Wind Advisory 55, NWS Hanford, CA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
344 AM PDT SUN OCT 27 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A WINTER STORM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY...DECREASING
TEMPERATURES BY 20 DEGREES OR MORE. A FEW INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE SIERRA ABOVE 5000 FEET AND LIGHT RAINFALL IN THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS. OTHERWISE CLEAR AND MILD CONDITIONS PREVAIL AS
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TODAY WILL BE THE LAST WARMER THAN NORMAL DAY BEFORE THE MAJOR
CHANGE IN THE WEATHER BEGINS ON MONDAY. THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN AND SHIFT EASTWARD TODAY...THEN A WINTER-LIKE STORM SYSTEM
IS IN STORE WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR MONDAY. BREEZY TO
WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM BY AS EARLY AS
THIS EVENING...INCLUDING OVER THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY. WINDS PASSING OVER THE SIERRA CREST ARE EXPECTED TO BE
QUITE STRONG.

THIS CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION AND BRING BEST
CHANCES FOR PRECIP DURING MONDAY AND INTO TUESDAY...INCLUDING
LIGHT RAIN IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AND SNOWFALL IN THE
MOUNTAINS...MAINLY AROUND 5000 FEET AND ABOVE. THE BULK OF THE
PRECIP IS EXPECTED THRU THE DAY MONDAY AND LASTING INTO MONDAY
EVENING. LATEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOW UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH IN
MOST LOCATIONS...INCLUDING THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND AROUND A
QUARTER INCH IN THE SIERRA FOOTHILLS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING THE
FIRST SNOWFALL SINCE EARLY THIS MONTH...SNOW AMOUNTS ARE GENERALLY
EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 2-4 INCHES...MAINLY ABOVE 7000 FEET...WITH A
DUSTING TO AROUND AN INCH AROUND 5000 FEET...THESE ACCUMULATIONS
REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL. MONDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO BE
FAIRLY MILD TEMPERATURE WISE AS CLOUD COVER INCREASES. HOWEVER...HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER...BY AS MUCH AS AROUND 20 DEG
FROM FORECAST HIGHS FOR TODAY.

ON TUESDAY...PRECIP WILL BEGIN TO TAPER...ALTHOUGH LOW UPSLOPE
CLOUDS WILL REMAIN BANKED UP IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS
ALLOWING LIGHT PRECIP TO LINGER IN THESE AREAS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL...AND MANY LOCATIONS MAY STRUGGLE TO
REACH ABOVE THE LOWER 60S IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND KERN
COUNTY DESERT. THE UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD OVER
THE GREAT BASIN BY TUE EVENING.

BY MID-WEEK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY RETURN TO THE REGION...BRINGING
TEMPERATURES BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL...ALTHOUGH LIKELY NOT QUITE AS
WARM AS THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER...BY NEXT WEEKEND TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO MODERATE AS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO
MOVE IN FROM THE PAC NW. KEPT FORECAST DRY BEYOND WED AS MODELS
SHOW NEXT TROUGH WEAKENING AS IT MOVES ONSHORE OVER NORTHERN CA
AND THE PAC NW.

&&

.AVIATION...
A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH WILL BRING WINDY CONDITIONS
OVER THE SOUTHERN SIERRA AFTER 00Z MONDAY WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 75
KNOTS POSSIBLE ALONG THE CREST. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 06Z MONDAY
WITH AREAS MVFR AND LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SIERRA.
OTHERWISE...LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS IN HAZE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 10-27       89:2003     58:1896     61:1987     35:1970
KFAT 10-28       89:2003     58:1971     61:1987     33:1970
KFAT 10-29       88:1915     55:1996     61:1914     29:1971

KBFL 10-27       99:1906     56:2004     64:1987     34:1919
KBFL 10-28       92:2003     55:1971     61:1987     35:1919
KBFL 10-29       92:1913     56:1971     61:1914     31:1900
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM PDT MONDAY
CAZ096-097.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM PDT MONDAY FOR
THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY IN THE CAZ089-091.

&&

PUBLIC...BSO
AVN/FW...DCH
SYNOPSIS...WP

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
359 AM PDT SUN OCT 27 2013

CAZ098-099-281100-
INDIAN WELLS VALLEY-SOUTHEASTERN KERN COUNTY DESERT-
359 AM PDT SUN OCT 27 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE KERN COUNTY DESERT AREAS.

...GUSTY WINDS...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

* WINDS: GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* VISIBILITY: DOWN TO 1/4 MILE AT TIMES DUE TO BLOWING DUST.

* TIMING: MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: EASTERN KERN COUNTY INCLUDING RIDGECREST
  ...MOJAVE...ROSAMOND...AND BORON.

* IMPACTS: MINOR TO MODERATE IMPACT TO TRAVELERS ON AREA ROADS.
* STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE NEWS
  SOURCE...FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT OR
UNUSUAL CONDITIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

BSO