRF WHICH HAS PRETTY GOOD REPRESENTATION
NOW...WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS FOR
SPREADING PRECIP AND CONVECTION INTO CENTRAL IL. SO FAR...FORECAST
IS ON TRACK WITH WARMER AIR PUSHING INTO THE FA LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...AND HIGHER CHANCES FOR PRECIP AS WELL. NO MAJOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST...JUST SOME MINOR GRID ALTERATIONS.

HJS
&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 653 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

MVFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TAF SITES TO START WITH VCSH BASED ON RADAR
TRENDS. SATELLITE AND OBSERVATIONS IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS SHOWS THAT
CIGS WILL DECREASE INTO IFR CATEGORY SOMETIME THIS MORNING.
THINKING THIS WILL CONTINUE REST OF THE MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON WITH LOWER VIS AS WELL. THEN EARLY AFTERNOON...AROUND
18-20Z...CIGS SHOULD IMPROVE BY 1KFT INTO THE MVFR CATEGORY.
BELIEVE VCSH WILL CONTINUE AT ALL SITES THIS AFTERNOON GIVEN THAT
ALL SITES SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT THROUGH THE DAY.
VCSH AND MVFR CIGS SHOULD END ONCE WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE
SITE...AND THIS APPEARS TO OCCUR SOMETIME IN THE EARLY EVENING.
THEN BELIEVE PCPN WILL RETURN...BUT CLOSE TO AROUND MIDNIGHT. THIS
WILL BRING VIS AND CIGS BACK DOWN INTO MVFR CATEGORY ALONG WITH
VCTS. CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS...REACHING TO BELOW 2KFT CIGS. WINDS WILL BE
EASTERLY AND BREEZY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOME SOUTHEAST DURING
THE DAY AND EVENING. WINDS SHOULD BECOME SOUTHERLY TONIGHT AROUND
MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. EXPECT WINDS TO BE
BREEZY THIS MORNING AND THEN GUSTY ONCE GRADIENT TIGHTENS IN THE
WARM SECTOR.

AUTEN
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 330 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

FORECAST CONCERN IS HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER THREAT THROUGH
THU NIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL/SE IL. WILL CONTINUE THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH OVER CENTRAL IL TONIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT WITH 2-4 INCHES OF
RAINFALL LIKELY AND HEAVIEST FROM I-55 NW. BETWEEN 1.5-2 INCHES OF
RAIN IN SOUTHEAST IL FROM I-70 SOUTHEAST AND WILL NOT POST A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH THERE. TEMPERATURE FORECAST TRICKY THROUGH THU AND
HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON FRONTAL POSITION. USED NON DIURNAL TEMP TRENDS
INTO THU AS WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD TODAY/EVENING AND THEN
STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES EAST THU AFTERNOON/EVENING.

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY

EARLY MORNING SURFACE MAP SHOWS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEAR THE OHIO
RIVER AND NEAR THE MO/AR BORDER WILL CENTRAL/SE IL ON COOL SIDE OF
FRONT WITH NE FLOW. TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S CENTRAL IL AND
LOWER 50S IN SOUTHEAST IL. LOW LEVEL JET STILL PRODUCING ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF I-74 AND A FEW
STORMS HAD BEEN STRONG WITH HAIL DURING THE NIGHT IN EASTERN IL.

STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROF/LOW DIGGING OVER THE ROCKIES WILL
STRENGTHEN LOW PRESSURE OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE BY THIS EVENING
AND PULL FRONTAL BOUNDARY BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT THROUGH
CENTRAL/SE IL DURING THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. THIS TO DEVELOP
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND BEST CHANCES TO SHIFT FROM
SE IL EARLY THIS MORNING INTO THE IL RIVER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.
HIGHS LATE TODAY TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 60S NORTH OF PEORIA TO
75 TO 80F IN SOUTHEAST IL FROM CHARLESTON-MATTOON SOUTHEAST.
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET TO DEVELOP MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
OVER CENTRAL AND NW IL AND SPC HAS SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS
WEST OF A DANVILLE TO EFFINGHAM LINE WHERE 15% RISK OF LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND 5% RISK OF TORNADOES. EVEN 30% RISK OF
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER WEST CENTRAL IL TONIGHT. MILD LOWS
TONIGHT IN THE LOW TO MID 60S SO NORTHERN AREAS WILL SEE LITTLE IF
ANY TEMP DROP AND MAY EVEN SNEAK UP WITH PASSAGE OF WARM FRONT
THIS EVENING.

STRONG LOW PRESSURE 995 MB EJECTS NE INTO NW IL BY 18Z/THU AND
DEEPENS TO 992 MB INTO NW LOW MI BY 06Z/FRI. THIS TO SWEEP A
STRONG COLD FRONT EAST OVER IL THU...EXITING EASTERN IL BY MID
EVENING THU. A SQUALL LINE IS LIKELY WITH THIS COLD FRONT AND SPC
HAS SLIGHT RISK OVER MUCH OF IL THU WITH AREAS FROM I-55 EAST
HAVING SIGNIFICANT RISK OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THU AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY THU EVENING. HEAVY RAINS OVER THE IL RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT
AND THU MORNING TO SHIFT INTO EASTERN IL THU AFTERNOON/EVENING.
HIGHS THU IN THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80F OVER EASTERN IL AND UPPER
60S AND LOWER 70S OVER THE IL RIVER VALLEY AND LIKELY FALL DURING
THE AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO EAST AFTER COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. '
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DIMINISH AFTER COLD FRONT PASSAGE BY
OVERNIGHT THU NIGHT...THOUGH STILL VERY HIGH CHANCES EASTERN/SE IL
THU EVENING ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINS.

STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROF SHIFTS EAST INTO IL BY SUNSET FRIDAY
KEEPING LOW CLOUDS AROUND ALONG WITH BREEZY AND COOLER CONDITIONS
AND CHANCES OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS...AND COULD BE COLD ENOUGH FOR A
FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TOO NW OF THE IL RIVER FRIDAY MORNING.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

EXTENDED MODELS/ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO SHOW CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLING INTO IL BY MIDDAY SAT. THIS WILL BRING DRY AND COOL
WEATHER TO CENTRAL/SE IL MUCH OF THIS WEEKEND. FOLLOWED ALLBLEND
PERSISTENT LOWS LOWER 30S (NEAR FREEZING) FRIDAY NIGHT OVER CENTRAL
IL AND MID 30S IN EASTERN IL. HIGHS SAT IN THE LOW TO MID 50S WITH
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHTER WINDS. HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST
INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND EASTERN CANADA SUNDAY AND GIVES
IL SOUTHERLY FLOW TO MODIFY GRADUALLY MODIFY TEMPS SUNDAY/MONDAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S SUNDAY AND MID TO UPPER 60S MONDAY.
HAVE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH BEST CHANCES TUE AS A COLD FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES IL.

07

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR ILZ027>031-036>038-040>043-047>051.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
FOR ILZ044>046-052>057-061.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
611 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

ILZ036-040-041-047-049-050-181100-
CASS-FULTON-MASON-MORGAN-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-
611 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY BUT WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY INTO TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH
THROUGH THE AREA. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THESE
STORMS WILL BE SEVERE LATER TONIGHT...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. AN ISOLATED TORNADO
IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

SOME OF THE STORMS WILL CONTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH COULD LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING OF DITCHES...LOW LYING ROADS...UNDERPASSES AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE THREAT FOR FLOODING OF OTHER RIVERS WILL INCREASE THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT...FROM 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
FALL THROUGH FRIDAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE THURSDAY...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

ILZ027>031-037-038-042-043-048-051-181100-
DE WITT-KNOX-LOGAN-MARSHALL-MCLEAN-MENARD-PEORIA-SANGAMON-STARK-
TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
611 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY BUT WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY INTO TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH
THROUGH THE AREA. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THESE
STORMS WILL BE SEVERE LATER TONIGHT...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. AN ISOLATED TORNADO
IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

SOME OF THE STORMS WILL CONTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH COULD LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING OF DITCHES...LOW LYING ROADS...UNDERPASSES AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE THURSDAY...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. IN ADDITION...TOTAL
RAINFALL OF 3 TO 3.5 INCHES IS LIKELY...WHICH WOULD CAUSE RISES ON
AREA RIVERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

ILZ052-053-181100-
CHRISTIAN-MACON-
611 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY BUT WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY INTO TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH
THROUGH THE AREA. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THESE
STORMS WILL BE SEVERE LATER TONIGHT...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. AN ISOLATED TORNADO
IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

SOME OF THE STORMS WILL CONTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH COULD LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING OF DITCHES...LOW LYING ROADS...UNDERPASSES AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE THURSDAY...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. IN ADDITION...TOTAL
RAINFALL OF AROUND 3 INCHES IS LIKELY...WHICH WOULD CAUSE RISES ON
AREA RIVERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

ILZ044>046-054>057-061-181100-
CHAMPAIGN-COLES-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SHELBY-VERMILION-
611 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY BUT WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY INTO TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH
THROUGH THE AREA. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THESE
STORMS WILL BE SEVERE LATER TONIGHT...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. AN ISOLATED TORNADO
IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

SOME OF THE STORMS WILL CONTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH COULD LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING OF DITCHES...LOW LYING ROADS...UNDERPASSES AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE THURSDAY...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. IN ADDITION...TOTAL
RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES IS LIKELY...WHICH WOULD CAUSE RISES ON
AREA RIVERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

ILZ062-066-067-071-072-181100-
CLAY-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-RICHLAND-
611 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY BUT WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATER TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH
THROUGH THE AREA. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO BE SEVERE AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE THURSDAY...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. IN ADDITION...TOTAL
RAINFALL OF 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES IS LIKELY...WHICH WOULD CAUSE RISES
ON AREA RIVERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT...BUT IS POSSIBLE
THURSDAY.

ILZ063-068-073-181100-
CLARK-CRAWFORD-LAWRENCE-
611 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY BUT WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATER TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH
THROUGH THE AREA. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO BE SEVERE AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE WABASH RIVER...FROM AROUND
PALESTINE UPSTREAM...INTO THE WEEKEND. FLOODING MAY DEVELOP
DOWNSTREAM OF PALESTINE BY THE WEEKEND.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE THURSDAY...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. IN ADDITION...TOTAL
RAINFALL OF AROUND 1.5 INCHES IS LIKELY...WHICH WOULD CAUSE RISES
ON AREA RIVERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT...BUT IS POSSIBLE
THURSDAY.

AUTEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
726 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     HAIL             LAWRENCEVILLE           38.73N 87.69W
04/16/2013  M1.00 INCH       LAWRENCE           IL   MESONET

            DELAYED REPORT. SIZE RANGED FROM 1/4 TO 1 INCH. HAIL
            LASTED 10 MINS.

&&

AUTEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
805 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 AM     HAIL             FAIRMOUNT               40.05N 87.83W
04/17/2013  M0.88 INCH       VERMILION          IL   PUBLIC

            DIME SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

AUTEN