Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 16, NWS Lincoln, IL

April 11, 2013Piatt County, Illinois

NWS Lincoln, IL issued this river flood warning at Apr 11, 2013, 9:44 AM CDT for Piatt County, Illinois. It took effect at Apr 12, 2013, 5:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 11, 2013, 9:44 AM CDT (14:44 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 12, 2013, 5:00 AM CDT
Expired
Apr 15, 2013, 7:00 AM CDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Lincoln, IL
Flood severity
Minor

County Piatt County, IL

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Sangamon River at Monticello (MNTI2). The gauge peaked at 13.22 ft at Apr 14, 2013, 12:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate101504/1104/1204/1304/1404/1504/16
Action stage
11 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
17 ft
Major stage
20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05572000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

489 
WGUS43 KILX 111444
FLWILX
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
944 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN IL HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS... 

  SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO AFFECTING PIATT COUNTY

.SYNOPSIS...HEAVY RAINFALL FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS HAS RESULTED IN 
RISES IN MANY AREA RIVERS...INCLUDING THE SANGAMON RIVER AT 
MONTICELLO.  

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THIS RIVER NEED TO PREPARE FOR FLOODING.
STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS FLOODING SITUATION. 

&&

ILC147-120444-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0016.130412T1800Z-130414T0300Z/
/MNTI2.1.ER.130412T1800Z.130413T0000Z.130413T2100Z.NO/
944 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN IL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO.
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  845 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

SANGAMON RIVER
 MONTICELLO        13  11.5 THU 9 AM    12.8   13.2   12.6



$$
8 follow-up statements
873 
WGUS83 KILX 112008
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
308 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO AFFECTING PIATT COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC147-121008-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0016.130412T1200Z-130414T1500Z/
/MNTI2.1.ER.130412T1200Z.130413T0600Z.130414T0900Z.NO/
308 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO. 
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT  145 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

SANGAMON RIVER
 MONTICELLO        13  12.1 THU 2 PM    13.0   13.5   12.9



$$
654 
WGUS83 KILX 120143
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
843 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO AFFECTING PIATT COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC147-121543-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0016.130412T1000Z-130414T1800Z/
/MNTI2.1.ER.130412T1000Z.130413T0600Z.130414T1200Z.NO/
843 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO. 
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 745 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.6 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

SANGAMON RIVER
 MONTICELLO        13  12.5 THU 8 PM    13.1   13.6   13.0


$$

SMITH
980 
WGUS83 KILX 121454
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
954 AM CDT FRI APR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO AFFECTING PIATT COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC147-130454-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130414T1800Z/
/MNTI2.1.ER.130412T0945Z.130413T0600Z.130414T1200Z.NO/
954 AM CDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO. 
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  845 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.6 FEET BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

SANGAMON RIVER
 MONTICELLO        13  13.1 FRI 9 AM    13.6   13.0   12.1



$$
000 
WGUS83 KILX 130222
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
922 PM CDT FRI APR 12 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO AFFECTING PIATT COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC147-131622-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130414T0600Z/
/MNTI2.1.ER.130412T0945Z.130413T0600Z.130414T0000Z.NO/
922 PM CDT FRI APR 12 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO. 
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 815 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST AROUND 13.2 FEET SATURDAY MORNING AND
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

SANGAMON RIVER
 MONTICELLO        13  13.1 FRI 8 PM    13.2   12.7   12.0


$$
SMITH
040 
WGUS83 KILX 131806
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
106 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO AFFECTING PIATT COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC147-140806-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130414T1800Z/
/MNTI2.1.ER.130412T0945Z.130413T1645Z.130414T1200Z.NO/
106 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO. 
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 1145 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

SANGAMON RIVER
 MONTICELLO        13  13.2 SAT 12 PM   13.0   12.2   11.5



$$
102 
WGUS83 KILX 140202
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
902 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO AFFECTING PIATT COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC147-141602-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130414T1800Z/
/MNTI2.1.ER.130412T0945Z.130413T2345Z.130414T1200Z.NO/
902 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO. 
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 745 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

SANGAMON RIVER
 MONTICELLO        13  13.2 SAT 8 PM    13.0   12.2   11.5


$$
736 
WGUS83 KILX 141407
FLSILX

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
907 AM CDT SUN APR 14 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO AFFECTING PIATT COUNTY.

.THE SANGAMON RIVER SHOULD HOVER JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT 
MONTICELLO THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY...BEFORE SLOWLY 
BEGINNING TO FALL. BY MONDAY MORNING...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED
TO BE JUST BELOW FLOOD STAGE. 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC147-150407-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130415T1200Z/
/MNTI2.1.ER.130412T0945Z.130413T2345Z.130415T0600Z.NO/
907 AM CDT SUN APR 14 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO. 
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  745 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEARLY STEADY TODAY...THEN 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED

SANGAMON RIVER
 MONTICELLO        13  13.2 SUN 8 AM    12.8   11.2   10.5

$$
GEELHART
615 
WGUS83 KILX 150409
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1109 PM CDT SUN APR 14 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO AFFECTING PIATT COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION...SOIL 
MOISTURE CONDITIONS...AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILX  /LOWER CASE/.

&&

ILC147-151200-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130415T1200Z/
/MNTI2.1.ER.130412T0945Z.130413T2345Z.130415T0600Z.NO/
1109 PM CDT SUN APR 14 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SANGAMON RIVER AT MONTICELLO. 
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  945 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED

SANGAMON RIVER
 MONTICELLO        13  13.0 SUN 10 PM   12.8   11.2   10.5



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 11, 6:59 AM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 11, 6:59 AM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
659 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 300 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

MOST OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE EXITED THE FORECAST
AREA AS OF 230 AM...BUT HAVE HAD SOME REDEVELOPMENT NORTH OF THE
BOUNDARY...WHICH WAS ANALYZED JUST NORTH OF I-70. THE PARENT LOW
PRESSURE AREA WAS LOCATED JUST EAST OF MACOMB...WITH A COLD FRONT
EXTENDING SOUTH THROUGH ST LOUIS INTO EASTERN ARKANSAS. ALSO HAVE
SEEN SOME WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS UPSTREAM ACROSS
IOWA...ALONG AN INVERTED TROUGH RADIATING NORTHWEST FROM THE LOW.
THE UPPER LOW WAS CLEARLY EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...AND HAD BEGUN TO START AN EASTWARD NUDGE
ALONG THE NEBRASKA/KANSAS BORDER.

THE INITIAL FORECAST CONCERN FOR TODAY INVOLVES TEMPERATURES AND
LINGERING RAIN CHANCES AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. LATER ON...THE
FOCUS SHIFTS TO EXTENDED RAIN CHANCES FOR MUCH OF THE FIRST HALF
OF NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THE SURFACE LOW SHOULD REACH NORTHERN ILLINOIS BY LATE
MORNING...WITH THE FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA BY THAT TIME.
AS THE UPPER LOW STARTS TO BECOME VERTICALLY STACKED WITH THE
SURFACE LOW...SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT FROM
IOWA TO NORTHERN ILLINOIS. THINK THAT THE FORECAST AREA WILL
LARGELY BE DRY BY EARLY AFTERNOON...BUT HAVE MAINTAINED SOME 20
PERCENT CHANCES THROUGH THE DAY. ANY LINGERING SHOWERS SHOULD END
EARLY THIS EVENING AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE AREA...WITH DRY
WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

TEMPERATURE-WISE...WILL BE A BIT OF A STRUGGLE TODAY AS 850 MB
TEMPS REMAIN ABOVE ZERO CELSIUS THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS THE
EAST...AND TEMPERATURES NEAR THE INDIANA BORDER WILL STILL LIKELY
BE NEAR OR JUST OVER 60. THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA SHOULD SEE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 50S PREVAILING. WITH THE BROAD NORTHWEST FLOW
CONTINUING...THE CORE OF THE COLD AIR ALOFT IS NOT EXPECTED TO GET
HERE UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...SO TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO
REMAIN 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR MID-APRIL.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SIGNIFICANT WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL BEGIN IN EARNEST SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH 850 MB TEMPS APPROACHING 10C BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
SHOULD ALLOW HIGHS TO GET CLOSE TO 70. ASSOCIATED SHOWERS/STORM
WITH THE WAA SHOULD STAY TO OUR NORTHWEST UNTIL CLOSER TO LATE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...AN UPPER LOW WILL DROP SOUTHEAST OUT
OF ALBERTA THIS WEEKEND...AND SWING ACROSS NORTH DAKOTA AND
MINNESOTA. THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
ILLINOIS SOMETIME ON MONDAY...BUT HANG UP AS IT PARALLELS THE
UPPER FLOW. AS IS TYPICAL...EXACTLY WHERE THE FRONT STALLS WILL
MAKE A BIG IMPACT ON LOCATION OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS AND THE COLDER
AIR ON THE NORTH SIDE...BUT THE GFS/ECMWF/CANADIAN MODELS ARE IN
AGREEMENT WITH DECENT RAIN CHANCES MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. AFTER
THAT...SOLUTIONS BEGIN TO VARY AS THE ECMWF SIGNIFICANTLY SURGES
THE FRONT BACK NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO A PIECE OF ENERGY CUTTING
OFF IN A DIGGING TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS. THE GFS IS ABSENT OF THIS
FEATURE AND BRINGS WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE FRONT INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY. THE ECMWF SOLUTION WOULD RESULT IN HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S BY WEDNESDAY AS 850 MB TEMPS RISE TO +16. NOT READY TO JUMP ON
THAT QUITE YET...SO HAVE NOT MADE MUCH CHANGE TO HIGHS AT THAT TIME.

