River Flood Warning 63, NWS Wichita, KS

721 
WGUS83 KICT 101416
FLSICT
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 
915 AM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Kansas...
 
  Ninnescah South Fork Near Murdock affecting Kingman County.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Shallow 
flowing water can wash a car from the roadway.

&&

KSC095-101445-
/O.CAN.KICT.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-130811T0600Z/
/MDKK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
915 AM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Ninnescah South Fork Near Murdock.
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 8.0 feet. The 
  river will fall to 6.4 feet by .
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Minor flooding occurs along the right 
  upstream bank affecting pastureland and along left downstream bank.
  

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sun    Mon    Tue
  Murdock         8.0   7.5  Sat 09 AM    6.4    5.7    4.9

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
339 AM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY )
ISSUED AT 338 AM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013

TODAY:
IMMEDIATE FOCUS IS FOG POTENTIAL AS CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT NLY WINDS AND
OBVIOUSLY SOAKED GROUNDS DEFINITELY PROMOTE ITS DEVELOPMENT. TEMP/
DWPT DEPRESSIONS ARE 4F OR LESS WITH MATCHING TEMP/DWPTS AT A COUPLE
LOCATIONS. FOR NOW HAVE RETAINED "PATCHY" DESCRIPTOR BUT DID APPLY A
1 MILE DESCRIPTOR TO ALL AREAS. THE FOG SHOULD DISSIPATE BY 10 AM WITH
CUMULUS QUICKLY FORMING THEREAFTER. THE COMBINATION OF SOAKED GROUNDS
& THE DEVELOPING CUMULUS SHOULD INHIBIT WARMUP WITH HIGHS IN THE LWR
80S.

TONIGHT-MON NGT:
TSRA ARE STILL SCHEDULED TO RETURN TO KICT COUNTRY SUN AFTERNOON AS A
DEVELOPING FRONT RANGE SFC TROF ENABLES RICHER LWR-DECK MOISTURE TO
MIGRATE N ACROSS KS. COVERAGE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE AS A WEAK BUT NONE
THE LESS DISCERNIBLE MID-LVL SHORTWAVE & ACCOMPANYING VORT LOBE MOVE E
OVER KS. DUE TO FEEBLE UPR PATTERN SVR POTENTIAL LIMITED BUT ONCE AGAIN
+RA ARE SURE TO OCCUR AS PWS INCREASE MARKEDLY FROM ~150% MON MORNING
TO A POTENT 200-225% MON NGT. SUCH A SCENARIO IS REINFORCED BY A WEAK
COLD FRONT THAT'LL SAG DUE S TOWARD CNTRL KS MON NGT WHEN +TSRA ARE
MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR. NO DOUBT SUCH A PATTERN WOULD HAVE MAJOR FLOODING
RAMIFICATIONS THAT WILL OBVIOUSLY DRAW CONSIDERABLE ATTENTION. FURTHER
FLOOD WATCHES ARE LIKELY FOR MON & ESPECIALLY MON NGT. STAY TUNED.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 338 AM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013

THE BEHAVIOR & POSITIONING OF THE COLD FRONT IS ONE FEATURE THAT WILL
CONTINUE TO DRAW CONSIDERABLE ATTENTION TUE & TUE NGT. WITH A MID-UPR
RIDGE AMPLIFYING AS IT VENTURES E TOWARD THE GREAT PLAINS NW UPR-DECK
REGIME GRADUALLY STRENGTHENS WHICH WOULD PUSH THE FRONT FURTHER INTO
OK...PERHAPS TO THE RED RIVER. SUCH A REGIME WOULD FORCE A SFC-850MB
HIGH S OVER THE MS VALLEY. THIS WOULD GRADUALLY SHUNT THE HIGHER TSRA
POTENTIAL TOWARD THE WRN HALF OF THE GREAT PLAINS. THEREFORE POPS HAVE
BEEN LOWERED OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE CWA TUE NGT & WED WITH A DRY
FCST NOW BEING PICTURED FROM WED NGT-THU NGT FOR MOST AREAS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CDT FRI AUG 9 2013

ANTICIPATING PATCHY/AREAS OF FOG TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND PERSIST
A FEW HOURS PAST SUNRISE SATURDAY ACROSS THE AREA...DUE TO LIGHT
WINDS...CLEAR SKIES AND WIDESPREAD MOIST GROUNDS. HIT 06Z TAFS A
BIT HARDER THAN 00Z ISSUANCE...WITH AT LEAST TEMPO IFR VSBYS
ANTICIPATED...ALTHOUGH PATCHY LIFR WILL BE POSSIBLE. SUSPECT BEST
POTENTIAL FOR FOG WILL BE KICT-KHUT-KCNU WHERE MOST RAIN HAS
FALLEN AS OF LATE. TIMELY AMENDMENTS WILL BE ISSUED WHEN/WHERE
NEEDED.

ADK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    83  65  87  71 /  10  10  10  40
HUTCHINSON      83  64  86  70 /   0  10  20  40
NEWTON          83  63  86  71 /  10  10  10  40
ELDORADO        83  64  86  71 /  10  10  10  30
WINFIELD-KWLD   83  65  88  71 /  10  10  10  40
RUSSELL         84  66  87  67 /   0   0  20  40
GREAT BEND      83  65  86  67 /   0   0  20  50
SALINA          85  64  87  70 /   0   0  20  30
MCPHERSON       83  64  86  70 /   0  10  20  40
COFFEYVILLE     84  66  88  74 /  10  10  20  30
CHANUTE         83  64  87  73 /  10  10  10  20
IOLA            83  63  86  73 /  10  10  10  20
PARSONS-KPPF    84  65  87  73 /  10  10  20  30

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

ES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
812 PM CDT FRI AUG 9 2013

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-110115-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
812 PM CDT FRI AUG 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SEVERAL FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. SEE THE LATEST WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

AREAS OF FOG MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT. PATCHY
DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY FOR SHELTERED AND LOW-
LYING AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PATCHY DENSE FOG MAY LINGER FOR A FEW HOURS PAST SUNRISE SATURDAY.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO PRIMARILY CENTRAL KANSAS LATE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AND
SPREAD OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY OVER THE REGION FOR THE UPCOMING
WORK WEEK. THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE AND PRODUCE HEAVY
RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP