Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2013

Wind Advisory 7, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

February 19, 20136 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Feb 19, 2013, 2:47 PM EST for 6 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Feb 20, 2013, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 19, 2013, 2:47 PM EST (19:47 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 20, 2013, 12:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 20, 2013, 12:00 PM EST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Avery County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Yancey County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2013-02-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2013-02-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 249 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
907 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
249 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
324 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

588 
WWUS72 KGSP 191947
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
247 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS
TONIGHT...

.A TIGHT GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE DEEP SOUTH
AND A RETREATING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION TO VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS IT WILL QUITE COLD. WIND CHILL VALUES AT
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4500 FEET WILL RUN A LOW AS ZERO TO 5 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-200400-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.130220T0500Z-130220T1700Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
247 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
NOON EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. ALSO THE ADJACENT SLOPES OF
  THE BLUE RIDGE...INCLUDING OLD FORT...JONAS RIDGE AND BLOWING
  ROCK.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6
  AM...THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LIMBS WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN BY THE WIND...POSSIBLY
  CAUSING A FEW POWER OUTAGES. HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL WIND CHILL
  VALUES AS LOW AS 0 TO 5 BELOW LATE TONIGHT AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

MCAVOY
2 follow-up statements
800 
WWUS72 KGSP 200355
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1055 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS
TONIGHT...

.A TIGHT GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE DEEP
SOUTH AND A RETREATING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. IN
ADDITION TO VERY WINDY CONDITIONS IT WILL QUITE COLD. WIND CHILL
VALUES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4500 FEET WILL RUN A LOW AS ZERO TO
5 DEGREES BELOW ZERO BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-201200-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.130220T0500Z-130220T1700Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
1055 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. ALSO THE ADJACENT SLOPES 
  OF THE BLUE RIDGE...INCLUDING OLD FORT...JONAS RIDGE AND 
  BLOWING ROCK.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM... 
  THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LIMBS WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN BY THE WIND...POSSIBLY 
  CAUSING A FEW POWER OUTAGES. HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL WIND CHILL 
  VALUES AS LOW AS 0 TO 5 BELOW LATE TONIGHT AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
165 
WWUS72 KGSP 201019
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
519 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS CONTINUING OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS...

.A TIGHT GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE DEEP
SOUTH AND A RETREATING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL
SUPPORT GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING.
IN ADDITION TO VERY WINDY CONDITIONS...IT WILL BE QUITE COLD.
WIND CHILL VALUES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4500 FEET WILL RUN BETWEEN
ZERO AND 5 BELOW THIS MORNING.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-201700-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-130220T1700Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
519 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. ALSO THE ADJACENT SLOPES 
  OF THE BLUE RIDGE...INCLUDING OLD FORT...JONAS RIDGE AND 
  BLOWING ROCK.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNRISE...THEN
  GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE MORNING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 25 MPH. FREQUENT GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH
  ABOVE 4000 FEET. OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH IN VALLEYS...
  ESPECIALLY THOSE ORIENTED NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST.

* IMPACTS...LIMBS WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN BY THE WIND...POSSIBLY
  CAUSING A FEW POWER OUTAGES. HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL SEE WIND
  CHILL VALUES AS LOW 5 BELOW THIS MORNING AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
LANE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 19, 1:07 PM EST, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 19, 1:07 PM EST, 1 hour 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
107 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A QUICKLY MOVING COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY BRINGING A
WAVE OF PRECIPITATION. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK IN TONIGHT
AND REMAIN OVER THE REGION BEFORE ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM AFFECTS THE
AREA THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 100 PM EST TUE...MADE TWEAKS TO THE GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
SLOW CLEARING TRENDS OVER THE PIEDMONT ZONES. EVERYTHING ELSE IS
GENERALLY IN GOOD SHAPE AS PCPN HAS MOVED OUT OF ALL BUT THE EASTERN
MOST ZONES.

AS OF 1005 AM EST TUE...THE BACK EDGE OF THE MORE WIDESPREAD PCPN
HAS MOVED INTO THE NE PIEDMONT OF SC AND THE WRN NC PIEDMONT. A FEW
SHOWERS CONTINUE ALONG THE TN LINE...BUT BASED ON MESONET
TEMPERATURES AND THE DUAL-POL RADAR OUTPUT...MOST OF THIS SHOULD BE
RAIN. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY EXPIRED AT 10 AM WHICH WORKS OUT
WELL CONSIDERING THE TEMPERATURE AND PCPN TRENDS. I WILL ISSUE AN
SPS SOON HIGHLIGHTING THE POTENTIAL FOR BLACK ICE TONIGHT ACROSS THE
NC MTNS AS TEMPERATURES WILL FALL QUICKLY BEHIND A COLD FRONT.

