Severe Thunderstorm Warning 239, NWS Wichita, KS

695 
WWUS53 KICT 152205
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
505 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

KSC155-152215-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0239.000000T0000Z-130915T2245Z/
RENO KS-
505 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL RENO COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3792 9770 3812 9769 3816 9728 3792 9726
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 264DEG 23KT 3804 9761

$$

KSC079-152245-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0239.000000T0000Z-130915T2245Z/
HARVEY KS-
505 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HARVEY COUNTY
UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

AT 502 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BURRTON...AND
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEWTON...HALSTEAD...HESSTON...NORTH NEWTON AND NEWTON AIRPORT.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 135 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 23 AND 40.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3792 9770 3812 9769 3816 9728 3792 9726
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 264DEG 23KT 3804 9761

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

KETCHAM

554 
WWUS53 KICT 152220
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
520 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

KSC079-152245-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0239.000000T0000Z-130915T2245Z/
HARVEY KS-
520 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HARVEY COUNTY
UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

AT 517 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HALSTEAD...AND
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEWTON...HESSTON...NORTH NEWTON AND NEWTON AIRPORT.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 135 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 23 AND 40.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3792 9770 3812 9769 3816 9728 3792 9726
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 264DEG 23KT 3807 9752

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

KETCHAM

512 
WWUS53 KICT 152243
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
543 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

KSC079-152253-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0239.000000T0000Z-130915T2245Z/
HARVEY KS-
543 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HARVEY COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
545 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.  HOWEVER...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH 
A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 3792 9770 3812 9769 3816 9728 3792 9726
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 264DEG 23KT 3808 9733

$$

KETCHAM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
301 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 250 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

A COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM NORTHEAST TO CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST KANSAS IS KEEPING ON ITS SOUTHEAST TRACK. THIS FRONT WILL
PUSH THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND A RIDGE WILL BE ON ITS TAILS FOR
MONDAY. A FAIRLY ACTIVE PATTERN IS IN PLACE TO KEEP SYSTEMS MOVING
ACROSS THE CONUS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

AS MENTIONED IN THE SYNOPSIS...THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO
SLIDE THROUGH THE REST OF KANSAS AND INTO OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
BUBBLE UP ALONG AND BEHIND THIS FRONTAL FEATURE THIS AFTERNOON
GIVEN DAYTIME HEATING AND . SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG
WITH ABOVE 1K J/KG CAPE VALUES MAINLY IN SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS...HOWEVER 0-6KM BULK SHEAR VALUES ARE LESS THAN 30KTS
ACCORDING TO THE MODELS DURING THIS RESPECTIVE TIME FRAME FOR ALL
BUT THE RUC WHICH HAS VALUES JUST AT 40KTS. PRECIPITATION ACTIVITY
IS STILL ANTICIPATED TO LINGER INTO MUCH OF MONDAY AND TUESDAY
WHEN ANOTHER SHORTWAVE IN THE MID LEVELS MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.
ANOTHER TROUGH AT 500MB AND 700MB IS GOING TO MOVE ONSHORE ON
TUESDAY...WHILE THE 850MB TROUGH HALTS AND STARTS TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE FRONT RANGE. EVENING POPS ON TUESDAY WERE SLIGHTLY DROPPED
FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...BUT THE MAIN TRENDS FOR ALL OTHER
PARAMETERS WERE MAINTAINED. COOLER AIR ON MONDAY AND CLOUD COVER
WILL KEEP HIGHS BELOW SEASONAL NORMAL BY 5 DEGREES IN SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS AND AS MUCH AS 10 DEGREES IN CENTRAL KANSAS.
TUESDAY SHOULD REBOUND BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL IN THE MID TO UPPER
80S.

JUANITA

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

WEDNESDAY THRU THURSDAY: IN THIS TIME FRAME...THE NEXT SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE PLAINS. WHILE THE CENTER OF THE LOW
STAYS ACROSS THE CANADIAN AND U.S. BORDER AND MOVES THE FRONT ON
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...THERE ARE MODEL DIFFERENCES IN ITS TIMING.
ECMWF IS MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH PUSHING THE FRONT THROUGH THE AREA.
THERE COULD BE A CHANGE IN PRECIP ACTIVITY WITH THIS DIFFERENCE.
POPS WERE SLIGHTLY INCREASED FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING WITH
A SMIDGEN OF BETTER CONSISTENCY.

