High Wind Warning 6, NWS Hanford, CA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
309 PM PDT MON AUG 19 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OFF THE CENTRAL COAST WILL BRING A CHANCE OF
MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE WILL ALSO BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSHOWERS FOR THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
THE LOW WILL LIFT NORTHEAST OUT OF THE REGION BY THURSDAY AND BRING
A RETURN OF DRIER WEATHER FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW OFF THE COAST IN CONJUNCTION WITH LARGE SCALE UPPER
RIDGE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS IS PROVIDING A SQUEEZE PLAY TO STREAM
MID LEVEL SUB TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR.
T-STORMS ARE ONCE AGAIN FIRING UP OVER THE SIERRA AND ALONG THE
TEHACHAPI RANGE ATTM. UPSLOPE CONDITIONS IN ASSOCIATION WITH
MODERATE MUCAPES FROM THE VEGAS SOUNDING OF OVER 2000 J/KG ARE
PROVIDING ENOUGH LIFT TO GET IT GOING AGAIN TODAY. BLENDED PWAT
VALUES OF 1.0-1.5 ARE OVER THE REGION WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH MOISTURE
TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORMS. ACTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AS UPPER LOW REMAINS STATIONARY OFF THE COAST AND
MOISTURE FEED CONTINUES.

19Z RUN OF THE HRRR IS PAINTING MOST OF THE CWA WITH QPF FOR THIS
EVENING. EVEN SPREADS QPF INTO THE VALLEY AND OVER TO THE WEST
SIDE OF THE SJV. SOME FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS
IN THE MOUNTAINS AS MOVEMENT IS ONLY AROUND 10 MPH. ADDITIONAL
FIRE STARTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STROKES
ASSOCIATED THE STORMS.

THE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO OPEN UP AND LIFT NE. BOTH THE MEAN
ENSEMBLE GFS AND THE 12Z OPERATIONAL ECM ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT
WITH LIFTING THE FEATURE NE BY WED AND SW FLOW ALOFT SETTING UP
WITH DRIER CONDITIONS. EPAC TROUGH WILL DIG SOUTH AND FEED ANOTHER
ROUND OF SUB TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. HAVE INTRODUCED
POPS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY OVER THE SIERRA AND OVER THE
TEHACHAPIS.

&&

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED TODAY...MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT. OTHERWISE...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON MONDAY AUGUST 19 2013... UNHEALTHY FOR SENSITIVE GROUPS IN
SEQUOIA NATIONAL PARK AND FOREST.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 08-19      108:1892     67:1976     74:2012     54:1916
KFAT 08-20      108:1919     76:1959     75:1986     54:1974
KFAT 08-21      108:1919     80:1968     76:1913     51:1959

KBFL 08-19      109:1950     78:1959     79:1961     52:1913
KBFL 08-20      112:1950     77:1959     79:1950     52:1912
KBFL 08-21      110:1919     80:1968     77:1982     51:1918
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

PUBLIC...JDB
AVN/FW...MV
SYNOPSIS...ANDERSEN

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
501 PM PDT MON AUG 19 2013

CAZ089>094-201200-
WEST CENTRAL SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-EAST CENTRAL SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-
SOUTHWESTERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-SOUTHEASTERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-
MARIPOSA MADERA AND FRESNO COUNTY FOOTHILLS-
TULARE COUNTY FOOTHILLS-
501 PM PDT MON AUG 19 2013

...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND THE ADJACENT FOOTHILLS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES. FOR FURTHER
DETAILS PLEASE SEE THE LATEST /SFOSPSHNX/.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT OR
UNUSUAL CONDITIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

CAZ096-097-201200-
SIERRA NEVADA FROM YOSEMITE TO KINGS CANYON-
TULARE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
501 PM PDT MON AUG 19 2013

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. FOR FURTHER DETAILS PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST /SFOSPSHNX/.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FOR FURTHER DETAILS
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST /SFOSPSHNX/.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT OR
UNUSUAL CONDITIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

CAZ095-098-099-201200-
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS-INDIAN WELLS VALLEY-
SOUTHEASTERN KERN COUNTY DESERT-
501 PM PDT MON AUG 19 2013

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS
AND DESERTS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES. FOR FURTHER DETAILS
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST /SFOSPSHNX/.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT OR
UNUSUAL CONDITIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

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