AT 656 AM...SNOW IS BEING REPORTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST NC
MTNS...WITH SOME 3-4 INCH TOTAL REPORTED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
EVEN SOME OF THE VALLEYS HAVE PICKED UP A QUICK INCH OR SO. THE GOOD
NEWS IS THE BACK EDGE OF THE PRECIP IS BEGINNING TO WORK INTO
EXTREME SW NC ATTM...AND PRECIP SHOULD WIND DOWN BY MID-MORNING. IT
APPEARS THAT TOTAL ACCUMS ABOVE ABOUT 3000 FEET WILL BE IN THE 3-5
INCH RANGE...WHILE THE VALLEYS COULD SEE UP TO A COUPLE OF INCHES.

PRECIP IS BEGINNING TO OVERSPREAD EXTREME SOUTHWEST NC ATTM IN
ADVANCE OF COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS THE TENN VALLEY. ELEVATIONS
ABOVE ABOUT 3500 REMAIN VERY COOL...WITH RIDGES AND PEAKS ABOVE 5000
FEET STILL WELL IN THE 20S. WHILE THERE WILL BE WARMING ALOFT...IT
APPEARS THAT ANY TRANSITION TO LIQUID ABOVE ABOUT 4000 FEET WILL NOT
OCCUR UNTIL NEAR THE END OF THE EVENT...SO THIS LOOKS LIKE MOSTLY A
SNOW/SLEET EVENT FOR THOSE AREAS. THE VALLEYS HOWEVER REMAIN
PROBLEMATIC...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MOST VALLEYS...WHERE
TEMPS ARE STILL IN THE 40S AT THIS HOUR. THE AIR MASS IS STILL VERY
DRY IN THESE AREAS...SO WET BULB TEMPS ARE LOW...BUT ABOVE FREEZING.
IT/S TYPICALLY VERY DIFFICULT TO KEEP COLD AIR LOCKED IN TO THE
LITTLE TENN VALLEY...SO I JUST DON/T SEE MUCH MORE THAN A TRANSIENT
PERIOD OF WINTRY PRECIP OCCURRING THERE...BUT I/M NOT READY TO GIVE
UP ON THE VALLEYS JUST YET. THIS DOES APPEAR TO BE MAINLY A
SLEET/SNOW SCENARIO...AS MODEL SOUNDINGS FEATURE ONLY THE SLIGHTEST
OF A WARM NOSE...WHILE THE AIR MASS WILL BE SATURATED THROUGH A DEEP
LAYER. AS FAR AS ACCUMS...CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT AREAS ABOVE ABOUT
3500 FEET WILL SEE A SOLID 2-4 INCHES...WHILE THE VALLEYS SHOULD SEE
HALF THAT (AT MOST).

PRECIP WILL SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE AREA FAIRLY QUICKLY THIS
MORNING...WITH ALL BUT THE EXTREME EASTERN ZONES SEEING CLEARING
SKIES BY 18Z. TEMPS WILL BE VERY COOL THIS MORNING OWING TO PRECIP
AND CLOUD COVER...BUT WILL THEN WARM QUICKLY IN THE W/SW FLOW THIS
AFTERNOON...ALLOWING MAXES TO WARM TO THE 50S IN MOST AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 2 AM TUE...DEEP HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE SOUTHEAST CONUS
TONIGHT NIGHT...DOMINATING THE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THURSDAY. PROG
SOUNDINGS FROM NAM/GFS DO SHOW STRONG UPSLOPE WINDS IN THE NRN
MOUNTAINS TONIGHT WITH A VERY SHALLOW MOIST LAYER. MODELS DO NOT
PRODUCE ANY QPF THOUGH A FEW CLOUDS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT. CLEAR SKIES
EXPECTED LATE TOMORROW NIGHT THRU WED MORNING. MODELS PRODUCE
APPARENT CONVECTION EARLY WED OVER TEXAS AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH
CROSSING THE ROCKIES. POCKET OF UPPER MOISTURE MOVES FROM THERE INTO
THE SOUTHEAST BY WED AFTN AND THAT SHOULD BRING SOME CIRRUS
OVERHEAD...MAINLY OVER THE UPSTATE...ENOUGH SO THAT TEMPS SHOULD BE
KEPT UP A FEW DEGREES WED NIGHT COMPARED TO THE CLEARER NORTHERN
ZONES. SOME CLEARING WILL OCCUR BEFORE DAYBREAK THU BUT THEN BY AFTN
CLOUDS INCREASE AHEAD OF WARM FRONT.