GEELHART
&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 659 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER THE MIDWEST
THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SUBJECT THE CENTRAL
ILLINOIS TERMINALS WITH LOW CLOUD CIGS AND OCCASIONAL VSBY
RESTRICTIONS FOR MUCH OF THE 12Z TAF VALID TIME. MOST TERMINALS
WILL BEGIN THE DAY IFR OR LOW END MVFR. A GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT IN
CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED DUE TO DIURNAL HEATING AND/OR DRIER AIR
WRAPPING INTO THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW. SOME MODEL SOLUTIONS
INDICATE CONDITIONS TRENDING TO VFR AFTER DARK TONIGHT...BUT
CONFIDENCE IN THIS OCCURRING IS NOT HIGH...ESPECIALLY AT KPIA AND
KBMI. WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF A FEW HOURS THIS MORNING...
WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE WINDS WILL BE
GUSTY AT TIMES.

BAK
&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 11, 5:52 AM CDT, 3 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
552 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-121100-
CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-
DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-FULTON-JASPER-KNOX-LAWRENCE-LOGAN-
MACON-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PEORIA-PIATT-
RICHLAND-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-SHELBY-STARK-TAZEWELL-VERMILION-
WOODFORD-
552 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL ACROSS THE AREA EARLY NEXT
WEEK. DISTURBANCES MOVING ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL PRODUCE A RISK
OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

BAK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 11, 6:38 AM CDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
638 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HAVANA                  40.30N 90.06W
04/11/2013  M2.20 INCH       MASON              IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

&&

25
Local storm report, Apr 11, 7:09 AM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
709 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0644 AM     HEAVY RAIN       EUREKA                  40.72N 89.28W
04/11/2013  M2.10 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0644 AM     HEAVY RAIN       RUSHVILLE               40.12N 90.57W
04/11/2013  M1.85 INCH       SCHUYLER           IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ALTONA                  41.12N 90.16W
04/11/2013  M1.48 INCH       KNOX               IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SW CAMP GROVE         41.06N 89.66W
04/11/2013  M1.23 INCH       STARK              IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0650 AM     HEAVY RAIN       LINCOLN                 40.15N 89.37W
04/11/2013  M2.12 INCH       LOGAN              IL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MACKINAW                40.53N 89.36W
04/11/2013  M2.63 INCH       TAZEWELL           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       WATSON                  39.03N 88.57W
04/11/2013  M1.29 INCH       EFFINGHAM          IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 W KINCAID             39.59N 89.47W
04/11/2013  M1.56 INCH       CHRISTIAN          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SPRINGFIELD             39.78N 89.64W
04/11/2013  M1.50 INCH       SANGAMON           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MOUNT PULASKI           40.01N 89.28W
04/11/2013  M1.43 INCH       LOGAN              IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 E BLOOMINGTON         40.48N 88.95W
04/11/2013  M1.22 INCH       MCLEAN             IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       PANA                    39.39N 89.08W
04/11/2013  M1.64 INCH       CHRISTIAN          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       JACKSONVILLE            39.73N 90.23W
04/11/2013  M1.95 INCH       MORGAN             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SW EFFINGHAM          39.09N 88.59W
04/11/2013  M1.10 INCH       EFFINGHAM          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       GALESBURG               40.95N 90.38W
04/11/2013  M1.10 INCH       KNOX               IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

&&

25
Local storm report, Apr 11, 7:43 AM CDT, 2 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
743 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NE AVON               40.71N 90.37W
04/11/2013  M1.40 INCH       FULTON             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0710 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 W BISMARCK            40.27N 87.66W
04/11/2013  M2.64 INCH       VERMILION          IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 W FARMER CITY         40.24N 88.70W
04/11/2013  M1.95 INCH       DE WITT            IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SW PETERSBURG         39.99N 89.88W
04/11/2013  M1.61 INCH       MENARD             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N GERMANTOWN HILLS    40.80N 89.47W
04/11/2013  M1.96 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BUFFALO                 39.85N 89.41W
04/11/2013  M2.12 INCH       SANGAMON           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       EUREKA                  40.72N 89.28W
04/11/2013  M2.08 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0724 AM     HEAVY RAIN       OAKLEY                  39.85N 88.82W
04/11/2013  M1.39 INCH       MACON              IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 SE MASON CITY         40.16N 89.64W
04/11/2013  M2.13 INCH       MASON              IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ROANOKE                 40.80N 89.20W
04/11/2013  M1.88 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HENRY                   41.11N 89.36W
04/11/2013  M1.36 INCH       MARSHALL           IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

