Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Wilmington, OH

878 
WGUS71 KILN 301859
FFSILN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
259 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

OHC091-302030-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130630T2030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LOGAN OH-
259 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR WESTERN LOGAN COUNTY UNTIL 430
PM EDT...

AT 258 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED THAT THUNDERSTORMS HAD PRODUCED VERY 
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. OVER THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE 
ALREADY FALLEN BETWEEN BELLE CENTER...HUNTSVILLE AND RUSSELLS POINT. 
ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL OCCURRING 
AND PRODUCING GENERALLY LIGHT RAINFALL...THE HEAVY RAINFALL HAS 
ENDED ACROSS THE AREA. RUNOFF FROM THE EARLIER EXCESSIVE RAIN WILL 
CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO OCCUR.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...BELLE
CENTER...DE GRAFF...LAKEVIEW AND RUSSELLS POINT.

OTHER LOCATIONS WHERE FLOODING MAY OCCUR INCLUDE...BLOOM CENTER...
HUNTSVILLE...LEWISTOWN...LOGANSVILLE...MCMORRAN...NORTHWOOD AND
QUINCY.

IN ADDITION...PLACES ALONG THE FOLLOWING STREAMS MAY BE AFFECTED...
SOUTH FORK OF THE GREAT MIAMI RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

TO REPORT FLASH FLOODING...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND
SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4052 8368 4027 8387 4028 8402 4031 8401
      4031 8400 4037 8400 4053 8399 4053 8383

$$

784 
WGUS71 KILN 302022
FFSILN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
422 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

OHC091-302032-
/O.EXP.KILN.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130630T2030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LOGAN OH-
422 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR WESTERN LOGAN COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
430 PM EDT...

HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A
THREAT.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS FLASH FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BY GOING TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMITTING YOUR REPORT
VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

LAT...LON 4052 8368 4027 8387 4028 8402 4031 8401
      4031 8400 4037 8400 4053 8399 4053 8383

$$
ASL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
937 AM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND...CAUSING BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. ALSO...EMBEDDED
DISTURBANCES WITHIN THIS TROUGH WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL LINGER INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
AS THE TROUGH BEGINS TO WEAKEN.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN ELONGATED TROUGH EXTENDING FROM IT OFF TO
THE NORTHEAST. THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE A WEAK SURFACE LOW
ASSOCIATED WITH IT...CURRENTLY NEAR CVG. PCPN HAS BEEN ROTATING
AROUND THIS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...WITH THE MOST WIDESPREAD
PCPN REMAINING ACROSS OUR NORTHWESTERN AREAS. SHORTER RANGE HI-RES
MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN WILL REMAIN ALONG
AND NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 71 THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...IN AREA OF
BETTER MID/UPPER LEVEL DEFORMATION AXIS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS OUR
AREA...WE ARE STILL SEEING SOME FAIRLY WIDESPREAD STRATUS. ONCE
THIS BEGINS TO BURN OFF...WE SHOULD SEE SOME SCT SHOWER/TSTM
DEVELOPMENT AS WE BEGIN TO DESTABILIZE. EXPECT PCPN ACROSS OUR
NORTHWEST TO BE RATHER SLOW MOVING IN LIGHT FLOW REGIME. THIS
COULD LEAD TO SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES AS WE HEAD THROUGH
THE DAY. MEANWHILE...MID AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR DOES BEGIN TO
INCREASE SOMEWHAT FARTHER TO OUR SOUTHEAST SO ANY STORMS THAT DO
DEVELOP IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN AREAS SHOULD HAVE A LITTLE MORE MOVEMENT
TO THEM...BUT MAY ALSO BE SOMEWHAT STRONGER/MORE ORGANIZED. EXPECT
HIGHS TODAY MAINLY IN THE 75 TO 80 DEGREE RANGE.
&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NUMERICAL MODEL SOLNS GENERALLY SIMILAR WITH ELONGATED UPPER
LEVEL LOW OVER LOWER MS VLY DRIFTING BACK SLOWLY NORTH INTO THE
LOWER OH VLY MONDAY AND THEN RETROGRADING WEST INTO IL TUESDAY.