WINDS ARE A MINOR CONCERN TONIGHT IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...
PARTICULARLY FROM MOUNT MITCHELL NORTHWARD WHERE THE BDY LAYER SHOULD
REMAIN PARTIALLY MIXED. PEAKS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE SUSTAINED WINDS OF
40-45 KT WITH AT LEAST A FEW GUSTS TO ABOUT 30 KT IN POPULATED
AREAS...AS WINDS OF THAT MAGNITUDE ARE JUST A THOUSAND FEET OR SO
OFF THE DECK. NOT STRONG ENOUGH FOR AN ADVISORY...BUT WIND CHILLS
MAY DIP BELOW ZERO WITH THE GUSTS. LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BE A FEW
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TONIGHT...BUT AS SFC/UPPER RIDGING PUSH IN
FURTHER WED WINDS SHOULD RELAX AND NEAR NORMAL HIGHS WILL RETURN
THEN. PARTIAL THICKNESSES INCREASE FROM WED TO THU AND GUIDANCE
FOLLOWS...WARMING HIGHS TO AT LEAST A COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 240 AM EST TUESDAY...MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR FIRST
TWO DAYS OF MEDIUM RANGE WHICH BEGINS WITH 00Z FRIDAY...THEN THE GFS
IS ON ITS OWN WITH A BIG FINAL LOW FOR THE LATER HALF OF WEEKEND.
AT 00Z FRIDAY...THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE EAST COAST WITH SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR HUDSON BAY. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS
HAS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT BOWING EAST ACROSS MISS VALLEY AND EASTERN
EDGE OF PRECIP GETS INTO THE NC MTNS THURSDAY EVENING. SOUNDINGS
INDICATE THAT WINTRY PRECIP WILL AFFECT THE NRN MTNS OF NC INTO
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE TYPE SHOULD BE MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
FREEZING RAIN WITH SOME SLEET AND MAINLY AFFECTING AVERY COUNTY.
THIS WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN BY MID MORNING AS TEMPERATURES
WARM A LITTLE IN THE MTNS. A WEDGE WILL BE IN PLACE FOR MUCH OF OUR
AREA IN THE CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT FRIDAY. HIGHS ONLY
AROUND 40 FOR STATESVILLE AREA AND MID 40S AROUND GSP ON FRIDAY. GFS
HAS CUT WAY BACK ON EXPECTED PRECIP AMOUNTS THROUGH FRIDAY AND NEW
ECMWF HAS NEAR A HALF INCH UPPER SAVANNAH VALLEY LATE FRIDAY.

WEDGE SLOWLY BREAKS DOWN FRIDAY NIGHT AS A LOW MOVING NORTHEAST FROM
THE GULF STATES BRINGS HEAVY RAINFALL FROM ATL UP I-85 TO GSP AND
CLT AREA.  TIMING IS DIFFERENT AMONG MODELS WITH NEW ECMWF HAVING
BULK OF HEAVY RAIN COMING THROUGH AROUND 06Z SATURDAY AND GFS
WAITING UNTIL NEAR 12Z SATURDAY. MODELS INDICATE FROM AN INCH TO
INCH AND A HALF IN SIX HOURS WILL FALL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
SATURDAY. THE GFS IS ON ITS OWN WITH A NEW LOW PRESSURE FORMING OVER
LOUISIANA MID DAY SATURDAY DROPPING WELL OVER AN INCH WIDESPREAD FOR
OUR AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. SINCE THIS IS SUCH A BIG CONTRAST FROM
PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS AND GFS IS THE ONLY ONE GOING THAT WAY...RATHER
HOLD OFF FOR FUTURE FORECAST RUNS. ECMWF AND CANADIAN DRIES OUR AREA
OUT SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF SUNDAY NIGHT.

MOISTURE RETURNS ON MONDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM IN SOMEWHAT
SIMILAR FASHION AS THE PREVIOUS WITH LOW OVER PLAINS AND FRONT
COMING OUR WAY FROM WEST. MUCH LESS MOISTURE THIS TIME.
TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR NORMAL SUNDAY AND COOLER MONDAY WITH MORE
CLOUDS AND ANOTHER WEDGE WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AS FRONTAL
MOISTURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST. GFS NOW HAS FRONT
CROSSING NC MTNS 12Z TUESDAY BUT ECMWF WAITS UNTIL TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. SOME ELEVATION DEPENDING SNOWFALL POSSIBLE VERY EARLY
MONDAY AND VERY EARLY TUESDAY ACCORDING TO SOUNDINGS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE /EXCEPT KAVL/...IFR CIGS BEHIND THE RAIN BAND
ARE STARTING TO LIFT AND SCATTER OUT CLOSE TO THE MOUNTAINS. AS THE
LLVL WINDS VEER MORE TO THE WEST...DOWNSLOPE WILL INCREASE WITH CIGS
LIFTING AND MIXING OUT AT ALL TAF SITES OVER THE COURSE OF THE NEXT
COUPLE HOURS. KCLT WILL BE THE LAST TO LIFT AS THAT AIRFIELD IS THE
FARTHEST EAST. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST FOR A FEW
HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL VEER TO WEST OR WEST NORTHWEST THIS
EVENING AND REMAIN FROM THAT DIRECTION FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT. WINDS
ACROSS THE REGION WILL MAINTAIN A WESTERLY COMPONENT MOST OF THE DAY
ON WEDNESDAY...WITH THE UPSTATE FAVORING FLOW A LITTLE MORE OUT OF
THE SOUTH...AND THE NC SITES FAVORING FLOW A LITTLE MORE OUT OF THE
NORTH.