&&

25
Local storm report, Apr 11, 8:04 AM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
804 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ST. DAVID               40.49N 90.05W
04/11/2013  M1.82 INCH       FULTON             IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SAVOY                   40.06N 88.25W
04/11/2013  M1.90 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MINONK                  40.90N 89.04W
04/11/2013  M1.65 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SW CLINTON            40.14N 88.97W
04/11/2013  M1.94 INCH       DE WITT            IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       PETERSBURG              40.01N 89.85W
04/11/2013  M1.86 INCH       MENARD             IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SW TAYLORVILLE        39.50N 89.29W
04/11/2013  M1.72 INCH       CHRISTIAN          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       LACON                   41.02N 89.41W
04/11/2013  M1.49 INCH       MARSHALL           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SW LATHAM             39.95N 89.19W
04/11/2013  M2.38 INCH       LOGAN              IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

&&

25
Local storm report, Apr 11, 8:52 AM CDT, 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
852 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N ATHENS              39.99N 89.72W
04/11/2013  M1.68 INCH       MENARD             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       PEORIA                  40.74N 89.61W
04/11/2013  M1.71 INCH       PEORIA             IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BLOOMINGTON             40.48N 88.97W
04/11/2013  M1.25 INCH       MCLEAN             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 W ARTHUR              39.72N 88.49W
04/11/2013  M1.35 INCH       MOULTRIE           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NW PEORIA             40.80N 89.68W
04/11/2013  M1.92 INCH       PEORIA             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HOPEWELL                40.98N 89.46W
04/11/2013  M1.52 INCH       MARSHALL           IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       GRIDLEY                 40.74N 88.88W
04/11/2013  M1.90 INCH       MCLEAN             IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 SW NEWMAN             39.76N 88.04W
04/11/2013  M1.08 INCH       DOUGLAS            IL   MESONET

0730 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NE CISCO              40.03N 88.70W
04/11/2013  M2.10 INCH       PIATT              IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 S SULLIVAN            39.55N 88.61W
04/11/2013  M1.12 INCH       MOULTRIE           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DANVILLE                40.14N 87.62W
04/11/2013  M1.15 INCH       VERMILION          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SW MOUNT PULASKI      39.98N 89.32W
04/11/2013  M1.50 INCH       LOGAN              IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       URBANA                  40.11N 88.21W
04/11/2013  M1.76 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SPARLAND                41.03N 89.44W
04/11/2013  M1.38 INCH       MARSHALL           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0838 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ASTORIA                 40.23N 90.36W
04/11/2013  M2.35 INCH       FULTON             IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0808 AM     HEAVY RAIN       LANE                    40.13N 88.85W
04/11/2013  M2.01 INCH       DE WITT            IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0847 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SW JEROME             39.76N 89.69W
04/11/2013  M1.45 INCH       SANGAMON           IL   MESONET

            STORM TOTAL

0847 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S MANITO              40.41N 89.78W
04/11/2013  M2.20 INCH       MASON              IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0850 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NW WINDSOR            39.48N 88.65W
04/11/2013  M1.06 INCH       SHELBY             IL   MESONET

            STORM TOTAL

0840 AM     HEAVY RAIN       RANTOUL                 40.30N 88.16W
04/11/2013  M1.88 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          IL   MESONET

            STORM TOTAL

&&

25
Local storm report, Apr 11, 8:57 AM CDT, 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
857 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MORRISONVILLE           39.42N 89.46W
04/11/2013  M1.18 INCH       CHRISTIAN          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

&&

25

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 10, 8:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXDeWitt, Macon, Piatt6 hr
Apr 10, 8:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXFulton, Schuyler6 hr
Apr 10, 8:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXCass, Mason, Menard, Morgan, Scott6 hr
Apr 10, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChristian, Macon, Moultrie, Shelby62 min
Apr 10, 10:06 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementILXMcLean54 min
Apr 10, 10:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXDeWitt, McLean, Piatt36 min
Apr 10, 10:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXPeoria, Tazewell, Woodford6 hr
Apr 10, 10:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXClark, Coles, Cumberland, Edgar45 min
Apr 10, 10:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementILXChampaign, Edgar, Vermilion53 min
Apr 10, 10:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChampaign, Douglas, Edgar, Vermilion35 min
Apr 10, 10:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementILXVermilion36 min
Apr 10, 11:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChampaign, Vermilion42 min
Apr 11, 1:01 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryILXSchuyler15 hr
Apr 11, 1:15 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningILXCass, Fulton, Mason89 days
Apr 11, 1:15 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningILXBrown, Cass, Morgan, Schuyler93 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.