WILL DIMINISH POPS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT TO SLIGHT CHC BY
SUNRISE MONDAY WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. WILL LEAVE THE
HIGHEST POPS ACRS THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT. MODELS SOLNS INDICATE THAT
SFC TROF AND FAVORABLE AXIS OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE PIVOTS NW BACK
MONDAY. WILL INCREASE POPS FROM THE SE TO NW WITH LKLY POPS
DEVELOPING BY AFTN. WILL CARRY THE HIGHEST POPS ACRS THE WEST CLOSER
TO UPR LOW WHERE BEST INSTBY AROUND 1000 J/KG IS EXPECTED. EXPECT
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE WITH MONDAYS HIGHS RANGING
FROM THE MID 70S NW TO NEAR 80 SE.

WILL ALLOW POPS TO DIMINISH MONDAY NIGHT PER OBSERVATION THE PAST
SEVERAL NIGHTS DUE TO LOSS OF INSTBY. WILL INCREASE POPS TUESDAY BUT
LIMIT MAX TO HIGH CHC ACRS THE WEST WITH THE UPR SUPPORT RETROGRADING
WESTWARD. HIGHS ON TUESDAY EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM UPR 70S WEST TO
AROUND 80 SOUTHEAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A CLOSED LOW WILL BE OVER THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD. THIS WILL SLOWLY RETROGRADE AND OPEN UP THROUGH THE WEEK.
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION ESPECIALLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BUT COVERAGE SHOULD PROGRESSIVELY
LESSEN THROUGH THURSDAY. SCATTERED MAINLY DIURNAL ACTIVITY WILL
STILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH THE GULF WIDE OPEN AND
WEAK DISTURBANCES LIFTING NORTH BETWEEN THE REMNANTS OF THE TROUGH
IN THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY AND A BERMUDA HIGH. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS WILL BRING HIGHS CLOSER TO
NORMAL WITH ABOVE NORMAL LOWS BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE AREA IS UNDER A BROAD UPPER TROUGH ACCOMPANIED BY NUMEROUS
SHORT WAVES RESULTING IN A WEAK SURFACE CYCLONE AND A PERSISTENTLY
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS. ABOVE AVERAGE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS
EVIDENT EARLY IN THE FORECAST AND CEILINGS BELOW 1000 FEET ARE
OCCURRING...ALONG WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES DUE TO BR. A RETURN TO
MAINLY VFR IS EXPECTED WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF 12Z TAF ISSUANCE.

THOUGH A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS...CONVECTION WILL BECOME MORE PREVALENT DURING THE
AFTERNOON WHEN INSTABILITY PEAKS. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
CREEPS SLOWLY EASTWARD...WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTHEAST WITH SPEEDS
STAYING UNDER 10 KNOTS. BR IS LIKELY AGAIN LATE IN THE PERIOD
AFTER CONVECTION WEAKENS WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AR
NEAR TERM...AR
SHORT TERM...JGL
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...CONIGLIO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
524 AM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-010930-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
524 AM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW IN THE AREA WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WIDESPREAD SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...HOWEVER A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY
WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. THESE STORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF BRIEF
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

UNDER THE CONTINUED INFLUENCE OF UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ON
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...
HOWEVER A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. THESE
STORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1221 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 PM     FLOOD            BELLE CENTER            40.51N 83.74W
06/30/2013                   LOGAN              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HIGH WATER FROM RUNOFF REPORTED TO MAKE A FEW ROADS IN
            THE AREA IMPASSIBLE.

&&

KURZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
127 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0118 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 N HUNTSVILLE          40.49N 83.80W
06/30/2013  M2.00 INCH       LOGAN              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAINFALL AMOUNT OCCURRED IN 30 MINUTES.

&&

ASL