AT KAVL...DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE CLOUDS ACROSS THE
FRENCH BROAD VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDS SHOULD TURN OUT OF THE
NW IN AN HOUR OR TWO AND BECOME GUSTY. THE WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF
THE NW THROUGH THE NIGHT UNDER CLEAR SKIES.

OUTLOOK...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK IN FOR WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE
RESTRICTIONS ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE PATTERN WILL REMAIN
UNSETTLED AND CONDUCIVE TO PERIODS OF RAIN/RESTRICTIONS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            18-24Z        00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z
KCLT       HIGH  80%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH  91%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH  95%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH  92%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH  93%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DRY AND BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.
HOWEVER...FUELS SHOULD BE FAIRLY MOIST FROM RECENT RAINFALL. THIS
WILL KEEP FIRE DANGER LOW.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WIMBERLEY
NEAR TERM...MCAVOY
SHORT TERM...WIMBERLEY
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...MCAVOY
FIRE WEATHER...WIMBERLY
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 19, 10:41 AM EST, 4 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1041 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506>510-SCZ001>014-019-201545-
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1041 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-201545-
RABUN-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
1041 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PATCHY BLACK ICE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE MOUNTAINS OF
NORTH CAROLINA AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA LATER TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING. ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH LATER
TONIGHT. THIS WILL DRIVE WIND CHILL VALUES DOWN TO AROUND ZERO AT
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4500 FEET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 19, 10:41 AM EST, 4 hours 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1041 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 AM     SNOW             6 SE CULLOWHEE          35.25N  83.10W
02/19/2013  E0.8 INCH        JACKSON            NC   PUBLIC

            BEAR LAKE

&&

SBK
Local storm report, Feb 19, 10:45 AM EST, 4 hours 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1045 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0901 AM     SNOW             5 W MAGGIE VALLEY       35.52N  83.18W
02/19/2013  E2.0 INCH        HAYWOOD            NC   PUBLIC

            SOCO GAP. 4200 FEET.

&&

SBK
Local storm report, Feb 19, 10:46 AM EST, 4 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1046 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0901 AM     SNOW             MAGGIE VALLEY           35.52N  83.09W
02/19/2013  E1.0 INCH        HAYWOOD            NC   PUBLIC

            3400 FEET

&&

SBK
Local storm report, Feb 19, 10:49 AM EST, 3 hours 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1049 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0901 AM     SNOW             4 NE SYLVA              35.42N  83.17W
02/19/2013  E3.0 INCH        JACKSON            NC   PUBLIC

            BUFF CREEK

&&

SBK
Local storm report, Feb 19, 10:54 AM EST, 3 hours 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1054 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0937 AM     SNOW             5 NNE BURNSVILLE        35.98N  82.26W
02/19/2013  E1.0 INCH        YANCEY             NC   PUBLIC

            RED HILL. 2400 FEET.

&&

SBK
Special weather statement, Feb 19, 2:40 PM EST, 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
240 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

GAZ010-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-201500-
RABUN-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...
CHEROKEE...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...
FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
240 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2013

...AREAS OF BLACK ICE DEVELOPING TONIGHT...

VARYING AMOUNTS OF SNOW FELL ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS
AND THE MOUNTAINS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WARMED ENOUGH FOR THE SNOW TO MELT
IN MANY LOCATIONS...LEAVING AREA ROADS WET IN SPOTS. TEMPERATURES
WILL RAPIDLY FALL TO BELOW FREEZING THIS EVENING BEHIND A COLD
FRONT. THE RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES AND WET ROADS WILL RESULT
IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF AREAS OF BLACK ICE LATER TONIGHT.

DRIVE CAUTIOUSLY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING AS SLIPPERY PATCHES
ON ROADS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES.

MCAVOY

Nearby

Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2013Every wind advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.