FRIDAY THRU SUNDAY: CURRENT MODEL PREDICTIONS OF THIS TIME FRAME MAKE IT
APPEAR THAT A RIDGE WILL BE IN PLACE. MODEL DISCREPANCIES BEGIN AT
THE START OF NEXT WEEK WHICH MAY MAKE AN IMPACT TO THE FORECAST
FOR SUNDAY DEPENDING ON THE POTENTIAL PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE
SYSTEM. THIS IS TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY CERTAINTY IN EITHER PREDICTION
OF THE NEXT SYSTEM TO MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES.
SLIGHT CHANCES WERE PUT IN FOR SUNDAY...BUT AGAIN CONFIDENCE IS
LOW AT THIS TIME.

JUANITA

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1245 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO ERUPT BY 21-22Z NEAR HUT-
ICT...ALONG A COLD FRONT SURGING SOUTH...WITH THIS ACTIVITY
GETTING INTO KCNU 00-01Z. STRONGEST ACTIVITY WILL BE CAPABLE OF
STRONG/GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS...DIME-QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN. BEHIND INITIAL CONVECTION...OTHER AREAS OF
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP NORTH OF THE FRONT LATER THIS
EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS...POSSIBLY AFFECTING THE
ENTIRE AREA. FURTHERMORE...LOW MVFR TO POTENTIALLY IFR CIGS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD SOUTH IN WAKE OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...ALONG WITH MODEST NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS.

ADK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    65  78  65  86 /  60  50  30  30
HUTCHINSON      62  75  63  85 /  60  50  30  30
NEWTON          61  74  62  83 /  60  50  30  30
ELDORADO        63  78  63  84 /  60  50  30  30
WINFIELD-KWLD   67  81  65  86 /  50  60  30  30
RUSSELL         58  72  61  86 /  40  40  40  30
GREAT BEND      59  73  62  85 /  40  40  40  30
SALINA          60  73  62  84 /  40  40  40  40
MCPHERSON       61  74  63  84 /  50  40  30  40
COFFEYVILLE     66  83  65  86 /  60  60  40  40
CHANUTE         64  78  63  85 /  60  60  40  40
IOLA            63  76  62  84 /  60  50  40  40
PARSONS-KPPF    65  81  64  85 /  60  60  40  40

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
322 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-162030-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
322 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS BEGAN TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST THIS EVENING OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL...SOUTHERN AND EASTERN KANSAS...AS A COLD FRONT SURGES
SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS
UNLIKELY...A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF 55 MPH
WINDS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PERIODIC CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE WEEK
AHEAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. WHILE THE RISK FOR ORGANIZED
SEVERE STORMS APPEARS LOW...A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ON THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY AS COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH ACROSS
KANSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

KED/ADK/VJP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
330 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

KSZ067-152100-
RENO-
330 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR RENO COUNTY...

AT 328 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ABBYVILLE...OR 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HUTCHINSON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3816 9782 3795 9783 3782 9826 3796 9833
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 243DEG 17KT 3794 9821

KETCHAM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
352 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

KSZ050-067-152145-
RENO-RICE-
352 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR RENO AND RICE COUNTIES...

AT 347 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTH OF RAYMOND...OR 24 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF GREAT BEND...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

ALSO STRONG STORMS WERE LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF
HUTCHINSON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3839 9794 3816 9793 3817 9782 3795 9783
      3788 9847 3840 9847
TIME...MOT...LOC 2051Z 249DEG 17KT 3817 9843

KETCHAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
448 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0447 PM     HAIL             6 SE (HUT)HUTCHINSON MU 38.01N 97.79W
09/15/2013  E1.75 INCH       RENO               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS LOTS OF GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL AND
            40 MPH WINDS.

&&

VJP